Biomedical subjects

D Spiegelman

Publications and source records attributed to D Spiegelman.

At least 127 records · Page 7Linked to original sources

PubMed1998

Body anthropometry and the risk of hip and wrist fractures in men: results from a prospective study.

Available epidemiological information on the associations between body anthropometry and the incidence of fractures in men is limited. We therefore prospectively investigated the association between body anthropometry and the incidence of hip and wrist fractures from low and moderate trauma among 43,053 men who were 40 years to 75 years of age in 1986 when they first enrolled in the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study. After 8 years of follow-up, 201 wrist fracture cases and 56 hip fracture cases were reported. Greater height was associated with significant elevations in both hip and wrist fractures, whereas nonsignificant inverse associations were observed with weight and body mass index. Men in the highest quintile of waist circumference had a relative risk (RR) of 2.57 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.64 to 10.3) for hip fracture and 2.05 (95% CI 1.06 to 3.96) for wrist fracture when compared with men in the lowest quintile. Waist-to-hip ratio was also positively related to fracture incidence; comparing highest with lowest quintile, the RRs were 3.92 (95% CI 1.07 to 14.3) for hip fracture and 1.50 (95% CI 0.85 to 2.66) for wrist fracture. These anthropometric indicators, in particular waist-to-hip ratio, may be useful for the prediction of hip fracture in adult men.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

A prospective study of reproductive factors and oral contraceptive use in relation to the risk of uterine leiomyomata.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the risk of uterine leiomyomata in relation to reproductive factors and oral contraceptive use. DESIGN: A prospective study. SETTING: A cohort of female registered nurses from 14 states in the United States who completed mailed questionnaires in 1989, 1991, and 1993. PATIENT(S): Premenopausal nurses (n=95,061) aged 25-42 years with intact uteri and no history of diagnosed uterine leiomyomata or cancer in 1989. INTERVENTION(S): None. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Incidence of self-reported uterine leiomyomata confirmed by ultrasound or hysterectomy. In a sample of 243 cases, 93% of the self-reported diagnoses were confirmed in the medical record. RESULT(S): During 326,116 person-years of follow-up, 3,006 cases of uterine leiomyomata, confirmed by ultrasound or hysterectomy, were reported. After adjustment for other risk factors, the risk of uterine leiomyomata was significantly inversely associated with age at menarche, parity, and age at first birth, and positively associated with a history of infertility and years since last birth. The only notable association with any aspect of oral contraceptive use was a significantly elevated risk among women who first used oral contraceptives at ages 13-16 years compared with those who had never used oral contraceptives. CONCLUSION(S): Reproductive factors and oral contraceptive use at a young age influence the risk of uterine leiomyomata among premenopausal women.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

The epidemic of prostate cancer and the medical literature: a causal association?

The diagnosis of prostate cancer has undergone an unprecedented recent increase, while mortality has increased much more slowly. We examined new prostate cancer diagnoses from 1987-1992 in a nationwide prospective cohort study of 51 529 men enrolled in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study, a population likely to be medically sophisticated and thus early to adopt medical innovations. The age-adjusted incidence of prostate cancer rose approximately 2(1/2) fold during the study period. Nearly all of the increase occurred among organ-confined tumors, with a smaller increase for regionally-advanced tumors and none for metastatic tumors. Using a Poisson regression model of newly-diagnosed cancers, we found organ-confined cancers rose abruptly by 86% (95% CI: 36-256%; P=0.0001) and regionally-advanced tumors by 73% (95% CI:12-267%; P=0.01) after March, 1991, when a study advocating screening using the prostate specific antigen (PSA) was published in the New England Journal of Medicine. The recent increase in the incidence of prostate cancer is probably due to the increased PSA screening of asymptomatic men, resulting in the diagnosis of large numbers of men with early-stage disease from 1990 onward. Despite ongoing debate over the value of PSA screening, the rate of diagnosis accelerated sharply after the publication of a well-publicized but inconclusive study advocating screening. In a context of growing disease awareness, well-publicized research reports may result in unexpectedly amplified acceptance into medical practice.

Journal Article↗

PubMed1998

Vitamin A supplementation and severity of pneumonia in children admitted to the hospital in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.

Vitamin A deficiency and acute lower respiratory tract infections coexist as important public health problems in many developing countries. We carried out a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial to examine whether large doses of vitamin A given to Tanzanian children who are admitted to the hospital with nonmeasles pneumonia would reduce the severity of respiratory disease. Six hundred eighty-seven children were randomly assigned to receive either placebo or vitamin A [200 000 IU (60 mg retinol equivalents) for children > 1 y of age and 100000 IU (30 mg retinol equivalents) for infants] on the day of admission and another dose on the following day. Of the 346 children in the vitamin A group, 13 died in the hospital, compared with 8 of 341 children in the placebo group; the relative mortality was 1.63 (95% CI: 0.67, 3.97; P = 0.28). The mean number of days of hospitalization was the same in both groups (4.2 d). There were no differences between the vitamin A and placebo groups in the duration of hospital stay when examined within categories of children stratified by age, sex, breast-feeding status, nutritional status at baseline, or quartile of dietary vitamin A intake in the 4 mo before admission to the hospital. There were also no differences in the mean number of days of fever, rapid respiratory rate, or hypoxia, whether these endpoints were examined in the total number of subjects or in a subset with more severe clinical conditions at baseline. Large doses of vitamin A had no protective effect on the course of pneumonia in hospitalized Tanzanian children.

Body Temperature↗

PubMed1998

A prospective study of methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase and methionine synthase gene polymorphisms, and risk of colorectal adenoma.

We examined the relationship between a functional polymorphism (667C-->T, ala-->val) of the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase gene (MTHFR) and the risk of colorectal adenomas in the prospective Nurses' Health Study. Among 257 incident polyp cases and 713 controls, the MTHFR val/val polymorphism [relative risk (RR) = 1.35, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.84-2.17] was not significantly associated with risk of adenomas. This lack of association was observed for both small (RR = 1.36, 95% CI 0.76-2.45) and large (RR = 1.32, 95% CI 0.66-2.66) adenomas. Furthermore, there was no significant interaction between this polymorphism and consumption of either folate, methionine or alcohol. We also examined the relationship of a newly identified polymorphism (asp919gly) of the methionine synthase gene (MS) with the risk of colorectal adenomas in the same population. The MS gly/gly polymorphism was also not significantly associated with risk of colorectal adenomas (RR = 0.66, 95% CI 0.26-1.70). These results, which need to be confirmed in other studies, suggest that the MTHFR val/val polymorphism, which has been previously inversely associated with risk of colorectal cancer, plays a role only in a late stage (adenoma-->carcinoma) of colorectal tumorigenesis, and/or may protect against malignant transformation in the subset of benign adenomas, which may progress to malignancy.

5-Methyltetrahydrofolate-Homocysteine S-Methyltran↗

PubMed1998

Correcting for bias in relative risk estimates due to exposure measurement error: a case study of occupational exposure to antineoplastics in pharmacists.

OBJECTIVES: This paper describes 2 statistical methods designed to correct for bias from exposure measurement error in point and interval estimates of relative risk. METHODS: The first method takes the usual point and interval estimates of the log relative risk obtained from logistic regression and corrects them for nondifferential measurement error using an exposure measurement error model estimated from validation data. The second, likelihood-based method fits an arbitrary measurement error model suitable for the data at hand and then derives the model for the outcome of interest. RESULTS: Data from Valanis and colleagues' study of the health effects of antineoplastics exposure among hospital pharmacists were used to estimate the prevalence ratio of fever in the previous 3 months from this exposure. For an interdecile increase in weekly number of drugs mixed, the prevalence ratio, adjusted for confounding, changed from 1.06 to 1.17 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.04, 1.26) after correction for exposure measurement error. CONCLUSIONS: Exposure measurement error is often an important source of bias in public health research. Methods are available to correct such biases.

Antineoplastic Agents↗

PubMed1998

Use of toenail fluoride levels as an indicator for the risk of hip and forearm fractures in women.

The relation between fluoride intake and risk of osteoporotic fractures remains unclear. The lack of individual measures of long-term fluoride intake has limited epidemiologic studies. We used toenail fluoride in this study as a measure of long-term intake to evaluate the relation between fluoride intake and subsequent risk of hip and distal forearm fractures. Between 1982 and 1984, we collected toenail clippings from 62,641 women in the Nurses' Health Study who were free from cancer, heart disease, stroke, and previous hip or forearm fracture. We identified fracture cases (53 proximal femur and 188 distal forearm) through subsequent biennial mailed questionnaires and matched controls to cases on year of birth. The odds ratio of hip fracture among women in the highest quartile of toenail fluoride [ > 5.50 parts per million (ppm)], compared with those in the lowest quartile (> 2.00 ppm), was 0.8 (95% confidence interval = 0.2-4.0), with adjustment for menopausal status, postmenopausal hormone use, caffeine intake, and alcohol consumption. The corresponding adjusted odds ratio for forearm fracture was 1.6 (95% confidence interval = 0.8-3.1). Further adjustment for body mass index, smoking status, and calcium and vitamin D intake did not alter these results.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

Risk of uterine leiomyomata among premenopausal women in relation to body size and cigarette smoking.

To investigate whether factors influencing ovarian function affect risk of uterine leiomyomata, we examined prospectively the association of new diagnoses confirmed by ultrasound or hysterectomy with body mass index, weight change, height, and cigarette smoking among 94,095 premenopausal women with intact uteri, who were ages 25-42 years at the start of follow-up in 1989. We assessed body mass index and cigarette smoking from responses on the study questionnaire completed just before diagnosis. During 322,775 person-years, 2,967 new cases of uterine leiomyomata confirmed by ultrasound or hysterectomy were reported. Risk among all cases confirmed by ultrasound or hysterectomy increased with increasing adult body mass index. The multivariate relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) according to body mass index categories of <20.0, 20.0-21.9, 22.0-23.9, 24.0-25.9, 26.0-27.9, 28.0-29.9, and > or =30.0 were 0.90 (95% CI = 0.79-1.03), 1.00 (referent), 1.08 (95% CI = 0.97-1.21), 1.16 (95% CI = 1.03-1.31), 1.21 (95% CI = 1.05-1.40), 1.36 (95% CI = 1.16-1.59), and 1.23 (95% CI = 1.09-1.39), respectively. The RRs for hysterectomy-confirmed cases generally were higher. Similarly, risk was positively associated with weight gain since age 18 years. Body mass index at age 18 years, height, and cigarette smoking were unrelated to risk of uterine leiomyomata. Elevated adult body mass index is associated with a modest increased risk of uterine leiomyomata among premenopausal women.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

Can behavioral risk factors explain the difference in body mass index between African-American and European-American women?

African-American women are heavier than European-American women; the reasons are unknown. The purpose of this study was to examine potentially modifiable reasons for the weight difference among 86,326 female nurses. The determinants of body mass index (BMI) were modelled using the method of linear regression. The findings included the following: mean BMI (kg/m2) was 9.0% (95% CI, 7.8-10.1%) higher among African American (27.3) than among European-American women (25.1) (P<0.0001). However, recalled BMI at age 18 was equal in the two groups (21.4, P=0.98). Multivariate determinants of BMI include age, age 18 BMI, alcohol and calorie intake, exercise, marital status, parity, race, recent intentional weight loss, smoking, and television watching. Even after controlling for these factors, African-American women still had an 8.6% (95% CI, 7.7-9.5%) higher BMI than European-American women. Correction for error in measurement of physical activity attenuated this difference to 6.4% (95% CI, 5.0-7.8%). In conclusion, in this single occupation group, African-American women had a significantly higher BMI than European-American women. Age and measured behavioral factors did not explain this difference. However, imprecision in the measurement of diet and activity may explain this difference in part. Better measurement may help quantify the differences that are as yet unexplained.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1997

Power and sample size calculations for case-control studies of gene-environment interactions with a polytomous exposure variable.

Genetic polymorphisms may appear to the epidemiologist most commonly as different levels of susceptibility to exposure. Epidemiologic studies of heterogeneity in exposure susceptibility aim at estimating the parameter quantifying the gene-environment interaction. In this paper, the authors use a general approach to power and sample size calculations for case-control studies, which is applicable to settings where the exposure variable is polytomous and where the assumption of independence between the distribution of the genotype and the environmental factor may not be met. It was found through exploration of different scenarios that in the cases explored, power calculations were relatively insensitive to assumptions about the odds ratio for the exposure in the referent genotype category and to assumptions about the odds ratio for the genetic factor in the lowest exposure category, yet they were relatively sensitive to assumptions about gene frequency, particularly when gene frequency was low. In general, to detect a small to moderate gene-environment interaction effect, large sample sizes are needed. Because the examples studied represent only a small subset of possible scenarios that could occur in practice, the authors encourage the use of their user-friendly Fortran program for calculating power and sample size for gene-environment interactions with exposures grouped by quantiles that are explicitly tailored to the study at hand.

Case-Control Studies↗

PubMed1997

A prospective study of pregravid determinants of gestational diabetes mellitus.

CONTEXT: Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) affects 3% to 5% of pregnancies. Knowledge of risk factors for GDM is needed to identify possible preventive strategies. OBJECTIVE: To assess whether recognized determinants of noninsulin-dependent diabetes mellitus also may be markers for increased risk of GDM. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: The Nurses' Health Study II, which involves female US nurses aged 25 to 42 years at entry. PARTICIPANTS: The analyses included 14613 women without previous GDM or other known diabetes who reported a singleton pregnancy between 1990 and 1994. Of these women, 722 (4.9%) reported a new diagnosis of GDM. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Self-report of GDM, validated by medical record review in a subset. RESULTS: In multivariate analyses including age, pregravid body mass index (BMI), and other GDM risk factors, the risk for GDM increased significantly with increasing maternal age (P for trend, <.01) and family history of diabetes mellitus (relative risk, 1.68; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.39-2.04). Relative risks for GDM were 2.13 (95% CI, 1.65-2.74) for pregravid BMI of 25 to 29.9 kg/m2 and 2.90 (95% CI, 2.15-3.91) for BMI of 30 kg/m2 or more (vs BMI of <20 kg/m2). Risk for GDM increased with greater weight gain in early adulthood, and it also increased among nonwhite women. Pregravid current smokers had a relative risk for GDM of 1.43 (95% CI, 1.14-1.80), and pregravid vigorous exercise was associated with a nonsignificant reduction in GDM risk. CONCLUSIONS: Advanced maternal age, family history of diabetes mellitus, nonwhite ethnicity, higher BMI, weight gain in early adulthood, and cigarette smoking predict increased GDM risk. These observations may facilitate the identification of women at particular risk for GDM and suggest potential strategies for reducing this risk even before a woman becomes pregnant, such as avoiding substantial weight gain and smoking.

Adult↗

PubMed1997

Geographic variation in breast cancer incidence rates in a cohort of U.S. women.

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer mortality and incidence rates vary by geographic region in the United States. Previous analytic studies have measured mortality, not incidence, and have used regional prevalences to control for geographic variation in risk factors rather than adjusting for risk factors measured at the level of the individual. We prospectively evaluated regional variation in breast cancer incidence rates in the Nurses' Health Study and assessed the influence of breast cancer risk factors measured at the individual level. METHODS: The Nurses' Health Study cohort was established in 1976 when 121700 female nurses aged 30-55 years living in 11 U.S. states were enrolled. These states represent all four regions of the continental United States. We identified 3603 incident cases of invasive breast cancer through 1992 (1794565 person-years of follow-up). We calculated relative risks (RRs) adjusted for age and for age and established risk factors (i.e., multivariate-adjusted analysis), comparing California, the Northeast, and the Midwest with the South. RESULTS: For premenopausal women, there was little evidence of regional variation in breast cancer incidence rates, either in age-adjusted or in multivariate-adjusted analyses. For postmenopausal women in California, age-adjusted risk was modestly elevated (RR = 1.24; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.05-1.47); after adjusting for age and for established risk factors, the excess rate in California was attenuated by 25% (RR = 1.18; 95% CI = 1.00-1.40). No excess of breast cancer incidence was observed for postmenopausal women in either the Northeast or the Midwest. CONCLUSIONS: Little regional variation in age-adjusted breast cancer incidence rates was observed, with the exception of a modest excess for postmenopausal women in California. Adjustment for differences in the distribution of established risk factors explained some of the excess risk in California.

Adult↗

PubMed1997

Oral contraceptives and ovulatory causes of delayed fertility.

The return of fertility for women who discontinue oral contraceptives takes longer as compared with women who discontinue other methods of contraception. It remains unclear, however, whether subsequent fertility differs according to duration or age at first use. The authors performed a nested case-control study within a cohort of 116,686 female registered nurses residing in 14 US states. Baseline information was reported on mailed questionnaires in 1989. Cases comprised 1,917 married nurses without previous pregnancy who were unable to become pregnant for at least 1 year and were subsequently diagnosed with primary ovulatory infertility. Controls comprised 44,521 married parous nurses with no history of infertility and no pregnancies lasting less than 6 months. After allowing for 2 years of suppressed fertility following discontinuation of oral contraceptive use and excluding women with signs of menstrual or hormonal disorder, the authors found that the multivariate relative risk for ovulatory causes of delayed fertility was 1.2 (95% confidence interval 0.7-1.9) for ever users. There was no statistically significant trend of increasing risk with increasing duration of use and younger age at first use. The fact that 88 percent of cases reported an eventual pregnancy by 1993 suggests that absolute fertility was not impaired.

Adult↗

PubMed1997

Leisure-time physical activity, body size, and colon cancer in women. Nurses' Health Study Research Group.

BACKGROUND: Physical inactivity and high body mass index (weight in kilograms divided by height in square meters) have been linked to increased risk of colon cancer. However, none of the few prospective studies in women has shown a statistically significant reduction in colon cancer incidence or mortality associated with increased leisure-time physical activity. PURPOSE: In this prospective study, we asked whether leisure-time physical activity, body mass index, or body fat distribution could significantly influence the risk of colon cancer in women. METHODS: The participants in this study were enrolled in the Nurses' Health Study, which began in 1976. Every 2 years, the women provided additional personal information and information on medical risk factors and major medical events. The time spent per week at a variety of leisure-time physical activities was determined, and the time spent at each activity was multiplied by its typical energy expenditure, expressed in terms of metabolic equivalents or METs. The resulting values for each woman were added to yield an MET-hours-per-week score. Reported diagnoses of colon cancer were confirmed by review of hospital records and pathology reports. Relative risks and associated 95% confidence intervals were calculated. RESULTS: In multivariate analyses that included body mass index, women who expended more than 21 MET-hours per week on leisure-time physical activity had a relative risk of colon cancer of 0.54 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.33-0.90) in comparison with women who expended less than 2 MET-hours per week. Women who had a body mass index greater than 29 kg/m2 had a relative risk of colon cancer of 1.45 (95% CI = 1.02-2.07) in comparison with women who had a body mass index less than 21 kg/m2. A tendency toward higher colon cancer risk was observed for increasing waist-to-hip ratio (relative risk = 1.48 [95% CI = 0.88-2.49] for comparison of the highest quintile ratio [>0.833] to the lowest [<0.728]). CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: The significant inverse association between leisure-time physical activity and incidence of colon cancer in women in this study is consistent with what has been found in men. Recommendations to increase physical activity and maintain lean body weight should receive greater emphasis as part of a feasible approach to the prevention of colon cancer.

Adult↗

PubMed1997

Risk factors for postherpetic neuralgia.

BACKGROUND: The risk factors for postherpetic neuralgia (PHN), the most common complication of herpes zoster, have not been well established. OBJECTIVE: To elucidate the risk factors for PHN. METHODS: Automated medical, claims, and pharmacy records of a health maintenance organization were used to identify cases of PHN and obtain data on risk factors. A case-base design was used to assess the impact of various patient, disease, and treatment factors on the prevalence of PHN 1 and 2 months after developing zoster. RESULTS: There were 821 cases of herpes zoster that met all eligibility criteria. The prevalence of PHN more than 30 days after onset of zoster was 8.0% (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.3%-10.1%) and 4.5% (95% CI, 3.2%-6.2%) after 60 days. Compared with patients younger than 50 years, individuals aged 50 years or older had a 14.7-fold higher prevalence (95% CI, 6.8-32.0) 30 days and a 27.4-fold higher prevalence (95% CI, 8.8-85.4) 60 days after developing zoster. Prodromal sensory symptoms and certain conditions associated with compromised immunity were also associated with PHN. Systemic corticosteroids before zoster and treatment of zoster with acyclovir or corticosteroids did not significantly affect the prevalence of PHN. CONCLUSIONS: Increased age and prodromal symptoms are associated with higher prevalence of PHN 1 and 2 months after onset of zoster. Overall, systemic acyclovir appears not to confer any protection against PHN, although benefit among elderly patients cannot be excluded.

Acyclovir↗

PubMed1997

Comparison of dietary calcium with supplemental calcium and other nutrients as factors affecting the risk for kidney stones in women.

BACKGROUND: Calcium intake is believed to play an important role in the formation of kidney stones, but data on the risk factors for stone formation in women are limited. OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between intake of dietary and supplemental calcium and the risk for kidney stones in women. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study with 12-year follow-up. SETTING: Several U.S. states. PARTICIPANTS: 91,731 women participating in the Nurses' Health Study I who were 34 to 59 years of age in 1980 and had no history of kidney stones. MEASUREMENTS: Self-administered food-frequency questionnaires were used to assess diet in 1980, 1984, 1986, and 1990. The main outcome measure was incident symptomatic kidney stones. RESULTS: During 903,849 person-years of follow-up, 864 cases of kidney stones were documented. After adjustment for potential risk factors, intake of dietary calcium was inversely associated with risk for kidney stones and intake of supplemental calcium was positively associated with risk. The relative risk for stone formation in women in the highest quintile of dietary calcium intake compared with women in the lowest quintile was 0.65 (95% CI, 0.50 to 0.83). The relative risk in women who took supplemental calcium compared with women who did not was 1.20 (CI, 1.02 to 1.41). In 67% of women who took supplemental calcium, the calcium either was not consumed with a meal or was consumed with meals whose oxalate content was probably low. Other dietary factors showed the following relative risks among women in the highest quintile of intake compared with those in the lowest quintile: sucrose, 1.52 (CI, 1.18 to 1.96); sodium, 1.30 (CI, 1.05 to 1.62); fluid, 0.61 (CI, 0.48 to 0.78); and potassium, 0.65 (CI, 0.51 to 0.84). CONCLUSIONS: High intake of dietary calcium appears to decrease risk for symptomatic kidney stones, whereas intake of supplemental calcium may increase risk. Because dietary calcium reduces the absorption of oxalate, the apparently different effects caused by the type of calcium may be associated with the timing of calcium ingestion relative to the amount of oxalate consumed. However, other factors present in dairy products (the major source of dietary calcium) could be responsible for the decreased risk seen with dietary calcium.

Absorption↗

PubMed1997

Measurement error correction for logistic regression models with an "alloyed gold standard".

Recently, some authors have questioned the validity of methods which correct relative risk estimates for measurement error and misclassification when the "gold standard" used to obtain information about the measurement error process is itself imperfect. When such an "alloyed" gold standard is used to validate the usual exposure measurement, the bias in the "regression calibration" (Rosner et al., Stat Med 1989; 8:1051-69) measurement-error correction factor for relative risks estimated from logistic regression models is derived. This quantity is a function of the correlations of the "alloyed" gold standard (X) and the usual exposure assessment method (Z) with the truth, of the ratio of the variances of X and Z, and of the correlation between the errors in the "alloyed" gold standard and the errors in the usual exposure assessment method. In this paper, it is proven that if the errors between Z and X are uncorrelated, the regression calibration method has no bias even when the gold standard is "alloyed." When a third method of exposure assessment is available and it is reasonable to assume that the errors in this method are uncorrelated with the errors in the other two exposure assessment methods, point and interval estimates of the correlation between the errors in X and Z are derived. These methods are illustrated here with data on the measurement of physical activity, vitamins A and E, and poly- and monounsaturated fat. In addition, when a third exposure assessment method is available, a modification of standard regression calibration is derived which can be used to calculate point and interval estimates of relative risk that are corrected for measurement error in both X and Z. This new method is illustrated here with data from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study, a study investigating the associations between physical activity and colon cancer incidence and between vitamin E intake and coronary heart disease. It is shown that in these examples, correlations of the errors in X and Z tended to be small. Even when moderate, estimates of relative risk corrected for error in both X and Z were not very different from the estimates which assumed that X was a true gold standard.

Bias↗

PubMed1997

Adverse outcomes of underuse of beta-blockers in elderly survivors of acute myocardial infarction.

OBJECTIVES: To study determinants and adverse outcomes (mortality and rehospitalization) of beta-blocker underuse in elderly patients with myocardial infarction; and whether the relative risks (RRs) of survival associated with beta-blocker use were comparable to those reported in the large randomized controlled trials (RCTs). SETTING: New Jersey Medicare population. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort design using linked Medicare and drug claims data from 1987 to 1992. PATIENTS: Statewide cohort of 5332 elderly 30-day acute myocardial infarction (AMI) survivors with prescription drug coverage, of whom 3737 were eligible for beta-blockers. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: beta-Blocker and calcium channel blocker use in the first 90 days after discharge and mortality rates and cardiac hospital readmissions over the 2-year period after discharge, controlling for sociodemographic and baseline risk variables. RESULTS: Only 21% of eligible patients received beta-blocker therapy; this rate remained unchanged from 1987 to 1991. Patients were almost 3 times more likely to receive a new prescription for a calcium channel blocker than for a new beta-blocker after their AMIs. Advanced age and calcium channel blocker use predicted underuse of beta-blockers. Controlling for other predictors of survival, the mortality rate among beta-blocker recipients was 43% less than that for nonrecipients (RR=0.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.47-0.69). Effects on mortality were substantial in all age strata (65-74 years, 75-84 years, and > or = 85 years) and consistent with the results for elderly subgroups of 2 large RCTs. beta-Blocker recipients were rehospitalized 22% less often than nonrecipients (RR=0.78; 95% CI, 0.67-0.90). Use of a calcium channel blocker instead of a beta-blocker was associated with a doubled risk of death (RR= 1.98; 95% CI, 1.44-2.72), not because calcium channel blockers had a demonstrable adverse effect, but because they were substitutes for beta-blockers. CONCLUSIONS: beta-Blockers are underused in elderly AMI survivors, leading to measurable adverse outcomes. These data suggest that the survival benefits of beta-blockade after an AMI may extend to eligible patients older than 75 years, a group that has been excluded from RCTs.

Adrenergic beta-Antagonists↗