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G A Colditz

Publications and source records attributed to G A Colditz.

At least 307 records · Page 17Linked to original sources

A prospective study of reproductive factors and risk of epithelial ovarian cancer.

BACKGROUND: Parity and long term use of oral contraceptives have been associated consistently with a decreased risk of ovarian cancer. However, previous reports of the relationship of other reproductive factors (time since first use or last use of oral contraceptives, age at menarche or menopause, age at first birth) with ovarian cancer have been inconsistent. METHODS: The authors studied these relationships in the Nurses' Health Study, a prospective cohort study of 121,700 female registered nurses aged 30-55 years in 1976 when the study began. From 1976 to 1988, 260 cases of confirmed epithelial ovarian cancer occurred among 1.2 million person-years of follow-up. RESULTS: A statistically significant inverse association was observed between parity and ovarian cancer risk (relative risk [RR] = 0.84; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.77-0.91 per pregnancy); age at first birth was not associated independently with risk. In age-adjusted analyses, a significant inverse association was noted between long term use of oral contraceptives and ovarian cancer, which was no longer significant after controlling for other ovarian cancer risk factors (RR with > or = 5 years' use: 0.65; 95% CI = 0.40-1.05). After control for duration of use, a weak nonsignificant inverse association was observed with time since first oral contraceptive use and no independent effect of time since last use. Neither age at menarche nor age at menopause was associated significantly with ovarian cancer risk. CONCLUSIONS: In this large prospective study, parity was the only reproductive factor that had a substantial independent association with ovarian cancer. Long term oral contraceptive use also appeared to have an inverse relationship with ovarian cancer, although this association was of borderline significance (P = 0.11) after adjustment for other risk factors.

Age Factors↗

Silicone breast implants and the risk of connective-tissue diseases and symptoms.

BACKGROUND: Silicone breast implants have been linked to a variety of illnesses, the most controversial of which are connective-tissue diseases and symptoms. To study this relation, we analyzed data from 14 years of follow-up of the Nurses' Health Study cohort. METHODS: Women who were free from connective-tissue disease in June 1976 were followed through May 31, 1990, before there was widespread media coverage of the possible association of breast implants and connective-tissue diseases. Information was collected through biennial and supplementary mailed questionnaires and blinded reviews of medical records with the use of standardized criteria. Relative risk, the measure of association, was defined as the incidence rate of connective-tissue disease among women with breast implants divided by the corresponding incidence rate among women without breast implants. RESULTS: Among 87,501 women who were eligible for follow-up, 516 were confirmed as having definite connective-tissue diseases and 1183 as having breast implants (of which 876 were silicone-gel-filled, 170 saline-filled, 67 double-lumen, 14 polyurethane-coated, and 56 of unknown type). The mean (+/- SD) period of follow-up after surgery was 9.9 +/- 6.4 years (range, 1 month to 40.5 years). Three of the patients with definite connective-tissue disease--all had rheumatoid arthritis--had implants (one silicone-gel-filled, one saline-filled, and one double-lumen). The age-adjusted relative risk of a definite connective-tissue disease among women with any type of implant was 0.6 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.2 to 2.0), as compared with women without implants. For women with silicon-gel-filled implants, the comparable relative risk was 0.3 (95 percent confidence interval, 0 to 1.9). The relative risk of self-reported signs or symptoms of connective-tissue disease for women with implants was 1.5 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.9 to 2.4); the risk of having any 1 of 41 signs, symptoms, or laboratory features of connective-tissue disease was 0.7 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.3 to 1.6). CONCLUSIONS: In a large cohort study, we did not find an association between silicone breast implants and connective-tissue diseases, defined according to a variety of standardized criteria, or signs and symptoms of these diseases.

Adult↗

The use of estrogens and progestins and the risk of breast cancer in postmenopausal women.

BACKGROUND: The effect of adding progestins to estrogen therapy on the risk of breast cancer in postmenopausal women is controversial. METHODS: To quantify the relation between the use of hormones and the risk of breast cancer in postmenopausal women, we extended our follow-up of the participants in the Nurses' Health Study to 1992. The women were asked to complete questionnaires every two years to update information on their menopausal status, use of estrogen and progestin preparations, and any diagnosis of breast cancer. During 725,550 person-years of follow-up, we documented 1935 cases of newly diagnosed invasive breast cancer. RESULTS: The risk of breast cancer was significantly increased among women who were currently using estrogen alone (relative risk, 1.32; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.14 to 1.54) or estrogen plus progestin (relative risk, 1.41; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.15 to 1.74), as compared with postmenopausal women who had never used hormones. Women currently taking hormones who had used such therapy for 5 to 9 years had an adjusted relative risk of breast cancer of 1.46 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.22 to 1.74), as did those currently using hormones who had done so for a total of 10 or more years (relative risk, 1.46; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.20 to 1.76). The increased risk of breast cancer associated with five or more years of postmenopausal hormone therapy was greater among older women (relative risk for women 60 to 64 years old, 1.71; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.34 to 2.18). The relative risk of death due to breast cancer was 1.45 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.01 to 2.09) among women who had taken estrogen for five or more years. CONCLUSIONS: The addition of progestins to estrogen therapy does not reduce the risk of breast cancer among postmenopausal women. The substantial increase in the risk of breast cancer among older women who take hormones suggests that the trade-offs between risks and benefits should be carefully assessed.

Aged↗

Body size and fat distribution as predictors of coronary heart disease among middle-aged and older US men.

Obesity, android fat distribution, and other anthropometric measures have been associated with coronary heart disease in long-term prospective studies. However, fluctuations in weight due to age-related hormonal changes and changes in lifestyle practices may bias relative risk estimates over a long follow-up period. The authors prospectively studied the association between body mass index (BMI) (kg/m2), waist-to-hip ratio, and height as independent predictors of incident coronary heart disease in a 3-year prospective study among 29,122 US men aged 40-75 years in 1986. The authors documented 420 incident coronary events during the follow-up period. Body mass index, waist-to-hip ratio, short stature, and weight gain since age 21 were associated with an increased risk of coronary heart disease. Among men younger than 65, after adjusting for other coronary risk factors, the relative risk was 1.72 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10-2.69) for men with BMI of 25-28.9, 2.61 (95% CI 1.54-4.42) for BMI of 29.0-32.9, and 3.44 (95% CI 1.67-7.09) for obese men with BMI > or = 33 compared with lean men with BMI < 23.0. Among men > or = 65 years of age, the association between BMI and risk of coronary heart disease was much weaker. However, in this age group, the waist-to-hip ratio was a much stronger predictor of risk (relative risk = 2.76, 95% CI 1.22-6.23 between extreme quintiles). These results suggest that for younger men, obesity, independent of fat distribution, is a strong risk factor for coronary heart disease. For older men, measures of fat distribution may be better than body mass index at predicting risk of coronary disease.

Adipose Tissue↗

Alcohol consumption and mortality among women.

BACKGROUND: Studies in men suggest that light-to-moderate alcohol intake is associated with a reduction in overall mortality, due primarily to a reduced risk of coronary heart disease. Among women with similar levels of alcohol consumption, an increased risk of breast cancer has been noted that complicates the balance of risks and benefits. METHODS: We conducted a prospective study among 85,709 women, 34 to 59 years of age and without a history of myocardial infarction, angina, stroke, or cancer, who completed a dietary questionnaire in 1980. During the 12-year follow-up period, 2658 deaths were documented. RESULTS: The relative risks of death in drinkers as compared with nondrinkers were 0.83 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.74 to 0.93) for women who consumed 1.5 to 4.9 g of alcohol per day (one to three drinks per week), 0.88 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.80 to 0.98) for those who consumed 5.0 to 29.9 g per day, and 1.19 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.02 to 1.38) for those who consumed 30 g or more per day, after adjustment for other predictors of mortality. Light-to-moderate drinking (1.5 to 29.9 g per day) was associated with a decreased risk of death from cardiovascular disease; heavier drinking was associated with an increased risk of death from other causes, particularly breast cancer and cirrhosis. The benefit associated with light-to-moderate drinking was most apparent among women with risk factors for coronary heart disease and those 50 years of age or older. CONCLUSIONS: Among women, light-to-moderate alcohol consumption is associated with a reduced mortality rate, but this apparent survival benefit appears largely confined to women at greater risk for coronary heart disease.

Adult↗

Cost-effectiveness of enoxaparin vs low-dose warfarin in the prevention of deep-vein thrombosis after total hip replacement surgery.

BACKGROUND: Enoxaparin sodium, a low-molecular-weight heparin, was recently approved for use in the United States to prevent deep-vein thrombosis after total hip replacement surgery. Its cost-effectiveness relative to prophylaxis with low-dose warfarin sodium is unknown. METHODS: A decision-analytic model was developed to compare two strategies of prophylaxis for deep-vein thrombosis with a strategy of not using prophylaxis in a hypothetical cohort of 10,000 patients undergoing total hip replacement surgery. For each of these strategies, we estimated the expected number of cases of confirmed deep-vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism, the expected number of thromboembolic deaths, and the expected costs of venous thromboembolic care, including prophylaxis, diagnosis, and treatment. Data were drawn primarily from the published literature. RESULTS: Compared with no prophylaxis, the use of low-dose warfarin would be expected to reduce the number of cases of confirmed deep-vein thrombosis from about 1000 (per 10,000 patients) to 420 and the number of thromboembolic deaths from about 250 to 110. Expected costs of care related to deep-vein thrombosis also would be reduced from approximately $530 to $330 per patient. Prophylaxis with enoxaparin would be expected to reduce further the number of cases of confirmed deep-vein thrombosis and the number of thromboembolic deaths (to 250 and 70, respectively) but increase costs of care by approximately $50 per patient. The cost-effectiveness of enoxaparin (relative to low-dose warfarin) is estimated to be approximately $12,000 per death averted. CONCLUSION: Although enoxaparin is more costly than low-dose warfarin, its cost-effectiveness in total hip replacement compares favorably with that of other generally accepted medical interventions.

Cost-Benefit Analysis↗

Prospective study of toenail selenium levels and cancer among women.

BACKGROUND: Inverse associations between selenium status and cancer risk have been observed in animal studies, ecologic studies, and some case-control and prospective studies. Whereas results of some prospective studies have suggested an overall inverse relationship between selenium levels and cancer, other prospective studies have failed to confirm this finding. Prospective data on women are particularly limited because fewer women than men have been studied prospectively. PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to prospectively examine the relationship between selenium levels in toenails (previously shown to reflect selenium intake) and incidence of cancer among women. METHODS: The Nurses' Health Study cohort began in 1976 with 121,700 female nurses aged 30-55 years living in 11 U.S. states. In 1982, we requested toenail clippings from the members of the cohort, and 62,641 participants with no history of cancer returned these clippings. During 41 months of follow-up, 503 cases of cancer other than breast cancer (results previously reported) or nonmelanoma skin cancer were analyzed. For each case patient, a control subject was chosen from women who remained free of diagnosed cancer, matched by age and by date of nail return. RESULTS: No inverse association was observed between selenium levels in toenails and cancer risk. The age- and smoking-adjusted relative risk (RR), comparing the highest with the lowest quintile of toenail selenium level, was 1.44 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.97-2.13), and the trend across quintiles was marginally significant (two-sided P = .06). Comparing the highest with the lowest decile, the RR (age- and smoking-adjusted) was 1.77 (95% CI = 1.04-3.02). When these data were combined with the data from 434 breast cancer case patients and their matched control subjects identified in parallel from this same cohort, the RR comparing the highest with the lowest quintile was 1.24 (95% CI = 0.93-1.65). Toenail selenium level was not inversely associated with cancer at any major site, including uterine cancer, colorectal cancer, melanoma, ovarian cancer, or lung cancer (after adjusting for smoking); in fact, nonsignificant positive associations were observed at several sites. CONCLUSIONS: Toenail selenium levels were not inversely associated with cancer risk in this study. IMPLICATIONS: These data, in conjunction with previous findings of no association between toenail selenium status and breast cancer risk, strongly suggest that higher selenium intake within the range consumed by most U.S. women (as reflected by toenail selenium levels) is not protective against overall cancer incidence in women.

Adult↗

Weight gain as a risk factor for clinical diabetes mellitus in women.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the relation between adult weight change and the risk for clinical diabetes mellitus among middle-aged women. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study with follow-up from 1976 to 1990. SETTING: 11 U.S. states. PARTICIPANTS: 114,281 female registered nurses aged 30 to 55 years who did not have diagnosed diabetes mellitus, coronary heart disease, stroke, or cancer in 1976. OUTCOME MEASURES: Non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. RESULTS: 2204 cases of diabetes were diagnosed during 1.49 million person-years of follow-up. After adjustment for age, body mass index was the dominant predictor of risk for diabetes mellitus. Risk increased with greater body mass index, and even women with average weight (body mass index, 24.0 kg/m2) had an elevated risk. Compared with women with stable weight (those who gained or lost less than 5 kg between age 18 years and 1976) and after adjustment for age and body mass index at age 18 years, the relative risk for diabetes mellitus among women who had a weight gain of 5.0 to 7.9 kg was 1.9 (95% CI, 1.5 to 2.3). The corresponding relative risk for women who gained 8.0 to 10.9 kg was 2.7 (CI, 2.1 to 3.3). In contrast, women who lost more than 5.0 kg reduced their risk for diabetes mellitus by 50% or more. These results were independent of family history of diabetes. CONCLUSION: The excess risk for diabetes with even modest and typical adult weight gain is substantial. These findings support the importance of maintaining a constant body weight throughout adult life and suggest that the 1990 U.S. Department of Agriculture guidelines that allow a substantial weight gain after 35 years of age are misleading.

Adolescent↗

Postmenopausal estrogen therapy and the risk for developing systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the relation between postmenopausal hormone use and development of systemic lupus erythematosus. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Nurses' Health Study. PATIENTS: 69,435 women aged 30 to 55 years in 1976 who reported that they had completed menopause and did not have systemic lupus erythematosus or any connective tissue disease were followed every 2 years from 1976 to 1990. These women were classified as never- or ever-(current and past) users of postmenopausal hormones. MEASUREMENTS: Incidence rates of systemic lupus erythematosus and classification criteria from the American College of Rheumatology that were confirmed by chart review. RESULTS: With never-users of postmenopausal hormones as the reference group, age-adjusted relative risks for systemic lupus erythematosus (n = 45 women) were 2.1 (95% CI, 1.1 to 4.0) for ever-users, 2.5 (CI, 1.2 to 5.0) for current users, and 1.8 (CI, 0.8 to 4.1) for past users. A proportional increase in the risk for systemic lupus erythematosus was observed that was related to the duration of use of postmenopausal hormones (test for trend, P = 0.011). CONCLUSIONS: Postmenopausal hormone therapy is associated with an increased risk for developing systemic lupus erythematosus.

Adult↗

Prospective study of cigarette smoking, alcohol use, and the risk of diabetes in men.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between smoking, alcohol consumption, and the incidence of non-insulin dependent diabetes mellitus in men of middle years and older. DESIGN: Cohort questionnaire study of men followed up for six years from 1986. SETTING: The health professionals' follow up study being conducted across the United States. SUBJECTS: 41,810 male health professionals aged 40-75 years and free of diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and cancer in 1986 and followed up for six years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incidence of non-insulin dependent diabetes mellitus diagnosed in the six years. RESULTS: During 230,769 person years of follow up 509 men were newly diagnosed with diabetes. After controlling for known risk factors men who smoked 25 or more cigarettes daily had a relative risk of diabetes of 1.94 (95% confidence interval 1.25 to 3.03) compared with non-smokers. Men who consumed higher amounts of alcohol had a reduced risk of diabetes (P for trend < 0.001). Compared with abstainers men who drank 30.0-49.9 g of alcohol daily had a relative risk of diabetes of 0.61 (95% confidence interval 0.44 to 0.91). CONCLUSIONS: Cigarette smoking may be an independent, modifiable risk factor for non-insulin dependent diabetes mellitus. Moderate alcohol consumption among healthy people may be associated with increased insulin sensitivity and a reduced risk of diabetes.

Adult↗

Physical activity, obesity, and risk for colon cancer and adenoma in men.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether physical inactivity and obesity increase risk for colon cancer and adenomas, which are precursors of cancer, and whether the abdominal distribution of obesity is an independent risk factor for these events. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: United States. PATIENTS: 47,723 male health professionals, 40 to 75 years of age, who responded to a questionnaire mailed in 1986. MEASUREMENTS: Questionnaires in 1986 about physical activity level and body mass index, and questionnaires in 1987 (31,055 respondents) about waist and hip circumferences. Between 1986 and 1992, 203 new patients were diagnosed with colon cancer and 586 were diagnosed with adenomas. RESULTS: Physical activity was inversely associated with risk for colon cancer (high compared with low quintiles of average energy expenditure from leisure-time activities: relative risk, 0.53 [95% CI, 0.32 to 0.88], P for trend = 0.03) after adjustment for age; history of colorectal polyp; previous endoscopy; parental history of colorectal cancer; smoking; body mass; use of aspirin; and intake of red meat, dietary fiber, folate, and alcohol. Body mass index was directly associated with risk for colon cancer independently of physical activity level. Waist circumference and waist-to-hip ratio were strong risk factors for colon cancer (waist-to-hip ratio > or = 0.99 compared with waist-to-hip ratio < 0.90: multivariate relative risk, 3.41 [CI, 1.52 to 7.66], P for trend = 0.01; waist circumference > or = 43 inches compared with waist circumference < 35 inches: relative risk, 2.56 [CI, 1.33 to 4.96], P for trend < 0.001). These associations persisted even after adjustment for body mass and physical activity. Similar associations were seen between obesity and physical inactivity and adenomas of 1 cm or more, but no association was observed for smaller adenomas. Height was also associated with a higher risk for colon cancer (height > or = 73 inches compared with height < or = 68 inches: multivariate relative risk, 1.76 [CI, 1.13 to 2.74], P for trend = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: The results support an inverse association between physical activity and risk for colon cancer, whereas height and obesity, particularly abdominal adiposity, are associated with an elevated risk.

Adenoma↗

A random-effects regression model for meta-analysis.

Many meta-analyses use a random-effects model to account for heterogeneity among study results, beyond the variation associated with fixed effects. A random-effects regression approach for the synthesis of 2 x 2 tables allows the inclusion of covariates that may explain heterogeneity. A simulation study found that the random-effects regression method performs well in the context of a meta-analysis of the efficacy of a vaccine for the prevention of tuberculosis, where certain factors are thought to modify vaccine efficacy. A smoothed estimator of the within-study variances produced less bias in the estimated regression coefficients. The method provided very good power for detecting a non-zero intercept term (representing overall treatment efficacy) but low power for detecting a weak covariate in a meta-analysis of 10 studies. We illustrate the model by exploring the relationship between vaccine efficacy and one factor thought to modify efficacy. The model also applies to the meta-analysis of continuous outcomes when covariates are present.

BCG Vaccine↗

Alcohol, low-methionine--low-folate diets, and risk of colon cancer in men.

BACKGROUND: Methylation of DNA, which may have a role in the regulation of gene expression, depends on dietary folate and methionine. Because aberrant DNA methylation may contribute to the initiation or progression of colon cancer, we hypothesized that deficient intakes of folate or methionine and high consumption of alcohol, an antagonist of methyl-group metabolism, increase risk of colon neoplasia. Previously, a high-alcohol and low-methionine--low-folate (methyl-deficient) diet was shown to be related to a higher risk of colon adenomas, precursors of cancer. PURPOSE: Our goal was to determine if ingestion of a high-alcohol, methyl-deficient diet is related directly to risk of colon cancer. METHODS: We assessed dietary intake for a 1-year period for a cohort of 47,931 U.S. male health professionals, 40-75 years old and free of diagnosed cancer in 1986. We assessed diet by using a validated, semiquantitative food-frequency questionnaire. During 6 years of follow-up, we documented 205 new cases of colon cancer in this cohort. RESULTS: Current alcohol intake was directly related to risk of colon cancer (multivariate relative risk [RR] = 2.07; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.29-3.32, for > 2 drinks versus < or = 0.25 drink daily; P trend = .005), and past drinkers were also at higher risk (RR = 1.95; 95% CI = 1.22-3.10). Individually, folate and methionine intakes were weakly inversely associated with risk of colon cancer. An adverse effect of a high-alcohol, low-methyl diet was not observed among regular users of aspirin, who have previously been shown to be at lower risk for colon cancer. Combinations of high alcohol and low methionine and folate intakes yielded striking associations for total colon cancer (RR = 3.30 [95% CI = 1.58-6.88] comparing high-methyl diets with low-methyl diets among nonusers of aspirin) and for cancers of the distal colon (RR = 7.44; 95% CI = 1.72-32.1). Among men with high intakes of folate or methionine, alcohol levels of > 2 drinks daily were not associated with risk of colon cancer. The increased risk of colon cancer associated with alcohol and methyl-deficient diets was not confounded by smoking; intakes of fat, red meat, and fiber; level of physical activity; multivitamin or aspirin use; and body mass index. CONCLUSIONS: These findings support the hypothesis that substantial consumption of alcohol, when combined with inadequate intakes of folate and methionine, may increase risk of colon cancer and confirm similar findings in adenomas. IMPLICATIONS: These data provide further support of recommendations to avoid excess alcohol consumption and to increase dietary folate to lower the risk of colon cancer.

Adenoma↗

Weight, weight change, and coronary heart disease in women. Risk within the 'normal' weight range.

OBJECTIVE--To assess the validity of the 1990 US weight guidelines for women that support a substantial gain in weight at approximately 35 years of age and recommend a range of body mass index (BMI) (defined as weight in kilograms divided by the square of height in meters) from 21 to 27 kg/m2, in terms of coronary heart disease (CHD) risk in women. DESIGN--Prospective cohort study. SETTING--Female registered nurses in the United States. PARTICIPANTS--A total of 115,818 women aged 30 to 55 years in 1976 and without a history of previous CHD. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE--Incidence of CHD defined as nonfatal myocardial infarction or fatal CHD. RESULTS--During 14 years of follow-up, 1292 cases of CHD were ascertained. After controlling for age, smoking, menopausal status, postmenopausal hormone use, and parental history of CHD and using as a reference women with a BMI of less than 21 kg/m2, relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for CHD were 1.19 (0.97 to 1.44) for a BMI of 21 to 22.9 kg/m2, 1.46 (1.20 to 1.77) for a BMI of 23 to 24.9 kg/m2, 2.06 (1.72 to 2.48) for a BMI of 25 to 28.9 kg/m2, and 3.56 (2.96 to 4.29) for a BMI of 29 kg/m2 or more. Women who gained weight from 18 years of age were compared with those with stable weight (+/- 5 kg) in analyses that controlled for the same variables as well as BMI at 18 years of age. The RRs and CIs were 1.25 (1.01 to 1.55) for a 5- to 7.9-kg gain, 1.64 (1.33 to 2.04) for an 8- to 10.9-kg gain, 1.92 (1.61 to 2.29) for an 11- to 19-kg gain, and 2.65 (2.17 to 3.22) for a gain of 20 kg or more. Among women with the BMI range of 18 to 25 kg/m2, weight gain after 18 years of age remained a strong predictor of CHD risk. CONCLUSIONS--Higher levels of body weight within the "normal" range, as well as modest weight gains after 18 years of age, appear to increase risks of CHD in middle-aged women. These data provide evidence that current US weight guidelines may be falsely reassuring to the large proportion of women older than 35 years who are within the current guidelines but have potentially avoidable risks of CHD.

Adult↗

Diet, alcohol, and smoking and the occurrence of hyperplastic polyps of the colon and rectum (United States).

Hyperplastic polyps of the colon reveal a geographic distribution similar to that of colorectal cancer and adenomatous polyps. However, unlike adenomas--known precursors of colorectal cancer--little is known about the etiology or clinical significance of the hyperplastic polyp. In this prospective study, we set out to determine the main dietary and other lifestyle factors in the United States that might be associated with this lesion. Hyperplastic polyps of the distal colon and rectum were diagnosed in 219 of 12,922 men of the Health Professionals Follow-up Study having had an endoscopic procedure between 1986 and 1992, and 175 of 15,339 women of the Nurses' Health Study who had undergone an endoscopy for a variety of reasons between 1980 and 1990. After adjusting for age, family history of colon cancer, history of previous endoscopy, and total energy intake using multiple logistic regression, those consuming 30 g or more of alcohol per day were at increased risk relative to nondrinkers among men (relative risk [RR] = 1.69; 95 percent confidence interval [CI] = 1.01-2.80) and women (RR = 1.79, CI = 1.02-3.15). Current smoking also was found to be associated strongly positively with hyperplastic polyps in men (RR = 2.45, CI = 1.59-3.75) and women (RR = 1.96, CI = 1.16-2.86). High intake of folate was associated inversely with risk in both men (RR = 0.74, CI = 0.49-1.11, between high and low intakes of folate) and women (RR = 0.45, CI = 0.28-0.74, between high and low intakes of folate). Among macronutrients, a suggestive increase in risk existed with intake of animal fat, although this was attenuated in the full multivariate model (RR[men] = 1.48, CI = 0.94-2.41, and RR[women] = 1.22, CI = 0.77-1.94) between high and low quantities of animal fat intake. These prospective data provide evidence of associations between low folate intake, alcohol consumption, and current cigarette smoking, and risk of hyperplastic polyps of the distal colon and rectum. These same factors also have been found to be related to adenoma and cancer of the colon. The hyperplastic polyp is an indicator of populations at high risk for colorectal carcinoma, and it also may serve as a marker for factors that influence neoplastic evolution.

Adult↗

Reproductive factors and family history of breast cancer in relation to plasma estrogen and prolactin levels in postmenopausal women in the Nurses' Health Study (United States).

Parity, age at first birth, age at menarche, and a family history of breast cancer have each been associated consistently with breast cancer risk. Whether this increase in risk is mediated, at least in part, through changes in endogenous hormone levels is unclear. We conducted a cross-sectional study of the relationships between these factors and plasma hormone levels in 216 healthy postmenopausal women in the Nurses' Health Study (United States). The hormones evaluated were estradiol, percent and total free estradiol, percent and total bioavailable estradiol, estrone, estrone sulfate, and prolactin. After controlling for age, body mass index (weight/height2), and alcohol use, we observed inverse associations between estrone sulfate and parity (r = -0.15, P = 0.03) and between percent bioavailable estradiol and age at first birth (r = -0.17, P = 0.02). Although women with a family history of breast cancer tended to have higher estrogen levels compared with women without such history, the differences were not statistically significant. Age at menarche was not related significantly to any of the hormones. These data provide some additional evidence that the inverse relationship observed between parity and breast cancer risk may be mediated, at least in part, through decreased estrogen levels. Our data do not support a substantial influence of either family history of breast cancer or age at menarche on postmenopausal estrogen or prolactin levels.

Adult↗

Reproducibility of recall of adolescent diet: Nurses' Health Study (United States).

Although diet and alcohol consumption at a younger age have been hypothesized to play an etiologic role in adult malignancy, few studies have addressed these relations and few data exist on the ability to measure recalled diet during adolescence. We undertook a study to determine whether the recall of diet during high school 22 to 47 years later was reproducible within a prospective cohort of women. In 1986, participants in the Nurses' Health Study (United States), aged 40 to 65 years, reported their diet during high school using a 24-item food frequency questionnaire (FFQ). On the 1988 questionnaire, the participants recorded their alcohol consumption between the ages of 18 and 22. In 1994, a random sample of 275 women were asked to record again their high school diet and alcohol consumption. The average of Spearman correlations between the two recalls of high school diet was r = 0.57 (range = 0.38 to 0.74). For alcohol intake, the correlation for the time period queried was 0.66. The correlation between the two recalls of high school diet was higher than the correlation between the first recall and current diet in 1986 (average r = 0.25). There was no effect of age on reproducibility of recall. These data suggest that recall of diet from the very distant past, during a distinct time period such as high school, is reasonably reproducible. Although further studies of validity are needed, such information may be sufficiently precise to assess the influence of remote diet in epidemiologic studies.

Adolescent↗

A prospective study of consumption of carotenoids in fruits and vegetables and decreased cardiovascular mortality in the elderly.

Recent evidence suggests that oxidative damage may be involved in atherogenesis, and thus dietary antioxidants, such as beta-carotene, may reduce the risks of cardiovascular disease (CVD). We examined the association between consumption of carotene-containing fruits and vegetables and CVD mortality among 1299 elderly Massachusetts residents who provided dietary information as a part of the Massachusetts Health Care Panel Study. During a mean follow-up of 4.75 years, there were 161 deaths attributable to CVD, 48 of which were due to myocardial infarction. For total CVD death and fatal myocardial infarction, risks were lower among those residents in the highest quartile for consumption of carotene-containing fruits and vegetables as compared with those in the lowest. For death due to CVD, the relative risk (RR) was 0.54 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.34 to 0.86; P for trend across quartiles, 0.004). For myocardial infarction the RR was 0.25 (95% CI, 0.09 to 0.67; P for trend, 0.002). These observational data are compatible with the hypothesis that increased dietary intake of carotenoids decreases the risks of CVD mortality; however, confounding cannot be ruled out. This hypothesis requires rigorous evaluation in randomized trials of sufficient size to detect reliably whether carotenoids confer small-to-moderate but clinically important protection against CVD.

Aged↗