Biomedical subjects
F L Grover
Publications and source records attributed to F L Grover.
Health-related quality of life as a predictor of mortality following coronary artery bypass graft surgery. Participants of the Department of Veterans Affairs Cooperative Study Group on Processes, Structures, and Outcomes of Care in Cardiac Surgery.
CONTEXT: Health-related quality of life has not been evaluated as a predictor of mortality following coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery. Evaluation of health status as a mortality predictor may be useful for preoperative risk stratification. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the Physical and Mental Component Summary scores from the preoperative Short-Form 36 (SF-36) health status survey predict mortality following CABG surgery after adjustment for known clinical risk variables. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study conducted between September 1992 and December 1996. SETTING: Fourteen Veterans Affairs hospitals. PATIENTS: Of the 3956 patients undergoing CABG surgery only and who were enrolled in the Processes, Structures, and Outcomes of Care in Cardiac Surgery study, the 2480 who completed a preoperative SF-36. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: All-cause mortality within 180 days after surgery. RESULTS: A total of 117 deaths (4.7%) occurred within 180 days of CABG surgery. The Physical Component Summary of the preoperative SF-36 was a statistically significant risk factor for 6-month mortality after adjustment for known clinical risk factors for mortality following CABG surgery. In multivariate analysis, a 10-point lower SF-36 Physical Component Summary score had an odds ratio (OR) of 1.39 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.11-1.77; P=.006) for predicting mortality. The SF-36 Mental Component Summary score was not associated with 6-month mortality in multivariate analyses (OR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.92-1.29; P=.31). CONCLUSIONS: The Physical Component Summary score from the preoperative SF-36 is an independent risk factor for mortality following CABG surgery. The baseline Mental Component Summary score does not appear to be predictive of mortality. Preoperative patient self-report of the physical component of health status may be helpful for risk stratification and clinical decision making for patients undergoing CABG surgery.
Risk stratification for cardiac valve replacement. National Cardiac Surgery Database. Database Committee of The Society of Thoracic Surgeons.
BACKGROUND: The Society of Thoracic Surgeons National Database Committee is committed to risk stratification and assessment as integral elements in the practice of cardiac operations. The National Cardiac Surgery Database was created to analyze data from subscribing institutions across the country. We analyzed the database for valve replacement procedures with and without coronary artery bypass grafting to determine trends in risk stratification. METHODS: The database contains complete records of 86,580 patients who had valve replacement procedures at the participating institutions between 1986 and 1995, inclusive. The 1995 harvest of data was conducted in late 1996 and available for evaluation in 1997. These records were used to conduct an in-depth analysis of risk factors associated with valve replacement and to provide prediction of operative death by using regression analysis. Regression models were made for six subgroups. RESULTS: Adverse patient risk factors, including diabetes, hypertension and reoperation, but not ventricular function, increased over time. There were trends with regard to increasing age of the various population subsets. The types of prostheses used remained similar over time, with more mechanical prostheses than bioprostheses used for both aortic and mitral valve replacement. There was a trend toward increased use of bioprostheses in aortic replacements and decreased use in mitral replacements between 1991 and 1995 than between 1986 and 1990. The mortality rate was determined by patient subset for primary operation and reoperation and by urgency status. The modeling showed that the predicted and observed mortality correlated for all age groups and within patient subsets. CONCLUSIONS: Risk modeling is a valuable tool for predicting the probability of operative death in any individual patient. This large, multiinstitutional database is capable of determining modern operative risk and should provide standards for acceptable care. The study illustrates the importance of risk stratification for early death both for the patient and the surgeon.
The 1996 coronary artery bypass risk model: the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac National Database.
BACKGROUND: The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac National Database has recently completed the update for the 1996 risk model to be used to estimate the risk of operative death for isolated coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) procedures. METHODS: We placed emphasis on clinical relevance, data quality, data completeness, and univariate analyses. A logistic regression approach was used to develop the 1996 CABG-only risk model. RESULTS: Odds ratios for the factors with highest risk are multiple reoperations (OR = 4.3), emergent salvage status (OR = 3.7), and first reoperation (OR = 2.7). Standard performance measures indicated the model had high predictive power and an acceptable level of calibration after adjustment for a large sample size effect. CONCLUSION: The most current STS risk model of CABG operative mortality is a reliable and statistically valid tool. The 1996 CABG-only model has been approved for use by The Society of Thoracic Surgeons.
Stroke in cardiac surgical patients: determinants and outcome.
BACKGROUND: Despite improving outcomes in cardiac surgical patients, stroke continues to remain a major complication. Few prospective studies are available on postoperative stroke. The present study was conducted to elucidate the incidence and predictors of stroke in a large group of cardiac surgical patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: Prospective data collected on 4,941 patients undergoing cardiac surgery were subjected to univariate and logistic regression analyses (98.4% men; 72% older than 60 years; 9.1% with history of prior stroke; 80.4% underwent isolated coronary artery bypass grafting). Stroke predictors include history of stroke and hypertension, older age, systolic hypertension, bronchodilator and diuretic use, high serum creatinine, surgical priority, great vessel repair, use of inotropic agents after cardiopulmonary bypass, and total cardiopulmonary bypass time (p < 0.05 for all comparisons). Median intensive care unit and hospital stays were longer, and hospital mortality and 6-month mortality were higher for patients with stroke (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Stroke after cardiac surgical procedures is a morbid event. Identification of predictors and development of strategies to modify these factors should lead to a lower incidence of stroke.
The Society of Thoracic Surgeons National Database: current status and future directions.
The Society of Thoracic Surgeons National Database, established seven years ago by thoracic surgeons for self improvement and quality assurance, now has 1,181,464 patients registered, including 897,914 coronary artery bypass operations. Risk-adjusted 30 day mortality for coronary bypass procedures, unadjusted mortality for other cardiothoracic procedures, unadjusted morbidity and length of stay as well as several processes of care are measured. There has been a progressive decrease in operative mortality and length of stay over the past seven years. Deaths, complications, and lengths of stay are stratified according to estimated risk of death. Definitions have been refined in conjunction with the American College of Cardiology. The database is being increasingly utilized for state analyses and is in demand by other organizations and third party carriers. Logistic regression analysis is now utilized for development of the risk models. The database has been useful for health care policy decisions and can be useful for our Professional Affairs Committee in their dealings with government. Other uses include measuring access to care and cost. Data quality improvement measures have been put in place, as well as data manager education. The General Thoracic and Congenital data acquisition packages are being modified and improved, and a goal is to begin collecting longitudinal data to demonstrate the long term efficacy of thoracic procedures. The data elements have been decreased from 500 to 200+ core variables for simplification. With the changing healthcare environment and emphasis on cost cutting, collecting valid data by a national specialty group enhances the monitoring of quality of care, thus protecting our patients from overzealous cutbacks. Data is essential to document the efficacy, quality and cost-effectiveness of the procedures we perform and is a necessary tool for each of us to have to assure the quality and continued success of our practices.
Cardiovascular surgery in the elderly.
The elderly segment of the population is increasing rapidly, and surgeons are more frequently being requested to operate on this group of patients. A number of reports suggest that elderly patients have a significantly higher incidence of operative mortality and 30-day hospital mortality as compared with younger patients. Elderly patients also had a significantly higher increased incidence of complications, such as renal failure, prolonged ventilation, and incidence of strokes and postoperative cardiac arrest. Regarding coronary artery disease, elderly patients are more acutely sick on admission, are more likely to have triple-vessel disease, more likely have comorbid disease, and are usually less likely to receive an internal mammary artery graft. The presence of valvular disorders with concomitant coronary disease (especially mitral ischemic related valve disease) increases operative time, morbidity, and mortality. Efforts must continue to be made to gather data on outcomes of cardiac surgery in the elderly. Consideration must be given to modify the operative approach that minimizes cardiopulmonary bypass time, mitigates the multisystem organ injury associated with cardiopulmonary bypass, and decreases the likelihood of embolization from the ascending aorta. Future efforts must be made to develop measures to decrease the complications rate identified in elderly patients.
Renal failure predisposes patients to adverse outcome after coronary artery bypass surgery. VA Cooperative Study #5.
BACKGROUND: More than 600,000 coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) procedures are done annually in the United States. Some data indicate that 10 to 20% of patients who are undergoing a CABG procedure have a serum creatinine of more than 1.5 mg/dl. There are few data on the impact of a mild increase in serum creatinine concentration on CABG outcome. METHODS: We analyzed a Veterans Affairs database obtained prospectively from 1992 through 1996 at 14 of 43 centers performing heart surgery. We compared the outcome after CABG in patients with a baseline serum creatinine of less than 1.5 mg/dl (median 1.1 mg/dl, N = 3271) to patients with a baseline serum creatinine of 1.5 to 3.0 mg/dl (median 1.7, N = 631). RESULTS: Univariate analysis revealed that patients with a serum creatinine of 1.5 to 3.0 mg/dl had a higher 30-day mortality (7% vs. 3%, P < 0.001) requirement for prolonged mechanical ventilation (15% vs. 8%, P = 0.001), stroke (7% vs. 2%, P < 0.001), renal failure requiring dialysis at discharge (3% vs. 1%, P < 0.001), and bleeding complications (8% vs. 3%, P < 0.001) than patients with a baseline serum creatinine of less than 1.5 mg/dl. Multiple logistic regression analyses found that patients with a baseline serum creatinine of less than 1.5 mg/dl had significantly lower (P < 0.02) 30-day mortality and postoperative bleeding and ventilatory complications than patients with a serum creatinine of 1.5 to 3.0 mg/dl when controlling for all other variables. CONCLUSION: These results demonstrate that mild renal failure is an independent risk factor for adverse outcome after CABG.
Fast tracking into the new millennium: an evolving paradigm.
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1995 coronary artery bypass risk model: The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac National Database.
BACKGROUND: The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) Adult Cardiac National Database has recently completed the development of the 1995 risk model to be used to estimate the risk of operative death for isolated coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) procedures. This article describes the detailed methodology used, as well as a new Expert Advisory Panel review mechanism that was initiated by The Society. METHODS: Placing emphasis on clinical relevance, data quality, data completeness, and univariate analyses, a logistic regression analysis was used to develop the 1995 CABG-only risk model. The STS National Office invited an Expert Advisory Panel (composed of nationally recognized, independent biostatisticians) to review the modeling process used. RESULTS: The 1995 CABG-only model details are reported. Standard performance measures indicated the model had high predictive power and an acceptable level of calibration. The Expert Advisory Panel reviewed the 1995 CABG model and concluded that the current modeling techniques were adequate. Suggestions for future model development and reporting were proposed by the Panel. CONCLUSIONS: The most current STS risk model of CABG operative mortality is a reliable and statistically valid tool. Its development and performance have been critically examined and approved by an independent panel of experts.
Updates to the Data Quality Review Program: the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac National Database.
To ensure the credibility of this voluntary database, The Society of Thoracic Surgeons' National Database Audit and Validation Sub-Committee has been working during the past year to update and expand the group practice-based indicators used to assess the completeness, accuracy, and generalizability of the Adult Cardiac National Database. With increasing frequency, questions have been raised by third-party payors and regional/state-based groups as to the integrity of the data retained in the Adult Cardiac National Database. To work in conjunction with the Audit and Validation Sub-Committee to explicitly examine these issues, The Society of Thoracic Surgeons initiated a new Expert Advisory Panel review mechanism. This article describes the expanded data completeness and quality criteria that will be implemented in the coming year and summarizes the Expert Advisory Panel's recommendations for improvement.
Impact of gender on coronary bypass operative mortality.
BACKGROUND: In spite of many reports investigating the influence of gender on coronary artery operations, it is still uncertain whether gender is an independent risk factor for operative mortality. A major problem of previous reports has centered around the fact that men and women constitute quite different populations, thereby making direct comparisons difficult. METHODS: The Society of Thoracic Surgeons National Cardiac Surgery Database was used to retrospectively examine 344,913 patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft operations from 1994 through the most recent data harvest. The operative mortality of male and female patients was compared for a variety of single risk factors and combinations of risk factors. A logistic risk model was used to account for all important patient parameters so that individuals could be stratified into comparable categories allowing for direct comparisons of risk-matched male and female patients. RESULTS: The univariate analysis showed that the 97,153 women carried a significantly higher mortality for each of the risk factors examined. The multivariate analysis and the risk model stratification showed that women had significantly higher mortality as compared to equally matched men in the low- and medium-risk part of the spectrum, but in high-risk patients, there was no difference between male and female mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Gender is an independent predictor of operative mortality except for patients in very high-risk categories.
Nitric oxide downregulates lung macrophage inflammatory cytokine production.
BACKGROUND: Inflammatory cytokine production contributes to lung injury after lung ischemia reperfusion and during lung transplant rejection. Although nitric oxide has been demonstrated to reduce lung injury associated with the adult respiratory distress syndrome, it remains unknown whether the mechanism of nitric oxide's beneficial effects involves reducing lung macrophage inflammatory cytokine production. The purpose of this study was to determine whether nitric oxide downregulates lung macrophage inflammatory cytokine production. METHODS: Lung macrophages were harvested by bronchoalveolar lavage (10(6) macrophage per milliliter from normal Sprague-Dawley rats, 6 animals per group) and treated under ex vivo tissue culture conditions with the nitric oxide releasing compound S-nitoso-N-acetyl-D, L-penicillamine (0, 10(-5) 10(-4), 10(-3), 10(-2) mol/L) before induction of inflammatory cytokines with endotoxin, (50 ng/mL for 24 hours). Supernatants were assayed for inflammatory cytokine production (tumor necrosis factor alpha, interleukin-1beta) by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. RESULTS: Continuous nitric oxide release by S-nitoso-N-acetyl-D, L-penicillamine decreased lung macrophage tumor necrosis factor-alpha and interleukin-1beta production in a dose-dependent fashion (6 rats per group; data were analyzed for significance [p < 0.05] using two-way analysis of variance with Tukey's post-hoc correction). CONCLUSIONS: Nitric oxide decreases inflammatory cytokine production by lung macrophage. The mechanism of nitric oxide's beneficial effects may be partially attributable to decreased production of inflammatory cytokines. Nitric oxide may serve an expanded role for reducing inflammatory cytokine production during acute lung injury, ischemia-reperfusion-induced inflammation, or lung transplant rejection.
Acute and chronic effects of bilateral lung transplantation without cardiopulmonary bypass on the first transplanted lung.
BACKGROUND: Bilateral lung transplantation (BLT) without cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) may exacerbate reperfusion injury to the initially engrafted lung because of increases in pulmonary flow during implantation of the second graft. METHODS: In a retrospective review of 23 BLT patients, we hypothesized that BLT without CPB injures the first transplanted lung measured by acute and late graft dysfunction compared to the second transplanted lung. Of the 23 BLT, 19 underwent transplantation without CPB while 4 patients were placed on CPB secondary to hemodynamic instability. RESULTS: Acute graft function was assessed by radiographic scoring of lung quadrants (blinded radiologist; 0 = no infiltrate; 1 = infiltrate; maximum = 2 per lung) and by arterial/alveolar oxygen tension ratios (PaO2/ FiO2) ratios. Late graft function was evaluated by quantitative perfusion scan. Lung perfusion was graded as abnormal if less than 50% on the right or less than 45% on the left (Fisher's exact). Radiographic scores were not different between first and second implanted lungs at 1 and 24 hours, PaO2/FiO2 ratios at 1 and 24 hours were 273+/-26 and 312+/-23, respectively, and perfusion scans at 3 and 12 months revealed normal differential blood flow. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest no acute or chronic differences occur between the first or second transplanted lung completed without CPB.
Infant heart transplantation: improved intermediate results.
OBJECTIVES: Our objectives were to (1) review our experience with heart transplants in infants (age < 6 months), (2) delineate risk factors for 30-day mortality, and (3) compare outcomes between our early and recent experience. METHODS: Records of all infants listed for transplantation in our center before September 1996 were analyzed. Early and recent comparisons were made between chronologic halves of the accrual period. Univariate analysis was used to analyze potential risk factors for 30-day mortality (categorical variables, Fisher's exact test; continuous variables, nonparametric Wilcoxon rank-sum test). Multivariable analysis included univariate variables with p values < or = 0.10. Actuarial survivals were estimated (Kaplan-Meier) and compared by the log-rank test. RESULTS: Fifty-one of the 60 infants listed for transplantation were operated on (waiting list mortality 15%). Thirty-day mortality was 18% overall, 30% in the first 3 years and 10% in the last 3 years (p = 0.07). Sepsis was the commonest cause of early death (4/9). Univariate analysis suggested four potential risk factors for early death: preoperative mechanical ventilation (p = 0.01), prior sternotomy (p = 0.002), preoperative inotropic drugs (p = 0.08), and warm ischemia time (p = 0.08). Multivariable analysis indicated that prior sternotomy (p = 0.01) was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality. Actuarial survivals were 80%, 78%, and 70% at 1, 2, and 3 years, and these figures improved between early and recent groups (p = 0.05). Late deaths were most commonly due to acute rejection (3/5). CONCLUSIONS: Results of heart transplantation in infancy improve with experience. Prior sternotomy increases initial risk. Intermediate-term survival for infants with end-stage heart disease is excellent.
Early extubation following cardiac surgery in a veterans population.
BACKGROUND: Early tracheal extubation is an important component of the "fast track" cardiac surgery pathway. Factors associated with time to extubation in the Department of Veterans Affairs (DVA) population are unknown. The authors determined associations of preoperative risk and intraoperative clinical process variables with time to extubation in this population. METHODS: Three hundred four consecutive patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft, valve surgery, or both on a fast track clinical pathway between October 1, 1993 and September 30, 1995 at a university-affiliated DVA medical center were studied retrospectively. After univariate screening of a battery of preoperative risk and intraoperative clinical process variables, stepwise logistic regression was used to determine associations with tracheal extubation < or = 10 h (early) or > 10 h (late) after surgery. Postoperative lengths of stay, complications, and 30-day and 6-month mortality rates were compared between the two groups. RESULTS: One hundred forty-six patients (48.3%) were extubated early; one patient required emergent reintubation (0.7%). Of the preoperative risk variables considered, only age (odds ratio, 1.80 per 10-yr increment) and preoperative intraaortic balloon pump (odds ratio, 7.88) were multivariately associated with time to extubation (model R) ("late" association is indicated by an odds ratio >1.00; "early" association is indicated by an odds ratio <1.00). Entry of these risk variables into a second regression model, followed by univariately significant intraoperative clinical process variables, yielded the following associations (model R-P): age (odds ratio, 1.86 per 10-yr increment), sufentanil dose (odds ratio, 1.54 per 1-microg/kg increment), major inotrope use (odds ratio, 5.73), platelet transfusion (odds ratio, 10.03), use of an arterial graft (odds ratio, 0.32), and fentanyl dose (odds ratio, 1.45 per 10-microg/kg increment). Time of arrival in the intensive care unit after surgery was also significant (odds ratio, 1.42 per 1-h increment). Intraoperative clinical process variables added significantly to model performance (P < 0.001 by the likelihood ratio test). CONCLUSIONS: In this population, early tracheal extubation was accomplished in 48% of patients. Intraoperative clinical process variables are important factors to be considered in the timing of postoperative extubation after fast track cardiac surgery.
Time series monitors of outcomes. A new dimension for measuring quality of care.
OBJECTIVES: Despite the popularity of risk-adjusted outcomes as quality of health care indicators, their instability with time and their inability to provide reliable comparisons of small volume providers have raised questions about the feasibility and credibility of using these measures. In this article the authors describe a new analytic strategy to address these problems by examining risk-adjusted mortality with time, "Time Series Monitors of Outcome" (TSMO), and its application to cardiac surgery performed throughout the Department of Veterans Affairs between April 1987 and September 1992. METHODS: Expected operative mortality for 24,029 patients undergoing coronary artery bypass surgery at all 43 centers performing this procedure was estimated using a logistic regression model to adjust for patient-specific risk factors. The ratio of observed-to-expected operative mortality was calculated for each hospital for each of the 11 6-month periods. Poisson regression models were used to identify high and low outlier hospitals based on significant deviation from the 5.5 year overall mean and/or the individual hospital's trend of observed-to-expected ratios with time. RESULTS: This method identified four high and one low outlier hospitals based on significant deviations from the overall mean and three upward and seven downward trending outlier hospitals based on significant deviations in trend with time. A significant downward trend in observed-to-expected ratios of 4% per year also was observed for all coronary artery bypass graft procedures performed throughout the Department of Veterans Affairs during the last 5.5 year period. CONCLUSIONS: Time Series Monitors of Outcome should help reduce misclassification of outliers due to random variation in outcomes as well as provide more reliable comparative information from which to evaluate provider performance.
Quality improvement in thoracic surgery.
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