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Biomedical subjects

H Cuckle

Publications and source records attributed to H Cuckle.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Effect of gravidity on maternal serum markers for Down's syndrome.

The effect of gravidity on maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), unconjugated oestriol (uE3), and human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG) levels was investigated in 27,592 women being screened for Down's syndrome. There was no difference in the median AFP level in primigravid and multigravid women, but the median hCG level in multigravid women was 5.9 per cent lower than in those tested in their first pregnancy (P < 0.0001) and the median uE3 level was 3.9 per cent lower (P < 0.0001). Among multigravid women, there was no material difference in hCG levels according to the number of previous pregnancies or livebirths, whereas uE3 levels declined steadily with increasing numbers. Both markers declined with advancing maternal age: for hCG this was an independent effect, but for uE3 it was due to the correlation between age and gravidity. Allowing for these effects will not greatly alter the Down's syndrome screening detection and false-positive rates.

Adult↗

Down's syndrome screening marker levels following assisted reproduction.

Maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG), and unconjugated oestriol (uE3) levels were examined in 1632 women who had ovulation induction and 327 who had in vitro fertilization. There was a highly statistically significant increase in hCG and reduction in uE3 among those with ovulation induction. The median levels were respectively 1.09 and 0.92 multiples of the normal gestation-specific median (MOM) based on a total of 34582 women. Ovulation induction appeared to have no material effect on the median AFP level but this masked a significant increase when treatment was with Clomiphene (1.05 MOM) and a significant decrease when Pergonal was used (0.93 MOM). There was a highly statistically significant reduction in uE3 among women having in vitro fertilization with a median level of 0.92 MOM. Those fertilized with a donor egg (21) had significantly higher AFP and uE3 levels than when their own egg was used. Our results were confounded by differences in gravidity, but formally allowing for this factor did not materially change the findings. None of the observed effects is great enough to warrant routine adjustment of marker levels to allow for them. Moreover, women with positive Down's syndrome screening results can be reassured that this is unlikely to be due to them having had assisted reproduction.

Biomarkers↗

Antenatal screening for cystic fibrosis.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the practicality of implementing antenatal screening for cystic fibrosis in Yorkshire. DESIGN: Prospective study in which all pregnant women were offered testing for the delta F508 mutation which accounts for about 85% of carriers in Yorkshire. The reproductive partners of those found to be cystic fibrosis carriers were then tested and any carrier referred for genetic counselling. SETTING: Antenatal clinics in two hospitals and eight general practices. POPULATION: Six thousand and seventy-one pregnant women. RESULTS: A total of 3773 women (62%) accepted the screening offer. This was a lower uptake rate than in other published UK studies: Aberdeen (85-91%), Manchester (85%), Edinburgh (76-84%) and Oxford (67%). Nonetheless there were large and statistically significant differences in the uptake rate between centres within the study: 78% and 60% for the two hospitals and 67% for the general practices. One hundred and thirty women (3.4%) were found to be carriers and three carrier couples were identified. The median time interval for the laboratory to produce a result was five days and the cost was pounds 16 on average. CONCLUSIONS: Antenatal screening for cystic fibrosis does not pose any special practical difficulties. It would be feasible to introduce it into routine practice in Yorkshire.

Attitude to Health↗

Improved parameters for risk estimation in Down's syndrome screening.

A new method is described for calculating maternal serum marker distribution parameters which will improve risk estimation when screening for Down's syndrome. The approach is to calculate parameters using data from the local screened population and data obtained by meta-analysis from all published studies. The local data are used to derive the variance and covariance in unaffected pregnancies. The meta-analysis is used for the mean level in Down's syndrome pregnancies together with the differences in variance and covariance between affected and unaffected pregnancies. Forty-four published studies were analysed. The mean level for Down's syndrome in multiples of the normal median was 0.73 for alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) in total of 1140 pregnancies, 0.73 for unconjugated oestriol (uE3) in 613, 2.02 for human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) in 850, and 2.30 for free beta-hCG in 477. For all four markers, the variance in Down's syndrome was higher than in unaffected pregnancies; for AFP and uE3, the covariances were also higher in Down's syndrome, but for the other markers they were lower. The method was illustrated using data from 6387 pregnancies screened in Leeds.

Chorionic Gonadotropin↗

Maternal age-specific risks for trisomies at 9-14 weeks' gestation.

This study provides data on the incidence of fetal trisomies 21, 18, and 13 at 9-14 weeks' gestation in women aged 35-45 years and estimates of maternal age-specific risks in women aged 20-45 years. Our data from 5814 singleton pregnancies undergoing first-trimester karyotyping for the sole indication of maternal age > or = 35 years were combined with those from two previous reports and the incidence of the trisomies was calculated from a total of 15,793 pregnancies. Comparison of incidences at 9-14 weeks' gestation with published data at 15-20 weeks' gestation and in livebirths demonstrated that at birth the maternal age-specific incidence of trisomy 21 is 33 per cent lower than at 15-20 weeks' gestation and 54 per cent lower than at 9-14 weeks' gestation. Furthermore, the relative frequency of trisomies 18 and 13 decreases from 30 per cent at 9-14 weeks to 22 per cent at 15-20 weeks and 14 per cent at birth.

Adult↗

Repeat maternal serum testing in multiple marker Down's syndrome screening programmes.

The effect of repeat testing in maternal serum multiple marker screening for Down's syndrome was estimated using samples stored in an antenatal serum bank. Human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) and unconjugated oestriol (uE3) levels were determined in 142 pairs of routinely collected samples which had already been tested for alpha-fetoprotein (AFP). For each marker, about two-thirds of the pairs of values were within 20 per cent of each other and most were within 40 per cent. A multivariate Gaussian model was used to estimate the detection and false-positive rates for different repeat testing policies. A policy of repeat testing those with a high risk of a Down's syndrome term pregnancy given age and marker levels would reduce the false-positive rate but there would also be a reduction in the detection rate. For example, using all three markers and a 1 in 250 cut-off risk, the estimated false-positive rate would fall from 5.3 to 3.8 per cent but the detection rate would decrease from 58 to 55 per cent. A policy of repeating those with either high or borderline risks would produce a modest improvement in screening efficiency. Repeating the 11 per cent with a risk exceeding 1 in 500 yields an estimated false-positive rate of 5.0 per cent and a detection rate of 60 per cent. A policy of selective repeat testing is not recommended as it would not substantially improve screening efficiency. Nonetheless, if a repeat test has been performed, the parameters given in this paper will enable an unbiased estimate of the Down's syndrome risk to be calculated for individual women.

Chorionic Gonadotropin↗

Taking account of vaginal bleeding in screening for Down's syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: To derive a method for revising the risk of Down's syndrome in maternal serum marker screening when there is vaginal bleeding. The effect on screening performance of routinely allowing for the presence or absence of bleeding in all women is also assessed. DESIGN: Overview of published studies on the rate of reported vaginal bleeding in pregnancies with Down's syndrome, on the rate according to maternal age and on the association of bleeding with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level. The publications are supplemented with data on unconjugated oestriol (uE3), human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG) and AFP levels in a consecutive series of screened women. SETTING: Routine Down's syndrome screening tests carried out on women having antenatal care at the St James's University Hospital, Leeds. SUBJECTS: Eight hundred and nine screened women. RESULTS: In five studies the rate of vaginal bleeding in Down's syndrome pregnancies was 1.7 times that in unaffected pregnancies on average. In three studies, the vaginal bleeding rate increased proportionally by 2.2% on average for each year of maternal age. Three studies and our own data were consistent with a 10% increase in the mean AFP level associated with vaginal bleeding, but it did not appear to materially alter uE3 and hCG levels or the standard deviations and correlation coefficients for any of the three analytes. An individual woman's risk was calculated by multiplying her age-specific odds of Down's syndrome by two likelihood ratios, one relating to the vaginal bleeding itself and one from the marker levels. Routine allowance for the presence or absence of vaginal bleeding was estimated to increase the detection rate by less than 1%. CONCLUSION: Our method is of clinical value in revising the risk when there is concern that vaginal bleeding might be responsible for a negative maternal serum Down's syndrome screening result. A policy of routinely incorporating information on vaginal bleeding in risk estimation for all women would have too small an effect on overall screening performance to recommend it.

Adult↗

Serum PAPP-A levels are depressed in women with fetal Down syndrome in early pregnancy.

The value of maternal serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein (PAPP)-A in screening for Down syndrome in early pregnancy was assessed using stored samples. Seventeen cases of Down syndrome and 66 unaffected control pregnancies were studied. The median PAPP-A level in the cases was 0.42 multiples of the expected value in controls (p < 0.0001). Eleven cases (65 per cent) had levels less than half the expected value compared with only six controls (9 per cent). A commercial assay kit is now needed so that prospective screening with this marker can begin.

Biomarkers↗

Expanding multiple marker screening for Down's syndrome to include Edward's syndrome.

Information on maternal age and maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein, unconjugated oestriol (uE3), and human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG) levels was used to investigate retrospectively the effect of estimating Edward's syndrome risk in women having multi-marker screening for Down's syndrome. The screened population comprised 15 pregnancies affected by Edward's syndrome, 15 with Down's syndrome and 5472 unaffected pregnancies. The use of all three markers to estimate Edward's syndrome risk would have led to the detection of 10-12 (67-80 per cent) cases with a false-positive rate of 0.3-0.6 per cent depending on the risk cut-off. A further case would have been detected as a result of screening for Down's syndrome alone. Similar results were obtained when the Edward's syndrome risk was based on uE3 and hCG only. These data suggest that extending Down's syndrome screening to include Edward's syndrome risk will yield a high detection rate with only a small increase in the false-positive rate.

Adult↗