Thrombolytic predictive instrument.
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Body Weight↗
Biomedical subjects
C H Schmid
Publications and source records attributed to C H Schmid.
Hepatitis C virus genotype does not affect patient survival among renal transplant candidates. The New England Organ Bank Hepatitis C Study Group.
BACKGROUND: Patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) are at increased risk for infection with different hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotypes and multiple genotype infections. However, to date, the effect of the type and number of infecting HCV genotypes on survival among ESRD patients has not been carefully examined, and this was the objective of this study. METHODS: Sera from patients on the renal transplant waiting list at the New England Organ Bank between November 1986 and June 1990 were tested for anti-HCV using a third-generation enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. All anti-HCV-positive serum samples were tested for HCV RNA by reverse transcriptase "nested" polymerase chain reaction (PCR) with primers derived from the highly conserved 5'UTR region of the HCV genome. HCV genotypes were determined by restriction fragment length polymorphism of the 5'UTR PCR product. The duration of follow-up was calculated from the date of the first available serum specimen until death, loss to follow-up, or December 31, 1995, whichever occurred earlier. Two separate multivariate models were constructed: one to examine the impact of HCV genotype on mortality and the other to examine the impact of the single versus mixed infection on mortality. In both models, the independent variables were HCV genotype and transplantation. The HCV genotype was treated as a time-independent (baseline) variable. Transplantation was treated as a time-dependent variable in which the status changed after transplantation. RESULTS: HCV RNA was detected by PCR in 224 patients (81%) in whom sera were available. Complete clinical data on baseline covariates, subsequent transplantation, and mortality were available in 180 patients (80%), and these patients constituted the final study cohort. HCV genotypes 1a and 1b were the two most common genotypes encountered and were found in 60 and 24% of the patients, respectively. One hundred and sixty-two (90%) patients were infected with a single HCV single genotype, 16 patients (9%) with two genotypes, and two patients (1%) with three genotypes. Among the 180 patients in the final study cohort, 86 (48%) underwent transplantation, and 66 (37%) patients died during follow-up. Compared with patients infected with HCV genotype 1a, the relative risk (RR) of death from all causes was not significantly increased among patients infected with genotype 1b (RR = 1.02, 95% CI, 0.55 to 1.89) or other genotypes (RR = 1.08, 95% CI, 0.50 to 2.30). Likewise, compared with patients with a single infection, the RR of death among patients with mixed infection (RR = 1.18, 95% CI, 0.52 to 2.66) was not significantly increased. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study suggest that the type and number of HCV genotypes may not have a significant impact on survival among ESRD patients.
Cohort Studies↗
Early infection in bone marrow transplantation: quantitative study of clinical factors that affect risk.
Infections remain common life-threatening complications of bone marrow transplantation. To examine clinical factors that affect infection risk, we retrospectively studied patients who received bone marrow transplants (53 autologous and 51 allogeneic). Over a median of 27 hospital days, 44 patients developed documented infections. Both autologous transplantation and hematopoietic growth factor use were associated with less prolonged neutropenia and decreased occurrence of infection (P < or = .05). In a survival regression model, variables independently associated with infection risk were the log10 of the neutrophil count (hazard ratio [HR], 0.49; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.32-0.75), ciprofloxacin prophylaxis (HR, 0.42; 95% CI, 0.19-0.95), empirical intravenous antibiotic use (HR, 0.09; 95% CI, 0.03-0.32), and an interaction between neutrophil count and intravenous antibiotic use (HR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.06-3.29). In this model, infection risk increases steeply at low neutrophil counts for patients receiving no antibiotic therapy. Ciprofloxacin prophylaxis and particularly intravenous antibiotic therapy provide substantial protection at low neutrophil counts. These results can be used to model management strategies for transplant recipients.
Adult↗
Omeprazole plus antibiotics in the eradication of Helicobacter pylori infection: a meta-regression analysis of randomized, controlled trials.
This article presents a meta-regression analysis of published studies of omeprazole plus antibiotics (amoxicillin, clarithromycin, or an imidazole derivative) in the treatment of Helicobacter pylori. Eligible studies were all randomized, controlled trials published through April 1996 with 10 or more patients receiving omeprazole plus antibiotics for 5 or more days and testing for H. pylori eradication 4 weeks or more after treatment. Probability of eradication was calculated for each treatment arm, and logistic regression was performed using study characteristics as covariates. Seventy-four studies involving 117 treatment arms with 4,769 patients were identified. The eradication rate was 76% for omeprazole plus clarithromycin and 65% for omeprazole plus amoxicillin dual regimens (P <.0001). Eradication rates for triple regimens were 82%, omeprazole plus amoxicillin plus clarithromycin; 83%, omeprazole plus amoxicillin plus imidazole; and 89%, omeprazole plus clarithromycin plus imidazole. In a multiple logistic regression analysis, significant factors were antibiotic, disease, omeprazole dose, and whether treatment was followed by maintenance omeprazole. A systematic overview of the best available evidence suggests that dual therapy with omeprazole plus clarithromycin is superior to omeprazole plus amoxicillin. Triple therapy is better than dual therapy. Treatment works better on ulcers than on nonulcer dyspepsia. Higher doses of omeprazole give better results. Additional trials exploring higher omeprazole doses for varying durations as well as cost, side effects, and compliance trade-offs with efficacy are recommended.
Anti-Bacterial Agents↗
Safety of nifedipine in angina pectoris: a meta-analysis.
-Our objective was to compare cardiovascular event rates in patients with stable angina receiving nifedipine as monotherapy or combination therapy and in active drug controls. A MEDLARS search of published articles from 1966 to 1995 in English, French, German, Italian, or Spanish, supplemented by a manual search of bibliographies, identified 60 randomized controlled trials that met protocol criteria. Blinded articles were extracted by 2 physicians. The pooled risks of death, withdrawal, and cardiovascular event were computed and expressed as odds ratios (ORs) for all nifedipine formulations and relative to same study control drug regimens. Thirty cardiovascular events were reported in 2635 nifedipine exposures (1.14%) and 19 events in 2655 other active drug exposures (0.72%). Unadjusted ORs for nifedipine versus controls were 1.40 (95% CI, 0.56 to 3.49) for major events (death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, stroke, revascularization procedure), 1.75 (95% CI, 0.83 to 3.67) for increased angina, and 1.61 (95% CI, 0.91 to 2.87) for all events (major events plus increased angina). Episodes of increased angina were more frequent on immediate-release nifedipine (OR, 4.19 [95% CI, 1.41 to 12.49]) and on nifedipine monotherapy (OR, 2.61 [95% CI, 1.30 to 5.26]). The OR for immediate-release nifedipine was significantly higher than that for sustained-release/extended-release nifedipine (P=0.001), and the OR for nifedipine monotherapy was higher than that for nifedipine combination therapy (P=0.03). Increased risks of cardiovascular events in patients with stable angina on nifedipine were due primarily to more episodes of increased angina, confined to the immediate-release formulation and to nifedipine monotherapy.
Adrenergic beta-Antagonists↗
An empirical study of the effect of the control rate as a predictor of treatment efficacy in meta-analysis of clinical trials.
If the control rate (CR) in a clinical trial represents the incidence or the baseline severity of illness in the study population, the size of treatment effects may tend to very with the size of control rates. To investigate this hypothesis, we examined 115 meta-analyses covering a wide range of medical applications for evidence of a linear relationship between the CR and three treatment effect (TE) measures: the risk difference (RD); the log relative risk (RR), and the log odds ratio (OR). We used a hierarchical model that estimates the true regression while accounting for the random error in the measurement of and the functional dependence between the observed TE and the CR. Using a two standard error rule of significance, we found the control rate was about two times more likely to be significantly related to the RD (31 per cent) than to the RR (13 per cent) or the OR (14 per cent). Correlations between TE and CR were more likely when the meta-analysis included 10 or more trials and if patient follow-up was less than six months and homogeneous. Use of weighted linear regression (WLR) of the observed TE on the observed CR instead of the hierarchical model underestimated standard errors and overestimated the number of significant results by a factor of two. The significant correlation between the CR and the TE suggests that, rather than merely pooling the TE into a single summary estimate, investigators should search for the causes of heterogeneity related to patient characteristics and treatment protocols to determine when treatment is most beneficial and that they should plan to study this heterogeneity in clinical trials.
Humans↗
Vaccination against Lyme disease with recombinant Borrelia burgdorferi outer-surface lipoprotein A with adjuvant. Lyme Disease Vaccine Study Group.
BACKGROUND: The risk of acquiring Lyme disease is high in areas in which the disease is endemic, and the development of a safe and effective vaccine is therefore important. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter, double-blind, randomized trial involving 10,936 subjects who lived in areas of the United States in which Lyme disease is endemic. Participants received an injection of either recombinant Borrelia burgdorferi outer-surface lipoprotein A (OspA) with adjuvant or placebo at enrollment and 1 and 12 months later. In cases of suspected Lyme disease, culture of skin lesions, polymerase-chain-reaction testing, or serologic testing was done. Serologic testing was performed 12 and 20 months after study entry to detect asymptomatic infections. RESULTS: In the first year, after two injections, 22 subjects in the vaccine group and 43 in the placebo group contracted definite Lyme disease (P=0.009); vaccine efficacy was 49 percent (95 percent confidence interval, 15 to 69 percent). In the second year, after the third injection, 16 vaccine recipients and 66 placebo recipients contracted definite Lyme disease (P<0.001); vaccine efficacy was 76 percent (95 percent confidence interval, 58 to 86 percent). The efficacy of the vaccine in preventing asymptomatic infection was 83 percent in the first year and 100 percent in the second year. Injection of the vaccine was associated with mild-to-moderate local or systemic reactions lasting a median of three days. CONCLUSIONS: Three injections of vaccine prevented most definite cases of Lyme disease or asymptomatic B. burgdorferi infection.
Adjuvants, Immunologic↗
Antilymphocyte antibodies, renal transplantation, and meta-analysis.
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Antilymphocyte Serum↗
Factors determining outcome for breast-conserving irradiation with margin-directed dose escalation to the tumor bed.
PURPOSE: A prospectively applied treatment policy for breast-conserving therapy used margin assessment as the exclusive guide to the intensity of therapy directed at the tumor-bearing quadrant. METHODS AND MATERIALS: From 1982-1994, there were 509 treated Stage I and II breast carcinomas with a median follow-up of 72 months. For operational purposes, tumor excision margins were prospectively defined as: > 5 mm, 2.1-5 mm, > 0 < or = 2 mm, and positive. If a margin was assessed as < or = 2 mm or indeterminate, and it was deemed cosmetically feasible, a reexcision of the tumor bed would be performed. All patients received whole breast irradiation to 50-50.4 Gy. The following scheme for tumor bed boost irradiation as a function of final margin status (FMS) was observed: (a) Minimal risk = no tumor found on reexcision, no boost performed; (b) low risk = FMS > 5 mm, boost of 10 Gy; intermediate risk = FMS 2.1-5 mm, boost to 14 Gy; high risk = FMS < or = 2 mm or positive, boost to 20 Gy. Cases were analyzed for local failure (LF) with respect to histology (invasive ductal (IDC), IDC with associated DCIS (IDC/DCIS), invasive lobular (ILC)), age, tumor size, total excision volume, reexcision, total dose, tamoxifen therapy, and chemotherapy. RESULTS: There were 19 breast recurrences for a Kaplan-Meier local failure rate for all cases at 5 and 10 years of 2.7% and 7.1%, respectively. Local failure in the first 4 years of follow-up was rare, with a mean annual incidence rate of 0.25% that rose to a mean of 1.1% in subsequent years. Univariate results of Cox proportional hazards regression survival models found positive FMS (p = 0.02), IDC/DCIS (p = 0.04) and age (0.0006) as significantly associated with local failure. In a multivariable model of FMS and IDC/DCIS, FMS retained significance (p = 0.01) but IDC/DCIS was borderline (p = 0.06). When FMS and age were included in a multivariable model, there was a significant interaction (p = 0.01) between the two variables. There was a significant increase in the relative risk of LF for age < or = 45 years (range 11.1-17.4), irrespective of FMS category. Although excellent overall control rates were achieved for patients > 45 years, for younger patients LF rates appeared to remain proportional to the relative closeness of the FMS, despite rigorous dose escalation. CONCLUSIONS: Graded tumor-bed dose escalation in response to FMS results in an exceptionally low risk of "early" local recurrence within the first 5 years of follow-up. However, this strategy is unable to completely overcome the longer term adverse influence of young age and positive FMS.
Adult↗
Summing up evidence: one answer is not always enough.
Are meta-analyses the brave new world, or are the critics of such combined analyses right to say that the biases inherent in clinical trials make them uncombinable? Negative trials are often unreported, and hence can be missed by meta-analysts. And how much heterogeneity between trials is acceptable? A recent major criticism is that large randomised trials do not always agree with a prior meta-analysis. Neither individual trials nor meta-analyses, reporting as they do on population effects, tell how to treat the individual patient. Here we take a more rounded approach to meta-analyses, arguing that their strengths outweigh their weaknesses, although the latter must not be brushed aside.
Evidence-Based Medicine↗
Interleukin-1 receptor antagonist synthesis by peripheral blood mononuclear cells in hemodialysis patients.
BACKGROUND: Pro-inflammatory cytokines like interleukin (IL)-1 beta and tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TANF-alpha) are believed to play a significant role in dialysis-related morbidity. It has been previously demonstrated that the endogenous synthesis of interleukin-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1Ra) is a reliable marker of the level of IL-1 beta synthesis in hemodialysis (HD) patients. In this study, we assessed the impact of clinical and laboratory variables on IL-1Ra synthesis by peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) in patients on HD with unsubstituted cellulose dialyzers. METHODS: IL-1Ra by PBMC was measured by a specific non-cross-reactive radioimmunoassay. Day to day variation in cytokine synthesis, the correlation between cytokine synthesis under different in vitro stimulatory conditions, and the influence of clinical and laboratory variables on cytokine synthesis were studied. RESULTS: Although there was a trend towards greater IL-1Ra synthesis by unstimulated, endotoxin-stimulated and IgG-stimulated PBMC drawn before the second and third dialysis sessions of the week when compared to the first dialysis treatment, this was not statistically significant. There was a strong correlation between IL-1Ra synthesis by PBMC cultured under different stimulatory conditions that was best observed between IL-1Ra cell content and from endotoxin-stimulated PBMC (r = 0.51, P = 0.0001), and endotoxin- and IgG-stimulated PBMC (r = 0.44, P = 0.0001). In addition, there was a close correlation between total synthesis (cell associated and secreted) and secreted levels of IL-1Ra in unstimulated (r = 0.59, P = 0.0001) and endotoxin-stimulated PBMC (r = 0.69, P = 0.0001). Interestingly, there was an inverse correlation between IL-1Ra synthesis and duration of dialysis that was strongest for secreted IL-1Ra from unstimulated (r = -0.50, P = 0.002) and endotoxin-stimulated PBMC (r = -0.34, P = 0.04). There was no significant correlation between IL-1Ra synthesis by PBMC and other clinical and laboratory indices. CONCLUSIONS: The observations from this study indicate that: (1) in HD patients, there were no significant differences in cytokine synthesis by PBMC drawn before the three different dialysis treatments during the week; (2) there is a close relationship between IL-1Ra synthesis from PBMC cultured under different stimulatory conditions; (3) the secreted levels of IL-1Ra correlate directly with total synthesis (cell-associated and secreted); (4) with the exception of duration of dialysis, none of the other clinical or laboratory parameters correlated with cytokine synthesis; and (5) the diminished endotoxin- or IgG-stimulated IL-1Ra synthesis with increasing time on dialysis is possibly another sign of the impaired host-defense system in patients on long-term hemodialysis.
Cells, Cultured↗
Effects of hepatitis C infection and renal transplantation on survival in end-stage renal disease. The New England Organ Bank Hepatitis C Study Group.
Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is common among patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). However, the effect of HCV infection on survival among ESRD patients, and the impact of renal transplantation on the course of HCV infection has not been adequately defined. Sera from patients on the renal transplant waiting list at the New England Organ Bank between November 1986 and June 1990 were tested for anti-HCV using a third generation ELISA. All anti-HCV positive patients and a 1:1 ratio of randomly selected anti-HCV negative patients comprised the study sample. Duration of follow-up was calculated from the date of the first available serum specimen until death, loss to follow-up or December 31, 1995, whichever occurred earlier. Multivariate analysis of risk factors for mortality was performed using a Cox proportional hazards model which included anti-HCV as a time-independent (baseline) variable, transplantation as a time-dependent (follow-up) variable, and independently significant baseline covariates. Anti-HCV was detected in 287 (19%) of 1544 patients in whom sera were available, and 286 anti-HCV negative patients served as controls. Complete information was available in 496 (87%) of these 573 patients. Median follow-up was 73 months (range 1 to 110 months), during which time 302 (61%) patients underwent renal transplantation and 154 (31%) patients died. For anti-HCV positive patients compared to anti-HCV negative patients, the relative risk of death (and 95% confidence intervals) from all causes was 1.41 (1.01 to 1.97) and due to liver disease or infection was 2.39 (1.28 to 4.48). For patients who underwent transplantation compared to those who remained on dialysis, the relative risk of death from all causes between 0 to 3 months, 3 to 6 months, seven months to four years, and after four years was 4.75 (2.76 to 8.17), 1.76 (0.75 to 4.13), 0.31 (0.18 to 0.54) and 0.84 (0.51 to 1.37), respectively. There was no interaction between the effect of anti-HCV status as baseline and subsequent transplantation (P = 0.93), meaning that the association between treatment modality and survival was similar among anti-HCV positive and negative patients, at all intervals after transplantation. We conclude that HCV infection at the time of referral for transplantation is associated with an increased risk of death, irrespective of whether patients remain on dialysis or undergo transplantation. Transplantation has a beneficial rather than adverse effect on long-term survival in anti-HCV positive patients. Hence, anti-HCV positive status alone is not a contraindication for renal transplantation.
Adolescent↗
Predictors of GBV-C infection among patients referred for renal transplantation.
The etiology of liver disease remains unknown in about 4 to 23% of dialysis patients and 10 to 16% of renal transplant recipients. A search for other causative agents of liver disease led to the discovery of the GB group of viruses. We studied the association between the presence of GB virus C (GBV-C) infection, known risk factors for parenterally-transmitted infections and history or laboratory evidence of liver disease among end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients referred for renal transplantation to the New England Organ Bank, MA. Stored sera from patients on the renal transplantation waiting list between November 1986 and June 1990 were tested for antibody to hepatitis C virus (HCV). Sera were available in 1544 of 3243 (48%) patients, and anti-HCV was detected by ELISA3 in 287 (19%). All 287 anti-HCV positive patients formed the anti-HCV positive cohort and 286 randomly selected anti-HCV negative patients formed the anti-HCV negative cohort (573 patients overall). Additional sera were available for GBV-C RNA testing in 465 of 573 (81%) patients, and GBV-C RNA was detected by RT-PCR in 146. The overall extrapolated prevalence of serum GBV-C RNA was 29%. The prevalence of serum GBV-C RNa among anti-HCV positive patients (35%) was not significantly different from that among anti-HCV negative patients (29%; P = 0.22). In a univariate analysis, compared to patients without GBV-C RNA, patients with serum GBV-C RNA were younger [odds ratio (OR) 0.98 per year of age, P = 0.01], had a lower proportion of males (OR 0.64, P = 0.03), lower proportion of patients with diabetes mellitus (OR 0.44, P = 0.01), higher proportion of patients with a previous transplantation (OR 1.53, P = 0.04), longer duration of dialysis at the time of enrollment (OR 1.004 per month on dialysis, P = 0.03), and a higher proportion of patients with history of transfusions (OR 4.58, P = 0.01). Serum GBV-C RNA was not associated with a significantly increased OR for history of liver disease or non-A, non-B hepatitis, or elevated serum alanine aminotransferase levels. In a step-wise multivariate regression analysis, a younger age (OR 0.98 per year of age, P = 0.03), and history of blood transfusions (OR 3.89, P = 0.03) were associated with an increased OR for serum GBV-C RNA, while diabetes mellitus was associated with a decreased OR for GBV-C RNA (OR 0.47, P = 0.01). Anti-HCV was not a predictor of serum GBV-C RNA (OR 1.07, P = 0.77). The results of this study support the fact that GBV-C is a parenterally transmitted virus and shed light on the modes of transmission of GBV-C among ESRD patients. However, the association with liver disease remains to be established.
Adolescent↗
Serologic and virologic profiles of hepatitis C infection in renal transplant candidates. New England Organ Bank Hepatitis C Study Group.
The development of policies to prevent nosocomial transmission of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in hemodialysis units is critically dependent on the understanding of the relationship between tests for anti-HCV, HCV RNA, and HCV genotype and the patients' clinical characteristics. We tested sera from all patients on the renal transplant waiting list at the New England Organ Bank between November 1986 and June 1990 for anti-HCV by a third-generation enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA3) and a third-generation recombinant immunoblot assay (RIBA3). All ELISA3-positive sera were tested for HCV RNA by reverse transcriptase "nested" polymerase chain reaction, and the genotype was characterized by restriction fragment length polymorphism. Sera were available in 1,544 of 3,243 (48%) patients on the waiting list, of whom 287 (19%) tested positive for anti-HCV by ELISA3. Two hundred eighty-six randomly selected, anti-HCV-negative patients served as controls. Compared with anti-HCV-negative controls, anti-HCV-positive patients had a longer duration since initiation of renal replacement therapy, higher number of previous kidney transplants and blood transfusions, higher proportion of patients with anti-HBc, history of liver disease, history of non-A, non-B hepatitis, and elevated serum alanine aminotransferase, and lower serum albumin concentrations. Of the 287 anti-HCV-positive sera, 261 (91%) were reactive by RIBA3, 21 (7%) were indeterminate, and five (2%) were nonreactive. HCV RNA was detected in 224 of 275 (81%) ELISA3-positive patients, in whom additional sera were available. There were no significant differences in clinical or laboratory characteristics between ELISA3-positive patients with and without HCV RNA. Genotypes 1a, 1b, 2a, 2b, 3a, and 4 were present in 53%, 23%, 8%, 10%, 4%, and 2% of patients, respectively. Infection with one, two, or three different HCV genotypes was present in 92%, 7%, and 1%, respectively. There was no significant association between the type or number of HCV genotypes and RIBA3 reactivity. There were no major differences in clinical or laboratory characteristics between genotypes or between single and mixed infection. In summary, this study provides detailed information regarding the relationship between tests for anti-HCV, HCV RNA, and HCV genotypes and the clinical and laboratory characteristics of a large, well-characterized cohort of patients referred for renal transplant.
Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay↗
Cytokine production and nutritional status in hemodialysis patients.
Malnutrition is an important predictor of mortality in patients on chronic hemodialysis, however the pathogenesis of wasting in this population remains unclear. Experimental data suggest that the dialysis procedure per se leads to enhanced catabolism, as well as direct loss of plasma amino acids and proteins into the dialysate. In the present study, the primary hypothesis examined is that hemodialysis-induced cytokine production is associated with reductions in lean body mass and other plasma markers of nutrition. We used the production of interleukin-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1Ra) by peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) as an indicator of cytokine production. PBMC were obtained pre-dialysis on the first and second sessions of the week in a cohort of 16 patients on chronic hemodialysis using reprocessed cellulose dialyzers who fulfilled rigorous entry criteria designed to eliminate known etiologies of increased cytokine production, e.g. chronic infections. PBMCs were either immediately frozen (cell content) or incubated for 24 hours at 37 degrees C in the presence or absence of endotoxin 10 ng/ml and total IL-1Ra was measured by radioimmunoassay. Nutritional staus was assessed using body mass index (BMI), total body potassium (TBK), anthropometry-derived arm muscle area (AMA), and measurements of plasma albumin, transferrin, total cholesterol, and triglycerides. Over the subsequent 3 months, patients were monitored carefully for pyrogen reactions, hemodynamic stability and intra-interdialytic symptoms. There was a direct correlation of cell content of IL-1Ra with several indices of nutritional status including BMI (r = 0.90, p = 0.0001), AMA (r = 0. 77, p = 0.0008), serum total cholesterol (r = 0.57, p = 0.03) and serum triglycerides (r = 0. 73, p = 0.002). Endotoxin-stimulated IL-1Ra production correlated directly with AMA (r = 0.59, p = 0.02), TBK (r = 0.71, p = 0.01) and serum triglycerides (r = 0.51, p = 0.05). These studies suggest a direct correlation between nutrition and cytokine production, and that malnutrition could depress cytokine production and potentially contribute to reduced immune responsiveness in patients on chronic hemodialysis.
Adult↗
Fate of mitral regurgitation following repair of atrioventricular septal defect.
The purpose of this study was to evaluate the fate of mitral regurgitation (MR) following repair of atrioventricular septal defects (AVSDs). Echocardiograms of all survivors of isolated AVSD surgery between 1986 and 1996, who had had > or =2 postoperative color Doppler studies (39 patients), were reviewed. On each study, MR severity was graded on a 1+ to 4+ scale, based upon the size of the MR jet. Median age at surgery was 9 months (range 3 to 169); median age at postoperative follow-up was 45 months (range 3 to 107). Mild deterioration of mitral valve function was fairly common. MR severity increased by > or =1 grade in 16 patients (41%) during the course of the study. However, the deterioration in mitral valve function occurred primarily during the early postoperative time intervals. After the initial 32 postoperative months, MR worsened on only 4 occasions and in each instance worsened by only 1 grade. Deterioration to 4+ MR occurred in only 3 patients, and was not observed after the initial 30 postoperative months. Survival curve analysis predicted a 90% probability of not having severe (4+) MR after 30 months (lower 95% confidence bound: 80%). Postoperative MR remains fairly stable following AVSD repair. Serious deterioration is rare, especially after the initial 30 postoperative months.
Child, Preschool↗
Quantitative synthesis in systematic reviews.
The final common pathway for most systematic reviews is a statistical summary of the data, or meta-analysis. The complex methods used in meta-analyses should always be complemented by clinical acumen and common sense in designing the protocol of a systematic review, deciding which data can be combined, and determining whether data should be combined. Both continuous and binary data can be pooled. Most meta-analyses summarize data from randomized trials, but other applications, such as the evaluation of diagnostic test performance and observational studies, have also been developed. The statistical methods of meta-analysis aim at evaluating the diversity (heterogeneity) among the results of different studies, exploring and explaining observed heterogeneity, and estimating a common pooled effect with increased precision. Fixed-effects models assume that an intervention has a single true effect, whereas random-effects models assume that an effect may vary across studies. Meta-regression analyses, by using each study rather than each patient as a unit of observation, can help to evaluate the effect of individual variables on the magnitude of an observed effect and thus may sometimes explain why study results differ. It is also important to assess the robustness of conclusions through sensitivity analyses and a formal evaluation of potential sources of bias, including publication bias and the effect of the quality of the studies on the observed effect.
Bias↗
Patient-specific predictions of outcomes in myocardial infarction for real-time emergency use: a thrombolytic predictive instrument.
BACKGROUND: Thrombolytic therapy can be life-saving in patients with acute myocardial infarction. However, if given too late or insufficiently selectively, it may provide little benefit but still cause serious complications and incur substantial costs. OBJECTIVE: To develop a thrombolytic predictive instrument for real-time use in emergency medical service settings that could 1) identify patients likely to benefit from thrombolysis and 2) facilitate the earliest possible use of this therapy. DESIGN: Creation and validation of logistic regression-based predictive instruments based on secondary analysis of clinical data. PATIENTS: 4911 patients who had acute myocardial infarction and ST-segment elevation on electrocardiogram; 3483 received thrombolytic therapy. MEASUREMENTS: Data were obtained from 13 major clinical trials and registries and directly from medical records, including electrocardiograms obtained at presentation. Input variables include presenting clinical and electrocardiography features; predictive models generate probabilities for acute (30-day) mortality if and if not treated with thrombolysis, 1-year mortality rates if and if not treated with thrombolysis, cardiac arrest if and if not treated with thrombolysis, thrombolysis-related intracranial hemorrhage, and thrombolysis-related major bleeding episode requiring transfusion. Together, these models constitute the thrombolytic predictive instrument. RESULTS: The predictive models generated the following mean predictions for patients in the Thrombolytic Predictive instrument Database: 30-day mortality rate, 7.1%; 1-year mortality rate, 10.9%; rate of cardiac arrest, 3.7%; rate of thrombolysis-related intracranial hemorrhage. 0.6%; and rate of other thrombolysis-related major bleeding episodes, 5.0%. They discriminated with between persons having and those not having the predicted outcome; areas under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve were between 0.77 and 0.84 for the five outcomes. Calibration between each instrument's predicted and observed served rates was excellent. Validation of the predictive instruments of 30-day and 1-year mortality, done on a separate test dataset, yielded areas under the ROC curve of 0.76 for each CONCLUSIONS: After the basic features of a clinical presentation are entered into a computerized electrocardiograph, the predictions of the thrombolytic predictive instrument can be printed on the electrocardiogram report. This decision aid may facilitate earlier and more appropriate use of thrombolytic therapy in patients with acute myocardial infarction.
Cerebral Hemorrhage↗