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C Dye

Publications and source records attributed to C Dye.

At least 73 records · Page 4Linked to original sources
PubMed1994

Epidemiology of canine leishmaniasis: a comparative serological study of dogs and foxes in Amazon Brazil.

The paper describes a longitudinal field study of canine leishmaniasis in sympatric domestic dog and crab-eating fox (Cerdocyon thous) populations. Dogs were studied in house-to-house surveys, and foxes were studied by live-trapping and radio-telemetry. Because serological tests (IFAT in this case) for leishmaniasis are often of uncertain sensitivity and specificity, we draw conclusions comparatively. Both cross-sectional (age-prevalence) and longitudinal analyses indicate that incidence in dogs was highest in the dry season. Seasonal changes in the age-prevalence relationship for dogs suggest that serological conversion and recovery rates decline with prior exposure to infection, where 'recovery' may be due to loss of a positive antibody titre or death from leishmaniasis. The mean incidence in dogs was higher in the rural than in the urban population and higher in hunting dogs than pet dogs. Cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses of fox serological data suggest that foxes remain positive for longer than dogs on average, either because detectable antibody is more persistent or because they experience a lower mortality rate due to leishmaniasis.

Animals↗
PubMed1994

Correlates of the peridomestic abundance of Lutzomyia longipalpis (Diptera: Psychodidae) in Amazonian Brazil.

Abundance of the sandfly Lutzomyia longipalpis, the vector of Leishmania chagasi, was surveyed using CDC light-suction traps in fifteen villages and 180 homesteads on Marajó island, Pará State, Brazil. Flies were most abundant in cultivated areas, secondary growth and open woodland, away from savanna grassland and forest. Within homesteads, the abundance of flies in animal sheds was weakly associated with the number of hosts kept therein, and inversely related to the number elsewhere, both human and animal. Houses harboured more flies if dogs were present and if the house had: a roof of thatch rather than of tiles or tin; a thatched roof which had not been treated with insecticide; relatively more holes in walls and roof. The sex ratio of flies was more male-biased at higher densities. We weigh the importance of these variables as risk factors for Le. chagasi infection.

Animal Population Groups↗
PubMed1993

Malnutrition, age and the risk of parasitic disease: visceral leishmaniasis revisited.

Children are said to be at greater risk of developing visceral leishmaniasis (VL) when they are younger and more malnourished. If malnutrition really is associated with VL, this potentially fatal and visible disease may be a general indicator of community health among the rural and suburban poor. Previous conclusions reached about the roles of malnutrition and age in VL epidemiology are questionable because they may have been confounded by transmission rate, because they have not been able to distinguish between different mechanisms of acquiring immunity, and because empirical observations have not been compared with theoretical expectations. Here we offer a framework with which to investigate these questions quantitatively, and do so with published data from endemic areas of Brazil. We conclude that children are indeed more susceptible to VL when they are younger and more malnourished, but it remains unclear whether the immunity to VL acquired with age is always acquired as a result of infection. The significance for leishmaniasis control, and for the control of other diseases associated with malnutrition, will depend on underlying mechanisms, which are not yet understood.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1993

Serological diagnosis of leishmaniasis: on detecting infection as well as disease.

Serological tests are very frequently used in epidemiological surveys of leishmaniasis and other parasitoses. Their sensitivity and specificity are generally defined with respect to parasitism and disease, rather than infection. The reason is that known positives are those individuals most likely to yield parasites, or who have distinctive clinical signs, and concomitantly high antibody titres. This paper investigates the performance of one serological method, the indirect fluorescent antibody test (IFAT), in detecting Leishmania infantum infection during an intensive 2-year cohort study of dogs in southern France. The results show that sensitivity and specificity with respect to infection can be simultaneously high, but maximum sensitivity is probably < 80%, and lasts for a relatively short period of 2-3 months after a lengthy incubation period. The IFAT gave the incidence of infection as 18-65% in the first year, whereas the best estimate of incidence based on parasite isolation and clinical observation was 72%. But data from the second year suggest that the 72% was itself an underestimate. We argue that, during epidemiological surveys, the IFAT in particular, and serological tests for leishmania in general, will underestimate prevalence, incidence and hence the scale of the control problem. However, there is evidence that tests for canine leishmaniasis employing high threshold titres will identify the most infectious animals, allowing selective treatment or culling of those which contribute disproportionately to transmission.

Animals↗
PubMed1992

Epidemiology of canine leishmaniasis: prevalence, incidence and basic reproduction number calculated from a cross-sectional serological survey on the island of Gozo, Malta.

Assessment of the resilience of canine leishmaniasis to control or, more ambitiously, the effort needed to eradicate infection, requires an estimate of the basic case reproduction number (R0). This paper applies the theoretical results of Hasibeder, Dye & Carpenter (1992) to data from a cross-sectional survey on the Maltese island of Gozo in which dogs of known age, sex and occupation (pet, guard etc) were subjected to three different serological tests for the presence of specific antibody (IFAT, DAT and ELISA). Difficulties in interpreting these test results, and hence of determining the proportion of dogs infected, present the main obstacle to estimating R0: estimates are critically dependent on the choice of threshold separating seropositives from seronegatives. The data do, however, allow a robust comparative analysis of risk which shows that the force of infection experienced by working dogs is about three times higher than that of pet dogs, a degree of non-homogeneous contact which actually has little effect on estimates of R0. We suggest a cautious point estimate of R0 congruent to 11, and comment briefly on its significance for leishmaniasis control.

Age Factors↗
PubMed1992

Mathematical modelling and theory for estimating the basic reproduction number of canine leishmaniasis.

The paper describes a mathematical model for canine leishmaniasis and presents formulae which can be used to estimate the basic reproduction number, R0. The primary concern has been to devise methods of estimation which make best use of those data most easily obtained by fieldwork, e.g. surveys of prevalence in dog (by age) and sandfly populations. A range of formulae are offered which are more or less demanding of data, and which consequently give more or less precise estimates of R0. They include methods for assessing the influence on R0 of heterogeneous biting rates of sandflies on dogs, in which the essence of heterogeneous transmission can be captured merely by measuring relative rather than absolute contact rates.

Animals↗
PubMed1992

Leishmaniasis epidemiology: the theory catches up.

Until recently, almost all studies of leishmaniasis epidemiology were qualitative and descriptive. But now that the natural history of many Leishmania parasites is quite well known, there is growing interest in quantitative analysis. In this paper I use mathematical models in conjunction with field data to try to answer a wider range of questions than has previously been possible with descriptive techniques, and to sharpen some of the outstanding questions for laboratory workers. This is done with reference to the persistence and resilience of canine leishmaniasis, the maintenance of virulence polymorphisms in Leishmania populations, and the possible existence of cycles of human kala-azar. I conclude by posing a set of problems under three headings: diagnosis of infection (as distinct from disease), natural immunity to Leishmania infection in the vertebrate host, and genetic variation in the parasite population. Some solutions from the laboratory can be found in the companion paper by Blackwell (1992).

Animals↗
PubMed1992

Host preferences of the phlebotomine sandfly Lutzomyia longipalpis in Amazonian Brazil.

Experiments were undertaken to determine the relative attractiveness of humans, dogs and chickens to Lutzomyia longipalpis, the principal vector of Leishmania chagasi causing American visceral leishmaniasis. Field experiments in two villages on Marajó Island, Pará State, Brazil, showed that one boy attracted significantly more flies than one dog or chicken, and slightly fewer flies than a group of six chickens. Experiments with laboratory-bred female flies showed that a significantly greater number of flies engorged on a single human than on either a single dog or chicken, and man-biting catches demonstrated the willingness of flies to bite in the field. It appears that Lu.longipalpis has catholic feeding habits, the attractiveness of different hosts being largely a function of their relative sizes. These results are discussed with reference to the epidemiology of visceral leishmaniasis in Brazil.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1991

Population genetics of nonclonal, nonrandomly mating malaria parasites.

In a highly controversial paper(1), Tibayrenc and colleagues have argued that clonal (asexual) reproduction may be a general phenomenon among protozoan parasites. Many parasitologists would be quite comfortable with a theory applied to Leishmania, Trypanosoma, Entamoeba and Giardia which proposes 'that uniparental reproduction is ... predominant enough in natural populations to generate clones that are stable in space and time ...' The current view is that these parasites can reproduce sexually some of the time (eg. Refs 2,3) but may not do so most of the time. What has provoked the most controversy(4-7) is the suggestion that malaria parasites can be considered as bedfellows of the above, for Plasmodium are generally thought to undergo obligate sexual reproduction in each generation. Here, Christopher Dye focuses on Tibayrenc's arguments for clonal reproduction in Plasmodium, not only because malaria parasites are at the heart of the dispute but also because an analysis of his arguments about sexually reproducing parasites carries implications for his assertions in general.

Journal Article↗
PubMed1990

Epidemiological significance of vector-parasite interactions.

A great deal of published experimental evidence shows that parasite-induced changes in host choice, and biting and survival rates of bloodsucking insects are an important source of bias in estimates of Vectorial Capacity. I argue here that, because of the difficulties of handling these and other biases in practice, indices (based on the Vectorial Capacity) which purport to measure transmission rate are best used in a comparative rather than an absolute way. They should attempt to measure, not transmission rate, but changes in transmission rate. In this case, the less restrictive assumption that parasites are responsible for constant bias (rather than no bias) leads to relatively small errors. The results encourage a more optimistic view of the performance of classical entomological indices such as the parous rate. They should also help to redirect the principal epidemiological question about vector-parasite interactions: future studies should be concerned with the impact of parasites, not directly on Vectorial Capacity, but on the comparative measures which are actually used to evaluate transmission rate.

Animals↗
PubMed1989

An analysis of some factors determining the sporozoite rates, human blood indexes, and biting rates of members of the Anopheles punctulatus complex in Papua New Guinea.

The degree to which Anopheles punctulatus complex members feed on humans in different Papua New Guinea villages has a significant effect on sporozoite rates. Among villages, the human blood index (HBI) of the members of the complex varied with the average number of persons sharing a bednet. Although dogs are the preferred hosts by the 3 malaria vector species, the number of dogs did not significantly affect the HBI. The HBI was dependent upon the human-biting rate, implying increased avoidance of anophelines by people relative to other hosts at times of greater mosquito numbers. Human-biting rates and HBIs were also influenced by the distribution of alternative hosts relative to people.

Animals↗
PubMed1988

Earthquakes, influenza and cycles of Indian kala-azar.

It is suggested that previous data indicate 3 major epidemics of kala-azar in Assam between 1875 and 1950, with inter-epidemic periods of 30-45 and 20 years. This deviates from the popular view of regular cycles with a 10-20 year period. A deterministic mathematical model of kala-azar is used to find the simplest explanation for the timing of the 3 epidemics, paying particular attention to the role of extrinsic (drugs, natural disasters, other infectious diseases) versus intrinsic (host and vector dynamics, birth and death rates, immunity) processes in provoking the second. We conclude that, whilst widespread influenza in 1918-1919 may have magnified the second epidemic, intrinsic population processes provide the simplest explanation for its timing and synchrony throughout Assam. The model also shows that the second inter-epidemic period is expected to be shorter than the first, even in the absence of extrinsic agents, and highlights the importance of a small fraction of patients becoming chronically infectious (with post kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis) after treatment during an epidemic.

Disasters↗
PubMed1988

Population dynamics of mosquito-borne disease: persistence in a completely heterogeneous environment.

We investigate the persistence of a mosquito-borne disease (malaria) in a system where mosquitoes and hosts are grouped in patches containing any number of individuals. A mosquito from any one of vector patches can bite, and take blood meals, in any one of m host patches. We confirm our earlier result (C. Dye and G. Hasibeder, 1986, Trans. R. Soc. Trop. Med. Hyg. 80, 69-77) that nonhomogeneous host selection by mosquitoes leads to basic reproductive rates (which measure the persistence of infection in the system) greater than or equal to those obtained under uniform host selection. We find, in addition, that strong associations between particular groups of mosquitoes and hosts lead to still higher basic reproductive rates. Exacting fieldwork would be required to find out how much higher.

Animals↗