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Biomedical subjects

Helena Geys

Publications and source records attributed to Helena Geys.

12 recordsLinked to original sources

A unifying approach for surrogate marker validation based on Prentice's criteria.

Part of the recent literature on the evaluation of surrogate endpoints starts from a multi-trial approach which leads to a definition of validity in terms of the quality of both trial-level and individual-level association between a potential surrogate and a true endpoint, Buyse et al. These authors proposed their methodology based on the simplest cross-sectional case in which both the surrogate and the true endpoint are continuous and normally distributed. Different variations to this theme have been implemented for binary responses, times to event, combinations of binary and continuous endpoints, etc. However, a drawback of this methodology is that different settings have led to different definitions to quantify the association at the individual-level. In the longitudinal setting; Alonso et al. defined a class of canonical correlation functions that can be used to study surrogacy at the trial and individual-level. In the present work, we propose a new approach to evaluate surrogacy in the repeated measurements framework, we also show the connection between this proposal and the previous ones reported in the literature. Finally, we extend this concept to the non-normal case using the so-called 'likelihood reduction factor' (LRF) a new validation measure based on some of the Prentice's criteria. We apply the previous methodology using data from two clinical studies in psychiatry and ophthalmology.

Antipsychotic Agents↗

Dose response for infectivity of several strains of Campylobacter jejuni in chickens.

Although some major risk studies have been done for Campylobacter jejuni, its dose response is not well characterized. Only a single human study is available, providing dose-response information for only a single isolate. As substantial heterogeneity in infectivity has been acknowledged for other pathogens, it remains unknown how well this single study represents the dose-response relation for this pathogen. As future human challenge studies with Campylobacter are unlikely, we have to find other means of studying its infectivity. Several dose-response studies have been done using chickens as host organisms. These studies may be used to obtain quantitative information on the variation in infectivity among different isolates of this pathogen. A hierarchical Bayesian model is well suited to describe heterogeneity, and we demonstrate how the beta-Poisson model of microbial infection may be adapted to allow for within- and between-isolate variation. Isolates tested in chickens can be categorized into two distinct groups: lab-adapted and fresh isolates, and we show how the hierarchical dose-response model can be used to quantitatively describe their differences. Fresh isolates show higher colonization potential and less within-isolate variation than lab isolates. The results indicate that Campylobacter jejuni is highly infectious in chickens. Different isolates show great variation in infectivity, especially between lab and fresh isolates, indicating that human clinical (volunteer) studies on infectivity must be interpreted cautiously.

Animals↗

Generalized reliability estimation using repeated measurements.

Reliability can be studied in a generalized way using repeated measurements. Linear mixed models are used to derive generalized test-retest reliability measures. The method allows for repeated measures with a different mean structure due to correction for covariate effects. Furthermore, different variance-covariance structures between measurements can be implemented. When the variance structure reduces to a random intercept (compound symmetry), classical methods are recovered. With more complex variance structures (e.g. including random slopes of time and/or serial correlation), time-dependent reliability functions are obtained. The effect of time lag between measurements on reliability estimates can be evaluated. The methodology is applied to a psychiatric scale for schizophrenia.

Humans↗

Applying concepts of generalizability theory on clinical trial data to investigate sources of variation and their impact on reliability.

This work aims at applying concepts of generalizability theory to data resulting from clinical trials. The focus is to study the sources of variance and their impact on the reliability and generalizability of a psychiatric measurement scale. The goal is to identify, measure, and thereby potentially find strategies to reduce the influence of these sources on the measurement in question for future trials. This approach was originally devised by Cronbach and his associates and is known as generalizability theory. This work shows how full modeling power in mixed models can be used to study generalizability using data from five double-blind randomized clinical trials, comparing the effects of risperidone to conventional antipsychotic agents for the treatment of chronic schizophrenia.

Antipsychotic Agents↗

Is herpes zoster a marker for occult or subsequent malignancy?

BACKGROUND: It has been suggested that herpes zoster may be a marker for occult malignancy. AIM: To examine the emergence of a subsequent cancer diagnosis in patients with and without herpes zoster. DESIGN OF STUDY: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Results were based on the database of Intego, an ongoing Belgian general practice-based morbidity registry, covering 37 general practitioners and including about 311 000 patient years between the years 1994 and 2000. METHOD: Survival analysis comparing the emergence of malignancy in patients with and without herpes zoster. RESULTS: The number of patients below the age of 65 years with herpes zoster, cancer or both was too low to draw any sensible conclusions. Above the age of 65 years we identified a significant increase of cancer emergence in the whole group and in females (hazard ratio = 2.65, 95% confidence interval = 1.43 to 4.90), but not in males. No difference could be identified in the first year after the herpes zoster infection. CONCLUSION: Our results do not justify extensive testing for cancer in herpes zoster patients. The association we identified, however, leaves open a number of questions with respect to the physiopathology behind it.

Adolescent↗

Pseudo-likelihood estimation for a marginal multivariate survival model.

In this paper, we propose a multivariate Plackett-Dale model for survival outcomes. A pseudo-likelihood method for the estimation of the parameters is proposed and these ideas are applied to two case studies. The modelling approach is similar in spirit but different from Parner's approach. The first study is in AIDS, where the overall survival time and different opportunistic infections in HIV-infected patients are studied. The second study is on adoption data where the association of the survival times within families is modelled, illustrating the use of the proposed methodology for the context of population genetics.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Applying linear mixed models to estimate reliability in clinical trial data with repeated measurements.

Repeated measures are exploited to study reliability in the context of psychiatric health sciences. It is shown how test-retest reliability can be derived using linear mixed models when the scale is continuous or quasi-continuous. The advantage of this approach is that the full modeling power of mixed models can be used. Repeated measures with a different mean structure can be used to usefully study reliability, correction for covariate effects is possible, and a complicated variance-covariance structure between measurements is allowed. In case the variance structure reduces to a random intercept (compound symmetry), classical methods are recovered. With more complex variance structures (e.g., including random slopes of time and/or serial correlation), time-dependent reliability functions are obtained. The methodology is motivated by and applied to data from five double-blind randomized clinical trials comparing the effects of risperidone to conventional antipsychotic agents for the treatment of chronic schizophrenia. Model assumptions are investigated through residual plots and by investigating the effect of influential observations.

Analysis of Variance↗

Prentice's approach and the meta-analytic paradigm: a reflection on the role of statistics in the evaluation of surrogate endpoints.

We put a perspective on the strengths and limitations of statistical methods for the evaluation of surrogate endpoints. Whereas using several trials overcomes some of the limitations of a single-trial framework (Prentice, 1989, Statistics in Medicine 8, 431-440), arguably the evaluation of surrogate endpoints can never be done using only statistical evidence but such evidence should be seen as but one component in a decision-making process that involves, among others, a number of clinical and biological considerations. We briefly present a hierarchical framework that incorporates ideas from Prentice's work and is uniformly applicable to different types of surrogate and true clinical outcomes.

Biometry↗

Validation of surrogate markers in multiple randomized clinical trials with repeated measurements: canonical correlation approach.

Part of the recent literature on the evaluation of biomarkers as surrogate endpoints starts from a multitrial context, which leads to a definition of validity in terms of the quality of both trial-level and individual-level association between the surrogate and true endpoints (Buyse et al., 2000, Biostatistics1, 49-67). These authors concentrated on cross-sectional continuous responses. However, in many randomized clinical studies, repeated measurements are encountered on either or both endpoints. A challenge in this setting is the formulation of a simple and meaningful concept of "surrogacy."Alonso et al. (2003, Biometrical Journal45, 931-945) proposed the variance reduction factor (VRF) to evaluate surrogacy at the individual level. They also showed how and when this concept should be extended to study surrogacy at the trial level. Here, we approach the problem from the natural canonical correlation perspective. We define a class of canonical correlation functions that can be used to study surrogacy at the trial and individual level. We show that the VRF and the R2 measure defined by Buyse et al. (2000) follow as special cases. Simulations are conducted to evaluate the performance of different members of this family. The methodology is illustrated on data from a meta-analysis of five clinical trials comparing antipsychotic agents for the treatment of chronic schizophrenia.

Antipsychotic Agents↗

Trend of cervical cancer mortality in Belgium (1954-1994): tentative solution for the certification problem of unspecified uterine cancer.

We investigated the evolution of mortality from cervical cancer in Belgium between 1954 and 1994 in terms of absolute number of deaths, and standardised and age-specific mortality rates. Changes over generations were summarised using the standardised cohort mortality ratio. Trend studies of cervical cancer mortality were hampered by certification problems. The number of deaths due to cancer of the uterine cervix is not known exactly since a substantial proportion of death causes are coded as cancer of the uterus without specifying the anatomic site: cervix or corpus uteri. This inaccuracy in codification has been corrected using distribution tables derived from countries where this certification problem is minimal. Trends in mortality from certified and corrected cervical cancers were compared. The corrected age-standardised mortality rate decreased continuously over the last 4 decades, from over 14 to 5 per 100,000 woman-years (slope -0.26/100,000 woman-years, 95% CI -0.28 to -0.24). Its slope is 3.1 times (95% CI 2.9-3.5) more important than for the rate of mortality from certified cervical cancer. In addition to the almost linear decrease, substantial nonlinear cohort influences were observed in certified and corrected mortality rates. The tendency of increasing mortality in women born after 1935 required particular attention. Nevertheless, the slope of the corrected recent cohort effect remained limited in Belgium, probably as a consequence of screening.

Adult↗

Statistical challenges in the evaluation of surrogate endpoints in randomized trials.

The validation of surrogate endpoints has been studied by Prentice, who presented a definition as well as a set of criteria that are equivalent if the surrogate and true endpoints are binary. Freedman et al. supplemented these criteria with the so-called proportion explained. Buyse and Molenberghs proposed to replace the proportion explained by two quantities: (1). the relative effect, linking the effect of treatment on both endpoints, and (2). the adjusted association, an individual-level measure of agreement between both endpoints. In a multiunit setting, these quantities can be generalized to a trial-level measure of surrogacy and an individual-level measure of surrogacy. In this paper, we argue that such a multiunit approach should be adopted because it overcomes difficulties that necessarily surround validation efforts based on a single trial. These difficulties are highlighted.

Endpoint Determination↗

Investigating the criterion validity of psychiatric symptom scales using surrogate marker validation methodology.

This work investigates whether techniques that are generally used for the validation of surrogate markers in clinical trials can be applied in the validation of psychiatric health measurements (often scales) and more generally to investigate relationships between treatment effects on different measurements. However, the categorical nature of some scales makes these techniques inapplicable in the way they were originally defined. In this work, we show a possible extension of this methodology to the setting in which one of the scales is an ordinal categorical variable. When psychiatric health measurements are either developed or used in a new population, reliability and validity must be investigated. Reliability, more specifically internal consistency, test-retest reliability, and inter-rater reliability, is focused on the reproducibility of the measurement. Validity is defined as the degree to which the scale measures what it purports to measure. This can be performed through the analysis of content, construct, and criterion validity. We argue that recent methodology, in particular developed to study surrogate endpoints, can be used to examine criterion validity, concurrent validity, and predictive validity. In concurrent validity, we correlate the measurement with a criterion measure, both of which are given at the same time. In predictive validity, the criterion will not be available to some point in time in the future. The surrogate methods were applied on pooled data from five trials in schizophrenia.

Clinical Trials as Topic↗