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D Kromhout

Publications and source records attributed to D Kromhout.

At least 145 records · Page 8Linked to original sources

Cardiovascular risk factors in relation to educational level in 36 000 men and women in The Netherlands.

The study objective was to describe the associations between socioeconomic status and (concurrence of) cardiovascular risk factors. The Netherlands Monitoring Project on Cardiovascular Risk Factors is a screening project that was carried out from 1987-1991 in three cities. Cross-sectional data were obtained on educational level and on the prevalence of smoking, alcohol intake, physical inactivity, obesity, hypertension, hypercholesterolaemia and low HDL-cholesterol. A total of 36 000 men and women, aged 20-59 years participated. For all risk factors, except alcohol intake, a significant inverse association was found with educational level. Concurrence of risk factors was more prevalent in lower educated groups than in higher educated groups, but not more than can be expected under the condition of independence of the risk factors (no clustering). In conclusion, in the lower educated groups the prevalence of individual risk factors and of concurrence of risk factors was higher than in the higher educated groups. Concurrence of risk factors can have a synergistic effect on the risk for cardiovascular disease. Therefore socioeconomic differences in risk factors may explain a greater part of the socioeconomic differences in cardiovascular morbidity and mortality than is generally assumed.

Adult↗

Blood pressure and isolated systolic hypertension and the risk of coronary heart disease and mortality in elderly men (the Zutphen Elderly Study).

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the associations of diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and systolic blood pressure (SBP) with the risk of coronary heart disease, sudden cardiac and all-cause death in elderly men. DESIGN: A cohort study. SETTING: The Dutch town of Zutphen. SUBJECTS: Eight hundred and eighty-five randomly selected men, aged 64-84 years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Relative risks adjusted for age, body mass index, total and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, use of blood pressure-lowering medications without a specific indication for hypertension, and the physician who measured the blood pressure. RESULTS: Neither DBP nor SBP was associated significantly with the incidence of a first coronary heart disease event and no clear associations were observed with mortality from coronary heart disease. However, positive associations with sudden cardiac death were observed. The adjusted relative risk for men with definite isolated systolic hypertension was 9.20. The risk of dying from coronary heart disease not recorded additionally as sudden death was highest in men at the lower end of the DBP and SBP distributions and in men using antihypertensives. DBP and SBP were positively associated with all-cause mortality when possible comorbidity at the time of the blood pressure measurement was accounted for. Overall, the highest risk for all endpoints was observed in men on antihypertensive medication, who formed a distinct group with a clustering of cardiovascular risk factors. CONCLUSION: Elevated DBP and SBP, and especially isolated systolic hypertension, are important predictors of sudden cardiac death in elderly men. The highest risk of non-sudden coronary heart disease mortality was found at the lower end of the blood pressure distributions and among men on antihypertensive medication.

Aged↗

Choosing optimal values of FEV1 and FEV1/FVC for surveillance for respiratory disorders in occupational populations.

Pulmonary lung-function testing plays an important role in surveillance programs for occupational respiratory disorders. Spirometry is usually utilized by applying preset cut-off values to discriminate between healthy and unhealthy subjects. This article demonstrates the usefulness of decision analysis techniques to arrive at an optimal diagnosis. The diagnostic performance of FEV1 and FEV1/FVC was evaluated by relative operating characteristics curves (ROCs) applied to data of a cohort gathered in 1965. Both parameters showed quite similar ROCs, with a maximal sensitivity of 40% at a specificity of 95% relative to the physician's diagnosis of respiratory disorder. The area under the curves was. 75 for both FEV1 and FEV1/FVC, illustrating that misclassification of 25% of the subjects is likely to occur. Regarding the consequences of a false-positive and a false-negative decision as of equal importance, the 5%-percentile (FEV1 residual less than -1.2 L) would be the optimal cut-off. An FEV1 residual below the lower 5%-percentile was six times more likely to appear in subjects with chronic nonspecific lung disease (CNSLD) than in subjects without. The post-test probability of CNSLD was three to four times the pre-test probability. In occupational or public health practice, however, false-positive results need to be avoided, even at the expense of a higher false-negative rate. In those situations, a more rigid cut-off between normal and abnormal values may be warranted.

Adult↗

White blood cell count and the risk of coronary heart disease and all-cause mortality in elderly men.

Because the importance of established risk factors for coronary heart disease (CHD) is unclear in older people, the associations of white blood cell (WBC) count with the risk for CHD and all-cause mortality were investigated in an elderly cohort that was followed up for 5 years. In 1985, complete information on the risk factors of interest was available for 884 randomly selected men, aged 64 to 84 years, from the Dutch town of Zutphen (participation rate, 74%). Relative risks (RRs) for each 10(9)/L increase in WBC count were obtained for the 5-year incidence of and mortality from CHD and all causes. RRs were adjusted for age, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, total and high density lipoprotein cholesterol levels, and cigarette smoking habit. The WBC count was 6.7 +/- 1.8 X 10(9)/L (means +/- SD) at baseline. An increased WBC count was independently associated with mortality due to CHD, and the RR amounted to 1.32 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.15 to 1.51). For the incidence of CHD the RR was 1.14 (95% CI, 0.98 to 1.32). These associations were observed regardless of cigarette smoking habit. Regarding all-cause mortality, the RR amounted to 1.25 (95% CI, 1.17 to 1.35). This association was especially noticeable among former smokers and those who had never smoked. In conclusion, during 5 years of follow-up WBC count predicted CHD and all-cause mortality in elderly men, independent of the conventional risk factors for CHD.

Aged↗

Cerebrovascular disease, the apolipoprotein e4 allele, and cognitive decline in a community-based study of elderly men.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Cerebrovascular disease and the apolipoprotein e4 (APOE*4) allele are both important risk factors for cognitive decline. We investigated the combined effect of APOE*4 and cerebrovascular disease on cognitive decline. METHODS: Data are from a cohort of 353 men, aged 69 to 89 years at baseline, living in Zutphen, Netherlands. The 30-point Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) was used to measure cognitive decline (drop of > 2 points) from 1990 to 1993 (14% of the sample). Odds ratios (OR [95% confidence interval]) for cognitive decline were adjusted for age, education, and baseline MMSE score. RESULTS: Compared with those without APOE*4 and without a history of cerebrovascular disease, the adjusted OR was 4.7 (1.7 to 12.7) for subjects without APOE*4 but with cerebrovascular disease, 3.3 (1.6 to 6.8) for those with APOE*4 and no cerebrovascular disease, and 17.2 (2.7 to 110.0) for those with both risk factors. The risk for cerebrovascular disease and APOE*4 combined was more than expected from the separate effects. The combined risk of coronary heart disease and APOE*4 was 6.1 (1.7 to 22.3). The analysis of cardiovascular risk factors showed that the risk of cognitive decline was highest in subjects with both APOE*4 and a high cholesterol level, high fibrinogen level, normal blood pressure, or diabetes mellitus. CONCLUSIONS: Cerebrovascular disease and APOE*4 may have a synergistic effect on cognitive decline.

Aged↗

Twenty-five-year prediction of stroke deaths in the seven countries study: the role of blood pressure and its changes.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: This report explores the prediction of long-term stroke mortality in cohorts of the Seven Countries Study. METHODS: Sixteen cohorts of men aged 40 to 59 years at entry were examined at years 0, 5, and 10, with mortality follow-up through 25 years. RESULTS: Stroke death rates in 25 years were high in rural Serbia, Croatia, and Japan; intermediate in Italy, Greece, and urban Serbia; and low in Finland, the Netherlands, and the United States. Age and blood pressure were powerful predictors of 25-year stroke mortality in almost all cohorts and countries. Proportional hazards regression coefficients were .0232 increase in stroke death hazard per millimeter of mercury (t=14.60) for systolic blood pressure and .0409 (t=13.41) for diastolic blood pressure. Moderate blood pressure increases from low usual levels were associated with lower stroke mortality rates in years 10 to 25. Increases of blood pressure starting from high usual levels were associated with increased rates of stroke mortality. Systolic blood pressure was associated with stroke mortality at given levels of diastolic pressure, but diastolic blood pressure was not predictive of stroke mortality at given levels of systolic blood pressure. CONCLUSIONS: Associations of systolic and diastolic blood pressure with stroke mortality were similar in cultures with different stroke mortality rates. Increases in blood pressure were associated with subsequent excess stroke mortality only in those who started from high usual levels; this study finds lower stroke risk in those men whose blood pressure increased moderately from low usual levels. Diastolic blood pressure is not independently associated with stroke risk in these populations.

Adult↗

Age-related changes in total and high-density-lipoprotein cholesterol in elderly Dutch men.

OBJECTIVES: This study investigated changes in total and high-density-lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL) concentrations with age and time in elderly men. METHODS: A cohort of men born between 1900 and 1920 from the Dutch town of Zutphen was examined in 1977 and 1978 (n = 571), 1985 (n = 885), 1990 (n = 555), and 1993 (n = 345). Linear regression analysis and random-effects models were used to assess cross-sectional and longitudinal age- and time-related changes in cholesterol concentrations. RESULTS: In both cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses, total cholesterol decreased by 0.04 mmol/L a year with age. The longitudinal change was observed in the entire population as well as in men who participated in all four examinations (n = 135) and in a subgroup of men who were free of common chronic diseases, were not on cholesterol-lowering medication or a prescribed diet, and rated themselves as being "healthy" (n = 64). HDL cholesterol did not change significantly with age neither on a cross-sectional nor on a longitudinal basis. CONCLUSIONS: Among elderly men, total cholesterol diminishes with age both on a cross-sectional and on a longitudinal basis; HDL cholesterol does not vary with age in any way.

Aged↗

QTc duration is associated with levels of insulin and glucose intolerance. The Zutphen Elderly Study.

Prolongation of heart rate-adjusted QT length (corrected QT interval [QTc]) is associated with elevated risk of coronary heart disease and sudden death. This may have to do with autonomic cardiac control. Because insulin is known to stimulate sympathetic activity, we studied the association of insulin level and glucose tolerance with QTc. In 1990, 383 elderly men 70-89 years of age without previous myocardial infarctions or known diabetes had a 12-lead electrocardiogram recorded and glucose tolerance determined in the frame of an ongoing follow-up study. QTc was significantly associated with fasting glucose, insulin, and C-peptide and glucose levels 60 and 120 min after an oral glucose load. For fasting C-peptide and the area under the glucose curve (AUGC), this association could not be explained by the concomitant occurrence of other risk factors of coronary heart disease. Furthermore, fasting C-peptide and the AUGC were independently additive predictors of QTc duration. The difference in QTc between men in the extreme quintiles of both variables was 22 ms. QTc prolongation seems to be part of the insulin resistance syndrome. The association may be explained by increased sympathetic activity induced by high insulin levels. An additional explanation could be an effect of high insulin, impaired glucose utilization, or both on membrane activity of myocardial cells.

Aged↗

Is the incidence of diabetes increasing in all age-groups in The Netherlands? Results of the second study in the Dutch Sentinel Practice Network.

OBJECTIVE: To assess possible changes in the incidence of diabetes in all age-groups in The Netherlands during a 10-year period (1980-1983/1990-1992). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Since 1970, a network of sentinel stations (the Dutch Sentinel Practice Network) consisting of approximately 1% of the Dutch population has been in operation to gain insight into the morbidity patterns of the Dutch population as recorded by general practitioners. One of the items recorded from 1990 to 1992 was the incidence of diabetes. The first study with a similar design that registered the incidence of diabetes was conducted from 1980 to 1983. RESULTS: The overall incidence of diabetes increased significantly by 12.1% in the period between the two studies. This overall increase can largely be attributed to a statistically significant increase in the age-group 45-64 years (30.5%). Although not statistically significant, the 36% increase of diabetes in the age-group 0-19 years is in accordance with the increase of type I diabetes based on the first and second nationwide retrospective studies covering the total Dutch population. CONCLUSIONS: There is a marked increase in the incidence of diabetes in the age-group 45-64 years. This selective increase is probably not due to a real rise caused by changes in exposure to risk factors but to an earlier recognition of symptoms and signs of diabetes followed by blood glucose measurements and/or to more intensive case finding in general practice.

Adolescent↗

Comparison of multivariate predictive power of major risk factors for coronary heart diseases in different countries: results from eight nations of the Seven Countries Study, 25-year follow-up.

BACKGROUND: It was hypothesized that among eight national groups of men aged 40-59 years enrolled in the Seven Countries Study, the multivariate coefficients of major risk factors predicting coronary heart disease mortality over 25 years would be relatively similar. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Sixteen cohorts were located in eight nations and pooled, comprising one cohort in the USA, two in Finland, one in the Netherlands, three in Italy, two in Croatia (former Yugoslavia), three in Serbia (Yugoslavia), two in Greece and two in Japan, for a total of over 12000 subjects at entry. Coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality was defined as fatal myocardial infarction or sudden coronary death, and proportional hazard models were solved, for each country, with age, serum cholesterol level, systolic blood pressure and cigarette consumption as covariates. RESULTS: The relationships between risk factors and CHD mortality were statistically significant for all risk factors and for all countries, except for age in Croatia and Japan, cholesterol in Croatia and Japan, systolic blood pressure in Serbia and Greece, and cigarette-smoking in the Netherlands, Croatia, Serbia and Greece. When comparing all pairs of coefficients (28 comparisons for each factor) significant differences were found on four occasions for age, on six occasions for cholesterol, on no occasion for blood pressure and on four occasions for cigarette-smoking. Other tests suggested a substantial homogeneity among multivariate coefficients. Estimates for pooled coefficients were: age, in years, 0.0570 (95% confidence limits 0.0465 and 0.0673); relative risk for 5 years 1.33 (95% confidence limits 1.26 and 1.40); serum cholesterol level in mg/dl, 0.0057 (95% confidence limits 0.0045 and 0.0069); relative risk for 40 mg/dl 1.31 (95% confidence limits 1.20 and 1.31); systolic blood pressure in mmHg, 0.0160, (95% confidence limits 0.0134 and 0.0185), relative risk for 20 mmHg 1.38 (95% confidence limits 1.31 and 1.45); cigarettes per day, 0.0220 (95% confidence limits 0.0170 and 0.0272); relative risk for 10 cigarettes per day 1.25 (95% confidence limits 1.18 and 1.31). CONCLUSIONS: Great similarities were found in the multivariate coefficients of major coronary risk factors to CHD risk derived from population samples varying in CHD frequency.

Adult↗

Fruit and vegetable consumption and cancer mortality in the Caerphilly Study.

We investigated whether the consumption of fruit and vegetables lowered cancer mortality in a cohort of 2112 Welsh men ages 45-69 years (The Caerphilly Study), which was followed-up for 13.8 years. At baseline (between 1979 and 1983), participants completed a 56-item food frequency questionnaire from which the consumption of fruit and vegetables was calculated. Relative risks (RR) were estimated with Cox proportional hazard analysis, with death from various types of cancer as a dependent variable, and fruit, vegetables, vitamin C, beta-carotene, dietary fiber, and potential confounders as independent variables. Mean consumption of vegetables and fruit at baseline was 118 g/day and 83 g/day, respectively. During follow-up 114 men died from cancer, including 51 men who died from respiratory tract cancer and 45 men who died from digestive tract cancer. Fruit consumption and the intake of dietary fiber were inversely related to respiratory tract cancer, but after adjustment for potential confounders including age, smoking, and social class, the association with fruit consumption became nonsignificant. Vegetable and fruit consumption was, independently from other risk factors, inversely related to mortality from cancer of the digestive tract (P for trend = 0.021), mainly due to an inverse association with fruit consumption (RR for the highest quartile versus the lowest was 0.3; 95% CI, 0.1-0.8). Vitamin C, beta-carotene, and dietary fiber were not significantly associated with cancers of the digestive tract. Vegetable and fruit consumption was also inversely related to all-cause cancer mortality, and the strongest association was observed for fruit consumption (RR in the highest versus lowest quartile was 0.5; 95% CI, 0.3-1.0). Consumption of vegetables and particularly the consumption of fruit could considerably lower the risk of dying from cancer in middle-aged men.

Age Factors↗

Haemostatic parameters and lifestyle factors in elderly men in Italy and The Netherlands.

The association between plasma fibrinogen, factor VII, factor X, activated partial thromboplastin time, antithrombin III and the lifestyle factors cigarette smoking, alcohol use, fat intake and physical activity was assessed in 802 men aged 70-90 years in Zutphen (The Netherlands), Montegiorgio and Crevalcore (Italy). Smoking was positively associated with fibrinogen, also after adjustment for other lifestyle factors, age, use of anticoagulants and aspirin like drugs, body mass index, and history of myocardial infarction. Alcohol use was associated with increased levels of factor X and decreased levels of antithrombin III. Fat intake was positively associated with antithrombin III. Between cohorts, considerable differences were observed in levels of haemostatic parameters and the lifestyle factors. Compared to the mediterranean cohorts the Zutphen cohort showed the highest levels of fibrinogen and factor VII. Differences in lifestyle factors could, however, not explain differences between cohorts in levels of any of the haemostatic parameters, despite the observed associations between lifestyle factors and haemostatic parameters.

Aged↗

Intake and sources of alpha-linolenic acid in Dutch elderly men.

OBJECTIVE: Intake of alpha-linolenic acid may have a beneficial effect on coronary heart disease, but little information is available on the intake and sources of alpha-linolenic acid (C18:3 n-3) in populations. We therefore assessed intake and sources of alpha-linolenic acid in Dutch elderly men. DESIGN AND SUBJECTS: Dietary histories were obtained from participants of the Zutphen Elderly Study, a Dutch cohort study. Food consumption data were available from 876 men in 1985 and from 541 of the same men in 1990. Daily intakes of alpha-linolenic acid were assessed using a food table developed for this purpose. Alpha-linolenic acid content of edible fats, seafood and some commonly eaten dishes were mainly derived from chemical analyses of Dutch foods, and other values were obtained from published food tables. RESULTS: Alpha-linolenic acid provided 0.5 +/- 0.1% of energy intake (mean +/- s.d.) or 1.30 +/- 0.46 g/day in 1985, and 1.21 +/- 0.52 g/day in 1990. The Pearson correlation coefficient for intake of alpha-linolenic acid in 1985 and 1990 was 0.34. Margarines were the main source (25.4%), followed by meat and the fats used in cooking meat (10.8%), bread (9.8%) and vegetables (7.8%). CONCLUSIONS: An increase in intake of alpha-linolenic acid, is most easily realized by the use of unhydrogenated oils rich in alpha-linolenic acid such as rapeseed and soybean oil, and of margarines and other fats containing such oils.

Aged↗

Risk of otitis externa after swimming in recreational fresh water lakes containing Pseudomonas aeruginosa.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether an outbreak of otitis externa was due to bathing in recreational fresh water lakes and to establish whether the outbreak was caused by Pseudomonas aeruginosa in the water. DESIGN: Matched case-control study. SETTING: The Achterhoek area, the Netherlands. SUBJECTS: 98 cases with otitis externa and 149 controls matched for age, sex, and place of residence. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Odds ratios for type of swimming water and frequency of swimming; presence of P aeruginosa in ear swabs and fresh water lakes. RESULTS: Otitis externa was strongly associated with swimming in recreational fresh water lakes in the previous two weeks (odds ratio 15.5 (95% confidence interval) 4.9 to 49.2) compared with non-swimming). The risk increased with the number of days of swimming, and subjects with recurrent ear disease had a greatly increased risk. The lakes met the Dutch bathing water standards and those set by the European Commission for faecal pollution in the summer of 1994, but P aeruginosa was isolated from all of them, as well as from the ear swabs of 78 (83%) of the cases and 3 (4%) of the controls. CONCLUSIONS: Even when current bathing water standards are met, swimming can be associated with a substantial risk of otitis externa because of exposure to P aeruginosa. People with recurrent ear disease should take special care when swimming in waters containing P aeruginosa.

Adult↗

Total cholesterol concentration and mortality at a relatively young age: do men and women differ?

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relation between total cholesterol concentration and mortality from coronary heart disease, cardiovascular diseases, non-cardiovascular causes, and all causes. DESIGN: Population based cohort study. SUBJECTS: 23,000 men and 26,000 women aged 30-54 years examined between 1974 and 1980. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Mortality for the above mentioned end points for fifths of cholesterol distribution, and relative risks estimated by using Cox's proportional hazard (survival) analysis. Adjustment was made for age, smoking, systolic blood pressure, and body mass index. RESULTS: Mortality from coronary heart disease in men was five times higher than that in women. A strong positive association between total cholesterol concentration and mortality from coronary heart disease and cardiovascular diseases was observed in both men and women. The relative risk for the highest compared with the lowest fifth of the cholesterol distribution was for mortality from coronary heart disease (3.0 (95% confidence interval 1.8 to 5.1) in men and 3.8 (1.1 to 13.1) in women) and for mortality from cardiovascular disease (2.8 (1.8 to 4.2) in men and 2.9 (1.4 to 6.0) in women). No increase of non-cardiovascular mortality at low cholesterol concentration was observed. All cause mortality was significantly higher in the highest compared with the lowest fifth of the cholesterol distribution: relative risk 1.6 (1.3 to 2.0) in men and 1.5 (1.1 to 1.9) in women. CONCLUSION: Total cholesterol concentration is a strong predictor of mortality from coronary heart disease, cardiovascular diseases, and all causes in women as well as in men. Low cholesterol concentrations are not associated with increased mortality from non-cardiovascular causes.

Adult↗

Serum total cholesterol and long-term coronary heart disease mortality in different cultures. Twenty-five-year follow-up of the seven countries study.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the relationship between serum total cholesterol and long-term mortality from coronary heart disease (CHD) in different cultures. DESIGN: Total cholesterol was measured at baseline (1958 through 1964) and at 5- and 10-year follow-up in 12,467 men aged 40 through 59 years in 16 cohorts located in seven countries: five European countries, the United States, and Japan. To increase statistical power six cohorts were formed, based on similarities in culture and cholesterol changes during the first 10 years of follow-up. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Relative risks (RRs), estimated with Cox proportional hazards (survival) analysis, for 25-year CHD mortality for cholesterol quartiles and per 0.50-mmol/L (20-mg/dL) cholesterol increase. Adjustment was made for age, smoking, and systolic blood pressure. RESULTS: The age-standardized CHD mortality rates in the six cohorts ranged from 3% to 20%. The RRs for the highest compared with the lowest cholesterol quartile ranged from 1.5 to 2.3, except for Japan's RR of 1.1. For a cholesterol level of around 5.45 mmol/L (210 mg/dL), CHD mortality rates varied from 4% to 5% in Japan and Mediterranean Southern Europe to about 15% in Northern Europe. However, the relative increase in CHD mortality due to a given cholesterol increase was similar in all cultures except Japan. Using a linear approximation, a 0.50-mmol/L (20-mg/dL) increase in total cholesterol corresponded to an increase in CHD mortality risk of 12%, which became an increase in mortality risk of 17% when adjusted for regression dilution bias. CONCLUSION: Across cultures, cholesterol is linearly related to CHD mortality, and the relative increase in CHD mortality rates with a given cholesterol increase is the same. The large difference in absolute CHD mortality rates at a given cholesterol level, however, indicates that other factors, such as diet, that are typical for cultures with a low CHD risk are also important with respect to primary prevention.

Adult↗

Average intake of anti-oxidant (pro)vitamins and subsequent cancer mortality in the 16 cohorts of the Seven Countries Study.

This ecologic study aimed to investigate whether differences in population mortality from lung, stomach and colorectal cancer among the 16 cohorts of the Seven Countries Study could be explained by differences in the average intake of anti-oxidant (pro)vitamins. In the 1960s, detailed dietary information was collected in small sub-samples of the cohorts by the dietary record method. In 1987, food-equivalent composites representing the average food intake of each cohort at baseline were collected locally and analyzed in a central laboratory. The vital status of all participants was verified after 25 years of follow-up. The average intake of vitamin C was strongly inversely related to the 25-year stomach-cancer mortality (r = -0.66, p = 0.01), also after adjustment for smoking and intake of salt or nitrate. The average intake of alpha-carotene, beta-carotene, and alpha-tocopherol were not independently related to mortality from lung, stomach or colorectal cancer, nor was vitamin C related to lung and colorectal cancer.

Adult↗

Flavonoid intake and long-term risk of coronary heart disease and cancer in the seven countries study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether flavonoid intake explains differences in mortality rates from chronic diseases between populations. DESIGN: Cross-cultural correlation study. SETTING/PARTICIPANTS: Sixteen cohorts of the Seven Countries Study in whom flavonoid intake at baseline around 1960 was estimated by flavonoid analysis of equivalent food composites that represented the average diet in the cohorts. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Mortality from coronary heart disease, cancer (various sites), and all causes in the 16 cohorts after 25 years of follow-up. RESULTS: Average intake of antioxidant flavonoids was inversely associated with mortality from coronary heart disease and explained about 25% of the variance in coronary heart disease rates in the 16 cohorts. In multivariate analysis, intake of saturated fat (73%; P = 0.0001), flavonoid intake (8%, P = .01), and percentage of smokers per cohort (9%; P = .03) explained together, independent of intake of alcohol and antioxidant vitamins, 90% of the variance in coronary heart disease rates. Flavonoid intake was not independently associated with mortality from other causes. CONCLUSIONS: Average flavonoid intake may partly contribute to differences in coronary heart disease mortality across populations, but it does not seem to be an important determinant of cancer mortality.

Adult↗