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Biomedical subjects

J Cairns

Publications and source records attributed to J Cairns.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Geographical access to imaging facilities for stroke patients in Scotland.

This study examines the geographical access to imaging facilities for suspected stroke patients in Scotland. A survey of Scottish clinical directors of radiology was initially undertaken to determine the current and future provision of brain imaging for the diagnosis of stroke. We analysed geographical and digital population data with geographical information systems software to determine access to brain imaging services for stroke patients during 'normal' working hours and 'out-of-hours'. The findings suggest that, in general, most departments are able to deliver scanning for stroke as set within current guidelines, at least in normal working hours. However, radiological departments are generally operating at full capacity, and there is restricted availability of scanning services for stroke in certain regions during weekend periods. It is vital that policy makers consider these findings when reviewing the guidelines for recommending scanning for stroke.

Diagnostic Imaging↗

Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm in a geographically isolated area.

BACKGROUND: Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm has been shown to reduce aneurysm-related mortality, but the applicability of the results to the whole of the UK has been questioned. This study examined screening in a remote and rural area. METHODS: Over 3 years, men aged 65-74 years were offered screening in the community by ultrasonography, usually in general practitioner surgeries. Men with an aneurysm were rescanned at intervals or assessed for surgery. The screening and hospital costs of the programme were calculated. RESULTS: Some 9323 men were offered screening of whom 8355 (89.6 per cent) attended. Uptake was high in all areas. A total of 430 scans (5.1 per cent) were abnormal; 40 men had an aneurysm greater than 55 mm in diameter. Twenty further men had an aorta that enlarged to greater than 55 mm during follow-up. A total of 54 men had elective repair with one death (mortality rate 2 per cent). The cost of screening alone was 16 pound per invitation and the overall cost of the programme, including surgery, was 58 pound per invitation. CONCLUSION: Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm can be carried out in a remote and rural area with high uptake, acceptable clinical results and at no greater cost than in more densely populated areas.

Aged↗

A comprehensive approach for evaluating telemedicine-delivered multidisciplinary breast cancer meetings in southern Scotland.

Multidisciplinary team (MDT) meetings for decisions on cancer management are a cornerstone of UK cancer policy. We have proposed a comprehensive methodology to assess the clinical and economic effectiveness of telemedicine in this setting, which is being tested in a randomized breast cancer trial. Pre- and post-telemedicine assessment includes attitudes to and expectations of telemedicine, based on semistructured interviews. The communication content of videotapes of the MDT meeting is being scored using Borgatta's revised Interaction Process Analysis System. The technical performance of the telemedicine equipment is reported on a standardized pro forma. A short questionnaire captures key elements of professional satisfaction for each patient discussion (consensus on future management, confidence in and sharing of decision), added value of linkage, group atmosphere, overall conduct of the meeting and compliance with SIGN guidelines. A cost-minimization analysis will be used for economic assessment.

Attitude of Health Personnel↗

What is the best imaging strategy for acute stroke?

OBJECTIVES: To determine the cost-effectiveness of computed tomographic (CT) scanning after acute stroke. To assess the contribution of brain imaging to the diagnosis and management of stroke, and to estimate the costs, benefits and risks of different imaging strategies in order to provide data to inform national and local policy on the use of brain imaging in stroke. DESIGN: A decision-analysis model was developed to represent the pathway of care in acute stroke using 'scan all patients within 48 hours' as the comparator against which to cost 12 alternative scan strategies. SETTING: Hospitals in Scotland. PARTICIPANTS: Subjects were patients admitted to hospital with a first stroke and those managed as outpatients. INTERVENTIONS: The effect on functional outcome after ischaemic or haemorrhagic stroke, tumours or infections, of correctly administered antithrombotic or other treatment; of time to scan and stroke severity on diagnosis by CT or MRI; on management, including length of stay, functional outcome, and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), of the diagnostic information provided by CT scanning; the cost-effectiveness (cost versus QALYs) of different strategies for use of CT after acute stroke. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Death and functional outcome at long-term follow-up; accuracy of CT and MRI; cost of CT scanning by time of day and week; effect of CT diagnosis on change in health outcome, length of stay in hospital and QALYs; cost-effectiveness of various scanning strategies. RESULTS: CT is very sensitive and specific for haemorrhage within the first 8 days of stroke only. Suboptimal scanning used in epidemiology studies suggests that the frequency of primary intracerebral haemorrhage (PICH) has been underestimated. Aspirin increases the risk of PICH. There were no reliable data on functional outcome or on the effect of antithrombotic treatment given long term after PICH. In 60% of patients with recurrent stroke after PICH, the cause is another PICH and mortality is high among PICH patients. A specific MR sequence (gradient echo) is required to identify prior PICH reliably. CT scanners were distributed unevenly in Scotland, 65% provided CT scanning within 48 hours of stroke, and 100% within 7 days for hospital-admitted patients, but access out of hours was very variable, and for outpatients was poor. The average cost of a CT brain scan for stroke was pounds 30.23 to pounds 89.56 in normal working hours and pounds 55.05 to pounds 173.46 out of hours. Average length of stay was greatest for severe strokes and those who survived in a dependent state. For a cohort of 1000 patients aged 70-74 years, the policy 'scan all strokes within 48 hours', cost pounds 10,279,728 and achieved 1982.3 QALYS. The most cost-effective strategy was 'scan all immediately' (pounds 9,993,676 and 1982.4 QALYS). The least cost-effective was to 'scan patients on anticoagulants, in a life-threatening condition immediately and the rest within 14 days'. CONCLUSIONS: In general, strategies in which most patients were scanned immediately cost least and achieved the most QALYs, as the cost of providing CT (even out of hours) was less than the cost of inpatient care. Increasing independent survival by even a small proportion through early use of aspirin in the majority with ischaemic stroke, avoiding aspirin in those with haemorrhagic stroke, and appropriate early management of those who have not had a stroke, reduced costs and increased QALYs.

Aged↗

Symptom-based outcome measures for asthma: the use of discrete choice methods to assess patient preferences.

This paper reports on an application of discrete choice modelling to the measurement of patient preferences over asthma symptoms. A sample of patients with moderate to severe asthma was asked to choose between a series of pairs of scenarios characterised by different combinations of asthma symptoms. Their responses were analysed using a random effects ordered probit model. The results implied that patients weighted some symptoms more highly than others. Discrete choice modelling proved to be a useful approach for developing preference based outcome measures, although the results show how, in contexts where preferences over health care outcomes based on symptoms or some measure of health status are involved, a conventional linear additive model may not always be suitable.

Adolescent↗

Estimating time preferences for health using discrete choice experiments.

This study is the first to use discrete choice experiments to elicit inter-temporal preferences for health. Inter-temporal preferences with respect to one's own future health are compared with inter-temporal preferences with respect to others' future health. Discrete choice experiments are used to measure the relative importance of the duration of ill-health and how far in the future the ill-health occurs. Data were collected by postal questionnaire in the UK. The median implied rates of discount range from 0.055 to 0.091 for own health, depending on the period of delay, and from 0.078 to 0.147 for others' health. The implied discount rate varies with respect to age, self-rated health, and version of the questionnaire. The implied discount rates are broadly comparable with other published estimates using closed-ended methods. One concern is the large percentage of respondents with dominant preferences. This issue needs to be explored before adopting the approach of discrete choice experiments to elicit inter-temporal preferences.

Adult↗

Assessing the resource implications of extending routine invitation to breast screening to women aged 65-67 years.

UK breast screening policy currently restricts routine 3-yearly invitation to screening to 50-64 year olds. However, it is likely that routine invitation will be extended to 65-67 year olds in 2001. This paper first predicts the additional demand for breast screening as a result of this new policy by modelling the response to the 1998 invitation of women eligible for screening in 2001. The independent variables include (i) the woman's characteristics: her screening history; the deprivation score of the area she lives in; and (ii) the characteristics of the screening: whether the screening took place in a mobile van or at a static site; and time of the year. The modelling of attendance is quite successful in that most hypothesised variables have the expected sign. It is estimated that an additional 10829 women will be screened per annum. The additional invitation, screening and assessment costs are expected to be approximately pound350000 in 2001.

Age Factors↗

Patient weighting of importance of asthma symptoms.

BACKGROUND: Quality of life measures are increasingly important in evaluating outcomes in asthma. If some asthma symptoms are more troublesome to patients than others, this may affect their contribution to outcome measures. This study was designed to assess the relative importance of common symptoms in adults with asthma. METHODS: A postal survey using conjoint analysis was performed in 272 adults attending hospital outpatient clinics with moderately severe asthma. Patients were asked to chose between "symptom scenarios" offering different combinations of levels of five common asthma symptoms over one week. Two versions of the questionnaire were used with identical scenarios presenting symptoms in different orders. Different patients answered the two versions. Regression analysis was used to calculate symptom weights for daytime cough, breathlessness, wheeze and chest tightness, and sleep disturbance. RESULTS: Symptom order, percentage predicted peak expiratory flow (PEF), and symptoms in the week before the survey did not influence the choice of scenario. In both questionnaires patients were more likely to choose scenarios with low levels of cough and breathlessness than low sleep disturbance, wheeze or chest tightness. Regression weights for cough (-0.52) and breathlessness (-0.49) were twice those of wheeze (-0.25), chest tightness (-0.27), and sleep disturbance (-0.25). For 12% of patients cough dominated patient preferences, regardless of all other symptoms. Age was inversely related to weight given by patients to breathlessness. CONCLUSIONS: The prominence of cough among other asthma symptoms was unexpected. Daytime cough and breathlessness had greater impact for patients than wheeze or sleep disturbance. Age influenced symptom burden, with younger patients giving greater weight to breathlessness than older patients. Conjoint analysis appears to be a useful method for establishing the relative importance of common symptoms.

Adult↗

The interface between molecular biology and cancer research.

During the last thirty years, cancer research has been a remarkably fruitful resource for molecular biologists. Numerous fundamental discoveries in basic biology have come out of research into the properties of cancer cells; for example, the discovery of reverse transcriptase, RNA splicing and the protein kinases. Recently, information has started to flow in the other direction, and we are at last beginning to see molecular biology yielding discoveries of practical importance in the management and control of human cancer. Some of the past and possible future interactions of molecular biology and cancer research are discussed in this paper.

Genetic Predisposition to Disease↗

The efficient organization of blood donation: what determines the number of donors and donations?

This study investigates the influence of socio-economic characteristics on the number of donors in geographical areas in the North of Scotland as well as the influence of panel-specific characteristics on the number of donations obtained from each panel in the North of Scotland. Econometric models are applied to establish the relationship between these variables. The main findings were that there was no scope for identifying new areas in which to locate new panels or extend the activities of existing panels because the number of donors in an area was closely correlated with population. There was therefore little scope for recruitment of donors by focusing on any particular area. It was found that annual donations per panel are significantly influenced by the number of donors invited, the number of opportunities to donate and the average length of sessions. Combined with cost information, increasing the length of the session appears to be the most cost-effective means of collecting higher volumes.

Blood Banks↗