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B Reisberg

Publications and source records attributed to B Reisberg.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Prediction of longitudinal cognitive decline in normal elderly with subjective complaints using electrophysiological imaging.

An extensive literature reports changes in quantitative electroencephalogram (QEEG) with aging and a relationship between magnitude of changes and degree of clinical deterioration in progressive dementia. Longitudinal studies have demonstrated QEEG differences between mild cognitively impaired (MCI) elderly who go on to decline and those who do not. This study focuses on normal elderly with subjective cognitive complaints to assess the utility of QEEG in predicting future decline within 7 years. Forty-four normal elderly received extensive clinical, neurocognitive and QEEG examinations at baseline. All study subjects (N = 44) had only subjective complaints but no objective evidence of cognitive deficit (evaluated using the Global Deterioration Scale [GDS] score, GDS stage = 2) at baseline and were re-evaluated during 7-9 year follow-up. Baseline QEEGs of Decliners differed significantly (p < 0.0001, by MANOVA) from Non-Decliners, characterized by increases in theta power, slowing of mean frequency, and changes in covariance among regions, especially on the right hemisphere. Using logistic regression, an R2 of 0.93 (p < 0.001) was obtained between baseline QEEG features and probability of future decline, with an overall predictive accuracy of 90%. These data indicate high sensitivity and specificity for baseline QEEG as a differential predictor of future cognitive state in normal, subjectively impaired elderly.

Aged↗

Longitudinal CSF and MRI biomarkers improve the diagnosis of mild cognitive impairment.

The diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease (AD) in patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is limited because it is based on non-specific behavioral and neuroimaging findings. The lesions of Alzheimer's disease: amyloid beta (Abeta) deposits, tau pathology and cellular oxidative damage, affect the hippocampus in the earlier stages causing memory impairment. In a 2-year longitudinal study of MCI patients and normal controls, we examined the hypothesis that cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) markers for these pathological features improve the diagnostic accuracy over memory and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-hippocampal volume evaluations. Relative to control, MCI patients showed decreased memory and hippocampal volumes and elevated CSF levels of hyperphosphorylated tau and isoprostane. These two CSF measures consistently improved the diagnostic accuracy over the memory measures and the isoprostane measure incremented the accuracy of the hippocampal volume achieving overall diagnostic accuracies of about 90%. Among MCI patients, over 2 years, longitudinal hippocampal volume losses were closely associated with increasing hyperphosphorylated tau and decreasing amyloid beta-42 levels. These results demonstrate that CSF biomarkers for AD contribute to the characterization of MCI.

Aged↗

Is the functional decline of Parkinson's disease similar to the functional decline of Alzheimer's disease?

Since many Parkinson's disease (PD) subjects develop dementia, we determined whether the correlation between functional and cognitive decline seen in Alzheimer's disease (AD) is seen in PD. Seventy-five PD subjects with and without dementia and 103 AD/MCI subjects underwent the Functional Assessment Staging (FAST), the Global Deterioration Scale (GDS), the UPDRS motor portion, and the MMSE. In AD/MCI subjects, changes in FAST and GDS scores correlated with MMSE (rho=-0.814, P<0.001; rho=-0.840, P<0.001, respectively). In PD subjects, the FAST and GDS also correlated with MMSE (rho=-0.675, P<0.001; rho=-0.647, P<0.001, respectively). The UPDRS correlated with the GDS and FAST more closely in PD than in AD. Similar to AD, functional declines in PD correlates with cognitive decline and may be influenced by motor disability in PD.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Benefits of cognitive-motor intervention in MCI and mild to moderate Alzheimer disease.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the efficacy of a cognitive-motor program in patients with early Alzheimer disease (AD) who are treated with a cholinesterase inhibitor (ChEI). METHODS: Patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) (12), mild AD (48), and moderate AD (24) (Global Deterioration Scale stages 3, 4, and 5) were randomized to receive psychosocial support plus cognitive-motor intervention (experimental group) or psychosocial support alone (control group). Cognitive-motor intervention (CMI) consisted of a 1-year structured program of 103 sessions of cognitive exercises, plus social and psychomotor activities. The primary efficacy measure was the cognitive subscale of the AD Assessment Scale (ADAS-cog). Secondary efficacy measures were the Mini-Mental State Examination, the Functional Activities Questionnaire, and the Geriatric Depression Scale. Evaluations were conducted at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months by blinded evaluators. RESULTS: Patients in the CMI group maintained cognitive status at month 6, whereas patients in the control group had significantly declined at that time. Cognitive response was higher in the patients with fewer years of formal education. In addition, more patients in the experimental group maintained or improved their affective status at month 12 (experimental group, 75%; control group, 47%; p = 0.017). CONCLUSIONS: A long-term CMI in ChEI-treated early Alzheimer disease patients produced additional mood and cognitive benefits.

Aged↗

MRI and CSF studies in the early diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease.

The main goal of our studies has been to use MRI, FDG-PET, and CSF biomarkers to identify in cognitively normal elderly (NL) subjects and in patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI), the earliest clinically detectable evidence for brain changes due to Alzheimer's disease (AD). A second goal has been to describe the cross-sectional and longitudinal interrelationships amongst anatomical, CSF and cognition measures in these patient groups. It is now well known that MRI-determined hippocampal atrophy predicts the conversion from MCI to AD. In our summarized studies, we show that the conversion of NL subjects to MCI can also be predicted by reduced entorhinal cortex (EC) glucose metabolism, and by the rate of medial temporal lobe atrophy as determined by a semi-automated regional boundary shift analysis (BSA-R). However, whilst atrophy rates are predictive under research conditions, they are not specific for AD and cannot be used as primary evidence for AD. Consequently, we will also review our effort to improve the diagnostic specificity by evaluating the use of CSF biomarkers and to evaluate their performance in combination with neuroimaging. Neuropathology studies of normal ageing and MCI identify the hippocampal formation as an early locus of neuronal damage, tau protein pathology, elevated isoprostane levels, and deposition of amyloid beta 1-42 (Abeta42). Many CSF studies of MCI and AD report elevated T-tau levels (a marker of neuronal damage) and reduced Abeta42 levels (possibly due to increased plaque sequestration). However, CSF T-tau and Abeta42 level elevations may not be specific to AD. Elevated isoprostane levels are also reported in AD and MCI but these too are not specific for AD. Importantly, it has been recently observed that CSF levels of P-tau, tau hyperphosphorylated at threonine 231 (P-tau231) are uniquely elevated in AD and elevations found in MCI are useful in predicting the conversion to AD. In our current MCI studies, we are examining the hypothesis that elevations in P-tau231 are accurate and specific indicators of AD-related changes in brain and cognition. In cross-section and longitudinally, our results show that evaluations of the P-tau231 level are highly correlated with reductions in the MRI hippocampal volume and by using CSF and MRI measures together one improves the separation of NL and MCI. The data suggests that by combining MRI and CSF measures, an early (sensitive) and more specific diagnosis of AD is at hand. Numerous studies show that neither T-tau nor P-tauX (X refers to all hyper-phosphorylation site assays) levels are sensitive to the longitudinal progression of AD. The explanation for the failure to observe longitudinal changes is not known. One possibility is that brain-derived proteins are diluted in the CSF compartment. We recently used MRI to estimate ventricular CSF volume and demonstrated that an MRI-based adjustment for CSF volume dilution enables detection of a diagnostically useful longitudinal P-tau231 elevation. Curiously, our most recent data show that the CSF isoprostane level does show significant longitudinal elevations in MCI in the absence of dilution correction. In summary, we conclude that the combined use of MRI and CSF incrementally contributes to the early diagnosis of AD and to monitor the course of AD. The interim results also suggest that a panel of CSF biomarkers can provide measures both sensitive to longitudinal change as well as measures that lend specificity to the AD diagnosis.

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Measuring cognition in advanced Alzheimer's disease for clinical trials.

Measurement of cognitive dysfunction and treatment response in the early stages of Alzheimer's disease (AD) has used such scales as the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) and the AD Assessment Scale (ADAS). With the exception of clinical rating scales, however, there are only a few objective measures of cognition for tracking progression in advanced AD. Given renewed interest in potential therapies for advanced AD, objective measures of cognition are important for the adequate evaluation of change due to AD progression or therapy. Several cognitive measures for advanced AD are reviewed. One measure, the Severe Impairment Battery (SIB) is reviewed in detail. Preliminary analyses from a trial of memantine show significant change on the SIB in memory (p < 0.001) and visuospatial functions (p < 0.02) over six-months with a trend for language and praxis. Data from a donepezil trial also highlight the importance of accurate assessment in advanced AD.

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Vascular fibrosis and calcification in the hippocampus in aging, Alzheimer disease, and Down syndrome.

Study of the hippocampal formation of 82 subjects, including 25 control subjects from 33 to 83 years of age, 34 subjects with Alzheimer disease (AD) from 65 to 89 years of age, and 23 subjects with Down syndrome (DS) from 33 to 72 years of age, revealed hippocampal vasculopathy with fibrosis and calcification (VFC) in 40% of control, 59% of AD, and 4% of DS subjects. VFC starts in the precapillaries/capillaries in the molecular layer of the dentate gyrus (DG) and expands to the granule cell and polymorphic cell layer of the DG, and to the stratum lacunosum/molecular in the CA1 sector. Vasculopathy spreads from the tail to the body and, in a few cases, to the head of the hippocampal formation. Light and electron microscopy reveal thickening of the vascular wall with fibrosis, calcification, and enforcement of the astrocyte interface with vessels with anchorage densities associated with hemidesmosome-like structures. In moderately and severely affected cases, fragmentation and removal of calcified and occluded vessels result in local reduction of vascular network. In two AD subjects, severe vascular calcification extending from the tail to the head of the hippocampal formation was associated with loss of almost all neurons in the CA1 sector and in the subiculum proper, corresponding to hippocampal sclerosis. The topography of affected vessels and the patterns of neuronal loss reflect the middle hippocampal artery distribution with its precapillary/capillary network. The similar prevalence of vasculopathy in the AD group and in the age-matched control group, and the presence of hippocampal VFC in only one subject in the DS cohort, 96% of which is affected by Alzheimer-type pathology, oppose the link between AD and this form of vasculopathy. However, severe VFC affects the pattern of AD pathology locally by deletion of neurofibrillary degeneration and beta-amyloidosis in the CA1 sector, subiculum proper, and the molecular layer of the dentate gyrus. Hippocampal VFC appears to be a form of vascular pathology with a unique predilection for the middle hippocampal artery and corresponding capillary network, which results in patchy neuronal loss in moderately affected subjects and in almost total neuronal loss in the area of impaired blood supply in severely affected subjects. These observations suggest an etiologic link between hippocampal VFC and hippocampal sclerosis.

Adult↗

Prediction of cognitive decline in normal elderly subjects with 2-[(18)F]fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose/poitron-emission tomography (FDG/PET).

Neuropathology studies show that patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and Alzheimer's disease typically have lesions of the entorhinal cortex (EC), hippocampus (Hip), and temporal neocortex. Related observations with in vivo imaging have enabled the prediction of dementia from MCI. Although individuals with normal cognition may have focal EC lesions, this anatomy has not been studied as a predictor of cognitive decline and brain change. The objective of this MRI-guided 2-[(18)F]fluoro-2-deoxy-d-glucose/positron-emission tomography (FDG/PET) study was to examine the hypothesis that among normal elderly subjects, EC METglu reductions predict decline and the involvement of the Hip and neocortex. In a 3-year longitudinal study of 48 healthy normal elderly, 12 individuals (mean age 72) demonstrated cognitive decline (11 to MCI and 1 to Alzheimer's disease). Nondeclining controls were matched on apolipoprotein E genotype, age, education, and gender. At baseline, metabolic reductions in the EC accurately predicted the conversion from normal to MCI. Among those who declined, the baseline EC predicted longitudinal memory and temporal neocortex metabolic reductions. At follow-up, those who declined showed memory impairment and hypometabolism in temporal lobe neocortex and Hip. Among those subjects who declined, apolipoprotein E E4 carriers showed marked longitudinal temporal neocortex reductions. In summary, these data suggest that an EC stage of brain involvement can be detected in normal elderly that predicts future cognitive and brain metabolism reductions. Progressive E4-related hypometabolism may underlie the known increased susceptibility for dementia. Further study is required to estimate individual risks and to determine the physiologic basis for METglu changes detected while cognition is normal.

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Fibrillar amyloid-beta affects neurofibrillary changes but only in neurons already involved in neurofibrillary degeneration.

The aim of this study of the cerebral cortex of 8 non-demented elderly subjects and of 17 subjects in the severe stage of Alzheimer's disease (AD) (Global Deterioration Scale stage 7/Functional Assessment Staging procedure stage 7a-f) was to examine the relationships between amyloid-beta (Abeta) deposits and neurofibrillary degeneration. The study shows that neuronal processes with neurofibrillary changes are detectable in only a minority of fibrillar plaques: from 31% to 49% of fibrillar plaques within frontal, temporal, parietal, limbic, occipital, and insular cortices. The correlations observed between the numerical densities of neurons with neurofibrillary tangles (NFTs) and the densities of Thioflavin-S-positive fibrillar plaques with neurofibrillary changes (r=0.61; P<0.01) indicate that neurofibrillary pathology in neocortical plaques reflects the topography and rate of neurofibrillary changes in neocortical neurons. The accumulation of abnormally phosphorylated tau in only some plaques indicates that fibrillar Abeta enhances paired helical filament accumulation locally only in dystrophic neurites already involved in neurofibrillary degeneration. The lack of correlation between the number of neurons with neurofibrillary changes and the number of all Thioflavin-S-positive fibrillar plaques (with and without neurofibrillary changes) suggests that beta-amyloidosis does not contribute to initiation of neurofibrillary degeneration in neurons.

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Addition of a frequency-weighted score to the Behavioral Pathology in Alzheimer's Disease Rating Scale: the BEHAVE-AD-FW: methodology and reliability.

The Behavioral Pathology in Alzheimer's Disease Rating Scale (BEHAVE-AD) is a well-established instrument, designed to assess potentially remediable behavioral symptoms in Alzheimer's disease (AD) patients as well as to evaluate treatment outcome. It consists of 25 symptoms grouped into seven categories. Each symptom is scored on the basis of severity on a four-point scale. A knowledgeable caregiver is queried and items are scored on the basis of symptoms noted in the preceding two weeks. Reliability, construct validity and criterion validity data for the BEHAVE-AD have previously been published. Because of the significance of psychopathology in dementia, it is necessary to optimally describe and define the nature, magnitude and prevalence of behavioral symptomatology. Accordingly, a frequency component was added to each of the 25 items of the BEHAVE-AD scale. The objective of the present report is to describe this new Behavioral Pathology in Alzheimer's Disease Frequency-Weighted Severity Scale (BEHAVE-AD-FW) and to establish its inter-rater reliability. In this investigation the BEHAVE-AD-FW scale was administered to caregivers of 28 patients with either mildly impaired cognitive function or a dementia diagnosis. Two clinicians separately and independently rated the responses. Analyses determined that the intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) for the frequency component varied between 0.86 and 0.97 for each of the seven BEHAVE-AD categories (p(s) < 0.001). ICCs for the frequency-weighted scores (item severity score x item frequency score) ranged from 0.69 to 0.98 for the seven symptom categories (p(s) < 0.001). For the BEHAVE-AD-FW total scores, the ICC was 0.91 (P < 0.001). These results indicate that the frequency-weighted component is a reliable addition to the BEHAVE-AD scale.

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The Alzheimer's disease activities of daily living international scale (ADL-IS).

BACKGROUND: Activities of daily living (ADL) deficits are integral components of dementia disorders, and ADL measures are among the most robust markers of the course of Alzheimer's disease (AD). Despite this acknowledged importance, no clearly useful ADL instrument for cross-cultural application in pharmacologic trials in the early stages of AD had been available. METHOD: An international effort was launched to develop an ADL scale for pharmacologic trials in early AD. Steps taken from 1990 to the present included: (1) international scientific working group meetings and reviews, (2) reviews of existing measures, (3) collating of existent, nonredundant items, (4) querying experts for new items, (5) interviews with informants and subjects in the USA, France, and Germany, toward the identification of potential new items, (6) identification of an item pool based upon these procedures, (7) creation of a trial instrument, (8) piloting of this instrument, and (9) refinement of the scale based upon statistical analysis of the pilot data. Final item selection was based upon: (1) relevance for > or = 80% of subjects in severity-stratified USA and German samples; (2) absence of gender and national biases; (3) significant (p <.05) discrimination between (a) normal versus mildly impaired and (b) mildly impaired versus moderately to moderately severely impaired subjects; and (4) Global Deterioration Scale (GDS) scores accounting for > or = 12% of variance in the item after controlling for age and gender. RESULTS: An ADL scale consisting of 40 items that correlate with the global and cognitive progress of AD is developed for international usage in pharmacologic trials in incipient, mild, moderate, and moderately severe AD. The scale contains 40 items falling within 13 ADL categories. The 40-item scale is shown to have .81 correlation with GDS staging, .81 with mental status assessment (Mini-Mental State Examination), and .81 with a psychometric test (the SKT) (p values < .001). CONCLUSION: This scale can be used to measure therapeutic response in AD.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Cerebellar atrophy in Alzheimer's disease-clinicopathological correlations.

Morphometry of the cerebellum of 11 subjects who died in the severe, final stage of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and of five age-matched subjects without dementia revealed significant atrophy in the AD group, with a decrease in the volume of the molecular layer by 24% and of the granular layer by 22% in comparison with controls. The 32% decrease in the total number of Purkinje cells that was observed correlates with the atrophy of the molecular layer, whereas the 30% reduction in the total number of granule cells correlates with the atrophy of the molecular and granular layers. A unique pattern of Alzheimer-type pathology was observed in the cerebellum: (1) there were no neurofibrillary changes in the cerebellum of either the control or the AD subjects, (2) there was almost the same extent of leptomeningeal and cortical amyloid angiopathy in the normal aged subjects and in the AD patients, and (3) the presence of plaques was noted in the AD group, but not in the control group. This pattern of pathology suggests that two factors might be considered in the etiopathogenesis of cerebellar atrophy: (1) transneuronal degeneration and neuronal loss resulting from primary pathologic changes in cerebral structures and (2) parenchymal cerebellar ss-amyloidosis. The correlation between the temporal duration of AD and both the decrease of the total number of granule cells (r=0.86, p<0.01) and the volumetric loss of the molecular (r=0.73, p<0.05) and granular (r=0.93, p<0.001) layers of the cerebellar cortex indicates that these cerebellar atrophic changes are likely to be related to the basic pathologic process of AD. Similarly, the correlation between the most complex parameter the atrophy of the cerebellar cortex and the Functional Assessment Staging (FAST) measure of the clinical severity of AD at the time of demise (r=0.63, p<0.05) as well as with the duration of AD (r=0.78, p<0.01) indicates that cerebellar pathology, when viewed holistically, evolves continuously in association with clinical changes throughout the clinically manifest course of AD.

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Retrogenesis: clinical, physiologic, and pathologic mechanisms in brain aging, Alzheimer's and other dementing processes.

Data from clinical, electrophysiologic, neurophysiologic, neuroimaging and neuropathologic sources indicates that the progression of brain aging and Alzheimer's disease (AD) deterioration proceeds inversely to human ontogenic acquisition patterns. A word for this process of degenerative developmental recapitulation, "retrogenesis", has been proposed. These retrogenic processes provide new insights into the pathologic mechanism of AD deterioration. An understanding of retrogenic phenonmena can also result in insights into the applicability of retrogenic pathologic mechanisms for non-AD dementing disorders. Management strategies based upon retrogenesis have recently been proposed. Retrogenic pathophysiology also points to previously unexplored pharmacologic approaches to dementia prevention and treatment.

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Towards a science of Alzheimer's disease management: a model based upon current knowledge of retrogenesis.

BACKGROUND: General relationships between dotage and infancy and childhood have been acknowledged for more than two millennia. Recent findings indicate precise relationships between functional, praxic, and feeding changes in the course of the degenerative dementia of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and inverse corresponding developmental sequences. Similar inverse relationships between AD and human development can be described for cognition and language skills; for physiologic measures of electroencephalographic activity, brain glucose metabolism, and developmental neurologic reflex changes; and for the neuropathologic and neuroanatomic progression of these processes. In AD, these processes may be termed "retrogenesis." The relevance of the retrogenesis model for AD management is explored. METHOD: The functional stages of AD can be translated into developmental age equivalents that can be utilized to explicate observed changes in the disease. RESULTS: The retrogenesis-based developmental age model can usefully inform an understanding of the general care needs, emotional and behavioral changes, and activity needs of the AD patient. This model must be amended by necessary caveats regarding physical differences, variations in age-associated pathology, differences in social and societal reactions, and differences in background between AD patients and their developmental age "peers." CONCLUSIONS: Knowledge of retrogenesis and the developmental age of the AD patient can form a nidus for the development of a nascent science of disease management. Such a science must ultimately incorporate not only appropriate caveats but also relevant universal human needs, such as those for dignity, love, and movement.

Adolescent↗

Medical and economic benefit of a comprehensive infection control program that includes routine determination of microbial clonality.

Nosocomial infections are a major part of the problem of reemerging pathogens causing infectious diseases, affecting 5% of patients hospitalized in the United States during 1995. We assessed the medical and economic effects on the overall nosocomial infection rate of an intervention that provided an enhanced, integrated infection control program, including an in-house molecular typing laboratory capability to rapidly assess microbial clonality. Data on nosocomial infections for 24 months prior to the change in approach to infection control were compared with data from the 24 months immediately following implementation of the new program. Infections per 1,000 patient-days and percentage of hospitalized patients in whom nosocomial infection developed were assessed. Overall, nosocomial infections per 1,000 patient-days decreased more than 10% (P = .027), and percentage of patients with nosocomial infection decreased 23% during the post-intervention period compared with the previous control 24 months. This translated to a mean reduction of some 270 patients per year with nosocomial infection, and lowering of actual health care costs for our institution by $4,368,100 over the 2 years of the intervention.

Cross Infection↗

Equilibrium and limb coordination in mild cognitive impairment and mild Alzheimer's disease.

OBJECTIVE: To examine changes in equilibrium and limb coordination in normal aging, mild cognitive impairment, and moderate cognitive impairment associated with early probable Alzheimer's disease (AD), by means of parametric clinical measures. DESIGN: Case series SETTING: Out-patient clinic. PARTICIPANTS: A consecutive sample of 365 community-residing ambulatory volunteers (137 men, 228 women; mean age 70.4 +/- 9.4 years; mean educational attainment 14.6 +/- 3.1 years), who were followed in an ongoing longitudinal study of aging and AD, comprising cognitively intact individuals, persons with mild cognitive impairment, and patients with mild AD. MEASUREMENTS: For general magnitude of cognitive function, the Global Deterioration Scale (GDS). For cognition, the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE). Equilibrium was assessed with parametric measurements of single leg stance (SLS) and tandem walking (TW). Limb coordination was assessed with parametric measurements of foot tapping (FT), alternating pronation and supination (PS), and sequential finger to thumb tapping (FTH). MAIN RESULTS: After adjustment for age, persons with mild cognitive impairment or mild AD had significantly poorer performance on parametric clinical tests of equilibrium and limb coordination compared with cognitively intact individuals (P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: Changes in equilibrium and limb coordination are clinically demonstrable in persons with mild cognitive impairment and mild AD using simple parametric tests. Such tests could potentially identify individuals with increased risk of falling. Early diagnosis and treatment of conditions that can jeopardize equilibrium and limb coordination, as well as balance and coordination training, might help cognitively impaired older people to maintain optimal function and may decrease the risk of falls and injuries.

Accidental Falls↗

Neuropsychological prediction of decline to dementia in nondemented elderly.

This study examined whether baseline neuropsychological performance in elderly assessed at a research clinic could accurately predict subsequent decline to dementia. Logistic regression analyses were applied to (1) 213 nondemented elderly with a Global Deterioration Scale (GDS) score of 1, 2, or 3, of whom 74 (35%) subsequently declined to any diagnosis of dementia, and (2) a diagnostically more restricted subset of this sample (N = 179), of whom 56 (31%) declined to a diagnosis of probable Alzheimer's disease (AD). The mean follow-up intervals were 3.8 and 3.7 years, respectively. A small set of baseline neuropsychological measures (especially a Paragraph Delayed Recall Test) significantly differentiated decliners from nondecliners to dementia or AD, after accounting for the contribution of age, sex, education, follow-up interval, and the rating of global clinical status. When examined in combination with the other factors or alone, the cognitive tests produced reasonably high specificities (91%-97%) and sensitivities (73%-89%). Using the obtained regression model, a similar level of classification accuracy was replicated on an independent sample of 119 nondemented elderly. A subanalysis of the high-risk GDS 3 subgroup indicated that cut scores from the paragraph test distinguished nondecliners from decliners (overall accuracies 87%-91%), implying that this assessment may accurately predict future cognitive status in elderly with mild cognitive impairment.

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