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Dan J Stein

Publications and source records attributed to Dan J Stein.

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Big data and psychiatry: advances, constraints and future directions.

Early work in psychiatry research, often involving single sites, small samples, and limited variables, has shifted to contemporary research involving multiple sites, large samples, and many variables. Such research raises important questions, including concerns about data quality and methodological rigor, uncertainty about its key lessons, issues regarding clinical relevance, and questions about how to optimize future advances. Here we consider these questions and concerns against the context of big data work on community and register-based surveys, cohort and biobank studies, electronic health records, digital phenotyping, brain imaging, genomics and other -omics, and randomized controlled trials. The development of large datasets allowing well-powered analyses is a major milestone, but sample size alone does not guarantee more precise estimates, and ongoing attention to the quality and rigor of big data collation and analysis is needed. Big data research has fostered trans-disciplinarity and given insights into mechanisms underlying psychiatric disorders, but also emphasizes the intricacy, heterogeneity and variability of such mechanisms, and the importance of triangulating between large-scale and small-scale research. The complexity of psychiatric phenotypes and psychobiological mechanisms contributes to the difficulty in bridging from big data to clinical application; big data research reinforces the importance of holding our diagnoses of psychiatric disorders lightly and providing explanations of these conditions humbly; and future work needs to be more attentive to clinical issues. There is enormous scope for further building databases relevant to psychiatry, but advances in conceptual models and asking the right questions are equally valuable. The full impact of big data, including artificial intelligence analyses, remains to be seen, but overenthusiastic support should be tempered by a better understanding of its strengths and limitations. At its best, such work will contribute in an iterative and integrative way to advancing our knowledge of psychiatric disorders and mental health.

Big data

A whole-brain voxel-based analysis of structural abnormalities in PTSD: An ENIGMA-PGC study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) exhibit smaller regional brain volumes in commonly reported regions including the amygdala and hippocampus, regions associated with fear and memory processing. In the current study, we have conducted a voxel-based morphometry (VBM) meta-analysis using whole-brain statistical maps with neuroimaging data from the ENIGMA-PGC PTSD working group. METHODS: T1-weighted structural neuroimaging scans from 36 cohorts (PTSD n = 1309; controls n = 2198) were processed using a standardized VBM pipeline (ENIGMA-VBM tool). We meta-analyzed the resulting statistical maps for voxel-wise differences in gray matter (GM) and white matter (WM) volumes between PTSD patients and controls, performed subgroup analyses considering the trauma exposure of the controls, and examined associations between regional brain volumes and clinical variables including PTSD (CAPS-4/5, PCL-5) and depression severity (BDI-II, PHQ-9). RESULTS: PTSD patients exhibited smaller GM volumes across the frontal and temporal lobes, and cerebellum, with the most significant effect in the left cerebellum (Hedges' g = 0.22, pcorrected = .001), and smaller cerebellar WM volume (peak Hedges' g = 0.14, pcorrected = .008). We observed similar regional differences when comparing patients to trauma-exposed controls, suggesting these structural abnormalities may be specific to PTSD. Regression analyses revealed PTSD severity was negatively associated with GM volumes within the cerebellum (p corrected  = .003), while depression severity was negatively associated with GM volumes within the cerebellum and superior frontal gyrus in patients (p corrected  = .001). CONCLUSIONS: PTSD patients exhibited widespread, regional differences in brain volumes where greater regional deficits appeared to reflect more severe symptoms. Our findings add to the growing literature implicating the cerebellum in PTSD psychopathology.

Humans

Human development, inequality, and their associations with brain structure across 29 countries.

BACKGROUND: The macro-social and environmental conditions in which people live, such as the level of a country's development or inequality, are associated with brain-related disorders. However, the relationship between these systemic environmental factors and the brain remains unclear. We aimed to determine the association between the level of development and inequality of a country and the brain structure of healthy adults. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study pooling brain imaging (T1-based) data from 145 magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) studies in 7,962 healthy adults (4,110 women) in 29 different countries. We used a meta-regression approach to relate the brain structure to the country's level of development and inequality. RESULTS: Higher human development was consistently associated with larger hippocampi and more expanded global cortical surface area, particularly in frontal areas. Increased inequality was most consistently associated with smaller hippocampal volume and thinner cortical thickness across the brain. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that the macro-economic conditions of a country are reflected in its inhabitants' brains and may explain the different incidence of brain disorders across the world. The observed variability of brain structure in health across countries should be considered when developing tools in the field of personalized or precision medicine that are intended to be used across the world.

Humans

Blood-based DNA methylation and exposure risk scores predict PTSD with high accuracy in military and civilian cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Incorporating genomic data into risk prediction has become an increasingly popular approach for rapid identification of individuals most at risk for complex disorders such as PTSD. Our goal was to develop and validate Methylation Risk Scores (MRS) using machine learning to distinguish individuals who have PTSD from those who do not. METHODS: Elastic Net was used to develop three risk score models using a discovery dataset (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;1226; 314 cases, 912 controls) comprised of 5 diverse cohorts with available blood-derived DNA methylation (DNAm) measured on the Illumina Epic BeadChip. The first risk score, exposure and methylation risk score (eMRS) used cumulative and childhood trauma exposure and DNAm variables; the second, methylation-only risk score (MoRS) was based solely on DNAm data; the third, methylation-only risk scores with adjusted exposure variables (MoRSAE) utilized DNAm data adjusted for the two exposure variables. The potential of these risk scores to predict future PTSD based on pre-deployment data was also assessed. External validation of risk scores was conducted in four independent cohorts. RESULTS: The eMRS model showed the highest accuracy (92%), precision (91%), recall (87%), and f1-score (89%) in classifying PTSD using 3730 features. While still highly accurate, the MoRS (accuracy&#x2009;=&#x2009;89%) using 3728 features and MoRSAE (accuracy&#x2009;=&#x2009;84%) using 4150 features showed a decline in classification power. eMRS significantly predicted PTSD in one of the four independent cohorts, the BEAR cohort (beta&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.6839, p=0.006), but not in the remaining three cohorts. Pre-deployment risk scores from all models (eMRS, beta&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.92; MoRS, beta&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.99 and MoRSAE, beta&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.77) displayed a significant (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) predictive power for post-deployment PTSD. CONCLUSION: The inclusion of exposure variables adds to the predictive power of MRS. Classification-based MRS may be useful in predicting risk of future PTSD in populations with anticipated trauma exposure. As more data become available, including additional molecular, environmental, and psychosocial factors in these scores may enhance their accuracy in predicting PTSD and, relatedly, improve their performance in independent cohorts.

Humans

Low and differential polygenic score generalizability among African populations due largely to genetic diversity.

African populations are vastly underrepresented in genetic studies but have the most genetic variation and face wide-ranging environmental exposures globally. Because systematic evaluations of genetic prediction had not yet been conducted in ancestries that span African diversity, we calculated polygenic risk scores (PRSs) in simulations across Africa and in empirical data from South Africa, Uganda, and the United Kingdom to better understand the generalizability of genetic studies. PRS accuracy improves with ancestry-matched discovery cohorts more than from ancestry-mismatched studies. Within ancestrally and ethnically diverse South African individuals, we find that PRS accuracy is low for all traits but varies across groups. Differences in African ancestries contribute more to variability in PRS accuracy than other large cohort differences considered between individuals in the United Kingdom versus Uganda. We computed PRS in African ancestry populations using existing European-only versus ancestrally diverse genetic studies; the increased diversity produced the largest accuracy gains for hemoglobin concentration and white blood cell count, reflecting large-effect ancestry-enriched variants in genes known to influence sickle cell anemia and the allergic response, respectively. Differences in PRS accuracy across African&#xa0;ancestries originating from diverse regions are as large as across out-of-Africa continental ancestries, requiring commensurate nuance.

Humans

Genetic structure correlates with ethnolinguistic diversity in eastern and southern Africa.

African populations are the most diverse in the world yet are sorely underrepresented in medical genetics research. Here, we examine the structure of African populations using genetic and comprehensive multi-generational ethnolinguistic data from the Neuropsychiatric Genetics of African Populations-Psychosis study (NeuroGAP-Psychosis) consisting of 900 individuals from Ethiopia, Kenya, South Africa, and Uganda. We find that self-reported language classifications meaningfully tag underlying genetic variation that would be missed with consideration of geography alone, highlighting the importance of culture in shaping genetic diversity. Leveraging our uniquely rich multi-generational ethnolinguistic metadata, we track language transmission through the pedigree, observing the disappearance of several languages in our cohort as well as notable shifts in frequency over three generations. We find suggestive evidence for the rate of language transmission in matrilineal groups having been higher than that for patrilineal ones. We highlight both the diversity of variation within Africa as well as how within-Africa variation can be informative for broader variant interpretation; many variants that are rare elsewhere are common in parts of Africa. The work presented here improves the understanding of the spectrum of genetic variation in African populations and highlights the enormous and complex genetic and ethnolinguistic diversity across Africa.

Africa, Southern