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J E Manson

Publications and source records attributed to J E Manson.

At least 91 records · Page 5Linked to original sources

A prospective study of weight change and health-related quality of life in women.

CONTEXT: The mean body weight of US adults increased by 3.6 kg (7.6 lb) during the past 15 years, but few studies exist that examine the impact of such weight change on functional health status. OBJECTIVE: To investigate, prospectively, the association between weight change and health-related quality of life in women. DESIGN AND SETTING: Nurses' Health Study, a 4-year prospective observational study from 1992 to 1996, using the Medical Outcomes Study Short-Form 36 Health Status Survey (a self-administered 36-item questionnaire) to measure quality of life. PARTICIPANTS: A cohort of 40098 women (from 46-71 years old in 1992) grouped according to 3 patterns of weight change over the 4-year period: women whose weight remained within 2.25 kg (5 lb) of their baseline weight, women who lost 2.25 kg (5 lb) or more, and women who gained 2.25 kg (5 lb) or more. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Change in scores on 7 health-related quality-of-life dimensions: physical functioning, vitality, bodily pain, limitations in role functioning due to emotional or physical problems, social functioning, and mental health, measured by the Short-Form 36 Health Status Survey. RESULTS: A total of 15602 women (39%) maintained their weight, 15160 (38%) gained between 2.25 and 9.0 kg (5-20 lb), and 6667 (17%) lost between 2.25 and 9.0 kg (5-20 lb). Weight gain was associated with decreased physical function and vitality, and increased bodily pain regardless of baseline weight. For example, the odds ratio for developing role limitations due to physical problems was 2.05 (95% confidence interval, 1.69-2.49) for the leanest women who gained 9.0 kg (20 lb) or more. Weight loss in overweight women was associated with improved physical function and vitality as well as decreased bodily pain. Weight change was more strongly associated with physical rather than mental health. The impact of weight change, especially weight gain, was just as strong in women 65 years and older as in women younger than 65 years. CONCLUSIONS: These longitudinal data support current US guidelines for women of all body mass index levels to avoid weight gain. Weight maintenance and, in cases of overweight, weight loss are desirable and likely to be beneficial for physical function, vitality, and bodily pain.

Aged↗

Risk factors for progression of distal symmetric polyneuropathy in type 1 diabetes mellitus. Sorbinil Retinopathy Trial Research Group.

In a prospective cohort study, the authors examined risk factors for progression of distal symmetric polyneuropathy (DSP) in type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus. The study population consisted of participants in the Sorbinil Retinopathy Trial, a randomized trial of aldose reductase inhibition among patients aged 18-56 years with type 1 diabetes mellitus of 1-15 years' duration. Diagnosis of DSP was based on standardized clinical neurologic evaluation. A total of 407 participants who did not have definite DSP at randomization and had at least one follow-up visit were included in the analysis. Stepwise Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the independent contribution of baseline variables to progression of DSP. During follow-up (median, 40 months), 68 participants (17%) showed progression to definite DSP. After adjustment for age and treatment assignment, independent predictors of progression to definite DSP were total glycosylated hemoglobin (relative risk (RR) for increase of one percentage point = 1.25; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12, 1.39), height (RR associated with being one inch (2.54 cm) taller = 1.15; 95% CI 1.05, 1.26), cigarette smoking (ever vs. never) (RR = 1.87; 95% CI 1.09, 3.21), and female gender (RR = 2.26; 95% CI 1.09, 4.67). These data indicate that, in addition to the previously established role for total glycosylated hemoglobin, other factors including height, cigarette smoking, and female gender may also be independent risk factors for progression of DSP in type 1 diabetes mellitus.

Adolescent↗

Beta-carotene supplementation for patients with low baseline levels and decreased risks of total and prostate carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The Physicians' Health Study was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial using a 2x2 factorial design including supplementation with beta-carotene (50 mg every other day) in the primary prevention of cancer among 22,071 U.S. male physicians ages 40-84 years at randomization. Before randomization, the authors collected baseline blood specimens to determine whether any benefit was greater among or confined to those with low baseline levels of beta-carotene. METHODS: Baseline blood samples were collected from 14,916 participants. These samples were assayed, according to a nested case-control design, from 1439 men subsequently diagnosed with cancer over 12 years of follow-up (631 with prostate carcinoma) and 2204 controls matched by age and smoking habits. RESULTS: Men in the lowest quartile for plasma beta-carotene at baseline had a marginally significant (P = 0.07) increased risk of cancer compared with those in the highest quartile (relative risk [RR] = 1.30, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.98-1.74). Men in the lowest quartile assigned at random to beta-carotene supplementation had a possible but nonsignificant decrease in overall cancer risk (RR = 0.83, 95% CI, 0.63-1.09) compared with those assigned to placebo. This was primarily due to a significant reduction in the risk of prostate carcinoma (RR = 0.68, 95% CI, 0. 46-0.99) in this group. After the first 2 years of follow-up were excluded, the results were virtually unchanged. CONCLUSIONS: These prespecified subgroup analyses appeared to support the idea that beta-carotene supplementation may reduce risk of prostate carcinoma among those with low baseline levels. Further follow-up of this population will help determine whether these findings are valid.

Adult↗

Annual deaths attributable to obesity in the United States.

CONTEXT: Obesity is a major health problem in the United States, but the number of obesity-attributable deaths has not been rigorously estimated. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the number of deaths, annually, attributable to obesity among US adults. DESIGN: Data from 5 prospective cohort studies (the Alameda Community Health Study, the Framingham Heart Study, the Tecumseh Community Health Study, the American Cancer Society Cancer Prevention Study I, and the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey I Epidemiologic Follow-up Study) and 1 published study (the Nurses' Health Study) in conjunction with 1991 national statistics on body mass index distributions, population size, and overall deaths. SUBJECTS: Adults, 18 years or older in 1991, classified by body mass index (kg/m2) as overweight (25-30), obese (30-35), and severely obese (>35). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Relative hazard ratio (HR) of death for obese or overweight persons. RESULTS: The estimated number of annual deaths attributable to obesity varied with the cohort used to calculate the HRs, but findings were consistent overall. More than 80% of the estimated obesity-attributable deaths occurred among individuals with a body mass index of more than 30 kg/m2. When HRs were estimated for all eligible subjects from all 6 studies, the mean estimate of deaths attributable to obesity in the United States was 280184 (range, 236111-341153). Hazard ratios also were calculated from data for nonsmokers or never-smokers only. When these HRs were applied to the entire population (assuming the HR applied to all individuals), the mean estimate for obesity-attributable death was 324 940 (range, 262541-383410). CONCLUSIONS: The estimated number of annual deaths attributable to obesity among US adults is approximately 280000 based on HRs from all subjects and 325000 based on HRs from only nonsmokers and never-smokers.

Adult↗

A prospective study of recreational physical activity and breast cancer risk.

BACKGROUND: Increased physical activity has been hypothesized to prevent breast cancer, largely by reducing cumulative lifetime exposure to circulating ovarian hormones. However, epidemiologic findings are inconsistent, and there is no consensus on the best way to quantify physical activity. We thus examined this issue in a large cohort of women, using several different measures of adult physical activity. METHODS: We analyzed data from the Nurses' Health Study, a prospective study of women aged 30 to 55 years in 1976. In 1980 and on subsequent surveys, women were asked about the average number of hours per week spent in various moderate and vigorous recreational physical activity during the past year. We computed a "baseline-only" (1980) measure of hours per week of physical activity, as well as a cumulative average measure that used updated reports on physical activity. During 16 years of follow-up, we identified 3137 cases of invasive breast cancer (1036 premenopausal and 2101 postmenopausal women). Data were analyzed by use of multivariate pooled logistic regression to produce relative risks of breast cancer, and the associated confidence intervals. RESULTS: Women who were more physically active in adulthood had a lower risk of breast cancer than those who were less physically active. Comparing those who reported engaging in moderate or vigorous physical activity for 7 or more hours per week with those who engaged in such physical activity for less than 1 hour per week, the relative risk was 0.82 (95% confidence interval, 0.70-0.97), using the cumulative average updating. The dose-response trend was statistically significant (P = .004). Using the baseline-only measure of physical activity produced slightly weaker relative risks. CONCLUSION: These results contribute to the body of evidence suggesting that higher levels of adult physical activity afford modest protection against breast cancer.

Adult↗

Walking compared with vigorous physical activity and risk of type 2 diabetes in women: a prospective study.

CONTEXT: Although many studies suggest that physical activity may reduce risk of type 2 diabetes, the role of moderate-intensity activity such as walking is not well understood. OBJECTIVES: To examine the relationship of total physical activity and incidence of type 2 diabetes in women and to compare the benefits of walking vs vigorous activity as predictors of subsequent risk of type 2 diabetes. DESIGN AND SETTING: The Nurses' Health Study, a prospective cohort study that included detailed data for physical activity from women surveyed in 11 US states in 1986, with updates in 1988 and 1992. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 70,102 female nurses aged 40 to 65 years who did not have diabetes, cardiovascular disease, or cancer at baseline (1986). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Risk of type 2 diabetes by quintile of metabolic equivalent task (MET) score, based on time spent per week on each of 8 common physical activities, including walking. RESULTS: During 8 years of follow-up (534, 928 person-years), we documented 1419 incident cases of type 2 diabetes. After adjusting for age, smoking, alcohol use, history of hypertension, history of high cholesterol level, and other covariates, the relative risks (RRs) of developing type 2 diabetes across quintiles of physical activity (least to most) were 1.0, 0.77, 0.75, 0.62, and 0.54 (P for trend <.001); after adjusting for body mass index (BMI), RRs were 1.0, 0.84, 0.87, 0.77, and 0.74 (P for trend = .002). Among women who did not perform vigorous activity, multivariate RRs of type 2 diabetes across quintiles of MET score for walking were 1.0, 0.91,0.73, 0.69, and 0.58 (P for trend <.001). After adjusting for BMI, the trend remained statistically significant (RRs were 1.0, 0.95, 0.80, 0.81, 0.74; P for trend = .01). Faster usual walking pace was independently associated with decreased risk. Equivalent energy expenditures from walking and vigorous activity resulted in comparable magnitudes of risk reduction. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that greater physical activity level is associated with substantial reduction in risk of type 2 diabetes, including physical activity of moderate intensity and duration.

Adult↗

Fruit and vegetable intake in relation to risk of ischemic stroke.

CONTEXT: Few studies have evaluated the relationship between fruit and vegetable intake and cardiovascular disease. OBJECTIVE: To examine the associations between fruit and vegetable intake and ischemic stroke. DESIGN, SETTING, AND SUBJECTS: Prospective cohort studies, including 75 596 women aged 34 to 59 years in the Nurses' Health Study with 14 years of follow-up (1980-1994), and 38683 men aged 40 to 75 years in the Health Professionals' Follow-up Study with 8 years of follow-up (1986-1994). All individuals were free of cardiovascular disease, cancer, and diabetes at baseline. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incidence of ischemic stroke by quintile of fruit and vegetable intake. RESULTS: A total of 366 women and 204 men had an ischemic stroke. After controlling for standard cardiovascular risk factors, persons in the highest quintile of fruit and vegetable intake (median of 5.1 servings per day among men and 5.8 servings per day among women) had a relative risk (RR) of 0.69 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.52-0.92) compared with those in the lowest quintile. An increment of 1 serving per day of fruits or vegetables was associated with a 6% lower risk of ischemic stroke (RR, 0.94; 95 % CI, 0.90-0.99; P =.01, test for trend). Cruciferous vegetables (RR, 0.68 for an increment of 1 serving per day; 95% CI, 0.49-0.94), green leafy vegetables (RR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.62-0.99), citrus fruit including juice (RR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.68-0.96), and citrus fruit juice (RR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.61-0.93) contributed most to the apparent protective effect of total fruits and vegetables. Legumes or potatoes were not associated with lower ischemic stroke risk. The multivariate pooled RR for total stroke was 0.96 (95% CI, 0.93-1.00) for each increment of 2 servings per day. CONCLUSIONS: These data support a protective relationship between consumption of fruit and vegetables-particularly cruciferous and green leafy vegetables and citrus fruit and juice-and ischemic stroke risk.

Adult↗

Long-term beta-carotene supplementation and risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus: a randomized controlled trial.

CONTEXT: Recent data suggest a protective role of carotenoids in the development of type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM), possibly via an antioxidant effect, but no randomized trial has directly assessed the efficacy of beta-carotene to prevent DM. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether long-term beta-carotene supplementation reduces the risk of developing type 2 DM. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A total of 22, 071 healthy US male physicians aged 40 to 84 years in a randomized, double- blind, placebo-controlled trial, from 1982 to 1995. More than 99% of the participants had complete follow-up (median duration, 12 years). INTERVENTION: Subjects were randomly assigned to receive beta-carotene (50 mg on alternate days) or placebo. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incidence of type 2 DM. RESULTS: A total of 10, 756 subjects were assigned to beta-carotene and 10, 712 to placebo. Incidence of type 2 DM did not differ between groups: 396 men in the beta-carotene group and 402 men in the placebo group developed type 2 DM (relative risk, 0.98; 95% confidence interval, 0.85-1.12). The lack of association between beta-carotene supplementation and incidence of type 2 DM persisted despite multivariate adjustment. There was no evidence of benefit when the period of risk was subdivided into years of follow-up or increasing duration of treatment. CONCLUSION: In this trial of apparently healthy men, supplementation with beta-carotene for an average of 12 years had no effect on the risk of subsequent type 2 DM.

Adult↗

Weight cycling, weight gain, and risk of hypertension in women.

To assess prospectively the relation between body mass index, weight gain, repeated intentional weight losses, and the risk of self-reported hypertension, the authors studied 46,224 women who were participants in the Nurses Health Study II, who were free of hypertension in 1993, and who completed questions on intentional weight losses between 1989 and 1993. Women who reported they had intentionally lost > or =20 lbs (9 kg) > or =3 times were classified as severe weight cyclers. Women who had intentionally lost > or =10 lbs (4.5 kg) > or =3 times, but who did not meet the criteria for severe weight cycling, were classified as mild weight cyclers. Between 1993 and 1995, 1,107 incident cases of diagnosed hypertension were reported. Body mass index and weight gain, but not weight cycler status, were independently associated with the development of hypertension. For each 10 lb (4.5 kg) gain in weight between 1989 and 1993, the risk of hypertension increased 20% (odds ratio (OR) = 1.20, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.15, 1.24). After adjustment for body mass index and weight gain, the risks associated with mild weight cycling (OR = 1.15, 95% CI 1.00, 1.33) and severe weight cycling (OR = 1.13, 95% CI 0.79, 1.61) were small and not significant. Thus, the results of this study offer support for the current weight guidelines and provide further evidence of the health risks associated with excessive weight and weight gain. However, these data do not suggest an independent effect of weight cycling on risk of hypertension.

Adult↗

Comparison of self-reported diagnosis of connective tissue disease with medical records in female health professionals: the Women's Health Cohort Study.

To compare self-report of connective tissue disease (CTD) with medical records, subjects were selected from 395,543 female health professionals with and without breast implants who reported CTD on mailed questionnaires from 1992 to 1995. The authors identified 220 women with breast implants (exposed) who self-reported CTD and a random sample of 879 women without breast implants (unexposed) who also self-reported CTD, matched by age and date of diagnosis. Medical records were reviewed using classification criteria from the American College of Rheumatology or other published criteria. After up to three requests and a telephone call, 27.7% of the women provided consent for medical record review. Exposed women appeared somewhat more likely (33.2% vs. 26.3%, p = 0.04) to provide consent. Using medical record reviews for 90% of the women who provided consent, confirmation rates of definite CTD were similar among the exposed and unexposed (22.7% vs. 24.0%, p = 0.83). This study demonstrates the difficulty of obtaining consent for medical record review of CTD reported to have occurred years ago in women with and without breast implants. Confirmation rates were low but were similar in exposed and unexposed. Despite the fact that the study had low participation rates, the data suggest that relative risk estimates for any definite CTD among women with breast implants compared with women without breast implants would be similar in analyses of self-reported or medical record-confirmed cases.

Adult↗

Moderate alcohol consumption and the risk of sudden cardiac death among US male physicians.

BACKGROUND: Individuals who consume high amounts of alcohol (>5 drinks/d) have increased risks of ventricular arrhythmia and sudden cardiac death (SCD). However, the relationship is less clear for drinkers of light-to-moderate amounts. METHODS AND RESULTS: We prospectively assessed whether light-to-moderate alcohol drinkers have a decreased risk of SCD among 21 537 male participants in the Physicians Health Study who were free of self-reported cardiovascular disease and provided complete information on alcohol intake at study entry. Over 12 years of follow-up, 141 SCDs were confirmed. After control for multiple confounders, men who consumed 2 to 4 drinks/wk (RR=0.40; 95% CI, 0.22 to 0.75; P=0.004) or 5 to 6 drinks/wk (RR=0.21; 95% CI, 0.08 to 0.56; P=0.002) at baseline had significantly reduced risks of SCD compared with those who rarely or never consumed alcohol. The relationship for SCD was U-shaped (P=0. 002), with the risk approaching unity at >/=2 drinks/d. In contrast, the relationship of alcohol intake and nonsudden CHD death was L-shaped or linear (P for trend=0.02). CONCLUSIONS: In these prospective data, men who consumed light-to-moderate amounts of alcohol (2 to 6 drinks/wk) had a significantly reduced risk of SCD compared with those who rarely or never consumed alcohol.

Alcohol Drinking↗

A prospective study of walking as compared with vigorous exercise in the prevention of coronary heart disease in women.

BACKGROUND: The role of walking, as compared with vigorous exercise, in the prevention of coronary heart disease remains controversial, and data for women on this topic are sparse. METHODS: We prospectively examined the associations between the score for total physical activity, walking, and vigorous exercise and the incidence of coronary events among 72,488 female nurses who were 40 to 65 years old in 1986. Participants were free of diagnosed cardiovascular disease or cancer at the time of entry and completed serial detailed questionnaires about physical activity. During eight years of follow-up, we documented 645 incident coronary events (nonfatal myocardial infarction or death from coronary disease). RESULTS: There was a strong, graded inverse association between physical activity and the risk of coronary events. As compared with women in the lowest quintile group for energy expenditure (expressed as the metabolic-equivalent [MET] score), women in increasing quintile groups had age-adjusted relative risks of 0.77, 0.65, 0.54, and 0.46 for coronary events (P for trend <0.001). In multivariate analyses, the inverse gradient remained strong (relative risks, 0.88, 0.81, 0.74, and 0.66 for women in increasing quintile groups as compared with those in the lowest quintile group; P for trend=0.002). Walking was inversely associated with the risk of coronary events; women in the highest quintile group for walking, who walked the equivalent of three or more hours per week at a brisk pace, had a multivariate relative risk of 0.65 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.47 to 0.91) as compared with women who walked infrequently. Regular vigorous exercise (> or =6 MET) was associated with similar risk reductions (30 to 40 percent). Sedentary women who became active in middle adulthood or later had a lower risk of coronary events than their counterparts who remained sedentary. CONCLUSIONS: These prospective data indicate that brisk walking and vigorous exercise are associated with substantial and similar reductions in the incidence of coronary events among women.

Adult↗

Hormone replacement therapy and increased plasma concentration of C-reactive protein.

BACKGROUND: It has been hypothesized that postmenopausal hormone replacement therapy (HRT) may increase levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), a marker of inflammation associated with increased risk of future cardiovascular events. However, data evaluating this hypothesis are sparse and limited to older women. METHODS AND RESULTS: CRP levels were evaluated in a cross-sectional survey of 493 healthy postmenopausal women; mean age was 51 years. Overall, median CRP levels were 2 times higher among women taking HRT than among women not taking HRT (0.27 versus 0.14 mg/dL; P=0.001). This difference was present in all subgroups evaluated, including those with no history of hypertension, hyperlipidemia, obesity, diabetes, or cigarette consumption or a family history of premature coronary artery disease (all P< 0.01). Compared with nonusers of HRT, median CRP levels were higher among women using estrogen alone (P=0.003) and women using estrogen plus progesterone (P=0.03); however, there was no significant difference in CRP levels between users of different HRT preparations. In multivariate analysis, the relationship between HRT use and CRP remained significant after control for body mass index, age, diabetes, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, alcohol use, and cigarette consumption (P=0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In this cross-sectional survey, CRP levels were increased among apparently healthy postmenopausal women taking HRT. The potential impact of HRT on inflammatory parameters should be investigated in ongoing clinical trials.

Alcohol Drinking↗

Long-term intake of dietary fiber and decreased risk of coronary heart disease among women.

CONTEXT: Epidemiological studies of men suggest that dietary fiber intake protects against coronary heart disease (CHD), but data on this association in women are sparse. OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between long-term intake of total dietary fiber as well as fiber from different sources and risk of CHD in women. DESIGN AND SETTING: The Nurses' Health Study, a large, prospective cohort study of US women followed up for 10 years from 1984. Dietary data were collected in 1984, 1986, and 1990, using a validated semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 68782 women aged 37 to 64 years without previously diagnosed angina, myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, cancer, hypercholesterolemia, or diabetes at baseline. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incidence of acute MI or death due to CHD by amount of fiber intake. RESULTS: Response rate averaged 80% to 90% during the 10-year follow-up. We documented 591 major CHD events (429 nonfatal MIs and 162 CHD deaths). The age-adjusted relative risk (RR) for major CHD events was 0.53 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.40-0.69) for women in the highest quintile of total dietary fiber intake (median, 22.9 g/d) compared with women in the lowest quintile (median, 11.5 g/d). After controlling for age, cardiovascular risk factors, dietary factors, and multivitamin supplement use, the RR was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.57-1.04). For a 10-g/d increase in total fiber intake (the difference between the lowest and highest quintiles), the multivariate RR of total CHD events was 0.81 (95% CI, 0.66-0.99). Among different sources of dietary fiber (eg, cereal, vegetables, fruit), only cereal fiber was strongly associated with a reduced risk of CHD (multivariate RR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.49-0.81 for each 5-g/d increase in cereal fiber). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings in women support the hypothesis that higher fiber intake, particularly from cereal sources, reduces the risk of CHD.

Adult↗

Age at natural menopause and risk of cardiovascular disease.

BACKGROUND: Early natural menopause has been postulated to increase the risk of cardiovascular disease. OBJECTIVE: To examine the relation of age at natural menopause with risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke in the Nurses' Health Study. METHODS: Analysis was restricted to 35 616 naturally postmenopausal women who never used estrogen replacement therapy and with no diagnosed cardiovascular disease at baseline, followed up from 1976 to 1994. Information on menopausal status, age at menopause, and other risk factors was obtained in 1976 and updated every 2 years by mailed questionnaires. RESULTS: During 354326 person-years of follow-up, we documented 757 incident cases of CHD and 350 incident cases of stroke. After adjusting for age, smoking status, and other cardiovascular risk factors, the relative risks (RRs) across categories of age at natural menopause (<40, 40-44, 45-49, 50-54, and > or = 55 years) were 1.53, 1.42, 1.10, 1.00 (reference), and 0.95, respectively; the RR for each 1-year decrease in age at natural menopause was 1.03 (95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.05). Elevated risk with younger age at menopause was observed among current smokers (RR, 1.04 [95% CI, 1.01-1.07] for each 1-year decrease in age at natural menopause) but not among never smokers (RR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.96-1.04). Age at natural menopause was not significantly associated with ischemic stroke (RR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.97-1.04) or hemorrhagic stroke (RR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.97-1.10). CONCLUSIONS: We observed an overall significant association between younger age at menopause and higher risk of CHD among women who experienced natural menopause and never used hormone therapy. This increased risk was observed among current smokers but not among never smokers. The apparent elevated risk of CHD with decreased age at natural menopause among smokers might reflect residual confounding by smoking.

Age of Onset↗

Homocysteine and risk of cardiovascular disease among postmenopausal women.

CONTEXT: Individuals with elevated levels of homocysteine tend to have higher prevalence of cardiovascular disease. However, prospective studies of homocysteine are inconsistent and data among women are limited. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether elevated homocysteine levels in healthy postmenopausal women predict risk of developing cardiovascular disease. DESIGN: Prospective, nested case-control study with a mean 3-year follow-up. SETTING: The Women's Health Study, an ongoing US primary prevention trial initiated in 1993. PARTICIPANTS: From a total cohort of 28,263 postmenopausal women with no history of cardiovascular disease or cancer at baseline, 122 women who subsequently experienced cardiovascular events were defined as cases, and 244 age- and smoking status-matched women who remained free of disease during follow-up were defined as controls. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incidence of death due to cardiovascular disease, nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty, or coronary artery bypass graft by baseline homocysteine level. RESULTS: Of the 122 cases, there were 85 events of MI or stroke and 37 coronary revascularizations. Case subjects had significantly higher baseline homocysteine levels than controls (14.1 vs 12.4 micromol/L; P = .02). Subjects with homocysteine levels in the highest quartile had a 2-fold increase in risk of any cardiovascular event (relative risk [RR], 2.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-3.8). This effect was largely due to an excess of cases with high levels of homocysteine; the RR for those with homocysteine levels at or higher than the 95th percentile (20.7 micromol/L) was 2.6 (95% CI, 1.1-5.7). Risk estimates were independent of traditional risk factors and were greatest for the end points of MI and stroke (RR for those with baseline homocysteine levels in the top quartile, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.1-4.6). Self-reported multivitamin supplement use at study entry was associated with significantly reduced levels of homocysteine (P<.001). However, the association between increasing quartile of homocysteine level and risk of MI or stroke remained significant in analyses controlling for baseline multivitamin supplement use (P = .003 for trend), and subgroup analyses limited to women who were (P = .02 for trend) or were not (P = .04 for trend) taking multivitamin supplements. CONCLUSIONS: Among healthy postmenopausal US women, elevated levels of homocysteine moderately increased the risk of future cardiovascular disease. Whether lowering the homocysteine level reduces risk of cardiovascular events requires testing in randomized controlled trials.

Aged↗

A prospective study of egg consumption and risk of cardiovascular disease in men and women.

CONTEXT: Reduction in egg consumption has been widely recommended to lower blood cholesterol levels and prevent coronary heart disease (CHD). Epidemiologic studies on egg consumption and risk of CHD are sparse. OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between egg consumption and risk of CHD and stroke in men and women. DESIGN AND SETTING: Two prospective cohort studies, the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986-1994) and the Nurses' Health Study (1980-1994). PARTICIPANTS: A total of 37851 men aged 40 to 75 years at study outset and 80082 women aged 34 to 59 years at study outset, free of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, or cancer. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incident nonfatal myocardial infarction, fatal CHD, and stroke corresponding to daily egg consumption as determined by a food-frequency questionnaire. RESULTS: We documented 866 incident cases of CHD and 258 incident cases of stroke in men during 8 years of follow-up and 939 incident cases of CHD and 563 incident cases of stroke in women during 14 years of follow-up. After adjustment for age, smoking, and other potential CHD risk factors, we found no evidence of an overall significant association between egg consumption and risk of CHD or stroke in either men or women. The relative risks (RRs) of CHD across categories of intake were less than 1 per week (1.0), 1 per week (1.06), 2 to 4 per week (1.12), 5 to 6 per week (0.90), and > or =1 per day (1.08) (P for trend = .75) for men; and less than 1 per week (1.0), 1 per week (0.82), 2 to 4 per week (0.99), 5 to 6 per week (0.95), and > or =1 per day (0.82) (P for trend = .95) for women. In subgroup analyses, higher egg consumption appeared to be associated with increased risk of CHD only among diabetic subjects (RR of CHD comparing more than 1 egg per day with less than 1 egg per week among diabetic men, 2.02 [95% confidence interval, 1.05-3.87; P for trend = .04], and among diabetic women, 1.49 [0.88-2.52; P for trend = .008]). CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that consumption of up to 1 egg per day is unlikely to have substantial overall impact on the risk of CHD or stroke among healthy men and women. The apparent increased risk of CHD associated with higher egg consumption among diabetic participants warrants further research.

Adult↗

Plasma prolactin levels and subsequent risk of breast cancer in postmenopausal women.

BACKGROUND: In animal studies, prolactin has been found to be important for mammary epithelial development and its administration has been shown consistently to increase the rate of mammary tumor formation. Previous epidemiologic studies of prolactin and breast cancer risk in postmenopausal women have been limited in size, and the results have been inconsistent. We conducted a nested case-control study within the prospective Nurses' Health Study cohort to better determine the relationship between plasma prolactin levels and postmenopausal breast cancer risk. METHODS: Blood samples were collected from cohort members during the period from 1989 through 1990. Prolactin levels were measured by use of a microparticle enzyme immunoassay. Included in this analysis were 306 postmenopausal women who were diagnosed with breast cancer after blood donation but before June 1994. One or two postmenopausal control subjects were matched per case subject on the basis of age, postmenopausal hormone use, and time of day and month of blood collection; the study included a total of 448 control subjects. RESULTS: In conditional logistic regression analyses, a significant positive association was observed between plasma level of prolactin and postmenopausal breast cancer risk (highest versus lowest quartile, multivariate relative risk = 2.03; 95% confidence interval = 1.24-3.31; two-sided P for trend = .01). The relationship was independent of plasma sex steroid hormone levels and was similar after excluding case subjects diagnosed in the first 2 years after blood collection. CONCLUSIONS: These prospective data suggest that higher plasma prolactin levels are associated with an increased risk of breast cancer in postmenopausal women.

Adult↗