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G P Copeland

Publications and source records attributed to G P Copeland.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed1996

Comparison of individual surgeon's performance. Risk-adjusted analysis with POSSUM scoring system.

UNLABELLED: Comparison of outcome after colorectal resection among different surgeons is difficult. Crude rates of morbidity and mortality can be misleading because such rates make no allowance for differences in case mix and fitness of patients. AIM: The aim of this study was to compare outcome among five surgeons by means of the simple, well-validated scoring system POSSUM for risk-adjusted analysis. METHODS: A total of 438 patients were studied prospectively. Each patient underwent colorectal resection by one of the five surgeons. Demographic details, operative procedure, and postoperative course were recorded, and physiologic and operative severity scores were determined. Risk of morbidity and mortality was calculated for each patient. RESULTS: Incidence of morbidity varied sharply among the five surgeons, from 13.6 to 30.6 percent, and the 30-day mortality varied from 4.5 to 6.9 percent. However, application of POSSUM to allow risk-adjusted analysis of the data demonstrated that the incidence of morbidity and mortality predicted by POSSUM based on patients physiologic and operative risks factors was very similar to the observed outcome for each surgeon. CONCLUSION: Direct comparison of individual surgeon's performance based on crude rates of morbidity and mortality can be misleading. Risk-adjusted analysis allows more meaningful comparison.

Aged↗
PubMed1995

Risk-adjusted analysis of surgeon performance: a 1-year study.

A 1-year prospective analysis was undertaken of all non-day-case general surgery in a district general hospital. Using the Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enUmeration of Mortality and Morbidity (POSSUM) scoring system 3004 patients were assessed. From the predictions of mortality and morbidity so obtained, a quality measure, the ratio of observed to expected numbers of deaths and complications (O:E ratio) was determined for each surgeon, both overall and within specialty zones. The present study demonstrates the serious hazard in using 'raw' uncorrected mortality and morbidity statistics to compare surgeon performance. Mortality rates varied from 1.0 to 4.9 per cent whereas O:E ratios ranged from 0.83 to 1.06; morbidity rates varied from 5.3 to 12.6 per cent with O:E ratios 0.86-1.02. Great misunderstanding may result from the publication of surgeon or hospital 'league tables'. The present study demonstrates a technique that might allow surgeon performance to be monitored adequately and accurately.

Day Care, Medical↗
PubMed1995

The value of guidelines in a breast screening service.

The use of agreed guidelines in the management of common surgical and medical conditions has received much attention and enjoys varying degrees of support. In May 1992 the UK Breast Screening Programme produced guidelines with the intention of providing criteria for all units to attempt to achieve. We have investigated these guidelines as a means of comparative audit and stimulus for change. Two units were compared, one in a teaching centre and the other in a district general hospital. Although both units performed for the most part within the guidelines, areas where improvement could be made were identified and measures to correct deficiencies taken. This resulted in improved performance in those areas. The study demonstrates that guidelines can have considerable benefit in helping to identify problems in the provision of care and introducing measures to improve the situation.

Breast Diseases↗
PubMed1994

Audit of emergency preoperative resuscitation.

A total of 148 patients of mean age 61 years with acute gastrointestinal disease who were assessed as requiring preoperative resuscitation were studied. Overall, the mortality rate was 14.2 per cent and the morbidity rate 50.7 per cent. Resuscitation was associated with a mean(s.e.m.) improvement in predicted mortality rate of 4.2(0.8) per cent and in morbidity rate of 4.3(0.7) per cent. However, there was a group of patients in whom resuscitation was unsuccessful, despite there being no apparent difference in duration or methods of resuscitation from those of the rest of the population studied. A poor response to resuscitation was found in 28 patients; this was commoner in the elderly (P < 0.001) and in women (P < 0.05). Complications were more frequent in patients failing to improve with resuscitation (P < 0.001). In the group deteriorating despite resuscitative (P < 0.001). In the a greater proportion of patients with a perforated viscus (P < 0.001), whereas intestinal obstruction was less common (P < 0.05). This study demonstrates that resuscitation can be audited and quantified. Preoperative resuscitation appears to be beneficial, but there is a group that may benefit from synchronous surgery and resuscitation.

Acute Disease↗
PubMed1994

GORA: a scoring system for the quantification of risk of graft occlusion.

Auditing the outcome from vascular surgery with regard to graft occlusion is made difficult by variations in the type of surgery performed and the case mix. These difficulties are compounded when attempting to compare units. In the present study we have attempted to develop a scoring system to predict the risk of graft occlusion, and thus compensate for these variables. Prospectively collected data from 214 consecutive patients undergoing vascular reconstructive surgery (233 arterial grafts) were analysed. Graft occlusion occurred in 82 patients (35.2%). Using a multivariate linear regression analysis of these data a five-factor, five-grade scoring system has been devised (GORA: Graft Occlusive Risk Assessment). Logistic regression analysis of the observed risk of occlusion with this derived score produced the following relationship between the odds ratio of occlusive risk and GORA score: (logeR/1 - R = (0.229 x score) - 4.165). The score was then validated in a different group of 186 patients (196 arterial grafts). In both groups the score was found to predict accurately the risk of graft occlusion (P < 0.001). There was no significant difference in the receiver operating characteristic curves between the estimation and validation groups.

Ankle↗
PubMed1993

Comparative vascular audit using the POSSUM scoring system.

Comparative audit using overall mortality and morbidity figures can be misleading as they do not take into account variations in surgical procedure and patient fitness. To examine these effects we have compared vascular surgery in two differing hospitals, during a similar 9-month period, using the POSSUM scoring system. In one unit, 255 patients underwent vascular surgery with an operative mortality of 9.4%, and morbidity of 37.3%. In the other unit, 89 patients underwent vascular procedures with an operative mortality of 20.2% and morbidity of 47.2%. At first sight there appear to be significant differences in operative outcome between the two units. However, analysis using the POSSUM system predicts a mortality rate of 10.2% for unit A and 20.2% for unit B (morbidity rates of 38.4% for unit A and 50.6% for unit B). Receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis demonstrated no significant difference between the two units (see Table III). POSSUM analysis may be of use in comparative audit.

England↗
PubMed1992

Comparison of POSSUM with APACHE II for prediction of outcome from a surgical high-dependency unit.

POSSUM and APACHE II scores from 117 consecutive admissions to a high-dependency unit after major surgery were correlated with 30-day morbidity and mortality rates. Thirteen patients (11 per cent) died and 59 (50 per cent) developed a postoperative complication. Receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis showed POSSUM to have good predictive value for mortality (area under curve 0.75) and morbidity (area under curve 0.82). APACHE II scores had a significantly inferior predictive value for mortality (area under curve 0.54) (P < 0.002). POSSUM was superior to APACHE II in prediction of mortality in patients admitted to a high-dependency unit after general surgery. Prediction of postoperative complications by POSSUM is accurate and may be useful for audit.

Adult↗
PubMed1991

POSSUM: a scoring system for surgical audit.

POSSUM, a Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enUmeration of Mortality and morbidity, is described. This system has been devised from both a retrospective and prospective analysis and the present paper attempts to validate it prospectively. Logistic regression analysis yielded statistically significant equations for both mortality and morbidity (P less than 0.001). When displayed graphically zones of increasing morbidity and mortality rates could be defined which could be of value in surgical audit. The scoring system produced assessments for morbidity and mortality rates which did not significantly differ from observed rates.

Aged↗
PubMed1988

Postoperative glucose metabolism in patients with gastrointestinal malignancy.

Patients with gastrointestinal malignancy demonstrate impaired postoperative glucose disposal (17.5 +/- 1.4 mumol/kg min vs 28.9 +/- 2.5 mumol/kg min; P less than 0.001) and a reduced insulin response, during steady state hyperglycaemia, when compared with control. Analysis of glucose disposal when compared with insulin concentration suggested insulin resistance as a factor in the causation of impaired glucose disposal. In the control group both glucose disposal and insulin response demonstrated a negative correlation with malnutrition score (as assessed by a 13 factor, three grade scoring system), whereas in the cancer group only the insulin response was related to malnutrition score. However, the insulin response in the cancer group was quantitatively different from control subjects. The possible clinical implications of these findings are discussed.

Adult↗