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Alkes L Price

Publications and source records attributed to Alkes L Price.

6 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2026

Distinguishing different psychiatric disorders using DDx-PRS.

Despite great progress on case-control polygenic prediction, an unmet need remains for a method that genetically distinguishes clinically related disorders (e.g., schizophrenia (SCZ) versus bipolar disorder (BIP) versus major depressive disorder (MDD) versus controls). We introduce differential diagnosis-polygenic risk score (DDx-PRS), which jointly estimates the posterior probabilities of each diagnostic category (e.g., SCZ = 50%, BIP = 25%, MDD = 15%, control = 10%) by modeling variance-covariance structure across disorders, leveraging case-control polygenic risk scores and prior clinical probabilities for each diagnostic category. We applied DDx-PRS to Psychiatric Genomics Consortium SCZ, BIP, MDD and control data, including summary-level training data from three case-control genome-wide association studies (n = 41,917-173,140 cases; total n = 1,048,683) and held-out test data from different cohorts with equal numbers for each diagnostic category (total n = 11,460). DDx-PRS was well calibrated and well powered (consistent with simulations) and produced comparable results to methods that require tuning data. True diagnosis probabilities in the top deciles of predicted diagnosis probabilities were considerably larger than prior baseline probabilities, implying appreciable potential for clinical utility in certain settings.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

Correlations between causal effect sizes of proximal SNPs vary with functional annotations and implicate stabilizing selection.

Causal disease effect sizes of proximal single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) are widely assumed to be independent but could be correlated. Here we introduce a new method, linkage disequilibrium SNP-pair effect correlation regression (LDSPEC), to estimate the correlation of causal disease effect sizes of derived alleles between proximal SNPs; LDSPEC produced robust estimates in simulations. Analyzing 70 UK Biobank diseases and traits (average N = 305,646), we detected significantly non-zero SNP-pair effect correlations (for example, -0.37 ± 0.09 for low-frequency positive linkage disequilibrium 0-100-bp SNP pairs) that decayed with distance and varied with allele frequency and linkage disequilibrium between SNPs. SNP pairs with shared functions had stronger effect correlations that spanned longer genomic distances. Consequently, SNP heritability estimates were smaller than estimates of the sum of causal effect size variances across SNPs, particularly for certain functional annotations. We recapitulated our findings via forward simulations involving stabilizing selection, implicating the action of linkage masking, whereby haplotypes containing linked SNPs with opposite effects on disease have reduced effects on fitness and escape negative selection.

Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide↗
PubMed2026

An encyclopedia of human enhancer-gene regulatory interactions.

Identifying transcriptional enhancers and their target genes is essential for understanding gene regulation and the effect of human genetic variation on disease1-6. Here we create and evaluate a resource of more than 92 million enhancer-gene regulatory interactions across 1,458 biosamples covering 369 cell types and tissues, by integrating predictive models, chromatin states, three-dimensional contacts and large-scale genetic perturbations generated by the ENCODE Consortium7. We first create a systematic benchmarking pipeline to compare predictive models, assembling a dataset of 10,356 element-gene pairs measured in CRISPR perturbation experiments, more than 30,000 fine-mapped expression quantitative trait loci and 569 fine-mapped genome-wide association study (GWAS) variants linked to a probable causal gene. Using this framework, we develop ENCODE-rE2G, a predictive model achieving state-of-the-art performance across several prediction tasks, demonstrating that iterative perturbations and supervised machine learning can build increasingly accurate predictive models of enhancer regulation. Using ENCODE-rE2G, we build an encyclopedia of enhancer-gene regulatory interactions in the human genome, revealing global properties of enhancer networks, identifying differences in regulatory complexity across genes and improving analyses linking noncoding variants to target genes and cell types for common complex diseases. By interpreting the model, we find that beyond enhancer activity and three-dimensional enhancer-promoter contacts, additional features that guide enhancer-promoter communication include promoter class and enhancer-enhancer synergy. These genome-wide maps of enhancer-gene regulatory interactions, benchmarking software, predictive models and insights about enhancer function provide a valuable resource for future studies of gene regulation and human genetics.

Humans↗
PubMed2024

Distinguishing different psychiatric disorders using DDx-PRS.

Despite great progress on methods for case-control polygenic prediction (e.g. schizophrenia vs. control), there remains an unmet need for a method that genetically distinguishes clinically related disorders (e.g. schizophrenia (SCZ) vs. bipolar disorder (BIP) vs. depression (MDD) vs. control); such a method could have important clinical value, especially at disorder onset when differential diagnosis can be challenging. Here, we introduce a method, Differential Diagnosis-Polygenic Risk Score (DDx-PRS), that jointly estimates posterior probabilities of each possible diagnostic category (e.g. SCZ=50%, BIP=25%, MDD=15%, control=10%) by modeling variance/covariance structure across disorders, leveraging case-control polygenic risk scores (PRS) for each disorder (computed using existing methods) and prior clinical probabilities for each diagnostic category. DDx-PRS uses only summary-level training data and does not use tuning data, facilitating implementation in clinical settings. In simulations, DDx-PRS was well-calibrated (whereas a simpler approach that analyzes each disorder marginally was poorly calibrated), and effective in distinguishing each diagnostic category vs. the rest. We then applied DDx-PRS to Psychiatric Genomics Consortium SCZ/BIP/MDD/control data, including summary-level training data from 3 case-control GWAS ( N =41,917-173,140 cases; total N =1,048,683) and held-out test data from different cohorts with equal numbers of each diagnostic category (total N =11,460). DDx-PRS was well-calibrated and well-powered relative to these training sample sizes, attaining AUCs of 0.66 for SCZ vs. rest, 0.64 for BIP vs. rest, 0.59 for MDD vs. rest, and 0.68 for control vs. rest. DDx-PRS produced comparable results to methods that leverage tuning data, confirming that DDx-PRS is an effective method. True diagnosis probabilities in top deciles of predicted diagnosis probabilities were considerably larger than prior baseline probabilities, particularly in projections to larger training sample sizes, implying considerable potential for clinical utility under certain circumstances. In conclusion, DDx-PRS is an effective method for distinguishing clinically related disorders.

Journal Article↗
PubMed2023

Pervasive correlations between causal disease effects of proximal SNPs vary with functional annotations and implicate stabilizing selection.

The genetic architecture of human diseases and complex traits has been extensively studied, but little is known about the relationship of causal disease effect sizes between proximal SNPs, which have largely been assumed to be independent. We introduce a new method, LD SNP-pair effect correlation regression (LDSPEC), to estimate the correlation of causal disease effect sizes of derived alleles between proximal SNPs, depending on their allele frequencies, LD, and functional annotations; LDSPEC produced robust estimates in simulations across various genetic architectures. We applied LDSPEC to 70 diseases and complex traits from the UK Biobank (average N=306K), meta-analyzing results across diseases/traits. We detected significantly nonzero effect correlations for proximal SNP pairs (e.g., -0.37±0.09 for low-frequency positive-LD 0-100bp SNP pairs) that decayed with distance (e.g., -0.07±0.01 for low-frequency positive-LD 1-10kb), varied with allele frequency (e.g., -0.15±0.04 for common positive-LD 0-100bp), and varied with LD between SNPs (e.g., +0.12±0.05 for common negative-LD 0-100bp) (because we consider derived alleles, positive-LD and negative-LD SNP pairs may yield very different results). We further determined that SNP pairs with shared functions had stronger effect correlations that spanned longer genomic distances, e.g., -0.37±0.08 for low-frequency positive-LD same-gene promoter SNP pairs (average genomic distance of 47kb (due to alternative splicing)) and -0.32±0.04 for low-frequency positive-LD H3K27ac 0-1kb SNP pairs. Consequently, SNP-heritability estimates were substantially smaller than estimates of the sum of causal effect size variances across all SNPs (ratio of 0.87±0.02 across diseases/traits), particularly for certain functional annotations (e.g., 0.78±0.01 for common Super enhancer SNPs)-even though these quantities are widely assumed to be equal. We recapitulated our findings via forward simulations with an evolutionary model involving stabilizing selection, implicating the action of linkage masking, whereby haplotypes containing linked SNPs with opposite effects on disease have reduced effects on fitness and escape negative selection.

Journal Article↗
PubMed2023

Pervasive correlations between causal disease effects of proximal SNPs vary with functional annotations and implicate stabilizing selection.

The genetic architecture of human diseases and complex traits has been extensively studied, but little is known about the relationship of causal disease effect sizes between proximal SNPs, which have largely been assumed to be independent. We introduce a new method, LD SNP-pair effect correlation regression (LDSPEC), to estimate the correlation of causal disease effect sizes of derived alleles between proximal SNPs, depending on their allele frequencies, LD, and functional annotations; LDSPEC produced robust estimates in simulations across various genetic architectures. We applied LDSPEC to 70 diseases and complex traits from the UK Biobank (average N=306K), meta-analyzing results across diseases/traits. We detected significantly nonzero effect correlations for proximal SNP pairs (e.g., -0.37±0.09 for low-frequency positive-LD 0-100bp SNP pairs) that decayed with distance (e.g., -0.07±0.01 for low-frequency positive-LD 1-10kb), varied with allele frequency (e.g., -0.15±0.04 for common positive-LD 0-100bp), and varied with LD between SNPs (e.g., +0.12±0.05 for common negative-LD 0-100bp) (because we consider derived alleles, positive-LD and negative-LD SNP pairs may yield very different results). We further determined that SNP pairs with shared functions had stronger effect correlations that spanned longer genomic distances, e.g., -0.37±0.08 for low-frequency positive-LD same-gene promoter SNP pairs (average genomic distance of 47kb (due to alternative splicing)) and -0.32±0.04 for low-frequency positive-LD H3K27ac 0-1kb SNP pairs. Consequently, SNP-heritability estimates were substantially smaller than estimates of the sum of causal effect size variances across all SNPs (ratio of 0.87±0.02 across diseases/traits), particularly for certain functional annotations (e.g., 0.78±0.01 for common Super enhancer SNPs)-even though these quantities are widely assumed to be equal. We recapitulated our findings via forward simulations with an evolutionary model involving stabilizing selection, implicating the action of linkage masking, whereby haplotypes containing linked SNPs with opposite effects on disease have reduced effects on fitness and escape negative selection.

Journal Article↗