Biliary manometry versus clinical trial: value as predictors of success after treatment of biliary tract strictures.
PURPOSE: To evaluate the biliary manometric-perfusion test (BMPT) and clinical trial as predictors of long-term success after percutaneous and surgical treatment of biliary tract strictures. PATIENTS AND METHODS: After percutaneous intervention or surgical repair of extrahepatic bile duct strictures, 43 patients underwent long-term biliary intubation (mean, 13 months) with 61 internal-external stents. Before removal of the stents, all 43 patients underwent a BMPT (n = 65) and 24 underwent a 2-3-week clinical trial (n = 27) with stents positioned above the treated region. Patients were followed up 1-46 months (mean, 16 months) after stent removal, with clinical outcome determined by means of physical examination, biochemical evaluation, chart review, and telephone interview. RESULTS: With logistic regression analysis, the BMPT and clinical trial were shown to have equal predictive value in determining treatment success or failure. Eighty-four percent of the clinical outcomes were correctly predicted with BMPT, versus 88% for the clinical trial. Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis demonstrated the probability of remaining stricture free at 1 year after passing a BMPT and after passing a clinical trial to be 90% and 86% (P = .55), respectively. CONCLUSION: BMPT and clinical trial have similar capabilities in the prediction of long-term patency after treatment of benign biliary tract strictures, but the BMPT is less costly and time consuming for the patient.