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Biomedical subjects

H G Welch

Publications and source records attributed to H G Welch.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed1992

Prioritizing Oregon's hospital resources. An example based on variations in discretionary medical utilization.

OBJECTIVE: To provide an alternative to Oregon's treatment-specific approach to rationing, we propose a prioritization based on the local hospital resources invested in discretionary medical admissions. DESIGN: We used 1988 Oregon hospital discharge data to determine age- and sex-adjusted per-capita rates of inpatient days for discretionary medical admissions (for high-variation medical conditions) in each of 33 hospital service areas. Potential ceiling rates were defined based on prevailing utilization rates for discretionary medical admissions in each hospital service area. Savings were calculated under the assumption that resources allocated for inpatient treatment of these conditions in areas that exceed the ceiling rates were reduced accordingly. SETTING: Nonfederal, acute-care hospitals used by Oregon residents. STUDY POPULATION: Oregon residents. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Savings were defined in terms of patient days, hospital beds, hospital charges, and average costs. RESULTS: Among the 16 largest hospital service areas, patient-day rates for discretionary medical admissions ranged from 188 to 335 patient days per thousand. Potential savings from applying different ceiling rates ranged from $0.4 million to $94.7 million per year. If the rate in the state capital (Salem) were used as the ceiling (218 days per thousand), then 238 beds could be closed in 20 hospital service areas, for an estimated cost savings of $47.3 million. CONCLUSIONS: Hospital resources invested in discretionary admissions in high-rate areas represent an important potential source of funds for reallocation to meet other defined health care needs. Setting limits based on units of health care supply (eg, beds, capital equipment, and physicians) should be considered as an option for resource reallocation within health care.

Bed Occupancy↗
PubMed1992

Telephone care as a substitute for routine clinic follow-up.

DESIGN: Randomized trial. SETTING: A primary care clinic. PATIENTS: Four hundred ninety-seven men aged 54 years or older. OBJECTIVE: We examined the hypothesis that substituting clinician-initiated telephone calls (telephone care) for some clinic visits would reduce medical care utilization without adversely affecting patient health. INTERVENTION: Clinicians were asked to double their recommended interval for face-to-face follow-up and schedule three intervening telephone contacts; for control patients, the follow-up interval recommended by their clinician was unchanged. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Use of medical services and health status. RESULTS: During the 2-year follow-up period, 7% of patients withdrew or became unavailable. Telephone-care patients had fewer total clinic visits, scheduled and unscheduled, than usual-care patients (19%, P less than .001). In addition, telephone-care patients had less medication use (14%, P = .006), fewer admissions, and shorter stays in the hospital (28% fewer total hospital days, P = .005), and 41% fewer intensive care unit days (P = .03). Estimated total expenditures for telephone care were 28% less per patient for the 2 years ($1656, P = .004). For the subgroup of patients with fair or poor overall health at the beginning of the study (n = 180), savings were somewhat greater ($1976, P = .01). In this subgroup, improvement in physical function from baseline (P = .02) and a possible reduction in mortality (P = .06) were also observed. CONCLUSION: We conclude that substituting telephone care for selected clinic visits significantly reduces utilization of medical services. For more severely ill patients, the increased contact made possible by telephone care may also improve health status and reduce mortality.

Analysis of Variance↗
PubMed1992

Prudent strategies for elective red blood cell transfusion.

OBJECTIVE: To review the literature on the appropriateness of red blood cell transfusion and current physician practice, with emphasis on the physiologic and symptomatic implications of elective transfusion in the treatment of anemia. DATA SOURCES: Studies on the therapeutic use of red blood cell transfusion were identified through a search of MEDLINE (1966 to the present) and through a manual review of bibliographies of identified articles. In addition, evidence was solicited from selected experts in the field and recent consensus panels that have developed transfusion guidelines. DATA SYNTHESIS: No controlled trials of blood transfusion were identified, but data were available on four issues relevant to transfusion practice: current physician practice and evidence for excessive use of red blood cell transfusion; physiologic adaptation to anemia; human tolerance of low hemoglobin levels; and strategies for reducing homologous transfusion requirements. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the recent decline in red blood cell use because of concerns about infection, current transfusion practice remains variable because physicians have disparate views about its appropriateness. The remarkable human tolerance of anemia suggests that clinicians can accept hemoglobin levels above 70 g/L (7 g/dL) in most patients with self-limited anemia. In patients with impaired cardiovascular status or with anemias that will not resolve spontaneously, however, the data are insufficient to determine minimum acceptable hemoglobin levels, and therapy must be guided by the clinical situation. Several therapeutic strategies and pharmacologic interventions are available in the perioperative and non-operative settings to further reduce red blood cell use.

Adaptation, Physiological↗
PubMed1992

The cost of institutional care in Alzheimer's disease: nursing home and hospital use in a prospective cohort.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the nursing home and hospital use of patients with Alzheimer's Type Dementia. DESIGN: A prospective cohort study of 126 patients entered into an Alzheimer's disease registry after diagnosis at a university hospital clinic between 1980 and 1982. Only four patients were in nursing homes at enrollment. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Data regarding nursing home use came from the registry and the individual nursing homes themselves. Hospital-use data were obtained using Medicare claims files. Follow-up was obtained on 123 patients (98%). Eighty-five (69%) had died by July 1, 1989. Three-quarters of the cohort (92) eventually resided in nursing homes. The median nursing home length of stay was 2.75 years (mean 2.95, 95% CI = 2.5, 3.4), over 10 times the national median length of stay for all diagnoses. Based on prevailing rates in the region, nursing home charges for the cohort were estimated to be between $4.3 and $6.4 million ($35,000-$52,000 per patient). During the 5-year period 1983-1988, 69 patients filed Part A (hospital) claims to Medicare for 76 admissions and 616 inpatient days. Part A Medicare reimbursement for the cohort totaled $460,000 over 5 years ($3,700 per patient), an expenditure comparable to what a random Medicare cohort might incur. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of a high rate of nursing home entry and lengthy stays makes long-term care the largest determinant of the cost of care in Alzheimer's disease. While Alzheimer's Type Dementia undoubtedly has profound indirect costs, this study demonstrates that the direct institutional costs alone are considerable.

Aged↗
PubMed1992

Readmission after surgery in Washington State rural hospitals.

BACKGROUND: Because of concern about the quality of care in rural hospitals, we examined readmission following four surgical procedures commonly performed in Washington State rural hospitals: appendectomy, cesarean section, cholecystectomy, and transurethral prostatectomy. METHODS: In a retrospective cohort study, we identified all patients discharged after receiving one of the foregoing procedures using the statewide hospital discharge database. Readmissions to any hospital in the state within 7 or 30 days of discharge were also identified. RESULTS: During the 2-year period examined, there were no significant differences in readmission rates for surgeries performed in rural and urban hospitals, although the readmission rates for all four procedures were nominally lower in rural hospitals. Logistic regression analyses that controlled for factors that influence readmission did not change these results. CONCLUSIONS: Investigating readmission rates following common surgeries, we found no evidence of low-quality surgical care in Washington State rural hospitals. Early readmission is an imperfect marker for poor surgical outcome, however, and other proxies for quality remain to be examined.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1991

British Columbia sends patients to Seattle for coronary artery surgery. Bypassing the queue in Canada.

Concern about waiting lists for elective procedures has become a highly visible challenge to the universal health insurance program in Canada. In response to lengthening queues for patients waiting for cardiac surgery, British Columbia made contracts with four Seattle hospitals to send a total of 200 patients for coronary artery bypass surgery. This article examines the cause of the queue for cardiac surgery in British Columbia and the events that led to outside contracting. Global hospital budgets and restrictions on capital expansion have limited hospital capacity for cardiac surgery. This constrained supply, combined with periodic shortages in critical care nurses and cardiac perfusion technologists, has resulted in a rapid increase in the waiting list. Reducing wide variations in the lengths of queues for individual surgeons may afford an opportunity to reduce long waits. While the patient queue for cardiac surgery has sparked a public debate about budget limits and health care needs, its clinical impact remains uncertain.

British Columbia↗
PubMed1991

Should the health care forest be selectively thinned by physicians or clear cut by payers?

As the need to set limits in health care becomes more generally accepted, physicians and policymakers need to consider who can best decide how to allocate medical resources among patients. This commentary focuses on the two obvious candidates: payers and physicians. Although payer-based allocation has the advantage of allowing physicians to act strictly on behalf of their patients, it lacks precision and flexibility. Physician-based allocation places allocation decisions in the hands of individuals better positioned and better equipped to make choices that maximize health outputs. To preserve clinical freedom and minimize micromanagement of individual patients, physicians should expand their advocacy role beyond individual patients and recognize their responsibility to populations. In doing so, physicians would acknowledge that societal and patient interests differ and that health care is just one of many important social goods. For physicians willing to make these choices, five general guidelines are offered. Finally, mechanisms to encourage physician-based allocation are considered.

Cost Control↗
PubMed1991

Priority setting: lessons from Oregon.

The state of Oregon has developed a unique method to set priorities for health services. The method is based on a cost-utility formula but also incorporates public attitudes and values. Using an explicit process, the Oregon Health Services Commission has completed the ranking of 714 condition-treatment pairs. The background, methods, and criticisms of the Oregon approach highlight key questions for managers and physicians in other health services when they allocate limited resources.

Community Participation↗
PubMed1991

Comparing apples and oranges: does cost-effectiveness analysis deal fairly with the old and young?

This paper considers the role patient age plays in the type of outcome analysis most germane for policymakers: cost-effectiveness analysis. The magnitude of age bias is quantified and means to modify it are described. In particular, present value analysis (discounting) is demonstrated to markedly attenuate the effect of patient age on cost-effectiveness analysis. As the discount rate gets larger, the difference in potential "life-years" between old and young gets smaller and the age bias is minimized. However, relegating a decision about the importance of patient age to a decision about the discount rate seems inappropriate. Value judgments cannot be avoided; therefore, it is best that they be explicit.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1990

Survival of outpatients with Alzheimer-type dementia.

OBJECTIVE: To study the clinical course of Alzheimer-type dementia and those factors that might predict or influence the length of survival. DESIGN: A prospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: One hundred and twenty-six patients diagnosed with Alzheimer-type dementia were selected from among 200 consecutive outpatients evaluated for suspected dementia from 1980 to 1982. All 126 patients had at least 6 years of follow-up. SETTING: All patients were initially seen as outpatients at a university hospital. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Survival analysis was done using Kaplan-Meier estimates and the Cox proportional hazards model. The mean age at symptom onset was 73.9 years and at enrollment in the study, 77.6 years. The median survival from time of enrollment in the study was 5.3 years (range, 0.2 to 7.2+ years) and from symptom onset, 9.3 years (range, 1.8 to 16+ years). Dementia severity, as measured by the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), was strongly associated with survival (P less than 0.001); the median survival of patients with scores of 18 or below was 3 years less than that of patients with scores above 18 (relative risk, 2.7; 95% CI, 1.6 to 4.4). Comorbid conditions and symptom duration were not related to survival. A multivariate analysis of age at symptom onset and of historical features showed that the combination of wandering and falling (relative risk, 2.1; 95% CI, 0.9 to 5.2) and the presence of behavioral problems (relative risk, 1.4; 95% CI, 0.7 to 2.9) at the time of evaluation appeared to adversely affect survival. CONCLUSIONS: Length of survival in patients with Alzheimer-type dementia is highly variable; severity of disease (not duration), the combination of wandering and falling, and behavioral problems are associated with shorter survival. Our findings, if confirmed, may provide prognostic information for families and professionals and suggest areas in which interventions to improve survival might be focused.

Accidental Falls↗
PubMed1989

Cost effectiveness of bone marrow transplantation in acute nonlymphocytic leukemia.

To compare the cost effectiveness of bone marrow transplantation and conventional chemotherapy, we evaluated the resources used in the care of adult patients with acute nonlymphocytic leukemia who were enrolled in a prospective trial and received induction chemotherapy at a single university hospital. Nineteen patients were subsequently treated with chemotherapy and 17 with transplantation. Cost accounting began with induction chemotherapy and extended over a five-year period. Costs were estimated by means of a resource-based, multivariate prediction model. The transplantation and chemotherapy groups had virtually equivalent use of resources (hospital days, laboratory tests, blood products, and radiologic and operative procedures) over five years, except for a 10-fold increase in the use of the intensive care unit for the patients who underwent transplantation (P less than 0.001). The total costs over five years were estimated at $193,000 per patient for transplantation and $136,000 per patient for chemotherapy (P = 0.02). At five years, the costs per year of life saved ("life-year") were nearly equal ($62,500 per life-year for transplantation vs. $64,000 per life-year for chemotherapy) because of the better rate of disease-free survival in patients who underwent bone marrow transplantation. We conclude that the cost effectiveness of bone marrow transplantation to treat acute nonlymphocytic leukemia compares favorably with that of chemotherapy and could be further enhanced if intensive care resources were used more selectively.

Adolescent↗