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Franco Merletti

Publications and source records attributed to Franco Merletti.

48 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Risk factors for early and late mortality in hospitalized older patients: the continuing importance of functional status.

BACKGROUND: Prognostic information collected at hospital admission may be useful in defining care objectives and in deciding on therapy for older people. The aim of our study was to identify admission risk factors for in-hospital and postdischarge mortality. METHODS: The study included 987 patients aged 70 years and older admitted to the geriatric ward of San Giovanni Battista Hospital in Torino during 1995 and 1996. Demographic, clinical, and functional variables were collected on admission to hospital and examined as potential risk factors for mortality during hospitalization and at 5 years of follow-up. RESULTS: During their hospital stay, 147 patients (14.9%) died. Risk factors independently associated with in-hospital mortality included functional impairment (Activities of Daily Living [ADL]) (OR [odds ratio] 1.73, CI [confidence interval] 95% 1.02-2.95), dependence related to medical conditions (OR 2.18, CI 95% 1.39-3.42), cerebrovascular disease (OR 3.23, CI 95% 1.64-6.37), cancer (OR 4.52, CI 95% 1.99-10.24), albumin 3.0-3.4 g/dl (OR 4.51, CI 95% 2.76-7.35), albumin <3.0 g/dl (OR 6.83, CI 95% 3.59-13.0), creatinine 1.5-3 mg/dl (OR 2.23, CI 95% 1.36-3.65), creatinine >3 mg/dl (OR 2.55, CI 95% 1.10-5.93), and fibrinogen >/=452 mg/dl (OR 1.91, CI 95% 1.26-2.89). During the 5-year follow-up, 553 patients (67.7%) died. Variables independently associated with mortality in multivariate analysis were age 75-84 years (HR [hazard ratio] 1.40, CI 95% 1.10-1.78), >/=85 years (HR 2.08, CI 95% 1.59-2.72), male sex (HR 1.50, CI 95% 1.24-1.81), ADL dependency (HR 1.24, CI 95% 1.01-1.52), >/=5 errors on Short Portable Mental Status Questionnaire (HR 1.34, CI 95% 1.10-1.63), dependence on Dependence Medical Index (HR 1.36, CI 95% 1.10-1.67), presence of cancer (HR 2.58, CI 95% 1.80-3.71), hemoglobin </=11 g/dl (HR 1.46, CI 95% 1.17-1.81), and Charlson's Index >/=2 (HR 1.49, CI 95% 1.14-1.95). CONCLUSIONS: A complete functional and clinical evaluation at hospital admission permits identification of patients at higher risk of early and long-term mortality.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Progression to overt nephropathy in type 2 diabetes: the Casale Monferrato Study.

OBJECTIVE: The first sign of diabetic nephropathy is microalbuminuria, but its predictive role of progression to overt nephropathy in type 2 diabetes has not yet been clarified. The aims of this study were to assess during 7 years of follow-up the incidence rate of overt nephropathy and the predictive role of microalbuminuria and other baseline variables (blood pressure, lipids, fibrinogen, uric acid, smoking, and HbA(1c) cumulative average during follow-up). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A prospective population-based study was performed in Casale Monferrato, Italy, including 1,253 type 2 diabetic patients recruited at baseline (1991-1992), 765 with normoalbuminuria (albumin excretion rate [AER] <20 microg/min) and 488 with microalbuminuria (AER 20-200 microg/min). All measurements were centralized. A nested case-control study within the cohort was performed, selecting four control subjects, frequency matched for age and attained individual time of follow-up with each case. Conditional regression analysis was performed to assess variables independently associated with risk of progression to overt nephropathy. RESULTS: Of 1,253 total patients, 1,103 (88.0%) were included in the follow-up examination (median 5.33 years); their age and duration of disease at baseline were 68.4 +/- 10.5 years and 10.4 +/- 6.6 years, respectively. Cases of overt nephropathy were 202, giving an incidence rate of 37.0/1,000 person-years (95% CI 32.3-42.6). In conditional logistic regression analyses, microalbuminuria provided a 42% increased risk with respect to normoalbuminuria (95% CI 0.98-2.06), independently of duration of diabetes, hypertension, and systolic blood pressure. Other variables independently associated with progression to overt nephropathy were HbA(1c) cumulative average (P = 0.002), apolipoprotein B (P = 0.013), fibrinogen (P = 0.02), and HDL cholesterol (P = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Of type 2 diabetic patients, 3.7% progress every year to overt nephropathy. Microalbuminuria is associated with a 42% increased risk of progression to overt nephropathy. Other independent predictors are HbA(1c), HDL cholesterol, apolipoprotein B, and fibrinogen.

Aged↗

Low incidence of end-stage renal disease and chronic renal failure in type 2 diabetes: a 10-year prospective study.

OBJECTIVE: Data on the incidence of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and chronic renal failure from population-based studies in Caucasian type 2 diabetic patients are lacking. To provide such data, a population-based cohort of type 2 diabetic patients was identified in Casale Monferrato, Italy, and prospectively examined from 1991 to 2001. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: During the follow-up period, patients were regularly examined with centralized measurements of plasma creatinine and HbA(1c). Independent predictors of progression to renal events were identified with multivariate Cox proportional hazards modeling, with sex, age, and individual follow-up time as confounders. RESULTS: We followed 1,408 of 1,540 (91.4%) patients (average follow-up time 6.7 years, range 0.011-11.1); 10 new cases of ESRD and 72 of chronic renal failure (plasma values of creatinine >or=2.0 mg/dl) were identified, giving incidence rates/1,000 person-years of 1.04 (95% CI 0.56-1.94) and 7.63 (6.06-9.61), respectively. Cumulative risks for chronic renal failure adjusted for competing mortality were 6.1 and 9.3% after 20 and 30 years from diagnosis of diabetes, respectively. Incidence rates and cumulative risks of chronic renal failure defined by plasma creatinine values >1.5 mg/dl increased to 13.1/1,000 person-years, 8.6 and 14.8%, respectively. In Cox regression analysis, predictors of progression (after adjustment for confounders) were hypertension (P = 0.078), diastolic blood pressure (P = 0.034), BMI (P = 0.03), and albumin excretion rate (AER) (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: We provide evidence that the individual risk of ESRD and chronic renal failure is low. AER and diastolic blood pressure are independent predictors of progression. These findings underline the relevance of primary prevention to reduce the number of diabetic patients with ESRD.

Aged↗

Population-based survival after childhood cancer diagnosed during 1970-98: a report from the Childhood Cancer Registry of Piedmont, Italy.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Survival after childhood cancer has shown a steady improvement from the late 1970s in most developed countries. Since 1967 the Childhood Cancer Registry of Piedmont has been collecting cases of malignant tumor, diagnosed in children aged 0-14 years, living in Piedmont. This work aims to update survival rates to 31.12.2000. DESIGN AND METHODS: This study includes 2,678 children diagnosed between 1970-98. Vital status was assessed at the Registry Office of the town of residence. One thousand four-hundred ninety cases were reported to be alive, 1170 dead and for 18 the status was unknown. Thirty-three cases registered with a death certificate only were excluded. Completeness of follow-up was 99.3%. All tumor types were classified according to the Birch-Marsden classification. Histologic verification was available for 94.4% of cases. RESULTS: Survival at 5 years increased over the period 1970-98 for all tumor types with a statistically significant trend over time (p<0.0001). The 5 year survival rate for acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) increased steadily from 24.7% (95%CI 15.0-34.3) to 87.6% (80.9-94.3), for acute non-lymphoblastic leukemia (ANLL) from 0.0% to 38.1% (17.3-58.9), and for non-Hodgkin's lymphomas from 25.2% (0.6-49.8) to 79.7% (61.9-97.5). Five year survival rates of children with central nervous system tumors increased from 33.4% in 1970-74 to 78.5% in 1990-94 and decreased in 1995-98 to 70.9%. Age <1 year and >50,000x10(6) cells/L at diagnosis were negative prognostic factors for ALL. Age <1 year was a favorable prognostic factor for neuroblastoma. INTERPRETATION AND CONCLUSIONS: Survival of children with all types of tumors improved in Piedmont. This improved survival is comparable to that reported by other European and North American population-based cancer registries.

Adolescent↗

Analysis of nonresponse bias in a population-based case-control study on lung cancer.

The objective of this study was to identify characteristics of nonrespondents and late respondents in a population-based case-control study on lung cancer conducted in the city of Turin (Italy). Information about demographic and socioeconomic variables of 634 cases and 859 controls who responded to an interview, as well as of 154 cases and 154 controls who did not respond were obtained from census and the public register of Turin. The socioeconomic level of nonrespondents was high in cases but low in controls. Late respondent controls (i.e., individuals who responded after contact through their general practitioner) had socioeconomic characteristics comparable with those of nonrespondents, while they were similar to respondents with respect to demographic variables. The interview of late respondents halved, from 14 to 7%, the magnitude of the bias introduced by nonresponse on the estimate of the association between educational level and lung cancer. Nonresponse, associated with socioeconomic status, is an important potential source of bias in population-based case-control studies, which should always be considered and discussed. The direction and magnitude of the bias can be quantified. General practitioners may contribute to decrease nonresponse bias. Caution should be used in inferring characteristics of nonrespondents on the basis of those of late respondents.

Aged↗

Oral melphalan at diagnosis hampers adequate collection of peripheral blood progenitor cells in multiple myeloma.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Since optimal collection of peripheral blood progenitor cells (PBPC) remains crucial for high-dose therapy in patients with multiple myeloma (MM) in relapse phase or refractory to chemotherapy, we evaluated several variables that may influence mobilization. DESIGN AND METHODS: Eighty-nine patients who underwent a standard mobilization procedure with cyclophosphamide (3 g/m2) and growth factors entered the study. A composite collection totalling at least 2x106 CD34+/kg was defined as a sufficient yield: 59 patients achieved an adequate collection. A reliable factor to predict adequate yields was prior therapy: an adequate collection was obtained in 92% of patients treated with conventional non-alkylating therapy (VAD-based regimens), in 56% treated with oral melphalan and in 23% who had received intravenous melphalan. RESULTS: The three groups were similar for most clinical features. After adjustment for several potential confounders, the probability of an adequate PBPC collection remained higher in the group treated with non-alkylating agents, with an odds ratio (OR) of 6.14 (95% confidence interval, CI=1.34, 28.13) and lower in those treated with intravenous melphalan (OR=0.08; CI=0.01-0.61), when compared to the group treated with oral melphalan. Among the other prognostic factors (stage, percentage of bone marrow plasma cells, b2-microglobulin, labeling index, isotype, monoclonal component, Bence-Jones proteinuria) evaluated at diagnosis, there was no clear association with progenitor cell yield. INTERPRETATION AND CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, patients who are potential candidates for high-dose therapy with PBPC support should not receive conventional alkylating therapy, even orally. Alternatively, progenitor cells should be collected early in the course of MM.

Administration, Oral↗

Population attributable risk for occupational cancer in Italy.

Population studies estimating the proportion of cancer attributable to occupation (PAR) in different geographical areas in Italy are reviewed. Studies using lists of industrial activities and occupations which are known or suspected to entail exposure to lung carcinogens gave lung cancer PARs between 5% and 36%. Those using job-exposure matrices estimated PARs of 3%-53%, with most of the values ranging between 17 and 33%. For bladder cancer, PARs ranged between 4% and 24%. The uses and limitations of calculating population attribultable risk are discussed.

Adult↗

[Evaluation of quality of care through hospital discharge reports: an example of rectal cancer surgery].

This study was undertaken to evaluate the usefulness of hospital discharge data for monitoring the impact of a regional practice guideline on treatment of colorectal cancer. The aims of the study were: i) estimating process and outcome indicators; ii) exploring the relationship between patient and hospital characteristics and these indicators. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were adjusted for all risk factors analysed. All 3,614 patients undergoing potentially curative resection for rectal cancer in 75 hospitals in Piedmont (Italy) between 1997 and 2000 were included. Occurrences of abdominoperineal resections (APR), postoperative complications, reinterventions and hospital mortality were 16.2%, 11.0%, 5.5% and 4.4%, respectively. APR was performed more frequently in patients with distant metastases or urgently admitted and by hospitals with a lower volume of cases (< 25 per year) compared to hospital with more than 50 cases per year (OR = 1.50, CI = 1.16-1.94). The strongest predictors for mortality and complications were: older age, distant metastases and urgency of admission. Incidence of complications and of reinterventions was also increased among males and in patients with lesions of the lower rectum. The rate of complications showed an increasing trend during the period, from 8.5% to 14.5% likely reflecting improvement in coding during time. Low hospital workload was associated to a reduced risk of complications and reinterventions, but there was evidence of underreporting of secondary diagnoses and procedures in smaller hospitals. Outcome indicator based on secondary diagnoses and procedures are of limited value in monitoring improvement of care since they reflect also differences in coding during time and among providers.

Aged↗

[Hospital mortality at a cardiosurgical unit in Torino: international comparisons and time trend].

OBJECTIVE: To compare hospital mortality in a cardiac surgery unit with external data and to assess changes in time (patients undergoing surgery in two different periods). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data on risk factors for hospital mortality were collected from clinical records (retrospectively for the first period and prospectively for the second) for all patients undergoing open heart surgery at the Heart Surgery Unit of the University of Turin (Italy) during 1991 and 1995 (n = 1794) and 1999 (n = 892). Comparisons of in-hospital mortality, expressed as Standardized Mortality Ratios (SMR), were adjusted for risk factors defined according to EuroSCORE (European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation). RESULTS: In the first and second period, complete information on all the 17 EuroSCORE items was available for 58.3% and 89.6% patients respectively. After exclusion of patients with one or more missing data, observed and expected numbers of death were found to be very similar, with SMRs ranging between 0.82 (isolated bypass in the second period) and 1.06 ("other" surgery in the first period). Mortality was higher among patients with missing data, but at least in 1999 the latter had a limited impact on the overall estimates. Compared to the first period, mortality was reduced during 1999 (from 5.9% to 5.4%), in particular for isolated bypass (from 4.4% to 3.4%). CONCLUSIONS: In the unit under investigation, hospital mortality following heart surgery was similar to that predicted from EuroSCORE and seemed to be lower in 1999 than in 1991-95, particularly for isolated bypass. Incompleteness of data on individual risk factors may have been a source of bias, especially when data were collected retrospectively.

Adolescent↗

[Life expectancy as an indicator of outcome].

Usually survival studies evaluate the percentage of subjects alive or disease-free at a given point in time (cumulative survival percentage). These studies require a lengthy period both for follow up and for the collection of an exhaustive number of cases. In addition, for cancer types with a sharp gradient of cumulative mortality, the estimate may be unstable. On the database of children with Acute Lymphoblastic Leukaemia (ALL) collected by the Childhood Cancer Registry of Piedmont (CCRP) in 1979-1991, we have estimated an alternative time-dimensional index to estimate both patients' life expectancy of patient and number of years gained to death. These estimates have been compared in subsets of the database corresponding to different periods of diagnosis and efficacy of treatment. Life expectancy has been evaluated as the area under the survival curve, on the assumption that after a number of years since diagnosis, survivors have the same mortality rates of the general population. Clinicians are invited to take into consideration the approach described in the present note.

Adolescent↗

[Use of discharge records to define the oncological diagnoses for outpatient radiotherapy patients].

OBJECTIVE: Outpatient activity recording system has a potential role in clinical practice evaluation. Nevertheless, up to now, its utilisation has been limited by the paucity of its clinical data. This study describes a procedure for identifying the oncological diagnosis in patients receiving radiotherapy at an ambulatory service in the Piedmont Region. The procedure is based on the record linkage between discharge records (SDO) and outpatients records (PA), in order to obtain clinical information from the diagnosis related to possible admissions of the patients. METHODS: The study analyzed radiotherapy outpatients records in 2003 related to Piedmont residents and all discharge records in years 2000-2004. The quality of the procedure has been assessed by using the information on the real oncological diagnosis as reported in the outpatients medical records of a random sample of patients. RESULTS: The record linkage with SDO allows to define an oncological diagnosis for 82% (95% CI 78.5-84.8) of the patients. Agreement between defined diagnosis and the real one is 85.7% (CI 95% 82.2-88.6). The validity of the procedure is affected by the patients' cancer site. The distribution by cancer site of the patients treated with radiotherapy in Piedmont Region obtained with the record linkage procedure is homogeneous to the real distribution of the random sample used for control. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, the record linkage between SDO and radiotherapy PA shows a good performance in defining the oncological diagnosis of the patients receiving radiotherapy at an ambulatory setting. This method allows to increase interest and utility of PA records.

Ambulatory Care↗