The importance of being statistical.
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Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to Andrew Blance.
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Owing to mathematical coupling, statistical analyses relating change to baseline values using correlation or regression are erroneous, where the statistical procedure of testing the null hypothesis becomes invalid. Alternatives, such as Oldham's method and the variance ratio test, have been advocated, although these are limited in the presence of measurement errors with non-constant variance. Furthermore, such methods prohibit the consideration of additional covariates (e.g., treatment group within trials) or confounders (e.g., age and gender). This study illustrates the more sophisticated approach of multilevel modelling (MLM) which overcomes these limitations and provides a comprehensive solution to the analysis of change with respect to baseline values. Although mathematical coupling is widespread throughout applied research, one particular area where several studies have suggested a strong relationship between baseline disease severity and treatment effect is guided tissue regeneration (GTR) within dental research. For illustration, we use GTR studies where the original data were found to be available in the literature for reanalysis. We contrast the results from an MLM approach and Oldham's method with the standard (incorrect) approach that suffers from mathematical coupling. MLM provides a robust solution when relating change to baseline and is capable of simultaneously dealing with complex error structures and additional covariates and/or potential confounders.
Survival analysis methods are increasingly used in dental research to measure risk of tooth eruption and caries as well as life spans of amalgam restorations. Analyses have been extended to account for lack of independence in the data, which arises from the clustering of observations within units such as tooth-surfaces, teeth and subjects. There are various analytical strategies and modelling approaches now available to us in dealing with clustered dental data. In this article, the modelling strategy of Cox's proportional hazards regression is formulated using the counting process approach, which can easily be extended to include time-variant covariates as well as nested random frailty effects. A semi-parametric Bayesian method is presented for the analysis of the proposed model. The methodology is applied to an analysis of nested clustered data on life-span of amalgam restorations in the UK Royal Air Force. These data have previously been analysed using a non-Bayesian approach. The Gibbs sampler, a Markov chain Monte Carlo method, is used to generate samples from the marginal posterior distribution of the parameters of this Bayesian model.