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D E Grobbee

Publications and source records attributed to D E Grobbee.

At least 145 records · Page 8Linked to original sources
PubMed2001

The prognosis of heart failure in the general population: The Rotterdam Study.

AIMS: To determine the prognosis, cause of death, and its determinants in participants of the population-based Rotterdam Study who were found to have heart failure. METHODS AND RESULTS: In 5255 Rotterdam Study participants (aged 68.9+/-8.6 years, 3113 women) the presence of heart failure was determined. Data were analysed with Cox's proportional-hazards models. One hundred and eighty-one participants (age 77.3+/-7.9 years, 109 women) had heart failure. Of these 85 (47%) died during the 4.8-8.5 (mean 6.1) years of follow-up. One, 2 and 5 years' survival was 89%, 79%, and 59%, representing an age-adjusted mortality twice that of persons without heart failure (hazard ratio 2.1, 95% CI 1.8-2.7). The hazard ratio for sudden death was even more pronounced: 4.8, (95% CI 2.6-8.7). Diabetes mellitus, impairment of renal function and atrial fibrillation were associated with a poor outcome. A higher blood pressure and body mass index conferred a more favourable prognosis in those with heart failure. CONCLUSION: Heart failure generally afflicts older subjects in the community, carries a poor prognosis, especially in the presence of concomitant diseases, and confers a fivefold increase in the risk of sudden death.

Aged↗
PubMed2001

Predicting serious bacterial infection in young children with fever without apparent source.

UNLABELLED: The aim of this study was to design a clinical rule to predict the presence of a serious bacterial infection in children with fever without apparent source. Information was collected from the records of children aged 1-36 mo who attended the paediatric emergency department because of fever without source (temperature > or = 38 degrees C and no apparent source found after evaluation by a general practitioner or history by a paediatrician). Serious bacterial infection included bacterial meningitis, sepsis, bacteraemia, pneumonia, urinary tract infection, bacterial gastroenteritis, osteomyelitis and ethmoiditis. Using multivariate logistic regression and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC area), the diagnostic value of predictors for serious bacterial infection was judged, resulting in a risk stratification. Twenty-five percent of the 231 patients enrolled in the study (mean age 1.1 y) had a serious bacterial infection. Independent predictors from history and examination included duration of fever, poor micturition, vomiting, age, temperature < 36.7 degrees C or > or = 40 degrees C at examination, chest-wall retractions and poor peripheral circulation (ROC area: 0.75). Independent predictors from laboratory tests were white blood cell count, serum C-reactive protein and the presence of >70 white blood cells in urinalysis (ROC area: 0.83). The risk stratification for serious bacterial infection ranged from 6% to 92%. CONCLUSION: The probability of a serious bacterial infection in the individual patient with fever without source can be estimated more precisely by using a limited number of symptoms, signs and laboratory tests.

Bacterial Infections↗
PubMed2001

A reduction in type and screen: preoperative prediction of RBC transfusions in surgery procedures with intermediate transfusion risks.

In many patients, a 'type and screen' procedure is routinely performed before surgery. However, most patients are not transfused after all. Can we predict, which surgical patients will and will not be transfused, to reduce the number of these investigations? We studied 1482 consecutive surgical patients with intermediate risk for transfusion. Multivariate logistic regression modelling and the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (ROC area) were used to quantify how well age, gender, surgical procedure, emergency or elective surgery and anaesthetic technique predicted transfusion, and whether the preoperative haemoglobin concentration had added predictive value. Gender, age > or =70 yr, and type of surgery were independent predictors of transfusion, with a ROC area of 0.75 (95% CI: 0.72-0.79). Validating this model with an easily used prediction rule in a second patient population yielded a ROC area of 0.70 (95% CI: 0.63-0.77). With this rule type and screen could correctly be withheld in 35% of these patients. In the remaining 65% of the patients, a further reduction in type and screen investigations of 15% could be achieved using the preoperative haemoglobin concentration. Using a simple prediction rule, preoperative type and screen investigations in patients who have to undergo surgery procedures with intermediate transfusion risk can be avoided in about 50%. This may reduce patient burden and hospital costs (on average: 3 million US$ per 100 000 procedures).

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

Seasonal variation in cause-specific mortality: are there high-risk groups? 25-year follow-up of civil servants from the first Whitehall study.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the seasonal effect on all-cause and cause-specific mortality and to identify high-risk groups. METHODS: A 25-year follow-up of 19,019 male civil servants aged 40-69 years. RESULTS: All-cause mortality was seasonal (ratio of highest mortality rate during winter versus lowest rate during summer 1.22, 95% CI : 1.1-1.3), largely due to the seasonal nature of ischaemic heart disease. Participants at high risk based on age, employment grade, blood pressure, cholesterol, forced expiratory volume, smoking and diabetes did not have higher seasonal mortality, although participants with ischaemic heart disease at baseline did have a higher seasonality effect (1.38, 95% CI : 1.2-1.6) than those without (1.18, 95% CI : 1.1-1.3) (P = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Seasonal mortality differences were greater among those with prevalent ischaemic heart disease and at older ages, but were not greater in individuals of lower socioeconomic status or with a high multivariate risk score. Since seasonal differences showed no evidence of declining over time, elucidating their causes and preventive strategies remains a public health challenge.

Adult↗
PubMed2001

Intake of dietary phytoestrogens is low in postmenopausal women in the United States: the Framingham study(1-4).

Many plants that are consumed contain phytoestrogens. Only a few published studies have examined the dietary intake of phytoestrogens in the general Western population. The potentially positive health effects of phytoestrogens might be of relevance to postmenopausal women. The aim of the present study was to estimate the intake of dietary isoflavones, coumestans and lignans by healthy Western postmenopausal women. For this purpose, we studied 964 postmenopausal, Caucasian women who participated in the Framingham Offspring Study and completed the Willett food-frequency questionnaire (FFQ). By searching the medical and agricultural literature and contacting experts, we identified food sources of phytoestrogens. The concentrations of the different isoflavones, coumestrol and lignans in each food in the FFQ were scored in seven categories and multiplied by the serving size of the food and the frequency of its consumption. The estimated daily median intake of the isoflavone daidzein was 39 microg (24-57 microg); of genistein, 70 microg (28-120 microg); of formononetin, 31 microg (13-44 microg); and of biochanin A, 6 microg (2-11 microg). Median total intake of isoflavones was 154 microg (99-235 microg). The main sources of isoflavones were beans and peas. The estimated daily intake of coumestans was 0.6 microg (0.2-1.7 microg), with broccoli as the main source. The estimated daily median intake of matairesinol was 19 microg (12-28 microg) and of secoisolariciresinol 560 microg (399-778 microg). The median total intake of lignans was 578 microg (416-796 microg). The main source of the lignans was fruits. The daily dietary intake of phytoestrogens in healthy postmenopausal Caucasian women in the United States is <1 mg.

Diet↗
PubMed2001

Ethnic differences in C-peptide levels and anti-GAD antibodies in South African patients with diabetic ketoacidosis.

To determine differences between Black and White South Africans with diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) and between Black patients on insulin vs. those on oral agents presenting with DKA, post stabilization fasting C-peptide levels and anti-glutamic acid decarboxylase (GAD) antibodies were measured together with serum glucose, acid base and urine ketones on admission. Of 60 patients with diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) (76 admissions), the 43 Black patients had a higher BMI (23.1 vs. 20.0 kg/m(2), p=0.05) than did the 17 White patients, were more often newly diagnosed (37% vs. 1%, p=0.03), and a greater proportion of Black patients had fasting C-peptide levels >0.3 nmol/l (28% (10/36) vs. 0%, p=0.03). Of these 10 Black patients, eight were anti-GAD-negative. Thirteen Black patients (33%) were anti-GAD-positive vs. 10 (67%) White patients (p=0.03). There was no statistically significant difference in anti-GAD positivity between Black patients on oral agents or those on insulin. Most patients (5/7) admitted on oral agents had negative C-peptide levels after stabilization. Our results suggest that in patients presenting with DKA, a quarter of Black South Africans have C-peptide levels regarded as being indicative of type 2 DM and are less frequently anti-GAD-antibody-positive than are White South Africans.

Adult↗
PubMed2001

Signs of meningeal irritation at the emergency department: how often bacterial meningitis?

OBJECTIVE: Although signs of meningeal irritation are highly indicative of meningitis, they are not pathognomonic. In this study, we described the final diagnoses in children with signs of meningeal irritation, and we assessed the frequency of bacterial meningitis related to specific signs of meningeal irritation. METHODS: Information was collected from records of 326 patients (aged 1 month to 15 years) who visited the emergency department of the Sophia Children's Hospital between 1988 and 1998 with signs of meningeal irritation, assessed by either the general practitioner or the pediatrician. RESULTS: Bacterial meningitis was diagnosed in 99 patients (30%), viral or aseptic meningitis in 43 (13%). Other diagnoses were pneumonia (8%), other serious bacterial infections (2%), and upper respiratory tract infections or other self-limiting diseases (46 %). Presence of one of the signs of meningeal irritation assessed by the pediatrician was related to bacterial meningitis in 39%. Specific tests eliciting meningeal irritation, such as Brudzinski's and Kernig's signs, were not related to a higher frequency of bacterial meningitis than neck stiffness and the tripod phenomenon. In children < or =1 year, bacterial meningitis is more frequently related to presence of irritability and a bulging fontanel. CONCLUSION: Bacterial meningitis is present in 30% of children with signs of meningeal irritation. Presence of meningeal irritation as assessed by the pediatrician is related to bacterial meningitis in 39%. A better prediction of bacterial meningitis was not achieved by using more specific tests for signs of meningeal irritation.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

Control of blood pressure in the ambulatory setting.

Control of blood pressure still relies on conventional office or clinical blood pressure measurement using mercury sphygmomanometry. However, it has long been known that office measurement, even when repeated, does not fully reflect usual blood pressure. The additional use of ambulatory devices for prolonged periods of blood pressure measurement is now clinically feasible. Previous research has indicated that ambulatory blood pressure measurement is better than office measurement at predicting individual cardiovascular risk. Guidelines for clinical use of ambulatory blood pressure measurement and for quality control of devices are available. Ambulatory measurement has revealed characteristics of circadian rhythm and variability that are promising with regard both to improving our understanding of the aetiology of high blood pressure and to individual risk assessment. Some of the latest developments in research on ambulatory blood pressure measurement are discussed.

Blood Pressure↗
PubMed2001

Health surveillance for occupational chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

Screening for lung disease in workers with a low prevalence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is subject to debate. Examining all workers would lead to unacceptable costs. Surveillance of high-risk groups may be a useful alternative. Data from 314 workers exposed to dust were used to develop a prediction model. Data from a study comprising 96 rubber workers were used to validate the model's performance. COPD was defined as a ratio of forced expiratory volume in 1 second to forced vital capacity outside the 5th percentile. The accuracy of the model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and by comparison of the observed versus predicted probabilities. Shortness of breath, wheeze, heavy smoking, and work-related lower respiratory symptoms were identified as independent determinants of having COPD. Workers with COPD can be distinguished from those without COPD on the basis of a medical/work-related questionnaire. Occupational physicians can develop a low-cost strategy for detecting workers at risk for COPD.

Adult↗
PubMed2001

Association between arterial stiffness and atherosclerosis: the Rotterdam Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Studies of the association between arterial stiffness and atherosclerosis are contradictory. We studied stiffness of the aorta and the common carotid artery in relation to several indicators of atherosclerosis. METHODS: This study was conducted within the Rotterdam Study in >3000 elderly subjects aged 60 to 101 years. Aortic stiffness was assessed by measuring carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity, and common carotid artery stiffness was assessed by measuring common carotid distensibility. Atherosclerosis was assessed by common carotid intima-media thickness, plaques in the carotid artery and in the aorta, and the presence of peripheral arterial disease. Data were analyzed by ANCOVA with adjustment for age, sex, mean arterial pressure, and heart rate. RESULTS: Both aortic and common carotid artery stiffness were found to have a strong positive association with common carotid intima-media thickness, severity of plaques in the carotid artery, and severity of plaques in the aorta (P: for trend <0.01 for all associations). Subjects with peripheral arterial disease had significantly increased aortic stiffness (P:=0.001) and borderline significantly increased common carotid artery stiffness (P:=0.08) compared with subjects without peripheral arterial disease. Results were similar after additional adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors and after exclusion of subjects with prevalent cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: This population-based study shows that arterial stiffness is strongly associated with atherosclerosis at various sites in the vascular tree.

Age Distribution↗
PubMed2001

Is carotid intima-media thickness useful in cardiovascular disease risk assessment? The Rotterdam Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: We determined the contribution of common carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) in the prediction of future coronary heart disease and cerebrovascular disease when added to established risk factors. METHODS: We used data from a nested case-control study comprising 374 subjects with either an incident stroke or a myocardial infarction and 1496 controls. All subjects were aged 55 years and older and participated in the Rotterdam Study. Mean follow-up was 4.2 years (range, 0.1 to 6.5 years). We evaluated which correlates of coronary heart disease and cerebrovascular disease contribute to the prediction of either a new incident myocardial infarction or a stroke. Logistic regression modeling and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC area) were used to quantify the predictive value of the established risk factors and the added value of IMT. RESULTS: The ROC area of a model with age and sex only was 0.65 (95% CI, 0.62 to 0.69). Independent risk factors were previous myocardial infarction and stroke, diabetes mellitus, smoking, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, and total and HDL cholesterol levels. These risk factors increased the ROC area from 0.65 to 0.72 (95% CI, 0.69 to 0.75). This model correctly predicted 17% of all subjects with coronary heart disease and cerebrovascular disease. When common carotid IMT was added to the previous model, the ROC area increased to 0.75 (95% CI, 0.72 to 0.78). When only the IMT measurement was used, the ROC area was 0.71 (95% CI, 0.68 to 0.74), and 14% of all subjects were correctly predicted. There was no difference in ROC area when different measurement sites were used. CONCLUSIONS: Adding IMT to a risk function for coronary heart disease and cerebrovascular disease does not result in a substantial increase in the predictive value when used as a screening tool.

Aged↗
PubMed2001

Apolipoprotein E and carotid artery atherosclerosis: the Rotterdam study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Carotid artery atherosclerosis is a strong predictor for future stroke. It is yet unclear whether the apolipoprotein E polymorphism (APOE) is related to atherosclerosis in the carotid arteries. The aim of the present study was to investigate the role of APOE in carotid artery atherosclerosis. METHODS: A population-based cross-sectional study was performed on 5401 subjects. Atherosclerosis was noninvasively assessed by the common carotid artery intima-media wall thickness and the presence of plaques in the carotid arteries. The relationship of the 6 APOE genotypes with these 2 indicators was studied with linear and logistic regression analysis, respectively, with adjustments for age and sex. RESULTS: Carriers of the E2E3 genotype had a thinner intima-media wall thickness (mean difference, -0.02 mm; 95% CI, -0.03 to -0.01 mm) and fewer plaques (odds ratio for >3 plaques at 6 sites, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.4 to 0.8) than the most common group, E3E3. The E4E4 group had slightly more atherosclerosis, but this was not statistically significant. Adjusting for the level of the apolipoprotein E protein (apoE) in serum or total or HDL cholesterol did not essentially change these findings. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that APOE*4 is not an important risk factor for carotid artery atherosclerosis. The inverse relationship of E2E3 with carotid artery atherosclerosis seems to be independent of serum apoE and total and HDL cholesterol levels. However, the low frequency, together with the small effects, implies that any protective effect of E2E3 on carotid artery atherosclerosis is limited.

Aged↗
PubMed2001

Cardiovascular drug use and hospitalizations attributable to type 2 diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate cardiovascular drug use and hospitalizations attributable to type 2 diabetes from 1 year before until 6 years after the start of oral antidiabetic therapy. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: In this cohort study, 2,584 patients with type 2 diabetes were selected from the PHARMO Record Linkage System, comprising pharmacy records and hospitalizations for all 320,000 residents of six Dutch cities. Patients with type 2 diabetes were identified as incident oral antidiabetic drug users between 1992 and 1997. Nondiabetic subjects were 1:1-matched for age, sex, pharmacy, and index date and received no insulin, oral antidiabetic drugs, or glucose-testing supplies. RESULTS: Patients with type 2 diabetes were more likely to use cardiovascular drugs (RR 1.28 [95% CI 1.23-1.34]) and to be hospitalized because of cardiovascular diseases (1.54 [1.33-1.78]) after the start of oral antidiabetic therapy than nondiabetic subjects. Differences between patients with type 2 diabetes and nondiabetic subjects lessened from 1 year before until 6 years after the start of oral antidiabetic therapy, reflected by decreasing attributable risks for diuretics, beta-blockers, calcium channel blockers, and cardiac and antithrombotic drugs. The difference in use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors and lipid-lowering drugs increased. Cardiovascular hospitalizations attributable to type 2 diabetes were approximately 50% in the years close to the start of oral antidiabetic treatment and decreased to approximately 33% in the following years. CONCLUSIONS: Although cardiovascular drug use and hospitalizations remained increased in patients with type 2 diabetes after the start of oral antidiabetic therapy, cardiovascular drug use attributable to type 2 diabetes decreased after the start of oral antidiabetic therapy, especially beta-blockers, whereas cardiovascular hospitalizations first decreased and then stabilized.

Cardiovascular Agents↗
PubMed2001

Activation products of the haemostatic system in coronary, cerebrovascular and peripheral arterial disease.

To determine the presence of a 'hypercoagulable state' as assessed by indices of thrombin and plasmin generation and of the amount of fibrin that is lysed, in patients with stable coronary, cerebral and peripheral arterial disease a population-based cross-sectional study was performed. From a population-based cohort comprising 7983 men and women aged 55 years and over, we randomly selected 127 subjects with a history of myocardial infarction, 124 with a history of stroke and/or transient ischemic attack, 131 patients with peripheral arterial disease and 263 control subjects in the same age group without arterial disease. Subjects using anticoagulant drugs were not selected. F1+2, TAT, and PAP were not associated with a history of cardiovascular events, nor with peripheral arterial disease. In contrast, positive associations were found for D-Dimer. Mean D-Dimer level was 40 microg/l (95% CI 35, 44) in control subjects; 53 microg/l (47, 61) in those with a history of myocardial infarction and 51 microg/l (45, 58) in those with a history of stroke and or transient ischemic attack. D-Dimer increased gradually with increasing severity of peripheral atherosclerosis; a decrease in ankle/arm systolic blood pressure ratio of 0.1 was associated with an increase in D-Dimer of 3.9 microg/l (p<0.01). This was more pronounced in subjects with higher F1+2, TAT and PAP concentration. In conclusion, the markers of onset of coagulation F1+2, TAT and PAP are not associated with the presence of arterial disease, but increased levels of these markers are necessary for the positive association between D-Dimer and arterial disease.

Aged↗
PubMed2001

Prediction of bacterial meningitis in children with meningeal signs: reduction of lumbar punctures.

UNLABELLED: Physicians often have to perform a lumbar puncture to ascertain the diagnosis in patients with meningeal signs, because of the serious consequences of missing bacterial meningitis. The aim of this study was to derive and validate a clinical rule to predict bacterial meningitis in children with meningeal signs, to guide decisions on the performance of lumbar punctures. Information was collected from records of patients (aged 1 mo to 15 y) consulting the emergency department of the Sophia Children's Hospital between 1988 and 1998 with meningeal signs. Bacterial meningitis was defined as cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) leucocyte count >5 cells microl(-1) with a positive bacterial culture of CSF or blood. The diagnostic value of predictors was judged using multivariate logistic modelling and area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC area). In the derivation set (286 patients, years 1988-1995) the duration of the main complaint, vomiting, meningeal irritation, cyanosis, petechiae and disturbed consciousness were independent clinical predictors of bacterial meningitis. The ROC area of this model was 0.92. The only independent predictor from subsequent laboratory tests was the serum C-reactive protein concentration, increasing the ROC area to 0.95. Without missing a single case, this final model identified 99 patients (35%) without bacterial meningitis. Validation on 74 consecutive patients in 3 subsequent years (1996-1998) yielded similar results. CONCLUSION: This prediction rule identifies about 35% of the patients with meningeal signs in whom a lumbar puncture can be withheld without missing a single case of bacterial meningitis. For the individual patient this prediction rule is valuable in deciding whether or not to perform a lumbar puncture.

Blood↗
PubMed2000

Baseline risk as predictor of treatment benefit: three clinical meta-re-analyses.

A relationship between baseline risk and treatment effect is increasingly investigated as a possible explanation of between-study heterogeneity in clinical trial meta-analysis. An approach that is still often applied in the medical literature is to plot the estimated treatment effects against the estimated measures of risk in the control groups (as a measure of baseline risk), and to compute the ordinary weighted least squares regression line. However, it has been pointed out by several authors that this approach can be seriously flawed. The main problem is that the observed treatment effect and baseline risk measures should be viewed as estimates rather than the true values. In recent years several methods have been proposed in the statistical literature to potentially deal with the measurement errors in the estimates. In this article we propose a vague priors Bayesian solution to the problem which can be carried out using the 'Bayesian inference using Gibbs sampling' (BUGS) implementation of Markov chain Monte Carlo numerical integration techniques. Different from other proposed methods, it uses the exact rather than an approximate likelihood, while it can handle many different treatment effect measures and baseline risk measures. The method differs from a recently proposed Bayesian method in that it explicitly models the distribution of the underlying baseline risks. We apply the method to three meta-analyses published in the medical literature and compare the results with the outcomes of the other recently proposed methods. In particular we compare our approach to McIntosh's method, for which we show how it can be carried out using standard statistical software. We conclude that our proposed method offers a very general and flexible solution to the problem, which can be carried out relatively easily with existing Bayesian analysis software. A confidence band for the underlying relationship between true effect measure and baseline risk and a confidence interval for the value of the baseline risk measure for which there is no treatment effect are easily obtained by-products of our approach.

Bayes Theorem↗
PubMed2000

Determinants of peripheral arterial disease in the elderly: the Rotterdam study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine which atherosclerotic risk factors are determinants for peripheral arterial disease (PAD), we performed a population-based study in 6450 subjects (40% men, 60% women) aged 55 years and older. METHODS: The presence of PAD was assessed by measuring the ankle-arm systolic blood pressure index (AAI); PAD was considered present if the AAI was lower than 0.90 in either leg. In addition, a threshold AAI of 0.70 in either leg defined severe PAD. RESULTS: Determinants strongly and independently associated with PAD were age of at least 75 years (odds ratio [OR], 1.2; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.0-1.6), fibrinogen level (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.3-1.7), cigarette smoking (OR, 2.8; 95% CI, 2.3-3.4), diabetes mellitus (OR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.6-2.5), and systolic blood pressure (OR, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.1-1.2). An inverse relation of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level with PAD (OR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.5-0.8) was found. Similar results were demonstrated for severe PAD. Separate analyses for men and women did not demonstrate differences in risk factors for PAD. CONCLUSIONS: Assessment of a wide range of atherosclerotic risk factors enabled us to quantify the relative importance of each factor as determinant for PAD. In total, 69% of the occurrence of PAD is attributable to cardiovascular risk factors measured in our study; smoking accounted for most (etiologic fraction, 18.1%). The results suggest that preventive management of PAD should be directed at systolic blood pressure, fibrinogen level, smoking, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level, and diabetes mellitus. Arch Intern Med. 2000;160:2934-2938

Aged↗