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George Davey Smith

Publications and source records attributed to George Davey Smith.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2026

Robust inference and correlates from genetic associations with personality.

Personality traits describe stable differences in how people think, feel and behave, and how they interact with and experience their social and physical environments1,2. Many questions remain unanswered about associations between DNA and personality traits, such as their robustness, their generalizability and the biological and social pathways through which they act. Here we meta-analyse data across 46 cohorts comprising 611,037 to 1.14 million participants with European-like and African-like genomes for genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of the Big Five personality traits (extraversion, agreeableness, conscientiousness, neuroticism and openness to experience), and data from up to 50,725 participants for within-family GWAS. We identify 1,260 lead genetic variants associated with personality, including 824 novel variants3. Common genetic variants explain a moderate 4.8-9.3% of the variance in measures of each trait, and 9.3-13.3% among instruments with typical measurement reliability. Genetic associations with personality are highly consistent but not identical across geography, reporter (self versus close other), age group and measurement instrument, and we find minimal spousal assortment for personality in recent history. In contrast to many other social and behavioural traits4,5, within-family GWAS and polygenic index analyses indicate that genetic associations with personality are minimally confounded by the shared family environment. Polygenic prediction, genetic correlation and Mendelian randomization analyses indicate that personality traits have widespread, potentially causal associations with consequential behaviours and life outcomes. Overall, we find that the genetic architecture of personality is robustly generalizable, minimally confounded and widely relevant to human experience.

Journal Article↗
PubMed2026

Can we identify people with Alzheimer's disease from examination of the eye? A bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) study.

BACKGROUND: Neurodegeneration in Alzheimer's disease (AD) is thought to be driven by amyloid-beta and tau deposition in the cerebral vasculature and brain. As the eye is an extension of the central nervous system, this study aimed to determine which neurovascular and neuroretinal changes in the eye are caused by AD rather than associations of the disease. METHODS: Bidirectional two-sample univariable and multivariable Mendelian randomization (MR) methods were applied. Instrumental variables were derived from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of AD and the following ocular features: thickness measurements of central macula (MT), retinal nerve fibre layer (mRNFL), ganglion cell-inner plexiform layer (mGCIPL), outer nuclear layer (ONL), inner segment layer (IS), and outer segment (OS) from macular region OCT scans; arteriolar tortuosity (AT), venular tortuosity (VT), venular width (VW), fractal dimension (FD), vertical cup-to-disc ratio (VCDR), optic cup area (OCA), and optic disc area (ODA) derived from other imaging methods. RESULTS: There was strong evidence that genetic liability to AD affected the retinal vasculature by specifically increasing AT (β = 0.007;95%CI=0.002,0.011;p-value=0.005) in UK Biobank participants (n=52,798). AD may influence the mRNFL (β=-0.047,95%CI=-0.119,0.023,p-value=0.18) and mGCIPL (β=-0.061;95%CI=-0.14,0.025,p-value=0.16) of the inner retina and OS layer (β = 0.044;95%CI=-0.0001,0.08;p-value=0.05) but the evidence was weak. Multivariable MR analysis showed that a causal relationship between optic disc area and AD (OR=0.76;95%CI=0.62,0.93,p-value=0.009) was probably mediated by refractive error. CONCLUSION: Early cerebrovascular signs of AD may be detected by examination of the eye. Further investigation is required to determine the clinical utility of eye screening for dementia.

Humans↗
PubMed2025

No More Free Lunch: Challenges to Mendelian Randomization Due to Sample Selection and Complex Methods.

Mendelian randomization (MR) is increasingly used in epidemiological studies to investigate causal relationships. MR depends on 3 fundamental instrumental variable assumptions: relevance, independence, and exclusion restriction. Studies often assume that MR mitigates bias from confounding due to the random allocation of genetic variants at conception. In this perspective, using causal directed acyclic graphs, we discuss several scenarios where biases in MR analyses may arise due to the nature of the data or methods being used. These include (1) collider bias due to the nonrandom selection of participants into study populations used for conducting genome-wide association studies (GWAS), (2) indirect genetic effects arising from population-based GWAS rather than within-family studies, and (3) collider bias due to gene-environment interaction effects on the exposure in nonlinear MR analyses. We provide practical considerations for examining and reducing these biases in MR analyses.

Humans↗
PubMed2025

Genome-wide association study of long COVID.

Infections can lead to persistent symptoms and diseases such as shingles after varicella zoster or rheumatic fever after streptococcal infections. Similarly, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS‑CoV‑2) infection can result in long coronavirus disease (COVID), typically manifesting as fatigue, pulmonary symptoms and cognitive dysfunction. The biological mechanisms behind long COVID remain unclear. We performed a genome-wide association study for long COVID including up to 6,450 long COVID cases and 1,093,995 population controls from 24 studies across 16 countries. We discovered an association of FOXP4 with long COVID, independent of its previously identified association with severe COVID-19. The signal was replicated in 9,500 long COVID cases and 798,835 population controls. Given the transcription factor FOXP4's role in lung physiology and pathology, our findings highlight the importance of lung function in the pathophysiology of long COVID.

Humans↗
PubMed2016

Gene co-expression analysis identifies brain regions and cell types involved in migraine pathophysiology: a GWAS-based study using the Allen Human Brain Atlas.

Migraine is a common disabling neurovascular brain disorder typically characterised by attacks of severe headache and associated with autonomic and neurological symptoms. Migraine is caused by an interplay of genetic and environmental factors. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified over a dozen genetic loci associated with migraine. Here, we integrated migraine GWAS data with high-resolution spatial gene expression data of normal adult brains from the Allen Human Brain Atlas to identify specific brain regions and molecular pathways that are possibly involved in migraine pathophysiology. To this end, we used two complementary methods. In GWAS data from 23,285 migraine cases and 95,425 controls, we first studied modules of co-expressed genes that were calculated based on human brain expression data for enrichment of genes that showed association with migraine. Enrichment of a migraine GWAS signal was found for five modules that suggest involvement in migraine pathophysiology of: (i) neurotransmission, protein catabolism and mitochondria in the cortex; (ii) transcription regulation in the cortex and cerebellum; and (iii) oligodendrocytes and mitochondria in subcortical areas. Second, we used the high-confidence genes from the migraine GWAS as a basis to construct local migraine-related co-expression gene networks. Signatures of all brain regions and pathways that were prominent in the first method also surfaced in the second method, thus providing support that these brain regions and pathways are indeed involved in migraine pathophysiology.

Atlases as Topic↗
PubMed2006

ZIP-code-based versus tract-based income measures as long-term risk-adjusted mortality predictors.

There is a well-established, strong association between socioeconomic position and mortality. Public health mortality analyses thus routinely consider the confounding effect of socioeconomic position when possible. Particularly in the absence of personally reported data, researchers often use area-based measures to estimate the effects of socioeconomic position. Data are limited regarding the relative merits of measures based on US Census tract versus ZIP code (postal code). ZIP-code measures have more within-unit variation but are also more easily obtained. The current study reports on 293,138 middle-aged men screened in 14 states in 1973-1975 for the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial and having 25-year mortality follow-up. In risk-adjusted proportional hazards models containing either ZIP-code-based or tract-based median household income, all-cause mortality hazard ratios were 1.16 (95% confidence interval: 1.14, 1.17) per Dollars 10,000 less ZIP-code-based income and 1.15 (95% confidence interval: 1.13, 1.16) per Dollars 10,000 less tract-based income; adding either income variable to a risk-adjusted model improved model fit substantially. Both were significant independent predictors in a combined model; tract-based income was a slightly stronger mortality predictor (hazard ratios = 1.05 and 1.11 for ZIP-code-based and tract-based income, respectively). These patterns held across various causes of death, for both Blacks and non-Blacks, and with or without adjustment for ZIP-code-based income diversity or tract-based proportion below poverty.

Analysis of Variance↗
PubMed2006

Association between birth weight and blood pressure is robust, amplifies with age, and may be underestimated.

Data on the early life origins of adult hypertension have been widely reported: however, recent research shows that the strength of association between small size at birth and higher blood pressure weakens as study size increases. In this article, we retest the association between birth weight and systolic blood pressure in a large cohort, examine whether age interacts with birth weight to predict blood pressure, and explore reasons why birth weight-blood pressure associations tend to weaken with increasing study size. Measurements from 25874 employees of a large United Kingdom company (mean [SD] age: 38.0 [7.9] years), undertaking voluntary occupational health screening, were available. Using linear regression analysis, we observed that systolic blood pressure changed -0.8 (95% CI: -1.1 to -0.5) mmHg per 1-kg increase in birth weight (P<0.001) adjusted for age and sex and -1.1 (95% CI: -1.3 to -0.8) mmHg/kg (P<0.001) after further adjustment for body size. This inverse association amplified with age (age/birth weight interaction term P<0.001). In participants reporting birth weight from hospital records (n=744), systolic blood pressure changed -1.4 (95% CI: -3.1 to 0.2) mmHg/kg compared with -0.8 (95% CI: -1.0 to -0.5) mmHg/kg in all of the other participants. Finally, the data show evidence of "fixed-category blood pressure allocation," where participants are allocated certain blood pressure values, such as 120/80 mmHg, independent of actual blood pressure. Although the association between birth weight and systolic blood pressure was weaker than observed in smaller studies, recalled birth weight and fixed blood pressure measurement error may generate a trend toward weaker associations in larger studies.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Nutritional interventions and outcome in patients with cancer or preinvasive lesions: systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Dietary modifications and supplements are used widely by patients with cancer and preinvasive lesions as an adjunct to standard treatment. Given the widespread use of nutritional modifications and supplements by such patients and concerns about the lack of benefit and possible harm, we conducted a systematic review of randomized controlled trials to examine the effect of nutritional interventions on patients with cancer or preinvasive lesions. METHODS: We searched electronic databases and reference lists to locate all eligible trials and analyzed trial quality. Outcome measures were all-cause and cancer mortality, disease-free survival, cancer recurrence, second primary cancer, recurrence of a preinvasive lesion, or progression to cancer. Results of individual trials were combined by use of random-effects meta-analyses. RESULTS: We identified 59 eligible trials, 25 in patients with cancer and 34 in patients with preinvasive lesions, respectively. Trial quality was generally low; only three trials (two of cancer and one of preinvasive lesions) had adequate methods for generating the allocation sequence, allocation concealment, and masking both outcome assessors and participants. The combined odds ratio (OR) for the effect of a healthy diet-given alone or with dietary supplements, weight loss, or exercise-on all-cause mortality was 0.90 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.46 to 1.77). There was no evidence of an association between the use of antioxidant (OR = 1.01, 95% CI = 0.88 to 1.15) or retinol (OR = 0.97, 95% CI = 0.83 to 1.13) supplements and all-cause mortality. Meta-analyses of all other outcomes did not show clear evidence of benefit or harm. CONCLUSIONS: The impact of most nutritional interventions cannot be reliably estimated because of the limited number of trials, many of which were of low quality. There is no evidence that dietary modification by cancer patients improves survival and benefits disease prognosis.

Antioxidants↗
PubMed2006

Socioeconomic circumstances in childhood and blood pressure in adulthood: the cardiovascular risk in young Finns study.

PURPOSE: Prospective evidence suggests an inverse association between socioeconomic circumstances in childhood and adolescence and blood pressure (BP) in adulthood, but uncertainty remains about whether this association is confounded by risk factors acting in utero, early infancy, and adulthood. The authors investigated this question in a population-based cohort of 2270 Finnish children and adolescents aged 3 to 18 years at study entry. METHODS: Information about early socioeconomic circumstances, birth weight, and breast-feeding were requested from participants or their mothers in 1980 and 1983. Adulthood socioeconomic position, lifestyle factors, and systolic BP were measured at ages 24 to 39 years in 2001. RESULTS: There was a graded association between lower parental socioeconomic position in childhood and adolescence and higher systolic BP in adulthood for men and women in different birth cohorts and across different socioeconomic indicators. This association was independent of adulthood socioeconomic position. Adjustment for risk factors, including birth weight, breast-feeding, adult body mass index, smoking, and alcohol consumption, had little effect on the association between parental socioeconomic position and systolic BP. CONCLUSION: Early socioeconomic disadvantage seems to carry a long-lasting harmful effect on BP that is not counteracted by risk profiles in later life.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2006

Associations of adiposity from childhood into adulthood with insulin resistance and the insulin-like growth factor system: 65-year follow-up of the Boyd Orr Cohort.

CONTEXT: One metabolic pathway through which adiposity influences disease risk may be via alterations in insulin and IGF metabolism. OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to investigate associations of adiposity at different stages of life with insulin and the IGF system. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: The study was a 65-yr follow-up of 728 Boyd Orr cohort participants (mean age, 71 yr) originally surveyed between 1937 and 1939. MAIN OUTCOMES: Outcomes included homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance, total IGF-I and IGF-II, IGF binding protein (IGFBP)-2, and IGFBP-3 in adulthood. RESULTS: Childhood body mass index (BMI) was weakly inversely related to adult IGF-I (coefficient per BMI sd, -3.4 ng/ml; 95% confidence interval, -7.3 to 0.5; P = 0.09). IGF-II (but not IGF-I) increased with higher current fat mass index (coefficient, 26.1 ng/ml; 95% confidence interval, 4.6 to 47.6; P = 0.02) and waist-hip ratio (30.0 ng/ml; 9.4 to 50.5; P = 0.004). IGFBP-2 decreased by 21.2% (17.2 to 24.9; P < 0.001), and homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance increased by 38.8% (28.9 to 49.6; P < 0.001) per sd higher adult BMI. Among thin adults (BMI tertiles 1 and 2), IGFBP-2 was positively, and insulin resistance was inversely, associated with childhood BMI. CONCLUSION: There was only weak evidence that associations of childhood BMI with chronic disease risk may be mediated by adult IGF-I levels. Circulating IGFBP-2 in adulthood, a marker for insulin sensitivity, was inversely associated with current adiposity, but overweight children who became relatively lean adults were more insulin sensitive than thinner children. The findings may indicate programming of later insulin sensitivity and consequently IGFBP-2 levels in response to childhood adiposity. The role of IGF-II in obesity-related chronic diseases warrants additional investigation.

Adiposity↗
PubMed2006

Serum cholesterol, haemorrhagic stroke, ischaemic stroke, and myocardial infarction: Korean national health system prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate risk factors, such as heavy alcohol consumption, that might explain any increased risk of haemorrhagic stroke associated with low blood cholesterol. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Korea. PARTICIPANTS: 787,442 civil servants (661,700 men, 125,742 women) aged 30-64. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Cardiovascular risk factors were assessed at biennial health check. Data on morbidity and mortality were ascertained from 1990 to 2001 using hospital admissions and mortality surveillance systems. RESULTS: 6328 cases of ischaemic stroke (6021 men, 307 women), 3947 cases of haemorrhagic stroke (3748 men, 199 women), 3170 cases of undefined stroke (2902 men, 268 women), and 4417 cases of myocardial infarction (4305 men, 112 women) occurred. Ischaemic stroke and myocardial infarction were strongly and positively associated with blood cholesterol (hazard ratio per 1 mmol/l cholesterol 1.20 (95% confidence 1.16 to 1.24) and 1.48 (1.43 to 1.53), respectively). Haemorrhagic stroke showed an inverse association in fully adjusted models (0.91, 0.87 to 0.95). This inverse association was confined to participants with hypertension. When stratified by concentration of gamma glutamyl transferase (GGT), an indicator of alcohol consumption, the association was not seen in participants with low concentrations of GGT, and it was independent of hypertension in those with high concentrations of GGT (> 80 U/l).

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Timing of puberty determines serum insulin-like growth factor-I in late adulthood.

CONTEXT: IGFs may play an important role in disease etiology, especially cancer. Changes in diet can alter acute levels, but little is known about life course influences on IGF levels. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to examine the association between timing of puberty and adulthood serum IGFs (IGF-I and IGF binding protein-3). DESIGN: This was a retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Male pupils who attended a single school in Southern England were part of the study. PARTICIPANTS: Participants in the study were a cohort of 1028 men born between 1927 and 1956 with anthropometric measures between 9 and 18 yr and adulthood serum IGF levels. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: The study measured serum IGF-I and IGF binding protein-3 at mean age 63 yr. RESULTS: Age at peak height velocity (APHV) was inversely associated with adult IGF-I levels. IGF-I decreased by 3.7 ng/ml (95% confidence interval 1.0-6.4, P = 0.007) for each sd increase in APHV. Prepubertal childhood height and body mass index were both inversely associated with APHV (P trend < 0.001). APHV was positively associated with adult height and inversely associated with adult body mass index. Adjustment for childhood, adult anthropometry, and other lifestyle factors did not substantially alter the association between APHV and adult IGF-I. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study to document an association between timing of puberty and adult IGF-I levels. A better understanding of life course determinants of the IGF system may provide new insights into disease etiology and primary prevention.

Age Factors↗
PubMed2006

The relation between components of adult height and intimal-medial thickness in middle age: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.

The authors aimed to investigate the relation between components of adult height (leg and trunk length) and atherosclerosis in middle age, using data from 12,254 participants (aged 44-65 years) in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study. Intimal-medial thickness (IMT) as measured by B-mode ultrasound was the outcome, and exposures were trunk and leg lengths as estimated (using sitting height and the difference between sitting and standing height) at the first study examination in 1987-1989. The mean IMT was 0.73 (standard deviation, 0.17) mm. Greater leg length was associated with lower IMT, with the largest difference being for Black men (a 0.045 (95% confidence interval: 0.023, 0.068)-mm lower IMT per 10-cm higher leg length). Greater trunk length was associated with higher IMT, with the largest difference being for White men (a 0.024 (95% confidence interval: 0.005, 0.044)-mm higher IMT per 10-cm higher trunk length). Although the effect sizes were small, leg length was inversely associated with atherosclerosis, consistent with the results of other studies with cardiovascular disease outcomes.

Atherosclerosis↗
PubMed2006

Integrated single-label liquid-phase assay of APOE codons 112 and 158 and a lipoprotein study in British women.

BACKGROUND: Apolipoprotein E (APOE) is an important element of lipid metabolism and, hence, cardiovascular disorders. APOE has 3 main allelic variants: epsilon3, epsilon4, and epsilon2. Of these, epsilon3 is the most common, followed by epsilon4 and epsilon2. The associations of these isoforms with cardiovascular disorders and Alzheimer disease have been widely studied in different populations. Most of the genotyping in these studies has been performed with gel-based methods, which have important limitations, particularly for large epidemiologic studies. We therefore developed an integrated "one-tube" liquid-phase assay. METHODS: To measure APOE isoforms, we developed an integrated single-label liquid-phase fluorescence assay containing 2 PCR primers, 2 probes, and 2 quencher oligonucleotides. We used a 384-well LightTyper, but the assay would be generically applicable for use with any fluorescence detector with thermal ramp control. We validated this method and applied it in the British Women's Heart and Health Study. RESULTS: There were 4 melting peaks, at 41, 56, 61, and 69 degrees C, which generated 6 distinctive patterns representing genotypic combinations of epsilon3, epsilon4, and epsilon2. The magnitude and direction of the associations found with total cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol, triglycerides, and estimated LDL-cholesterol were consistent with previous reports. CONCLUSION: The one-tube LightTyper assay presented here enables accurate, convenient, and economical genotyping of APOE and can be used for large epidemiologic studies.

Aged↗