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Biomedical subjects

G van Melle

Publications and source records attributed to G van Melle.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Different predictors of neurological worsening in different causes of stroke.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate clinical determinants of neurological worsening and to delineate its predictors. DESIGN: Restrospective analysis of the data from the Lausanne Stroke Registry. PATIENTS: A total of 3038 patients with first-ever stroke consecutively admitted to a primary-care stroke center. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Neurological worsening in the acute phase of stroke. RESULTS: Neurological worsening was observed in 38% of 300 patients with brain hemorrhage, 34% of 1968 patients with noncardioembolic infarction, and 15% of 770 patients with cardioembolic infarction (P<.001). Neurological worsening was significantly less frequent in patients with small-artery disease than in those with large-artery atherosclerosis or other causes. A logistic multiple regression model in patients with noncardioembolic infarction showed age less than 65 years, hypertension, lesion outside the superficial anterior circulation, absence of transient ischemic attack, and reduced level of consciousness as the independent factors in the patients with small-artery disease, while it showed involvement of the posterior circulation and reduced level of consciousness in the patients with large-artery atherosclerosis. Severe functional disability or death was more common in patients with neurological worsening, both in patients with large-artery atherosclerosis and in those with small-artery disease (18% vs 9%; P<.001). CONCLUSIONS: Determinants of neurological worsening may include causative aspects rather than just the evolution of the ischemic or hemorrhagic process itself. For a better comprehension and treatment of neurological worsening, the causative and pathophysiological conditions underlying stroke should be differentiated as early as possible.

Adolescent

Change in capsulorhexis size with four foldable loop-haptic lenses over 6 months.

PURPOSE: To compare the change in continuous curvilinear capsulorhexis (CCC) size after implantation of four types of three-piece foldable intraocular lenses (IOLs) and determine whether initial CCC size and IOL characteristics play a role in the change. METHODS: This study comprised 133 eyes that had phacoemulsification and in-the-bag implantation of one of four types of foldable IOLs: Alcon AcrySof MA30BA (n = 36); lovision 127 (n = 29); Mentor ORC MemoryLens (n = 39); Allergan PhacoFlex II (n = 29). Photographs of the CCCs were taken with a digital retinograph 1 day and 6 months after surgery. Using image-analysis software, the CCC surface was measured and changes between 1 week and 6 months were evaluated. Characteristics of the IOLs including overall diameter, optic thickness, and haptic centrifugal force were measured with micrometric tools. RESULTS: The median change in CCC surface size at 6 months was +5.5% in the lovision group, indicating a slight enlargement. This finding was significantly different from that in the other three IOL groups (P < .0001), which had a tendency toward CCC contraction. Median change in CCC size was -2.3% in the MemoryLens group, -2.8% in the AcrySof group, and -6% in the PhacoFlex group. The MemoryLens was the most predictive IOL, with the smallest standard deviation; it was the only group in which no patient developed CCC contraction of more than 10%. Although the lovision and PhacoFlex IOLs have common physical characteristics except for optic thickness (lovision 30% thicker), the CCCs in the lovision group were significantly more stable (P < .0001). Results indicate that the high centrifugal haptic force associated with acrylate/methacrylate polymer optics of the AcrySof and MemoryLens IOLs may prevent CCC contraction of greater than 10% in 97.4% of cases. CONCLUSION: Although there were statistically significant differences, patients in all four three-piece foldable IOL groups had good CCC stability. However, the more stable and predictable CCCs were in the IOL groups that had the strongest centrifugal haptic force and an acrylate/methacrylate polymer optic (AcrySof and MemoryLens).

Acrylic Resins

In vitro cytokine profiles as indicators of relapse activity and clinical course in multiple sclerosis.

In vitro production of tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha), interleukin-2 (IL-2), IL-4, IL-6, IL-10 and oligoclonal IgG (IgG OB) was evaluated in the aim to investigate their profile in correlation with multiple sclerosis (MS) clinical activity and clinical course. Whole blood stimulation with lipopolysaccharide or concanavalin A was performed in 61 patients presenting with relapsing-remitting, relapsing-progressive or chronic progressive MS; treatments received were: none, azathioprine (AZA), cyclosporin, cyclophosphamide, subcutaneous interferon-beta 1a (IFN-beta 1a) and corticosteroids (CST). The cinetics of cytokine production showed that (i) in the absence of treatment, TNF-alpha and IL-6 dropped respectively after and during the periods surrounding relapse, while IL-4 was increasing before and IL-10 after relapse; (ii) with AZA, TNF-alpha and IL-6 lowered before exacerbation, IL-4 prolonged high levels after and IL-10 before relapse; (iii) with IFN-beta 1a, IL-10 was already increasing before relapse, and TNF-alpha was higher after relapse. When cytokine levels were analysed independently from MS clinical activity, the use of AZA inhibited IgG OB and TNF-alpha synthesis (P = 0.002) but increased IL-4 (P = 0.0024), whereas IFN-beta 1a stimulated TNF-alpha and inhibited IgG OB and IL-4 production. CST inhibited TNF-alpha, IL-6, IL-4 and IgG OB synthesis. This study stresses both the weight of clinical parameters and of methodology used in results obtained in cytokine analysis in MS.

Biomarkers

Reproducibility of twitch mouth pressure, sniff nasal inspiratory pressure, and maximal inspiratory pressure.

Twitch mouth pressure (Pmo,tw) during magnetic phrenic nerve stimulation and sniff nasal inspiratory pressure (SNIP) were recently proposed as alternative noninvasive methods for assessing inspiratory muscle strength. This study aimed to compare their reproducibility with maximal inspiratory pressure (MIP) in normal subjects. Ten healthy subjects were studied at functional residual capacity in semirecumbent position. Cervical magnetic phrenic nerve stimulation was performed during gentle expiration against an occlusion incorporating a small leak. Constancy of stimulation was controlled by recording diaphragmatic electromyogram. Within and between-session reproducibility of pressure were studied for Pmo,tw, SNIP, and MIP. The subjects were studied during a session of 10 manoeuvres repeated after 1 day and 1 month. The mean values were 16 cmH2O for Pmo,tw, 118 cmH2O for SNIP, and 115 cmH2O for MIP. For the three tests, the within subject variation was small in relation to between-subject variation, with the intraclass correlation coefficient ranging 0.79-0.90 for Pmo,tw, 0.85-0.92 for SNIP, and 0.88-0.92 for MIP. At 1 day interval, the coefficient of repeatability (2 SD of differences) was 3.6 cmH2O for Pmo,tw, 32 cmH2O for SNIP and 28 cmH2O for MIP. At 1 month interval, the coefficient of repeatability was 5.8 cmH2O for Pmo,tw, 23 cmH2O for SNIP and 21 cmH2O for MIP. We conclude that the within session reproducibility of the new tests twitch mouth pressure and sniff nasal inspiratory pressure is sufficient to be clinically useful. For sniff nasal inspiratory pressure, the between session reproducibility established after 1 day was maintained after 1 month. For twitch mouth pressure, the between session reproducibility declined slightly after 1 month. These characteristics should be considered when using these methods to follow an individual patient over time.

Adult

Clinical and prognostic features in unilateral femoral neuropathies.

We have examined the clinical features of patients with femoral neuropathy and the factors that influence the prognosis. Of 80 consecutive patients referred for neurophysiological evaluations of proximal lower limb weakness, 32 fulfilled strict inclusion criteria and had adequate information, including estimates of axon loss (AxL) by stimulation of the bilateral femoral nerve. In 31, the Kaplan-Meier method was used to describe the time course of the outcome, while logistic regression was employed to determine the contributing factors. Excellent, satisfactory, and poor outcomes were seen in 10 (31%), 11 (34%), and 10 (31%) patients, respectively. Logistic regression analysis of seven factors demonstrated that the estimate of AxL was the only significant variable. The best prognostic factor was an estimate of AxL < or = 50%, with all patients fulfilling this criterion showing improvement with 1 year; fewer than half the patients with AxL > 50% should be expected to improve. This study clearly shows that, irrespective of the cause of femoral neuropathy, functional improvement is seen in 2 out of 3 patients within 2 years and that the estimate of AxL is the only factor influencing prognosis.

Adult

Urinary phosphate/creatinine, calcium/creatinine, and magnesium/creatinine ratios in a healthy pediatric population.

OBJECTIVE: To determine reference values for urinary phosphate/creatinine (Cr) concentration ratios and to complete reference values for urinary calcium/creatinine and magnesium/creatinine ratios in the second morning urine sample of healthy infants, children, and adolescents. DESIGN: Urinary P/Cr, Ca/Cr, and Mg/Cr ratios were determined from the second morning urine sample. Two urine samples were obtained 1 week apart from most subjects to assess reproducibility. SETTING: Kindergartens and schools of Lausanne, Switzerland. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 410 healthy children aged 1 month to 17 years (197 girls and 213 boys) participated in the study. RESULTS: The 5th and 95th percentiles were estimated from 664 urine samples. There were no differences related to sex. A nonlinear regression in terms of age was used to smooth the estimated percentiles yielding reference curves from which critical values may be obtained for any given age. The 95th percentile for urinary Ca/Cr and Mg/Cr agreed with previously reported values in children older than 7 years. The upper limit of the three solute/creatinine ratios decreased significantly with age: for urinary P/Cr from 19.0 mol/mol at 1 month to 2.7 at 14 years; for urinary Ca/Cr from 2.2 to 0.7 mol/mol, and for urinary Mg/Cr from 2.2 to 0.6 mol/mol. Lower limits varied little. Interindividual and intraindividual variations decreased with age. CONCLUSIONS: Urinary P/Cr, Ca/Cr, and Mg/Cr ratios vary strongly with age. We provide reference values, expressed both in SI and in mass units, for urinary P/Cr, Ca/Cr, and Mg/Cr in children aged one month to 17 years.

Adolescent

St. Jude Medical valve prosthesis: an analysis of long-term outcome and prognostic factors.

Between 1979 and 1984, 321 patients received 354 St. Jude Medical prostheses (194 aortic, 94 mitral, 1 tricuspid, and 32 multiple valve replacements). Follow-up was 96% complete (2967 patient-years; mean 9.5 years per patient). Actuarial event-free rates at 10 years and linearized rates (in parentheses) of late complications were as follows: embolism, 85.0% +/- 2.3% (2.3% per patient-year); anticoagulant-related hemorrhage, 74.8% +/- 2.7% (3.3% per patient-year); cerebrovascular accident, 81.8% +/- 2.5% (2.6% per patient-year); prosthesis thrombosis, 98.5% +/- 0.7% (0.1% per patient-year); endocarditis, 97.2% +/- 1.1% (0.4% per patient-year); prosthesis dysfunction, 97.1% +/- 1.0% (0.4% per patient-year); hemolytic anemia, 98.5% +/- 0.7% (0.1% per patient-year); reoperation, 97.4% +/- 1.0% (0.4% per patient-year); overall mortality, 63.3% +/- 2.7% (4.2% per patient-year); and valve-related death (including sudden death), 84.7% +/- 2.2% (1.4% per patient-year). Independent preoperative risk factors were as follows: (1) for embolism, cardiac failure as indication for operation and history of prior systemic embolism; (2) for cerebrovascular accidents, the same two factors and age; (3) for endocarditis, diabetes, chronic alcoholism, and aortic valve replacement; (4) for overall mortality, age, ejection fraction (or cardiac index or cardiothoracic index), chronic alcoholism, and history of systemic embolism; and (5) for valve-related death, chronic alcoholism, degenerative cause of valve disease, and prosthetic diameter 23 mm or smaller. Ninety percent of survivors were in New York Heart Association functional class I or II at the end of follow-up. In conclusion, this study confirms the excellent durability of the St. Jude Medical valve and the remarkable functional benefit for the majority of the patients. However, prosthesis-related complications are still common, particularly for small-diameter prostheses. Outcome is strongly related to the patient's preoperative cardiac condition and to the adequacy of anticoagulation control.

Aged

Effect of conditioned media, nutritive elements, and mitotic synchronization on the accuracy of the cytogenetic analysis in acute nonlymphocytic leukemia patients presenting with inv(16)/t(16;16) or t(15;17).

To improve the yield of the cytogenetic analysis in patients with acute nonlymphocytic leukemia (ANLL), six culture conditions for bone marrow or peripheral blood cells were tested in parallel. Two conditioned media (CM), phytohemagglutinin leukocyte PHA-LCM and 5637 CM, nutritive elements (NE), and methotrexate (MTX) cell synchronization were investigated in 14 patients presenting with either inv(16)/ t(16;16) (group 1, n = 9 patients) or t(15;17) (group 2, n = 5). The criteria used to identify the most favorable culture conditions were the mitotic index (MI), the morphological index (MorI), and the percentage of abnormal metaphases. In the presence of PHA-LCM and 5637 CM, the MI were significantly increased in group 2, whereas in the MTX conditions, MI remained very low in both groups. The values of the MorI did not reveal any significant changes in chromosome resolution between the conditions in either group. The addition of NE did not have a positive effect in quantity or quality of metaphases. Because of the variability of the response of leukemic cells to different stimulations in vitro, several culture conditions in parallel are required to ensure a satisfactory yield of the chromosome analysis in ANLL.

Bone Marrow

Change in capsulorhexis size after implantation of three types of intraocular lenses.

PURPOSE: To compare the change in size of continuous curvilinear capsulorhexis (CCC) used for implantation of three types of intraocular lenses (IOLs) and to determine the role of postoperative inflammation, initial CCC dimension, haptic design, and optic material. SETTING: Hôpital Ophtalmique Universitaire Jules Gonin, Lausanne, Switzerland. METHOD: Twenty-nine three-piece, silicone/poly(methyl methacrylate) (PMMA) IOLs (lovision 127), 26 one-piece PMMA IOLs (Pharmacia 812A), and 27 plate-haptic silicone IOLs (Staar AA4203) were implanted in the capsular bag after phacoemulsification. Photographs of the CCCs taken 1 day and 6 months after surgery were scanned and digitized on a computer. Using different software, the surface of the CCC was measured and the 6 month change evaluated. Flare, measured the day before surgery and postoperatively at days 1, 7, 30, and 180, was integrated to obtain a global estimate of inflammation during the 180 day follow-up. RESULTS: The CCCs used with three-piece, silicone/PMMA IOLs showed little changes in surface, with a mean enlargement of +0.57 mm2 +/- 1.15 (SD) (+3.5%). The CCCs used with the one-piece PMMA IOLs had a slight tendency to constrict, with a mean surface decrease of -0.59 +/- 2.16 mm2 (-4.3%). The CCCs used with plate-haptic silicone IOLs showed a marked and statistically significant constriction, with a mean decrease of -2.55 +/- 3.51 mm2 (-14.4%). The change in CCC size was not associated with the integrated flare, and no correlation was found between the initial CCC size and the magnitude of change. There was no statistically significant difference in CCC change between the PMMA optic IOL (Pharmacia) and silicone optic IOL (lovision and Staar) groups. The CCC in the plate-haptic IOL (Staar) group showed a significant (P < .0002) constriction when compared with that in the loop-haptic IOL (Pharmacia and lovision) group. CONCLUSION: The IOLs' haptic design seemed to play a major role in the evolution of the CCC. The CCC constriction seen with the Staar IOLs was related to their plate haptics.

Aged

Predictors of stroke pattern in hypertensive patients.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Hypertension is a recognized risk factor for stroke. However, it is not clear why hypertensive patients may have different types and causes of stroke. METHODS: The possible role of coexisting factors was studied in 1057 patients with hypertension and first stroke admitted to a population-based stroke center. We used logistic regression analysis (multivariate and polychotomous) and the Lausanne Stroke Registry definitions of cerebral hemorrhage, cerebral infarction, lacunar infarction, cardioembolism and large artery disease. RESULTS: Cerebral hemorrhage was not more frequent in these hypertensive patients (111/1057 = 10.5%) than in the total population of the registry (213/2145 = 10%). Cerebral infarction was associated with age above the median (69 years), diabetes, smoking history, family history of cardiac or cerebrovascular disease, hypercholesterolemia and previous TIA. In the ischemic group (n = 946), patients suffered from a lacunar infarction in 36% of the cases, large artery disease was present in 21% of them and cardioembolism in 14.5%. Large artery disease correlated with smoking history (odds ratio: 2.14; 95% confidence intervals: 1.55-2.95) and previous TIA (OR:1.96; 95% CI:1.39-2.75). Cardioembolism correlated with age over 69 years (OR:2.13; 95% CI:1.47-3.09). In patients with previous TIA and smoking history, large artery disease was presumed in 45% of the cases (vs 21%). Patients aged over 69, suffered a cardioembolic stroke in 29% of the cases (vs 14.5%). Lacunar infarction occurred in 49% of patients aged less than 70 years when no history of smoking or previous TIA was present (vs 36%). CONCLUSION: The associations between hypertension, TIA, age and smoking history may partially explain why patients with hypertension are more likely to develop a cerebral hemorrhage, lacunar infarction, cardioembolic or a large artery disease stroke.

Adult

Haemodynamic changes during high frequency oscillation for respiratory distress syndrome.

In a crossover trial left ventricular output (LVO), cerebral blood flow velocity (CBFV), and resistance index (RI) of the anterior cerebral artery were compared using Doppler ultrasonography, in eight preterm infants with respiratory distress syndrome (RDS) during conventional mechanical ventilation and high frequency oscillation. LVO was 14% to 18% lower with high frequency oscillation. There were no significant changes in CBFV. On the first day of life there was a trend towards lower RI on high frequency oscillation; the fall in LVO on high frequency oscillation was not related to lung hyperinflation. Changes in ventilation type (from conventional mechanical ventilation to high frequency oscillation, or vice versa) can induce significant LVO changes in preterm infants with RDS.

Blood Flow Velocity

[Postoperative work incapacity, type of work resumed and residual pain following surgical treatment of lumbar herniated disk: prognostic factors].

The outcome in 258 patients 3 to 4 years after operation for lumbar disc herniation was studied. The median duration of postoperative work incapacity was 3.5 months; 202 (78%) patients resumed full time work in their previous job; 16 (6%) did not resume work due to lumbar pathology; 193 (75%) were free of pain. Predictive factors for a good professional outcome were a preoperative work incapacity inferior to 4 weeks and, for men only, operation at the L5-S1 level and the absence of daily lifting of heavy weights.

Adolescent

Screening for excessive alcohol drinking. Comparative value of carbohydrate-deficient transferrin, gamma-glutamyltransferase, and mean corpuscular volume.

BACKGROUND: Screening medical patients for excessive alcohol drinking is important because minimal intervention by physicians is effective in reducing excessive consumption. Screening tests, such as biologic markers of alcohol consumption, should therefore be investigated to assess their validity to detect alcohol drinking. METHOD: Levels of carbohydrate-deficient transferrin (CDT), gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT), and mean corpuscular volume (MCV) were determined in 1202 consecutive patients (20 to 75 years old) seen at the medical emergency ward (n = 552) and the primary care center (n = 650) of a city and teaching hospital. Each eligible patient was administered a CAGE questionnaire (an acronym for questions regarding cutting down on drinking, annoyance at others' concern about drinking, feeling guilty about drinking, and using alcohol as an eye-opener in the morning), and for each CAGE-positive patient (score > or = 2) as well as for a random sex-matched sample of CAGE-negative patients, standardized data about the recent level of alcohol drinking, morbidities, drug therapy, and smoking were recorded. The operating characteristics of CDT, GGT, and MCV were determined according to alcohol consumption and the CAGE test. Sensitivities, specificities, and receiver operating characteristic curves were computed to compare the tests at different cutoff values. RESULTS: Levels of CDT were elevated in 21% of men and 7% of women. According to recent alcohol consumption in men (> 60 g/d), the respective sensitivity and specificity of the tests were 0.58 and 0.82 for CDT, 0.69 and 0.65 for GGT, and 0.27 and 0.91 for MCV. Overall, receiver operating characteristic curves demonstrated similar performance of the three tests for screening of excessive alcohol drinking or alcohol abuse. However, in young men (< 40 years of age) and in smokers, CDT was superior to GGT or MCV. CONCLUSIONS: The study suggests that CDT determination may be a useful test for screening programs of excessive alcohol drinking in young male medical patients.

Adult

Microglial responsiveness as a sensitive marker for trimethyltin (TMT) neurotoxicity.

Activation of microglia is a well-documented phenomenon associated with diverse pathological conditions of the central nervous system. In order to investigate the involvement of microglial cells in the neurotoxic action of the heavy metal compound trimethyltin, three-dimensional brain cell cultures were treated during an early developmental period, using concentrations at or below the limit of cytotoxicity. Microglial cells were studied by cytochemical staining, using horseradish peroxidase-conjugated B4 isolectin (GSI-B4). In parallel, neurotoxic effects were assessed by determining the content of synaptophysin and synapsin I, both in the total homogenates and in the synaptosomal fraction of the cultures. Changes in the content of the specific growth cone protein, GAP-43, were also analyzed. It was found that low, non-cytotoxic concentrations of TMT (10(-9) to 10(-8) M) caused a significant increase in the number and/or the clustering of microglial cells. A decrease in the synaptic protein (synapsin I, synaptophysin) content was detected at 10(-8) M of TMT in synaptosomal fractions, whereas in the total homogenates, changes in synaptic proteins and GAP-43 were observed only at the cytotoxic TMT concentration (10(-6) M). Although it remains to be shown whether the microglial response is caused by direct or indirect action of TMT, the present findings show that microglial responsiveness can be detected prior to any sign of neuronal degeneration, and may serve as a sensitive indicator for heavy metal neurotoxicity in the brain.

Animals

Prediction of 18-month survival in patients with primary myelodysplastic syndrome. A regression model and scoring system based on the combination of chromosome findings and the Bournemouth score.

The predictive potential of six selected factors was assessed in 72 patients with primary myelodysplastic syndrome using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis of survival at 18 months. Factors were age (above median of 69 years), dysplastic features in the three myeloid bone marrow cell lineages, presence of chromosome defects, all metaphases abnormal, double or complex chromosome defects (C23), and a Bournemouth score of 2, 3, or 4 (B234). In the multivariate approach, B234 and C23 proved to be significantly associated with a reduction in the survival probability. The similarity of the regression coefficients associated with these two factors means that they have about the same weight. Consequently, the model was simplified by counting the number of factors (0, 1, or 2) present in each patient, thus generating a scoring system called the Lausanne-Bournemouth score (LB score). The LB score combines the well-recognized and easy-to-use Bournemouth score (B score) with the chromosome defect complexity, C23 constituting an additional indicator of patient outcome. The predicted risk of death within 18 months calculated from the model is as follows: 7.1% (confidence interval: 1.7-24.8) for patients with an LB score of 0, 60.1% (44.7-73.8) for an LB score of 1, and 96.8% (84.5-99.4) for an LB score of 2. The scoring system presented here has several interesting features. The LB score may improve the predictive value of the B score, as it is able to recognize two prognostic groups in the intermediate risk category of patients with B scores of 2 or 3. It has also the ability to identify two distinct prognostic subclasses among RAEB and possibly CMML patients. In addition to its above-described usefulness in the prognostic evaluation, the LB score may bring new insights into the understanding of evolution patterns in MDS. We used the combination of the B score and chromosome complexity to define four classes which may be considered four possible states of myelodysplasia and which describe two distinct evolutional pathways.

Chromosomes, Human

[New retinal tumors in hereditary retinoblastoma].

364 eyes from 230 patients with retinoblastoma diagnosed and treated at the Lausanne University Eye Clinic from 1964 to June 1994 were retrospectively analyzed with respect to the risk of developing new tumour foci following initial therapy. Among them, 119 eyes from 90 hereditary affected patients were included, consisting of 86 bilateral cases and 4 unilateral cases. The mean follow-up was 65.5 months (5.5 years). A total of 46 new retinal tumours were detected in 21 patients. These new tumours had a size less than 1 disc diameter in 75% and were peripherally located in 78% of the cases, with a statistically significant preference for the horizontal meridians. No new tumours developed in the macular area. 50% appeared in children younger than 1 year and 80% before 2 years of age. 50% of the eyes with recurrences developed new tumours before 7.5 months following diagnosis, and 75% before 14 months. All patients showing recurrences did so before the age of 4.5.

Adolescent

Evaluation of a new immunologic test kit for rapid detection of group A streptococci, the Abbott Testpack Strep A plus.

We compared the Testpack Strep A plus (TPSAP) enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay test for group A beta-hemolytic streptococcal (GAS) antigen rapid detection with blood agar culture in 454 pediatric patients with clinical pharyngitis. Of the 454 patients, 118 (25.9%) had positive oropharyngeal cultures for GAS. TPSAP sensitivity was 89.9% (106 of 118) and specificity was 95.8% (322 of 336). We conclude that the TPSAP is specific enough to indicate treatment for a patient with a positive test but that a negative test should be confirmed by culture.

Child

Can early closure and restenosis after endoluminal stenting be predicted from clinical, procedural, and angiographic variables at the time of intervention?

OBJECTIVES: To develop a statistical model to assess the risk of early closure and restenosis on the basis of the information available at the time of stent implantation. DESIGN: An exploratory forward, stepwise multivariate logistic regression for each adverse event and multivariate polychotomous analysis for both events. SETTING: Tertiary referral centre for interventional treatment of coronary artery disease. PATIENTS: 243 consecutive, successful stenting procedures between 1986 and 1993 with the Wallstent, the Palmaz-Schatz and Wiktor stents with analysis of clinical, procedural, and angiographic variables. MEAN OUTCOME MEASURES: Early closure was defined as angiographically documented stent thrombosis within the first 3 weeks after implantation and restenosis according to the 50% reference diameter reduction criterion. RESULTS: Overall early closure and restenosis rates were 14.4% (35/243) and 19.2% (40/208, for a 97% repeat angiography rate). The statistical model predicted a worse outcome for male patients, with less restenosis in female patients. The only risk factor in female patients was the presence of collaterals to the target lesion. For male patients the following risk factors for closure and restenosis were retained: multiple stent implantation during the same session, the presence of collaterals to the target lesion, stenting of the left anterior descending artery or of the left circumflex artery, and bailout stenting. Only bailout stenting implied a decreased restenosis risk. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical, procedural and angiographic variables increase the risk for early closure and restenosis after endoluminal stenting. The prediction models described above need to be validated prospectively.

Angina Pectoris