Search PubMed⌕ Search

Biomedical subjects

Bart Spiessens

Publications and source records attributed to Bart Spiessens.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Tutorial in biostatistics: the self-controlled case series method.

The self-controlled case series method was developed to investigate associations between acute outcomes and transient exposures, using only data on cases, that is, on individuals who have experienced the outcome of interest. Inference is within individuals, and hence fixed covariates effects are implicitly controlled for within a proportional incidence framework. We describe the origins, assumptions, limitations, and uses of the method. The rationale for the model and the derivation of the likelihood are explained in detail using a worked example on vaccine safety. Code for fitting the model in the statistical package STATA is described. Two further vaccine safety data sets are used to illustrate a range of modelling issues and extensions of the basic model. Some brief pointers on the design of case series studies are provided. The data sets, STATA code, and further implementation details in SAS, GENSTAT and GLIM are available from an associated website.

Biometry↗

A comparison of group sequential methods for binary longitudinal data.

Interim analyses are conducted to allow for early termination of the trial, for ethical as well as economical reasons. Here we consider interim analyses in repeated measurements studies where the measurements are binary. Two methods for analysing this kind of data are compared according to their operating characteristics. A subject-specific approach based on the logistic random-effects model is compared with the population-averaged approach based on the generalized estimating equations. The comparison is illustrated with simulations using a randomized clinical trial for toenail fungal infection.

Antifungal Agents↗

Group sequential methods for an ordinal logistic random-effects model under misspecification.

Interim analyses in clinical trials are planned for ethical as well as economic reasons. General results have been published in the literature that allow the use of standard group sequential methodology if one uses an efficient test statistic, e.g., when Wald-type statistics are used in random-effects models for ordinal longitudinal data. These models often assume that the random effects are normally distributed. However, this is not always the case. We will show that, when the random-effects distribution is misspecified in ordinal regression models, the joint distribution of the test statistics over the different interim analyses is still a multivariate normal distribution, but a sandwich-type correction to the covariance matrix is needed in order to obtain the correct covariance matrix. The independent increment structure is also investigated. A bias in estimation will occur due to the misspecification. However, we will also show that the treatment effect estimate will be unbiased under the null hypothesis, thus maintaining the type I error. Extensive simulations based on a toenail dermatophyte onychomycosis trial are used to illustrate our results.

Biometry↗

Efficacy of the RTS,S/AS02A vaccine against Plasmodium falciparum infection and disease in young African children: randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Development of an effective malaria vaccine could greatly contribute to disease control. RTS,S/AS02A is a pre-erythrocytic vaccine candidate based on Plasmodium falciparum circumsporozoite surface antigen. We aimed to assess vaccine efficacy, immunogenicity, and safety in young African children. METHODS: We did a double-blind, phase IIb, randomised controlled trial in Mozambique in 2022 children aged 1-4 years. The study included two cohorts of children living in two separate areas which underwent different follow-up schemes. Participants were randomly allocated three doses of either RTS,S/AS02A candidate malaria vaccine or control vaccines. The primary endpoint, determined in cohort 1 (n=1605), was time to first clinical episode of P falciparum malaria (axillary temperature > or =37.5 degrees C and P falciparum asexual parasitaemia >2500 per microL) over a 6-month surveillance period. Efficacy for prevention of new infections was determined in cohort 2 (n=417). Analysis was per protocol. FINDINGS: 115 children in cohort 1 and 50 in cohort 2 did not receive all three doses and were excluded from the per-protocol analysis. Vaccine efficacy for the first clinical episodes was 29.9% (95% CI 11.0-44.8; p=0.004). At the end of the 6-month observation period, prevalence of P falciparum infection was 37% lower in the RTS,S/AS02A group compared with the control group (11.9% vs 18.9%; p=0.0003). Vaccine efficacy for severe malaria was 57.7% (95% CI 16.2-80.6; p=0.019). In cohort 2, vaccine efficacy for extending time to first infection was 45.0% (31.4-55.9; p<0.0001). INTERPRETATION: The RTS,S/AS02A vaccine was safe, well tolerated, and immunogenic. Our results show development of an effective vaccine against malaria is feasible.

Animals↗