Biomedical subjects

G G Giles

Publications and source records attributed to G G Giles.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

PubMed2001

Segregation analyses of 1,476 population-based Australian families affected by prostate cancer.

Segregation analyses aim to detect genetic factors that have a major effect on an individual's risk of disease and to describe them in terms of mode of inheritance, age-specific cumulative risk (penetrance), and allele frequency. We conducted single- and two-locus segregation analyses of data from 1,476 men with prostate cancer diagnosed at age <70 years and ascertained through population registries in Melbourne, Sydney, and Perth, Australia, and from their brothers, fathers, and both maternal and paternal lineal uncles. Estimation and model selection were based on asymptotic likelihood theory and were performed through use of the software MENDEL. All two-locus models gave better fits than did single-locus models, even if lineal uncles were excluded or if we censored data (age and disease status) for relatives at 1992, when prostate-specific-antigen testing started to have a major impact on the incidence of prostate cancer in Australia. Among the genetic models that we considered, the best-fitting ones included a dominantly inherited increased risk that was greater, in multiplicative terms, at younger ages, as well as a recessively inherited or X-linked increased risk that was greater, in multiplicative terms, at older ages. The recessive and X-linked effects were strongly confounded, and it was not possible to fit them together. Penetrance to age 80 years was approximately 70% (95% confidence interval [CI] 57%-85%) for the dominant effect and virtually 100% for the recessive and X-linked effects. Approximately 1/30 (95% CI 1/80-1/12) men would carry the dominant risk, and 1/140 (95% CI 1/220-1/90) would carry the recessive risk or 1/200 (95% CI 1/380-1/100) would carry the X-linked risk. Within discussed limitations, these analyses confirm the genetic heterogeneity, of prostate cancer susceptibility, that is becoming evident from linkage analyses, and they may aid future efforts in gene discovery.

Age of Onset↗

PubMed2001

The management of testicular cancer in Victoria, 1988-1993. Urology Study Committee of the Victorian Co-operative Oncology Group.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the patterns of care and management of testicular cancer in Victoria. DESIGN AND SETTING: Retrospective analysis of all cases of testicular cancer in Victoria from 1988 to 1993 identified through the Victorian Cancer Registry. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Description of patient characteristics, staging investigations, initial management, and outcome. RESULTS: 667 eligible cases of testicular cancer were identified and questionnaires were returned for 633 of these patients (94.9% response rate). There were 357 (56.4%) patients with pure seminoma; 271 (42.8%) with non-seminomatous germ cell tumours, 3 (0.5%) with stromal tumours, and 2 (0.3%) with other tumours. The median age was 32 years (range, 0-80 years). Preoperative marker levels were not available for 8% of patients, and initial staging was considered inadequate in 6%. Surveillance programs used for patients with Stage I disease were considered inadequate in most. Relative survival at five years was 99% for patients with seminoma and 91% for non-seminoma. CONCLUSIONS: There was considerable variation in the investigation, treatment, and follow-up of these patients, which is likely to have resulted in unnecessary morbidity. Clinical practice guidelines should be developed and implemented to promote optimal management.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2001

Smoking and prostate cancer: findings from an Australian case-control study.

BACKGROUND: To examine the risk of smoking on histopathologically-confirmed moderate- and high-grade prostate cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A population-based case-control study was conducted in Melbourne, Sydney and Perth between 1994 and 1998 in men aged below 70 years. Cases were recruited from cancer registries and controls were selected from electoral registers. 1498 cases and 1434 controls were interviewed and a detailed smoking history obtained. Data were analyzed by unconditional logistic regression, adjusting for age, study center, year of recruitment, family history and country of birth. RESULTS: The odds ratios (OR) were 1.02 (0.85-1.22) for former smoking and 0.82 (0.65-1.05) for current smoking. The respective ORs were 0.95 (0.78-1.15) and 0.76 (0.59-0.99) for moderate grade tumors, and 1.28 (0.96-1.70) and 1.00 (0.67-1.47) for high-grade tumors (P = 0.2 for test that ORs of the two grades were identical). There was no evidence of a dose-response effect for duration of smoking, amount smoked daily, pack-years of smoking and years since quitting and most ORs for these variables were close to unity. CONCLUSIONS: Smoking was not associated with the incidence of prostate cancer. The widths and upper limits of the confidence intervals for the effects of current and former smoking were consistent with weak effects at most.

Adult↗

PubMed2001

Insulin resistance as a major determinant of increased coronary heart disease risk in postmenopausal women with Type 2 diabetes mellitus.

AIM: To investigate the risk factors associated with clinically defined coronary heart disease (CHD) in women with Type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM). METHODS: CHD status was assessed via standard history and resting electrocardiogram in 41 postmenopausal diabetic and 41 age- and body mass index-matched normoglycaemic women recruited from a community-based cohort. The following parameters were assessed: body composition by dual energy X-ray absorptiometry, blood pressure, metabolic and lipoprotein profile and haemostatic factors. RESULTS: Diabetic women with CHD (n = 14) had greater insulin resistance, calculated by homeostasis model assessment (10.2 (7.0-14.8) vs. 6.5 (5.5-7.7), P = 0.010), and higher plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (PAI-1) levels (45 (29-69) vs. 24 (19-32) ng/ml, P = 0.013), than those without CHD. They also had higher triglycerides (2.9 (2.2-3.8) vs. 2.1 (1.8-2.4) mmol/l, P = 0.016) and a trend towards reduced low-density lipoprotein particle size (25.5 +/- 0.6 vs. 25.8 +/- 0.5 nm, P = 0.097). In a logistic regression model, insulin resistance was a significant independent predictor of CHD status (odds ratio = 1.33, 95% confidence interval = 1.06-1.68, P = 0.015). In contrast, in normoglycaemic women the major risk factors for CHD were elevated cholesterol, apolipoprotein(a), apolipoprotein B and systolic blood pressure (P = 0.018, P = 0.016, P = 0.006 and P = 0.049, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Increased insulin resistance in association with elevated PAI-1 and dyslipidaemia appears to underpin the increased risk of CHD in women with Type 2 DM. Therapeutic approaches that increase insulin sensitivity may serve to reduce CHD risk in this vulnerable group. Diabet. Med. 18, 476-482 (2001)

Absorptiometry, Photon↗

PubMed2001

Prevalence of self-reported arm morbidity following treatment for breast cancer in the Australian Breast Cancer Family Study.

Population-based women (n=1049) with breast cancer diagnosed mainly between 1996 and 1998, when aged 20-59 years, were mailed a questionnaire seeking information about self-reported shoulder stiffness and swelling, numbness and pain/ache in the arm following treatment (excluding 6 months from diagnosis). Of the 809 who completed the survey, approximately seven in eight experienced at least one symptom, one in six reported all four symptoms, and one in three considered that their arm morbidity interfered substantially with activities of daily living. Arm swelling occurred at some time in 39% of women, was present in 20% 1 year, and in 29% 4 years, after diagnosis. The prevalence of arm swelling was higher in women with axillary node dissection (OR=2.4; 95% Cl 1.0-5.6), and was increased in a women with a higher body mass index (P=0.02) and less education (P=0.01), but was not related to age, number of nodes excised or self-reports of radiation or type of surgery.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2001

Prevalence of urinary symptoms in urban Australian men aged 40-69.

BACKGROUND: This study was devised to determine the prevalence of urinary symptoms among men living in the Australian cities of Melbourne, Sydney or Perth, and to identify factors associated with the presence of moderate-to-severe urinary symptoms. METHODS: The study comprised a population-based sample of 1,216 men, aged 40-69 years, whose names were obtained through electoral rolls and who participated as controls in a case-control study of risk factors for prostate cancer. As part of a structured face-to-face interview, the men completed the International Prostate Symptom Score (IPSS). Men with moderate (IPSS = 8-19) or severe (IPSS > or = 20) urinary symptoms were compared with those with mild or no symptoms (IPSS < 8) using unconditional logistic regression. RESULTS: The age-specific prevalence of moderate-to-severe urinary symptoms (IPSS > or = 8) in men aged 40-49, 50-59, 60-69 years was 16%, 23% and 28%, respectively. Compared with men with no or mild urinary symptoms (IPSS < 8), men with moderate-to-severe symptoms were more likely to report not currently living as married [odds ratio (OR) = 1.5; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-2.0] and being circumcised (OR = 1.5; 95% Cl 1.2-2.0). The increased likelihood associated with drinking an average of > 60 g day(-1) of alcohol in the 2 years before interview was of marginal statistical significance (OR = 1.6; 1.0-2.6). There were no significant differences between men with IPSS > or = 8 and those with IPSS < 8 with respect to body mass index, education level, having had a vasectomy, or cigarette smoking. CONCLUSION: Among Australian men, being circumcised, or not currently living as married, were associated with increased prevalence of urinary symptoms.

Adult↗

PubMed2001

The steroid 5alpha-reductase type II TA repeat polymorphism is not associated with risk of breast or ovarian cancer in Australian women.

The enzyme 5alpha-reductase type II (SRD5A2) converts testosterone to its more active form 5alpha-dihydroxytestosterone. The 3' untranslated region of the gene contains a (TA)(n) length polymorphism. The (TA)(9) allele has been reported to be associated with higher serum prostate-specific antigen levels in breast tumors and lower risk of relapse in breast cancer patients and more recently has also been reported to be linked to the codon 89 valine variant, which is itself associated with higher serum prostate-specific antigen levels in breast tumors and a more favorable breast cancer prognosis. We investigated whether the SRD5A2 (TA)(n) polymorphism was associated with risk of breast or ovarian cancer in Australian women by studying 946 breast cancer cases and 509 age-matched controls, and 544 ovarian cancer cases and 298 controls of similar age distribution. The (TA)(9) allele frequency was similar in breast cancer cases (0.110), breast cancer controls (0.125), ovarian cancer cases (0.106), and ovarian cancer controls (0.117). There was no difference in genotype distribution between breast cancer cases and controls (P = 0.5), ovarian cancer cases and controls (P = 0.7), or between the two control groups (P = 0.9). Genotypes containing at least one (TA)(9) allele were not significantly associated with risk of breast cancer overall (odds ratio, 0.86; 95% confidence interval, 0.67-1.12; P = 0.3) or in women stratified by age, menopausal status, or family history. Similarly, the (TA)(9) allele was not associated with risk of ovarian cancer (odds ratio, 0.87; 95% confidence interval, 0.61-1.23; P = 0.4) or with ovarian tumor behavior (invasive or low malignant potential), histology, stage, or grade. Given that this study had sufficient power to detect altered risks in the order of 1.4- to 1.7-fold, our results suggest that the SRD5A2 (TA)(9) allele is unlikely to be associated with moderate alterations in breast or ovarian cancer risk.

3-Oxo-5-alpha-Steroid 4-Dehydrogenase↗

PubMed2000

After BRCA1 and BRCA2-what next? Multifactorial segregation analyses of three-generation, population-based Australian families affected by female breast cancer.

Mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2 that cause a dominantly inherited high risk of female breast cancer seem to explain only a small proportion of the aggregation of the disease. To study the possible additional genetic components, we conducted single-locus and two-locus segregation analyses, with and without a polygenic background, using three-generation families ascertained through 858 women with breast cancer diagnosed at age <40 years, ascertained through population cancer registries in Melbourne and Sydney, Australia. Extensive testing for deleterious mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2, to date, has identified 34 carriers. Our analysis suggested that, after other possible unmeasured familial factors are adjusted for and the known BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers are excluded, there appears to be a residual dominantly inherited risk of female breast cancer in addition to that derived from mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2. This study also suggests that there is a substantial recessively inherited risk of early-onset breast cancer. According to the best-fitting model, after excluding known carriers of mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2, about 1/250 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1/500 to 1/125) women have a recessive risk of 86% (95% CI 69%-100%) by age 50 years and of almost 100% by age 60 years. Possible reasons that our study has implicated a novel strong recessive effect include our inclusion of data on lineal aunts and grandmothers, study of families ascertained through women with early-onset breast cancer, allowance for multiple familial factors in the analysis, and removal of families for whom the cause (i.e., BRCA1 or BRCA2) is known. Our findings may have implications for attempts to identify new breast cancer-susceptibility genes.

Age Factors↗

PubMed2000

CYP17 promoter polymorphism and breast cancer in Australian women under age forty years.

BACKGROUND: The cytochrome P450c17alpha enzyme functions in the steroid biosynthesis pathway, and altered endogenous steroid hormone levels have been reported to be associated with a T to C polymorphism in the 5' promoter region of the CYP17 gene. Because steroid hormone exposure is known to influence breast cancer risk, we conducted a population-based, case-control-family study to assess the relationship between the CYP17 promoter polymorphism and early-onset breast cancer. METHODS: Case subjects under 40 years of age at diagnosis of a first primary breast cancer, population-sampled control subjects, and the relatives of both case and control subjects were interviewed to record family history of breast cancer and other risk factors. CYP17 genotype was determined in 369 case subjects, 284 control subjects, and 91 relatives of case subjects. Genotype distributions were compared by logistic regression, and cumulative risk was estimated by a modified segregation analysis. All statistical tests were two-tailed. RESULTS: Compared with the TT genotype (i.e., individuals homozygous for the T allele), the TC genotype was not associated with increased breast cancer risk (P: =.7). Compared with the TT and TC genotypes combined, the CC genotype was associated with a relative risk of 1. 81 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.15-2.86; P: =.01) before adjustment for measured risk factors and 1.63 (95% CI = 1.00-2.64; P: =.05) after adjustment. There was an excess of CC genotypes in case subjects who had at least one affected first- or second-degree relative, compared with control subjects unstratified by family history of breast cancer (23% versus 11%; P: =.006), and these case subjects had a threefold to fourfold higher risk than women of other groups defined by genotype and family history of breast cancer. Analysis of breast cancer in first- and second-degree relatives of case subjects with the CC genotype, excluding two known carriers of a deleterious mutation in BRCA1 or BRCA2, gave a relative hazard in women with the CC genotype of 3.48 (95% CI = 1.13-10.74; P: =.04), which is equivalent to a cumulative risk of 16% to age 70 years. CONCLUSIONS: The CC genotype may modify the effect of other familial risk factors for early-onset breast cancer.

Adult↗

PubMed2000

Familial patterns of covariation for cardiovascular risk factors in adults: The Victorian Family Heart Study.

The Victorian Family Heart Study was established to address the causes of familial patterns in cardiovascular risk factors. From 1990 to 1996, a representative population sample of 783 adult families (2,959 individuals), each comprising both parents (40-70 years) and at least one natural adult offspring (18-30 years), was recruited in Melbourne, Australia. Included in both generations were 461 monozygotic and dizygotic twins as pairs or singletons. A multivariate normal model was used for pedigree analysis of height, weight, body mass index, diastolic and systolic blood pressure, pulse rate, and total and high density lipoprotein cholesterol. All traits showed evidence for additive genetic variation, explaining from 55% (height) to 26% (pulse) of age- and sex-adjusted variance. An effect persisting into adulthood of shared family environment during cohabitation explained from 39% (body mass index) to 13% (systolic blood pressure) of variance (not nominally significant for diastolic blood pressure). These shared environmental effects were strongest within twin pairs, less so for sibling pairs, and least for parent-offspring pairs (in which an effect was not observed for weight, diastolic and systolic blood pressure, and total cholesterol). On a background of genetic influences, there are periods in early life during which the family environment cements long-term correlations between adult relatives in cardiovascular risk factors.

Adult↗

PubMed2000

Androgen receptor exon 1 CAG repeat length and risk of ovarian cancer.

Epidemiological studies indicate that ovarian cancer is an endocrine-related tumour. We conducted a case-control comparison to assess the androgen receptor (AR) exon 1 polymorphic CAG repeat length (CAG(n)) as a risk factor for epithelial ovarian cancer. AR CAG(n) was determined for 319 case subjects with ovarian adenocarcinoma and 853 unaffected control subjects (comprising 300 unrelated adult female monozygotic twins, and 553 adult females sampled randomly from the population using the electoral rolls). The CAG(n) distributions of case subjects and control subjects were compared as a continuum, and by dichotomising alleles according to different CAG(n) cut-points. Logistic regression was used to calculate age-adjusted odds ratio (OR) estimates. Analyzed as a continuous variable, there was no difference between case subjects and control subjects for the smaller, larger or average allele sizes of the CAG(n) genotype, before or after adjusting for age. The mean (95% CI) for the average CAG(n) was 22.0 (21.8-22.2) for case subjects and 22.0 (21.9-22.1) for control subjects (p>.9). Analysis of CAG(n) as a dichotomous variable showed no difference between case subjects and control subjects for the median cutpoint (>/= 22), or for another cut-point previously reported to act as a modifier of breast cancer risk (>/= 29). Our data provide no evidence for an association between ovarian cancer risk and the genotype defined by the AR exon 1 CAG(n) polymorphism, although we cannot exclude small effects, or threshold effects in a small subgroup.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed2000

Reported management of lung cancer in Victoria in 1993: comparison with best practice. Anti-Cancer Council of Victoria Lung Cancer Study Group.

OBJECTIVE: To determine recent patterns of management of lung cancer in Victoria in order to stimulate interest in the development of Australian consensus guidelines. DESIGN: A cross-sectional survey of doctors responsible for the care of an incident series of lung cancer patients in 1996-1997. PARTICIPANTS: 1054 people diagnosed with primary lung cancer in the State of Victoria between 1 January 1993 and 31 July 1993 and notified to the Victorian Cancer Registry. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Method of diagnosis; tumour characteristics; factors affecting management plan; first-line and subsequent treatment; outcome; and patients' current status. RESULTS: Questionnaires were completed for 868 eligible patients (82%): 635 (73%) diagnosed with non-small-cell lung cancer, 124 (14%) diagnosed with small-cell lung cancer, and 109 (13%) with no histological diagnosis. Chest x-ray (814 patients; 94%) and computed tomography (CT) of the chest and abdomen (589 patients; 68%) were the most common investigations, and was the only diagnostic procedure in 48 patients (6%). Treatments were radiotherapy alone or in combination (385 patients; 44%), surgery alone or in combination (196 patients; 23%), chemotherapy alone or in combination (152 patients; 18%); 215 patients (25%) received no antitumour therapy. 243 patients (28%) were treated initially with curative intent. A further 399 (46%) were treated initially with palliative intent, and in 219 (55%) of these good symptom control was achieved. For 427 patients (49%) tumour size was not recorded. While 23% of non-small-cell patients had limited disease, only 8% were investigated with mediastinoscopy. Only four patients (13%) with limited-stage, small-cell lung cancer had combined-modality treatment. There was little use of adjuvant chemotherapy or neoadjuvant therapy. The five-year crude survival rate was 11%. CONCLUSIONS: The demographics of lung cancer in Victoria are similar to other population-based studies. Patterns of management are not uniform, and are inconsistent with current published guidelines.

Adult↗

PubMed2000

Prostate cancer in Victoria in 1993: patterns of reported management.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the management of newly diagnosed prostate cancer in 1993 during the early prostate specific antigen (PSA) era. DESIGN: Survey of medical practitioners involved in the management of a total sample of incident prostate cancer cases selected from a population-based cancer registry. The survey was conducted in 1996, and the sample was followed up until 1998, to obtain five-year survival data on all patients. SETTING: The State of Victoria, including both public and private health sectors. PATIENTS: All men who were newly diagnosed with prostate cancer in the six months January-June 1993. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Reported management by method of diagnosis; staging investigations; and treatment by observation, hormonal therapy, radical radiotherapy or radical prostatectomy. RESULTS: 1048 of 1117 (94%) cases diagnosed were surveyed. Most of the men (858 [82%]) were older than 65 years: 117 (11%) cancers were detected by screening asymptomatic men, and a further 269 (26%) were found by testing of men with symptoms ("case-found"). The 259 (25%) men treated with definitive local therapies (prostatectomy and curative radiotherapy) were younger (< 75 years), and their disease was clinically more localised (clinical stage, T1-2) and they were often found by screening or case-finding. Men given hormonal therapy (407; 39%) or managed without treatment (373; 36%) tended to be older and more likely to have been diagnosed by transurethral resection of the prostate (TURP). The overall relative survival at five years was 86% and was decreased in men with cancers of higher histological grade or more advanced clinical stage, or who had higher PSA levels. CONCLUSIONS: Although a third of patients were detected by screening or case-finding early in the PSA era, definitive local therapies were used infrequently (25% of the total sample). Most received appropriate treatment.

Age Factors↗

PubMed2000

Hormone replacement therapy and accuracy of mammographic screening.

BACKGROUND: Hormone replacement therapy (HRT) is commonly used and may affect the accuracy of mammographic screening. METHODS: We examined the sensitivity, specificity, and small-cancer detection rate according to HRT use in 103,770 women in Victoria, Australia, who attended first-round screening in 1994 and who did not have a personal history of breast cancer or a breast lump or a bloodstained or watery nipple discharge at the time of screening. BreastScreen Victoria provides mammography to women aged 40 years and older every 2 years. Unconditional logistic modelling was used to adjust for age, family history, and symptom status. FINDINGS: The sensitivity of screening mammography for a 2-year screening interval was lower in HRT users (64.8% [95% CI 58-72]) than non-users (77.3% [74-81]). In the target group (50-69 years), the sensitivity was 64.3% (57-72) in HRT users and 79.8% (76-84) in non-users. Among women who were diagnosed with cancer during the 2-year screening interval, HRT users were more likely to have a false negative result than non-users (odds ratio 1.60 [1.04-2.21]) after adjusting for potential confounding factors. Specificity was 0.6% lower in HRT users compared with non-users. Among women who did not have cancer diagnosed in the interval, HRT users were more likely to have a false positive result (adjusted odds ratio 1.12 [1.05-1.19]). INTERPRETATION: We show that HRT use reduces the sensitivity of mammographic screening. In countries where HRT use is widespread, the reduction in sensitivity with HRT use may undermine the capacity of population-based mammographic-screening programmes to realise their potential mortality benefit.

Adult↗

PubMed2000

Adaptive evolution of the tumour suppressor BRCA1 in humans and chimpanzees. Australian Breast Cancer Family Study.

Mutations in BRCA1 (ref. 1) confer an increased risk of female breast cancer. In a genome-wide scan of linkage disequilibrium (LD), a high level of LD was detected among microsatellite markers flanking BRCA1 (ref. 3), raising the prospect that positive natural selection may have acted on this gene. We have used the predictions of evolutionary genetic theory to investigate this further. Using phylogeny-based maximum likelihood analysis of the BRCA1 sequences from primates and other mammals, we found that the ratios of replacement to silent nucleotide substitutions on the human and chimpanzee lineages were not different from one another (P=0.8), were different from those of other primate lineages (P=0.004) and were greater than 1 (P=0.04). This is consistent with the historic occurrence of positive darwinian selection pressure on the BRCA1 protein in the human and chimpanzee lineages. Analysis of genetic variation in a sample of female Australians of Northern European origin showed evidence for Hardy-Weinberg (HW) disequilibrium at polymorphic sites in BRCA1, consistent with the possibility that natural selection is affecting genotype frequencies in modern Europeans. The clustering of between-species variation in the region of the gene encoding the RAD51-interaction domain of BRCA1 suggests the maintenance of genomic integrity as a possible target of selection.

Adaptation, Biological↗

PubMed2000

Mortality from cutaneous melanoma: evidence for contrasting trends between populations.

In recent years several reports have been published concerning trends in melanoma mortality in different countries, some of which have indicated that rates are beginning to fall. Many of these reports, however, have been based on small populations and have used different forms of statistical analysis. Our objective was to analyse systematically to what degree the epidemic of melanoma mortality had evolved similarly in different populations and whether there were any divergent trends that might increase our understanding. Instead of using all available data, we focused on countries with a minimum time series of 30 years and a minimum of 100 deaths annually in at least one sex from melanoma. We first inspected sex-specific age-standardized mortality rates and then performed age-period-cohort modelling. We found that the increase in mortality observed after 1950 was more pronounced in the age group 60-79. Statistical modelling showed a general increase in mortality rates in generations born after the turn of the century. Downturns in mortality, essentially in women and starting with generations born just before World War II, were found in Australia (where the earliest decreases were noted), the Nordic countries and the USA. Small decreases in rates in more recent generations were found in the UK and Canada. However, in France, Italy and Czechoslovakia, mortality rates were seen to be still increasing in recent cohorts. Our analysis suggests that populations are at different places on the melanoma mortality epidemic curve. The three trend patterns we observed are in agreement with time differences between populations with respect to the promotion of sun protection and the surveillance of pigmented skin lesions.

Adult↗

PubMed2000

The sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value of screening mammography and symptomatic status.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether the accuracy of screening mammography varies according to symptomatic status reported at the time of screening. SETTING: Victoria, Australia, where free biennial screening is provided to women aged 40 and older. METHODS: We examined the sensitivity, specificity, and the positive predictive value of screening mammography by symptom status in 106,826 women from Victoria, who attended for first round mammography in 1994 and who did not have a personal history of breast cancer. Symptomatic status was divided into the following categories: asymptomatic; significant symptoms, if the woman reported a breast lump and/or blood stained or watery nipple discharge; and other symptoms, if reported. Unconditional logistic regression modelling was used to adjust for age, use of hormone replacement therapy (HRT), and family history. RESULTS: Sensitivity was lower for women with other symptoms (60.0%) than asymptomatic women (75.6%), or women with significant symptoms (80.8%). Specificity was lower for women with significant symptoms (73.7%) than asymptomatic women (94.9%), or women with other symptoms (95.4%). Among women who had invasive cancer detected during screening interval, women with other symptoms were more likely to get a false negative result (odds ratio 1.79, 95% confidence interval 1.03 to 3.04) than asymptomatic women, after adjusting for age, use of HRT, and family history. CONCLUSION: The lower sensitivity in women with other symptoms requires further investigation. Possible explanations include increased breast density and poor image quality. The high sensitivity in women with significant symptoms is probably due to more cautious radiological practice, which has also resulted in low specificity in this group.

Adult↗

PubMed1999

HRAS1 rare minisatellite alleles and breast cancer in Australian women under age forty years.

BACKGROUND: A recent meta-analysis of 23 studies supported the empirically derived hypothesis that women who lack one of the four common minisatellite alleles at the HRAS1 locus are at increased risk of breast cancer. These studies relied on visual sizing of alleles on electrophoretic gels and may have underreported rare alleles. We determined whether this hypothesis applied to early-onset breast cancer by using a new method to size minisatellite alleles. METHODS: We conducted a population-based, case-control-family study of 249 Australian women under 40 years old at diagnosis of a first primary breast cancer and 234 randomly selected women, frequency matched for age. We sized HRAS1 minisatellite alleles with an Applied Biosystems model 373 automated DNA sequencer and GENESCAN(TM) software. All P values are two-sided. RESULTS: We found no association of rare alleles with breast cancer, before or after adjustment for risk factors and irrespective of how their effects were modeled (crude odds ratio = 1.04; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.071-1.53; P =.8). The rare allele frequency was 0. 173 (95% CI = 0.149-0.197), three times the pooled estimate of 0.058 (95% CI = 0.050-0.066) from previous studies (P<.001), and was similar for case subjects, 0.177 (95% CI = 0.143-0.221), and control subjects, 0.169 (95% CI = 0.135-0.203) (P =.7). CONCLUSION: There was no support for an association between rare HRAS1 alleles and the risk of early-onset breast cancer, despite 80% power to detect effects of the magnitude of those associations (1.7-fold) previously suggested. IMPLICATIONS: The question of whether cancer risk is associated with rare minisatellite HRAS1 alleles needs to be revisited with the use of new methods that have a greater ability to distinguish rare alleles from similarly sized common alleles.

Adult↗