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D A Savitz

Publications and source records attributed to D A Savitz.

At least 73 records · Page 4Linked to original sources
PubMed1999

Reassessing the role of epidemiology in public health.

This commentary examines the scope of epidemiology and delineates the role of epidemiology in relation to public health. Epidemiology is a science; public health is a mission that is implemented through societal action. The implications of this difference are considered, and the sufficiency of epidemiology for guiding public health is evaluated in relation to other scientific disciplines and nonscientific considerations. The authors conclude that epidemiology is not the basic science of public health but one of many contributors to guiding action. The need for public health decisions despite scientific uncertainty and the potential for epidemiologic certainty's failing to provide clear guidance to public health action emphasize the distinctiveness of these endeavors. Criticisms that epidemiology fails to solve major public health problems, such as tobacco use; that it overemphasizes methods; that it fails to meet the needs of public health practitioners; and that it isolates itself from public health ethics are unwarranted. However, epidemiology should focus on addressing issues that directly affect public health decisions and should clearly communicate information about such issues to public health workers. Public health is far more complex than merely applying epidemiology.

Epidemiology↗
PubMed1999

The effect of pesticide exposure on time to pregnancy.

The Ontario Farm Family Health Study provided data for examination of the effects of pesticide exposure on time to pregnancy. In this retrospective cohort study of farm couples in Ontario, Canada, the farm operator, husband, and wife completed questionnaires during 1991-1992. We asked about pesticides used on the farm and pesticide activities of the husband and wife for each month of trying to conceive. After exclusions, 2,012 planned pregnancies remained for analysis. We used an analog of the Cox proportional hazards model to calculate conditional fecundability ratios (conditional on pregnancy). There was no strong or consistent pattern of associations of pesticide exposure with time to pregnancy. During exposure intervals in which women participated in pesticide activities (during most of which the men also participated), however, 6 of 13 pesticide exposure categories were associated with a decrease in fecundability (conditional fecundability ratio range = 0.51-0.80). For exposure intervals in which only the men participated in pesticide activities or in which neither men nor women participated in pesticide activities but pesticides had been used on the farm, conditional fecundability ratios ranged from 0.75 to 1.50, with no apparent consistency among pesticide classes, chemical families, or active ingredients.

Agriculture↗
PubMed1999

Selection bias and the use of controls with malformations in case-control studies of birth defects.

We compared four methods of control selection to assess the effect of using infants with malformations as controls in case-control studies of birth defects. We identified cases and controls using data from the Slone Epidemiology Unit Births Defect Study for the years 1976-1992. Cases were defined as infants with cleft lip and palate and no other malformations (N = 494). Controls (N = 8356) were chosen from infants with other malformations, excluding other oral cleft conditions or syndromes associated with clefts. Maternal smoking during the first 13 weeks of pregnancy was the exposure of interest. We then assessed the measures of association resulting from using controls with varying restrictions. When we excluded all defects potentially associated with maternal smoking (based on reports in the literature), the crude odds ratio for smoking and oral cleft risk was 1.6 (1.3-1.9). When we eliminated all defect groups with a smoking prevalence that was one or more standard deviations above or below the total control group mean, the odds ratio was 1.5 (1.2-1.8); with controls restricted to infants with Mendelian-inherited disorders (with presumably no causal effect of smoking), the odds ratio was 1.6 (1.1-2.7); and when selection was unrestricted, the crude odds ratio was 1.5 (1.2-1.8). When used selectively, infants with malformations other than the anomaly of interest can be a suitable source of controls.

Boston↗
PubMed1999

Predictors of urinary tract infection at the first prenatal visit.

We identified maternal demographic, behavioral, and medical history factors that predict bacteriuria (that is, symptomatic and asymptomatic urinary tract infection) at prenatal care initiation. We applied logistic regression modeling to data from all prenatal care recipients who delivered during 1990-1993 and resided in selected North Carolina counties (N = 8037), omitting those with diabetes mellitus, human immunodeficiency virus, or structural urologic abnormalities. The two strongest predictors of bacteriuria at prenatal care initiation were an antepartum urinary tract infection prior to prenatal care initiation (for whites, adjusted prevalence odds ratio (POR) = 2.5, 95% CI 0.6-9.8; for blacks, POR = 8.8, 95% CI 3.8-20.3) and a pre-pregnancy history of urinary tract infection (POR = 2.1, 95% CI 1.4-3.2). For white women only, education beyond high school and age > or =30 years were inversely associated (POR < or = 0.6). Sickle cell hemoglobin nearly doubled the prevalence odds for bacteriuria among African-Americans (POR = 1.9, 95% CI 1.0-3.5), whereas African-Americans with normal hemoglobin had reduced prevalence odds compared with whites (POR = 0.6, 95% CI 0.4-0.9). This study suggests predictors not considered before, including race controlling for sickle cell disease or trait and antepartum urinary tract infections prior to prenatal care.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1999

Exposure to phenoxy herbicides and the risk of spontaneous abortion.

The Ontario Farm Family Health Study was designed to assess retrospectively the potential adverse effects of exposure to pesticides on pregnancy. Information on the health and life style of approximately 2,000 farm couples, as well as a history of use of pesticides on the farm, was collected by questionnaire. This analysis focuses on pre- and postconception exposure to phenoxy herbicides and the risk of spontaneous abortion using the complete (to date) pregnancy history for each woman. Preconception exposure (from 3 months before conception to the month of conception) was weakly associated with the risk of spontaneous abortion at <20 weeks' gestation [adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 1.1; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.6-1.9]. When the analyses were restricted to spontaneous abortions of <12 weeks, the risk was more than doubled (adjusted OR = 2.5; 95% CI = 1.0-6.4), but the results were sensitive to the cutpoint used. If the husband did not normally wear protective equipment during application, the crude OR for early spontaneous abortions was 5.0 (95% CI = 0.7-36.2). Exposure to phenoxy herbicides during the first trimester was generally not associated with increased risk of spontaneous abortion. The results suggest a possible role of preconception (possibly paternal) exposures to phenoxy herbicides in the risk of early spontaneous abortions.

Abortion, Spontaneous↗
PubMed1998

Effect of paternal alcohol consumption before conception on infant birth weight. ALSPAC Study Team. Avon Longitudinal Study of Pregnancy and Childhood.

Previous studies of paternal drinking and fetal growth in both animals and human have produced conflicting results. We evaluated the association between paternal drinking before conception and infant birth weight in a cohort of 9,845 liveborn singleton infant born to couples who participated in the Avon Longitudinal Study of Pregnancy and Childhood (ALSPAC), ALSPAC is a population-based cohort study in which women and their partners completed several self-administered questionnaires over the course of pregnancy. Of participating male partners, 20% were reportedly daily drinkers before conception, and 8% were considered moderately heavy or very heavy drinkers. Because maternal drinking is highly correlated with paternal, the analyses were stratified by maternal drinking in early pregnancy. We also adjusted for confounders and known predictors of birth weight. For all three maternal drinking strata, all adjusted mean differences in birth weight across levels of paternal drinking were similar, and all had confidence intervals that included zero. These findings persisted even after adjustment for other covariates and after stratification by parental smoking, race, and education. The size of the ALSPAC cohort, the large number of heavy drinkers, and the availability of data from the fathers themselves support the conclusion that paternal drinking before conception is not an important predictor of infant birth weight in humans.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

Effects of the analytical treatment of exposure data on associations of cancer and occupational magnetic field exposure.

Epidemiological studies of cancer among workers exposed to magnetic fields have yielded inconsistent results. This variability may be partly explained by differences in study methods. To assess sensitivity to such methods, data from a previous study of brain cancer and leukemia among electric power company workers were reanalyzed using alternative models, which incorporated uncertainty about the intensity of historical exposures, alternative cut points for categorizing the exposure variable for analysis, and a range of lags for describing cancer latency. Mortality rate ratios for leukemia ranged from 0.8-1.5. For brain cancer, increasing cumulative magnetic field exposure was associated with increasing mortality in virtually all models, with rate ratios between 1.3-3.4 for the most exposed workers. These rate ratios are consistent with previous analyses suggesting a 1.5-3.0-fold increase in the risk of brain cancer but no association with leukemia, and confirm that the previous results are not dependent on arbitrary decisions in applying the exposure data.

Brain Neoplasms↗
PubMed1998

Assessment of water use for estimating exposure to tap water contaminants.

Epidemiological studies examining the association between exposure to tap water contaminants (such as chlorination by-products) and disease outcomes (such as cancer and adverse reproductive outcomes) have been limited by inaccurate exposure assessment. Failure to take into account the variation in beverage and tap water consumption and exposure to volatile contaminants through inhalation and dermal absorption can introduce misclassification in assessing the association between exposure to tap water contaminants and health. To refine exposure assessment of tap water contaminants, we describe in detail the tap water consumption, showering, and bathing habits of pregnant women and their male partners as assessed by a questionnaire and a 3-day water diary. We found good agreement between questionnaire and 3-day water diary values for drinking water intake (Pearson's r = 0.78) and for time spent showering(r = 0.68) and bathing (r = 0.78). Half of the participants consumed tap water on a regular basis with an overall mean +/- 1 standard deviation (SD) of 0. 78 +/- 0.51 l/day. Our results further suggest that full-time employees, compared to women working part-time or less, have more heterogeneous consumption patterns over time. Seventy-nine percent of women and 94% of men took showers for an average of 11.6 +/-4.0 min and 10.4 +/- 4.8 min, respectively. Baths were taken more frequently by women than men (21% vs. 3%) for an average of 22.9 +/-10.1 min and 21.3 +/- 12.4 min, respectively. Thus, these patterns of tap water use should be considered in the design and interpretation of environmental epidemiology studies.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

The residential case-specular method to study wire codes, magnetic fields, and disease.

We propose a residential case-specular method for the study of wire codes and childhood cancer. The method compares the wire codes of case residences with the wire codes of identical residences (specular residences) located in a virtual situation in which the position of the residence or the position of the power line is switched around the center of the street. It is designed to discriminate between the magnetic field hypothesis, which postulates that childhood cancer is affected by magnetic fields and that wire codes are a proxy for magnetic fields, vs the neighborhood hypothesis, which postulates that childhood cancer is affected by some characteristics of the neighborhood other than magnetic fields and wire codes are a proxy for those characteristics. The method is based on several assumptions that we tested with 400 randomly selected residences. Under certain conditions, the method also may allow effect estimation without requiring the selection of controls and the potential biases that result from control selection. The method is applicable to both past and future studies.

Case-Control Studies↗
PubMed1998

Female breast cancer and trihalomethane levels in drinking water in North Carolina.

Some studies indicate that chlorination by-products in drinking water may contribute slightly to breast cancer risk. This ecologic study describes the association between total trihalomethane levels in publicly supplied water and the incidence of female invasive breast cancer. We included 71 North Carolina water suppliers serving at least 10,000 customers in the summer of 1995 as the units of analysis. We estimated incidence rates using 6,462 cases who were either white or black and between 35 and 84 years old and were linked by zip codes to the water supplier. We treated ecologic measurements of age, income, education, urban status, and race as potential confounders. Total trihalomethane levels were not associated materially with breast cancer risk, adjusting for potential confounders. The rate ratio for 80.0 parts per billion (ppb) or more vs less than 40.0 ppb total trihalomethanes was 1.1 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.9-1.2]. When stratified by race, the observed association for the aforementioned total trihalomethane category was not very different in black women (rate ratio = 1.2; 95% CI = 0.8-1.8) than in white women (rate ratio = 1.1; 95% CI = 0.9-1.3). These ecologic data are compatible with trihalomethanes in drinking water being either unrelated or weakly related to breast cancer risk.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

Risk factors for preterm birth subtypes.

To assess epidemiologic risk factors for preterm birth subcategories in an urban population, we undertook a study of 31,107 singleton livebirths that took place at Mount Sinai Hospital in New York City between 1986 and 1994. We subdivided the preterm births into preterm premature rupture of the membranes, preterm labor, and medically induced births. We obtained information regarding the preterm subtypes and their epidemiologic risk factors from a computerized perinatal database. Adjusted odds ratios showed an increased risk for all three preterm birth subtypes in women who were black (1.9 for preterm premature rupture of membranes, 2.1 for preterm labor, and 1.7 for medically induced births) or Hispanic (1.7 for preterm premature rupture of membranes, 1.9 for preterm labor, and 1.6 for medically induced births), those who had had a previous preterm birth (3.2 for preterm premature rupture of membranes, 4.5 for preterm labor, and 3.3 for medically induced births), those who began prenatal care after the first trimester ( 1.4 for preterm premature rupture of membranes, 1.3 for preterm labor, and 1.3 for medically induced births), women who had been exposed to diethylstilbestrol in utero (3.1 for preterm premature rupture of membranes, 4.1 for preterm labor, and 3.7 for medically induced births), patients with preexisting diabetes mellitus (2.2 for preterm premature rupture of membranes, 2.4 for preterm labor, and 9.5 for medically induced births), and those with antepartum bleeding (2.8 for preterm premature rupture of membranes, 3.6 for preterm labor, and 3.7 for medically induced births). Other sociodemographic, constitutional, life-style, and obstetrical characteristics differed across the groups. Variation in some of the risk factors among the preterm subtypes implies that epidemiologic assessment of the more specific outcomes would be advisable.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1998

Magnetic field exposure and neurodegenerative disease mortality among electric utility workers.

Several recent reports indicate that occupational exposure to electric and magnetic fields may be associated with increased risk of neurodegenerative diseases. To address that hypothesis, we analyzed data from a cohort study of electric utility workers. We examined exposure to magnetic fields, assessed as duration of work in exposed jobs and through an index of cumulative exposure based on magnetic field measurements, in relation to mortality from Alzheimer's disease, Parkinson's disease, and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, considering both underlying and all mentioned causes of death. Adjusted mortality rate ratios based on Poisson regression models indicate no association between magnetic fields and Parkinson's disease and little support for an association with Alzheimer's disease mortality. Mortality from amyotrophic lateral sclerosis was positively associated with duration of work in exposed jobs [rate ratio = 2.0, 95% confidence interval (CI)= 0.7-6.0; and rate ratio = 3.1, 95% CI = 1.0-9.8, based on underlying cause for 5 - < 20 years and > or = 20 years vs < 5 years, respectively], as well as with cumulative magnetic field exposure with a > or = 20-year lag (rate ratio = 2.3, 95% CI = 0.8-6.6; and rate ratio = 3.0, 95% CI = 1.0-9.2, for exposure in the middle and upper intervals relative to the lowest interval, respectively).

Adult↗
PubMed1998

Exposure to trihalomethanes and adverse pregnancy outcomes.

Exposure during pregnancy to disinfection by-products in drinking water has been hypothesized to lead to several adverse reproductive outcomes. We performed a retrospective cohort study to examine the relation of trihalomethane exposure during the third trimester of pregnancy to low birthweight, term low birthweight, and preterm delivery. We matched Colorado birth certificates from January 1, 1990, through December 31, 1993, to historical water sample data with respect to time and location of maternal residence based on census block groups. After excluding births from all census block groups with no trihalomethane sample data and restricting to singleton white births with 28-42 weeks of completed gestation (>400 gm), we studied 1,893 livebirths within 28 census block groups. We found a weak association of trihalomethane exposure during the third trimester with low birthweight (odds ratio = 2.1 for the highest exposure level; 95% confidence interval = 1.0-4.8); a large increase in risk for term low birthweight at the highest level of exposure (odds ratio = 5.9; 95% confidence interval = 2.0-17.0); and no association between exposure and preterm delivery (odds ratio = 1.0 for the highest exposure level; 95% confidence interval = 0.3-2.8). The small number of adverse outcomes reduced the precision of risk estimates, but these data indicate a potentially important relation between third trimester exposure to trihalomethanes and retarded fetal growth.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

Temporal characteristics of transmission-line loadings in the Swedish childhood cancer study.

A recent study conducted in Sweden reported that 1) leukemia risk in children who lived near 220 or 400 kV electric-power transmission lines was associated with calculated historical magnetic field levels; 2) children living within a distance of 50 m of transmission lines had an elevated risk of leukemia; and 3) there was no association between leukemia and residential magnetic fields measured many years after diagnosis. Subsequently, these investigators found through logistic regression analysis that disease was more strongly associated with calculated historical fields than with distance. Since the calculated historical fields in that study depended predominantly on distance and transmission-line load current, the logistic regression results suggest that historical load current plays an important role in the epidemiological results. Thus, we studied hourly 1974 load-current data for six transmission lines, and we examined 1958-1985 annual load-current data for 112 transmission lines. Most lines exhibited marked diurnal load-current rhythms during 1974, and all six showed systematic weekday-weekend differences. During 1958-1985, average loadings of Swedish 220 and 400 kV lines increased by about 1.3% year. Predictive-value and kappa-statistic analyses indicated that Swedish transmission-line load currents were not stable over long periods, so that contemporaneous load current (or a contemporary magnetic field measurement) was not a good surrogate for historical load current (or historical magnetic fields). The results provide a potential explanation of the failure of the Swedish Study to find an association between leukemia and contemporaneous magnetic field levels measured many years after the etiologic period, and suggest that the inclusion of load-current data could significantly improve the quality of historical field calculations.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1997

Male pesticide exposure and pregnancy outcome.

Potential health effects of agricultural pesticide use include reproductive outcomes. For the Ontario Farm Family Health Study, the authors sampled Ontario farms from the 1986 Canadian Census of Agriculture, identified farm couples, and obtained questionnaire data concerning farm activities, reproductive health experience, and chemical applications. Male farm activities in the period from 3 months before conception through the month of conception were evaluated in relation to miscarriage, preterm delivery, and small-for-gestational-age births. Among the 1,898 couples with complete data (64% response), 3,984 eligible pregnancies were identified. Miscarriage was not associated with chemical activities overall but was increased in combination with reported use of thiocarbamates, carbaryl, and unclassified pesticides on the farm. Preterm delivery was also not strongly associated with farm chemical activities overall, except for mixing or applying yard herbicides (odds ratio = 2.1, 95% confidence interval 1.0-4.4). Combinations of activities with a variety of chemicals (atrazine, glyphosate, organophosphates, 4-[2,4-dichlorophenoxy] butyric acid, and insecticides) generated odds ratios of two or greater. No associations were found between farm chemicals and small-for-gestational-age births or altered sex ratio. Based on these data, despite limitations in exposure assessment, the authors encourage continued evaluation of male exposures, particularly in relation to miscarriage and preterm delivery.

Abortion, Spontaneous↗
PubMed1997

Effects of cigarette smoking, caffeine consumption, and alcohol intake on fecundability.

Data from the Ontario Farm Family Health Study were analyzed to determine whether smoking, caffeine, or alcohol use among men and women affect fecundability (the monthly probability of conception). In this retrospective cohort study of farm couples in Ontario, Canada, the farm operator, husband, and wife completed questionnaires during 1991-1992, yielding information on 2,607 planned pregnancies that had occurred over the previous 30 years. Fecundability ratios were calculated using an analog of the Cox proportional hazards model. Cigarette smoking among women and men was associated with decreased fecundability (fecundability ratio = 0.90, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.82-0.98 and fecundability ratio = 0.88, 95% CI 0.81-0.95, respectively). Caffeine consumption of 100 mg or less versus more than 100 mg in women and men was not associated with fecundability (fecundability ratio = 0.98, 95% CI 0.91-1.07 and fecundability ratio = 1.05, 95% CI 0.97-1.14, respectively). Decreases were observed among women who were coffee drinkers (fecundability ratio = 0.92, 95% CI 0.84-1.00) and men who were heavy tea drinkers (fecundability ratio = 0.85, 95% CI 0.69-1.05), regardless of caffeine content. Alcohol use among women and men was not associated with fecundability. These data are consistent with previous studies of the adverse effect of tobacco on fecundability in female smokers and suggest an effect of smoking among males. Continued evaluation of coffee and tea is warranted to address constituents other than caffeine.

Adult↗
PubMed1997

Review of epidemiologic evidence on benzene and lymphatic and hematopoietic cancers.

Exposure to benzene is generally accepted as a cause of acute myeloid leukemia (AML), but the association with other cell types of leukemia and other lymphatic and hematopoietic cancers is controversial. We compiled epidemiologic research on benzene and lymphatic and hematopoietic cancers in order to assess the pattern of associations. Eighteen relevant community-based and 16 industry-based studies were located. Four of seven studies of lymphatic and hematopoietic cancer in the aggregate identified relative risks of 1.8 or more, and eight of 14 total leukemia studies yielded relative risks in that range. The few available studies of specific histologic types of leukemia do not indicate larger or more consistent elevations in risk for AML compared to other leukemia cell types. Sporadic reports have linked benzene to non-Hodgkin's lymphoma and multiple myeloma, but most studies do not indicate a positive association. Limitations in study quality, particularly exposure assessment, pervade all of the studies reviewed, and the distinction between studies addressing benzene and those addressing jobs in industries that use benzene is somewhat arbitrary. Nonetheless, the epidemiologic evidence linking benzene to leukemia in the aggregate, as well as for subtypes other than AML, is no less persuasive than that for AML alone.

Benzene↗