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F Mullan

Publications and source records attributed to F Mullan.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Managed care on the march: will physicians meet the challenge?

The health care delivery system in the United States is in transition. Increasingly managed care plans are gaining in predominance. The proliferation of managed care systems will have an impact on the demand and requirements for physicians. This paper attempts to project and estimate requirements for physicians in 2000 and 2020, assuming that the health care system will continue to be dominated by managed care. The projections are then compared to forecasts of physician supply under two separate physician production scenarios. The authors discuss the adequacy of the future physician workforce to provide services required by a health care system dominated by managed care.

Forecasting↗

State practice environments and the supply of physician assistants, nurse practitioners, and certified nurse-midwives.

BACKGROUND: Most proposals to increase access to primary care in the United States emphasize increasing the proportion of generalist physicians. Another approach is to increase the number of physician assistants, nurse practitioners, and certified nurse-midwives. METHODS: We analyzed variations in the regulation of nurse practitioners, physician assistants, and certified nurse-midwives in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Using a 100-point scoring system, we assigned numerical values to specific characteristics of the practice environment in each state for each group of practitioners, awarding a maximum of 20 points for legal status, 40 points for reimbursement for services, and 40 points for the authority to write prescriptions. We calculated coefficients for the correlation of summary measures of these values within states with estimates of the supply of practitioners per 100,000 population. RESULTS: There was wide variation among states in both practice-environment scores and practitioner-to-population ratios for all three groups of practitioners. We found positive correlations within states between the supply of physician assistants, nurse practitioners, and certified nurse-midwives and the practice-environment score for the state (Spearman rank-correlation coefficients, 0.63 [P < 0.001], 0.41 [P = 0.003], and 0.51 [P < 0.001], respectively). Positive associations were also found in the states between the supply of generalist physicians and the supply of physician assistants (r = 0.54, P < 0.001) and nurse practitioners (r = 0.35, P = 0.014). Nevertheless, in the 17 states with the greatest shortages of primary care physicians, favorable practice-environment scores were still associated with higher practitioner-to-population ratios for physician assistants (r = 0.68, P = 0.003), nurse practitioners (r = 0.54, P = 0.026), and certified nurse-midwives (r = 0.42, P = 0.09). CONCLUSIONS: State regulation of physician assistants, nurse practitioners, and certified nurse-midwives varies widely. Favorable practice environments are strongly associated with a larger supply of these practitioners.

Health Services Accessibility↗

Data bank.

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Confidentiality↗

Balance and limits: modeling graduate medical education reform based on recommendations of the Council on Graduate Medical Education.

National commissions, medical philanthropies, scholars, and policy analysts agree that the key to improved health care access and cost containment is a physician workforce built on a generalist foundation. They propose a national system to allocate a specific and limited number of graduate medical education (GME) positions. The Council on Graduate Medical Education recommended that training positions be limited to 110 percent of the graduates of U.S. allopathic and osteopathic medical schools and that the system graduate 50 percent into primary care practice (50/50-110 proposal). The 50/50-110 option would significantly modify GME training: surgical and support specialty positions would be reduced, and increased numbers of medical and pediatric residents would enter general practice. This workforce composition would facilitate provision of universal health care access and help control costs--the basic tenets of reform.

Education, Medical, Graduate↗

The elusive generalist physician. Can we reach a 50% goal?

National attention has focused on the goal of attaining 50% primary care practitioners to facilitate patient access and cost-effectiveness. To determine how long it might take to achieve this goal, we used the Bureau of Health Professions' aggregate physician supply model to forecast the generalist-specialist balance. Assuming that 30% of graduates will enter generalist practice after 1993 (the percentage in the mid-1980s), the number of generalists would increase from 174,940 in 1990 to 232,000 in 2040 (77 per 100,000 population), but the percentage would remain at about 30%; specialists would continue to make up about 70% of all active physicians, but their total number would grow from 345,600 to 537,000 (178 per 100,000 population). If 50% of graduates were to enter generalist practices, by the year 2040 the number of generalists would grow to 373,000, or 124 per 100,000 (48.4% of all physicians). If entry into generalist practice falls to 20%, as suggested by recent medical student preferences, the number of generalists would peak at 192,000 (26.4%) in 2010 and would fall to 160,000 (21%) by 2040, resulting in 53 generalists and 201 specialists per 100,000 population. We discuss the implications of these findings on aggregate physician supply and on policy initiative affecting the ratio of generalists to specialists. Reform proposals affecting the specialty mix should clearly identify the desired future ratio of generalists and specialists per capita.

Family Practice↗

Doctors, dollars, and determination: making physician work-force policy.

Because managed care is likely to feature prominently in a reformed health care system, policymakers need to examine the impact managed care will have on medical practice, physician supply, and access to primary care providers. Goals for work-force reform should focus on five areas: (1) training physicians in the generalist disciplines of family practice, general internal medicine, and general pediatrics; (2) shaping the physician work force to reflect the nation's ethnic diversity; (3) distributing physicians in a geographically equitable way; (4) maintaining the current physician-to-population ratio rather than letting it continue to grow; and (5) establishing supply needs for nurse practitioners, primary care physician assistants, and certified nurse midwives.

Competitive Medical Plans↗

Availability of primary care health personnel. The States speak out.

The adequacy of the supply of health personnel, and primary care personnel in particular, has been assessed at the aggregate national level and the disaggregate or regional/state perspective. While Federal programs have been successful in expanding the Nation's supply of health care practitioners and alleviating aggregate national shortages in some occupations and specialties, problems of geographic distribution remain. In an effort to obtain information on the adequacy of the supply of health care personnel within each state and jurisdiction, the chief executives were asked to assess their most pressing personnel supply concerns. The two occupations most often cited as being in short supply were primary care physicians and registered nurses. The state assessment of shortages of registered nurses is in concert with national assessments. In contrast, the supply of primary care physicians appears to be adequate if not in excess at the national level, implying that aggregate assessments may camouflage significant regional and state shortages. Disaggregate assessments are essential to derive an appropriate picture of national supply adequacy.

Delivery of Health Care↗

The current and future need for minority medical faculty.

Little progress has been made in increasing the number of minority faculty members at US medical schools. From 1975 through 1989, underrepresented minority medical faculty increased only 0.3%--from 2.7% to 3.0%. In the field of medicine in general, only 3% of physicians are African-American and 3% are Hispanic, while the African-American and Hispanic populations are approximately 12% and 7%, respectively, of the total US population. A number of factors have caused the persistent underrepresentation of minority health professions trainees: inadequate or inappropriate career counseling, admissions policies, relatively high attrition rates after matriculation, substantial costs of education, and lack of appropriate mentors and role models. Helping minority students overcome these obstacles requires providing them with appropriate information, preparation, motivation, and opportunities at all stages of the educational process. Attention must focus on recruiting minority students into the scientific, academic professions if an increase is to occur in numbers of underrepresented minorities in all specialties of medicine. The Health Resources and Services Administration and private foundations have committed to providing funds to educational institutions to help encourage minority students to pursue academic careers. Leadership at these institutions must also commit to increasing the numbers of underrepresented minority faculty and senior administrators.

Ethnicity↗