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Biomedical subjects

B Rosner

Publications and source records attributed to B Rosner.

At least 199 records · Page 11Linked to original sources

Relation of moderate alcohol consumption and risk of systemic hypertension in women.

The relation between alcohol consumption and the risk of development of hypertension was studied among 58,218 US female registered nurses aged 39 to 59 years who were free of diagnosed systemic hypertension and other major diseases. In 1980, all of these women completed an independently validated dietary questionnaire, which included use of alcoholic beverages. During 4 years of follow-up, 3,275 women reported an initial diagnosis of hypertension; validity of the self-report measure was demonstrated in a subsample. When compared to nondrinkers, women drinking 20 to 34 g of alcohol per day (about 2 or 3 drinks) had a significantly elevated relative risk of 1.4; the 95% confidence interval (CI) was 1.2 to 1.7 after adjustment for age and Quetelet's index. For women consuming greater than 35 g/day, the relative risk was 1.9 (95% CI 1.6 to 2.2). Adjustment for smoking and dietary variables did not alter these results. Independent significant associations were observed for the consumption of beer, wine and liquor. These prospective data suggest that alcohol intake of up to about 20 g/day does not increase the risk of hypertension among women, but beyond this level, the risk increases progressively.

Adult↗

Exogenous sex hormones and the risk of rheumatoid arthritis.

The use of exogenous sex hormones in relation to the risk of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) was examined in a cohort of married nurses 30-55 years of age followed since 1976 in the Nurses' Health Study. Baseline information on the use of oral contraceptives, replacement estrogens, and other potential risk factors was obtained in 1976 and updated every 2 years. During 8 years of followup, 217 incident cases of polyarthritis were ascertained (115 RA and 102 undifferentiated polyarthritis). When compared with women who had never used oral contraceptives, the age-adjusted relative risk was 1.0 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.7-1.3) for past users; however, too few women were currently using oral contraceptives for a reliable estimate of its effect. Among postmenopausal women, 123 cases of RA were reported. Compared with postmenopausal women who never used replacement estrogens, current users had an age-adjusted relative risk of 1.3 (95% CI 0.9-2.0), past users had an age-adjusted relative risk of 0.7 (95% CI 0.5-1.2), and ever users had a relative risk of 1.0 (95% CI 0.7-1.4). These data do not show a protective effect of past use of oral contraceptives or replacement estrogens for RA; however, a modest protective effect of current oral contraceptive use cannot be excluded.

Adult↗

Risk factors for basal cell carcinoma in a prospective cohort of women.

In a prospective study of self-reported demographic, constitutional, and life-style factors in relation to basal cell carcinoma of the skin, we followed a cohort of 73,366 nurses in the United States who were 34 to 59 years of age in 1980 and who had no previous skin or other cancer. In 4 years of follow-up, compared with women living in the Northeast, women residing in California (age-adjusted relative risk [RR] = 1.57; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.30 to 1.89) and Florida (RR = 2.12; 95% CI = 1.54 to 2.92) were more likely to develop basal cell carcinoma. Compared with women having naturally dark brown hair, the age-adjusted relative risk of basal cell carcinoma was increased among women with red (RR = 2.45; 95% CI = 1.89 to 3.19), blonde (RR = 1.37; 95% CI = 1.09 to 1.71), or light brown hair (RR = 1.27; 95% CI = 1.08 to 1.49) and was decreased among women with black hair (RR = 0.66; 95% CI = 0.41 to 1.06). Risk was positively associated in a dose-response manner both with tendency to sunburn as a child or adolescent and with lifetime number of severe and painful sunburns on the face or arms. These risk factors remained significant predictors of disease when included simultaneously in multivariate analyses. Tendency to tan was associated with decreased risk, although this risk was not significant after controlling for the other constitutional determinants and region. Cigarette smoking did not alter the risk of basal cell carcinoma. These prospective data emphasize the importance of sunlight, and skin response to sunlight, as determinants of basal cell carcinoma among women.

Adult↗

Food predictors of plasma beta-carotene and alpha-tocopherol: validation of a food frequency questionnaire.

Nutrient intakes from a food frequency questionnaire are usually calculated as the product of frequency of intake and nutrient composition of the food, summed over the food items. This involves assumptions about the accuracy of recording, food composition data, stability during storage and preparation, and bioavailability. This usual method of calculation was compared with one using empirical weights derived by multivariate linear regression. Food intakes reported on a food frequency questionnaire by Boston, Massachusetts, area subjects in 1982-1985 were used to predict plasma levels of beta-carotene among 370 male and female nonsmokers and plasma levels of alpha-tocopherol among 339 male and female nonusers of vitamin supplements. Nutrient intake computed using empirical weights yielded a significant correlation with plasma beta-carotene (r = 0.43, p = 0.0001), similar to the correlation using nutrient intake calculated from food composition tables (r = 0.38, p = 0.0001). However, the use of empirical weights significantly improved the correlation of vitamin E intake with plasma alpha-tocopherol levels (r = 0.32, p = 0.0001), compared with the weak correlation obtained using the food composition table method to calculate intake (r = 0.16). The results support the validity of published food composition data used to compute carotenoid intake and illustrate the potential utility of empirically derived weights for foods to predict plasma levels of some nutrients.

Adolescent↗

Correction of logistic regression relative risk estimates and confidence intervals for measurement error: the case of multiple covariates measured with error.

If several risk factors for disease are considered in the same multiple logistic regression model, and some of these risk factors are measured with error, the point and interval estimates of relative risk corresponding to any of these factors may be biased either toward or away from the null value. A method is provided for correcting point and interval estimates of relative risk obtained from logistic regression for measurement error in one or more continuous variables. The method requires a separate validation study to estimate the coefficients from the multivariate linear regression model relating the surrogate variables to the vector of true risk factors. Similar methods have been suggested by other authors, but none provides a means of correcting the confidence intervals which include a component of variability due to estimation of the measurement error parameters from a validation study. An example is provided from a prospective study of dietary fat, calories, and alcohol in relation to breast cancer, and from a validation study of the questionnaire used to assess these nutrients. Before correcting for measurement error, the age-adjusted relative risk for a 25 g increment in alcohol intake was 1.33 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.14-1.55); after correcting for measurement error, the relative risk increased to 1.62 (95% CI 1.23-2.12). Similarly, for a 10 g increment in saturated fat intake, the age-adjusted relative risk was 0.94 (95% CI 0.83-1.06); after correcting for measurement error, the relative risk was 0.84 (95% CI 0.59-1.20). These results indicate that the failure to find a substantial positive association between breast cancer risk and saturated fat intake cannot be explained by measurement error in fat, calories, or alcohol.

Bias↗

Reproductive factors, smoking, and the risk for rheumatoid arthritis.

Risk factors for rheumatoid arthritis were examined in a cohort of 121,700 female nurses aged 30-55, followed in the Nurses' Health Study. Baseline information on reproductive variables, cigarette smoking, obesity, and other variables was obtained in 1976 and updated every 2 years. Cases of rheumatoid arthritis were defined by standardized questionnaire and review of medical records. During 883,187 person-years of follow-up, 217 new cases of rheumatoid arthritis were identified (115 had definite rheumatoid arthritis and 102 had "undifferentiated polyarthritis"). When compared with women who experienced menarche at age 13 years, the age-adjusted relative risk of rheumatoid arthritis among women with early menarche was 1.9 (95% confidence interval, 0.9-2.4). There were, however, no significant associations between parity, age at birth of the first child, menopause, or obesity and the incidence of rheumatoid arthritis. Cigarette smokers had a slight apparent increase in the risk of rheumatoid arthritis. Among current smokers, the age-adjusted relative risk for RA rheumatoid arthritis was 1.3 (0.9-2.1); among former smokers, the relative risk was 1.5 (0.9-2.3).

Adult↗

Prospective study of relative weight, height, and risk of breast cancer.

We examined relative weight and height in relation to subsequent breast cancer risk among 115,534 women 30 to 55 years of age and free from cancer in 1976. By 1984, six hundred fifty-eight premenopausal and 420 postmenopausal breast cancers were documented during 734,716 person-years. Among premenopausal women, risk of breast cancer decreased significantly with increasing relative weight (relative risk for the highest category was 0.6). A similar inverse association was seen for recalled relative weight at 18 years of age. Postmenopausal breast cancer was not associated with relative weight, either recent or at age 18. Height was not associated with breast cancer risk among premenopausal women and only weakly related among postmenopausal women. These data suggest that obesity among premenopausal and early postmenopausal women does not increase breast cancer risk substantially.

Adult↗

Prospective study of oral contraceptive use and risk of breast cancer in women.

In 1976, 118,273 female nurses 30-55 years of age with no history of cancer completed a questionnaire regarding possible risk factors. By 1986, after 1,137,415 person-years of follow-up, we had documented 1,799 newly diagnosed cases of breast cancer. Compared with the risk of breast cancer for nonusers of oral contraceptives, the multivariate relative risks were 1.07 (95% confidence interval, 0.97-1.19) for all users, 1.06 (95% confidence interval, 0.96-1.18) for past users, and 1.53 (95% confidence interval, 1.06-2.19) for current users--women who used oral contraceptives up to 2 years before diagnosis of breast cancer. We conclude that overall past use of oral contraceptives is not associated with a substantial increase in the risk of breast cancer. Although we did not find women who used oral contraceptives before the first pregnancy to have an increased risk of breast cancer, the number of women who used oral contraceptives for a long duration in early reproductive life was too small to permit firm conclusions regarding the risk in this subgroup.

Adult↗

Correction of logistic regression relative risk estimates and confidence intervals for systematic within-person measurement error.

Errors in the measurement of exposure that are independent of disease status tend to bias relative risk estimates and other measures of effect in epidemiologic studies toward the null value. Two methods are provided to correct relative risk estimates obtained from logistic regression models for measurement errors in continuous exposures within cohort studies that may be due to either random (unbiased) within-person variation or to systematic errors for individual subjects. These methods require a separate validation study to estimate the regression coefficient lambda relating the surrogate measure to true exposure. In the linear approximation method, the true logistic regression coefficient beta* is estimated by beta/lambda, where beta is the observed logistic regression coefficient based on the surrogate measure. In the likelihood approximation method, a second-order Taylor series expansion is used to approximate the logistic function, enabling closed-form likelihood estimation of beta*. Confidence intervals for the corrected relative risks are provided that include a component representing error in the estimation of lambda. Based on simulation studies, both methods perform well for true odds ratios up to 3.0; for higher odds ratios the likelihood approximation method was superior with respect to both bias and coverage probability. An example is provided based on data from a prospective study of dietary fat intake and risk of breast cancer and a validation study of the questionnaire used to assess dietary fat intake.

Bias↗

Self-help approaches to smoking cessation: a report from the normative aging study.

Self-quitters make up by far the largest proportion of ex-cigarette smokers, yet this population has not been extensively characterized to date. We compared male self-quitters (N = 191) and age-matched recidivists (N = 110) on smoking histories, psychosocial attributes and quitting methods. A number of significant relationships were found, some of which may have clinical implications. those who substituted cigars or pipes for cigarettes were nearly four times more likely to be successful, and those who reported consuming more food/snacks after quitting were 80% more likely to be successful quitters. Subjects who reported using no coping strategies in former smoking settings after cessation because they had no urges to smoke in these settings were also much more likely to be successful quitters. Recidivists were more likely to report using physical activity as a means of coping with temptations to smoke, and were somewhat older at the time of the quit attempt. Withdrawal symptoms and psychosocial stress were reported as reasons for relapse by early relapsers, while late relapsers reported being around other smokers on social occasions, and psychosocial stress.

Demography↗

Prevention of catheter-associated urinary tract infection: a cost-benefit analysis.

A cost-benefit analysis was used to assess four strategies to prevent catheter-associated urinary tract infections in an acute care setting. Routine use of catheters with sealed collection junctions, selective use of these catheters, and oral antibiotic prophylaxis all result in fewer deaths, fewer infections, and lower overall costs than not using any of these. Routine use of sealed junction catheters results in fewer infections and deaths than does selective use. When the cost of a nosocomial urinary tract infection is +500, routine use of sealed junction catheters is also less expensive than selective use in many circumstances. Oral antibiotic prophylaxis would result in the lowest net cost and the fewest deaths and infections, if it were as effective as parenteral prophylaxis, if more than 72% of patients received it, and if important negative factors such as selection of antimicrobial resistance and adverse drug reactions are not considered. When there is no extra cost of sealed junction catheters, their use is less expensive than the oral prophylaxis strategy if the total cost of oral prophylaxis, including the cost of adverse reactions, is greater than +15. If the extra cost of sealed junction catheters is +4 per unit, their use is less expensive than oral prophylaxis when its cost exceeds +35. Prevention of catheter-associated urinary tract infection reduces the overall cost of patient care, even when the prevention itself incurs costs. This analysis supports the routine use of sealed junction catheters in most acute care situations that require indwelling catheter drainage. Currently, we do not recommend routine antibiotic prophylaxis.

Catheters, Indwelling↗

Food-based validation of a dietary questionnaire: the effects of week-to-week variation in food consumption.

The reproducibility and validity of responses for 55 specific foods and beverages on a self-administered food frequency questionnaire were evaluated. One hundred and seventy three women from the Nurses' Health Study completed the questionnaire twice approximately 12 months apart and also recorded their food consumption for seven consecutive days, four times during the one-year interval. For the 55 foods, the mean of correlation coefficients between frequencies of intake for first versus second questionnaire was 0.57 (range = 0.24 for fruit punch to 0.93 for beer). The mean of correlation coefficients between the dietary records and first questionnaire was 0.44 (range = 0.09 for yellow squash to 0.83 for beer and tea) and between the dietary records and the second questionnaire was 0.52 (range = 0.08 for spinach to 0.90 for tea). Ratios of within- to between-person variance for the 55 foods were computed using the mean four one-week dietary records for each person as replicate measurements. For most foods this ratio was greater than 1.0 (geometric mean of ratios = 1.88), ranging from 0.25 (skimmed milk) to 14.76 (spinach). Correlation coefficients comparing questionnaire and dietary record for the 55 foods were corrected for the within-person variation (mean corrected value = 0.55 for dietary record versus first questionnaire and 0.66 versus the second). Mean daily amounts of each food calculated by the questionnaire and by the dietary record were also compared; the observed differences suggested that responses to the questionnaire tended to over-represent socially desirable foods. This analysis documents the validity and reproducibility of the questionnaire for measuring specific foods and beverages, as well as the large within-person variation for food intake measured by dietary records. Differences in the degree of validity for specific foods revealed in this type of analysis can be useful in improving questionnaire design and in interpreting findings from epidemiological studies that use the instrument.

Adult↗

Epidemiology of otitis media during the first seven years of life in children in greater Boston: a prospective, cohort study.

To determine the epidemiology of acute otitis media (AOM) and duration of middle ear effusion (MEE), we followed consecutively enrolled children from shortly after birth until 7 y of age. Because some children dropped out of the study, data were analyzed for 877 children observed for at least 1 y; 698 were observed for at least 3 y, and 498 were observed until 7 y of age. By 1 y of age, 62% of the children had greater than or equal to 1 episode of AOM and 17% had greater than or equal to 3 episodes; by 3 y of age, 83% had greater than or equal to 1 episode of AOM and 46% had greater than or equal to 3 episodes. The peak incidence occurred during the second 6-mo period of life. Significantly increased risk (by multivariate analysis) for AOM was associated with male gender, sibling history of recurrent AOM, early occurrence of AOM, and not being breast fed. MEE persisted after onset of AOM for weeks to months; prolonged duration of MEE was associated with male gender, sibling history of ear infection, and not being breast fed.

Acute Disease↗

Genotypic and phenotypic similarities in pulmonary function among family members of adult monozygotic and dizygotic twins.

Population studies have demonstrated that obstructive airways disease aggregates within families. The authors used a twin family model of analysis to estimate the genetic and environmental influences on pulmonary function. A total of 1,635 members of 414 families of adult twins (252 monozygotic, 162 dizygotic) enrolled in the Greater Boston Twin Registry were studied between 1981 and 1982. Correlations in levels of forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC), adjusted for age, sex, height, and current smoking status, were compared among 16 groups of relatives sharing various degrees of genetic relatedness. A direct relation between shared genotype and the magnitude of the familial correlations for pulmonary function was observed. For FEV1, the correlations were 0.71 for monozygotic twins (100% shared genotype), 0.16 to 0.29 for relatives with 50% shared genotype, 0.09 to 0.27 for relatives with 25% shared genotype, 0.06 for cousins with 12.5% shared genotype, and -0.14 to 0.14 for unrelated family members. Correlations for FVC were similar. Stratification of the analysis by concordance or discordance for passive tobacco smoke exposure or for frequency with which families visited one another did not systematically alter these relations. These data suggest that phenotypic similarities in pulmonary function relate directly to genetic similarities, and are consistent with a multifactorial mode of inheritance.

Adolescent↗

A prospective study of high blood pressure and cardiovascular disease in women.

The relation of self-reported high blood pressure to the subsequent development of coronary heart disease and stroke was examined in a cohort of 119,963 women, aged 30-55 years, who were initially free from cardiovascular disease. Participants in the Nurses' Health Study reported high blood pressure and other cardiovascular risk factors on baseline questionnaires mailed in 1976. During six years of follow-up, there were 308 incident cases of coronary heart disease (66 fatal and 242 nonfatal myocardial infarctions) and 175 strokes (50 fatal and 125 nonfatal). Fatal as well as nonfatal coronary heart disease and stroke were all significantly more frequent among the women who had reported high blood pressure. After adjusting simultaneously for age and other risk factors, the relative risks were 3.5 (95% confidence interval (Cl) 2.8-4.5) for total coronary heart disease and 2.6 (95% Cl 1.8-3.5) for total stroke. This association was evident at all levels of relative weight. The results emphasize the importance of high blood pressure as an independent predictor of coronary heart disease and stroke in middle-aged women and suggest that the increased risk occurs in both lean and obese women.

Adult↗