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C T Prokop

Publications and source records attributed to C T Prokop.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

An evaluation of multiple trauma severity indices created by different index development strategies.

Evaluation of the effectiveness of emergency trauma care systems is complicated by the need to adjust for the widely variable case mix found in trauma patient populations. Several strategies have been advanced to construct the severity indices that can control for these population differences. This article describes a validity and reliability comparison of trauma severity indices developed under three different approaches: 1) use of a multi-attribute utility (MAU) model; 2) an actuarial approach relying on empirical data bases; and 3) an "ad hoc" approach. Seven criteria were identified to serve as standards of comparison for four different indices. The study's findings indicate that the index developed using the MAU theory approach associates most closely with physician judgments of trauma severity. When correlated with a morbidity outcome measure, the MAU-based index shows higher levels of agreement than the other indices. The index development approach based on the principles of MAU theory has several advantages and it appears to be a powerful tool in the creation of effective severity indices.

Actuarial Analysis↗

A decision theoretic methodology for severity index development.

Severity indices are a key element in evaluation of health programs. But the methodologies used in development of such indices are rarely clearly defined. Moreover, there have been no tests of transportability of the index development methodologies that do exist, so there is no guarantee that panels of physicians convened by different facilitators would produce indices with similar performance characteristics. This paper describes a replicable index development strategy, a heart disease severity index developed by using that methodology, and a test of that methodology's transportability.

Coronary Disease↗