Disease outcomes in rheumatology.
Explore the source record for details and available documents.
Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to A Silman.
Explore the source record for details and available documents.
Explore the source record for details and available documents.
OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence of hip osteoarthritis (OA hip) and hip dysplasia in a sample of Hong Kong men who were unselected with respect to hip symptoms. METHODS: The postmicturition films of 999 men aged 60-75 years, consecutive attenders for intravenous urography between 1987 and 1990 at a regional hospital, were reviewed. OA hip was diagnosed as the occurrence of two or more features of OA using a modified version of the Kellgren and Lawrence scale, or a minimal joint space of 1.5 mm or less. Hip dysplasia was defined as a centre-edge angle of less than 25 degrees, or an acetabular depth of less than 9 mm. The results were compared with British data obtained by similar methods. RESULTS: In the Hong Kong sample, the proportion of men with two or more features of osteoarthritis in at least one hip was about 50% that of the men in the British study (5.4% and 11.0%, respectively). Severe joint space narrowing (of 1.5 mm or less) occurred in 0.7% of the hips in Hong Kong men, compared with 2% in the British men. The proportion of hips with centre-edge angles less than 25 degrees was 4.5% in Hong Kong, compared with 3.6% in Britain, and the prevalence of shallow acetabular depth was greater in Chinese (14.5%) than in the British (2.1%). Radiographic measures of hip dysplasia were not associated with minimal joint space. CONCLUSIONS: Our results have confirmed the lower prevalence of radiographic hip osteoarthritis in Hong Kong men compared with British men. However, acetabular dysplasia was as prevalent among Chinese men as in the British sample. This is evidence against the hypothesis that variations in the frequency of hip osteoarthritis are caused by differences in the occurrence of hip dysplasia.
Explore the source record for details and available documents.
OBJECTIVE: A total skin thickness score based on summating the numerical severity grade at a specific number of skin sites is a widely accepted method of disease assessment in scleroderma. Our aim was to simplify the modified Rodnan skin thickness score (grade 0-3 at 17 sites) by either (1) reducing the number of grades or (2) reducing the number of sites, and to increase agreement without losing precision. METHODS: Eight patients were examined in random order by 16 experienced clinicians using the modified Rodnan method. The data were analyzed to determine (1) whether there was an improvement in agreement by reducing severity grades to a 0-2 scale, (2) whether the precision of the score could be maintained by using a reduced number of sites. RESULTS: Collapsing adjacent grades from the 0-3 scale to generate 3 new 0-2 scales performed similarly (intraclass correlation coefficients 0.66-0.72). A regression analysis showed that 95% of the variance in skin score can be predicted by inclusion of scores from just 5 sites: forearms, lower legs, anterior chest, upper arms, and fingers. CONCLUSION: A simpler skin score may be useful in clinical studies depending on the precision required.
OBJECTIVE: To confirm the reported strong association between the HLA-DRB1*0401/0404 genotype and susceptibility to rheumatoid arthritis (RA), and to investigate the influence of sex, age at disease onset, and variables of disease severity on the strength of this association. METHODS: A case control design was adopted comparing the frequency of specific HLA-DRB1 genotypes between 201 Caucasian patients with RA and 139 controls. HLA typing was performed using a polymerase chain reaction based oligonucleotide approach with HLA-DR4 subtyping using an amplification refractory mutation system RFLP technique. RESULTS: The risk of RA in those carrying a single shared epitope (SE) allele was 4 times, and in those carrying 2 SE alleles, 8 times that in the SE negative individuals. This increase was highest in individuals carrying 2 different SE alleles, with the risk in *0401/*0404 cases being 26 times higher. This genotype was associated with a 90-fold increased risk in men and this was more than doubled when age at disease onset was below 30. In all patients with RA, this genotype was associated with a substantially increased risk of being rheumatoid factor positive and having subcutaneous nodules and/or radiological erosion. CONCLUSION: Possession of the HLA-DRB1*0401/*0404 genotype carries a substantially high risk for RA development specifically in its more severe forms. The risks are particularly increased in young men.
AIMS: to determine the effect of HLA-DPB1 status on rheumatoid arthritis (RA) susceptibility and disease expression. METHODS: HLA-DPB1 alleles were identified in 158 RA patients and 106 controls using PCR-sequence specific oligonucleotide probing. HLA-DPB1 allele frequencies were compared between patient and control groups and the strength of associations assessed using odds ratios and with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Associations observed in the total RA group were confirmed using a relative predispositional effect (RPE) analysis. RESULTS: an association between DPB1*0201 and RA was observed (OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.0-3.4). By contrast, negative associations were found with DPB1*0301 (OR 0.5, 95% CI 0.3-1.0) and DPB1*1101 (OR 0.06, 95% CI 0.001-0.5). These associations were confirmed using RPE analysis. On further analysis the increase in DPB1*0201 and decrease in DPB1*0301 frequencies in RA was found to be independent of DR4 status. The association of DPB1*0201 with RA appears to be most pronounced in male patients (OR 3.3, 95% CI 1.3-8.3), seronegative patients (OR 2.6, 95% CI 0.9-7.3) those with non-erosive disease (OR 2.6, 95% CI 0.9-7.3) or in patients with high titre antinuclear antibodies (OR 2.4, 95% CI 0.8-7.1). CONCLUSIONS: HLA-DPB1 alleles may be associated with the pattern of disease expression in certain RA patients and in some cases confer protection against disease.
OBJECTIVE: To determine the relation between tender points, complaints of pain, and symptoms of depression, fatigue, and sleep quality in the general population. DESIGN: Two stage cross sectional study with an initial questionnaire about pain to classify those eligible for an examination of tender points. SETTING: Two general practices in north west England. SUBJECTS: Stratified random sample of adults from age-sex registers. Of the responders, 250 were selected for examination of tender points on the basis of their reported pain complaints; 177 subsequently participated. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Tender point count (0 to 18) grouped into four categories with the highest (> or = 11) corresponding to the criteria of the American College of Rheumatology for fibromyalgia. Assessment of pain (chronic widespread, regional, none). Measures of depression, fatigue, and difficulty with sleeping. RESULTS: Women had a higher median tender point count (six) than did men (three). Counts were higher in those with pain than in those who had no pain and in those with widespread compared with regional pain. Most subjects with chronic widespread pain, however, had fewer than 11 tender points (27/45; 60%). Two people with counts of 11 or more were in the group reporting no pain. Mean symptom scores for depression, fatigue, and sleep problems increased as the tender point count rose (P value for trend < 0.001). These trends were independent of pain complaints. CONCLUSIONS: Tender points are a measure of general distress. They are related to pain complaints but are separately associated with fatigue and depression. Sleep problems are associated with tender points, although prospective studies are needed to determine whether they cause tenderness to develop. Fibromyalgia does not seem to be a distinct disease entity.
OBJECTIVE: In a recent study we demonstrated that the postpartum period, particularly after the first pregnancy, is a time of increased risk for the development of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). The present study was undertaken to investigate whether this risk might be explained by breast-feeding. METHODS: Through a nationwide media campaign, we identified 187 women who had developed RA within 12 months of a pregnancy, and we compared their breast-feeding histories with those of 149 similarly aged women chosen from the patient registers of a nationwide group of general practitioners. RESULTS: In all, 88 of the women with RA developed the disease after their first pregnancy. Eighty-one percent of these 88 women had breast-fed. This was higher than the breast-feeding prevalence of 50% in the 129 controls whose first pregnancy had resulted in a live birth (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 5.4, 95% confidence interval 2.5-11.4). There was a smaller increased risk of breast-feeding after a second pregnancy in the RA cases (OR 2.0) and no increase after a third pregnancy (OR 0.6). The increase in risk was greatest in those cases whose disease was erosive and who were rheumatoid factor positive. CONCLUSION: In a small group of susceptible women, exposure to breast-feeding after the first pregnancy is associated with a significant increase in risk for RA development. We postulate that this may reflect hormonal influences, specifically the high level of the proinflammatory hormone prolactin.
The aim of the study was to assess the observer variation between trained primary care physicians in their assessment of two key shoulder movements: elevation and external rotation. Six observers each examined and recorded their visual estimate of the range of movements in six patients assessed in random order. There was good agreement on the range of passive elevation assessed to the start of pain (if present): intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) = 0.84, and to the point of maximum elevation: ICC = 0.95. There was no evidence of an important systematic bias between observers. By contrast, external rotation was poorly reproducible: ICC = 0.43, with important systematic differences between observers. In the second experiment, six observers simultaneously witnessed a range of movements in a single volunteer subject, and the agreement on their visual estimation of the angles achieved was assessed. There was a marked reduction in the systematic bias in external rotation, but agreement was still poor. Agreement for elevation remained high with a reduction in the small amount of bias observed in the first experiment when variability in both examination and visual assessment had been investigated. We conclude that shoulder elevation is a reliable measurement for use in multicentre studies by trained primary care physicians. By contrast, external rotation is poorly reproducible because of systematic variation in examination technique and random variation in visual assessment.
OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a questionnaire to quantify disability associated with shoulder symptoms. METHODS: A set of questions relevant to shoulder symptoms from a general disability interview was developed and the questionnaire applied to a cross-sectional population survey and a prospective study of general practice attenders. Subjects included adults who reported current shoulder pain in a population survey and patients from three general practices who attended with shoulder symptoms during a six month period. The main outcome measures were: frequency of problems with daily living related to shoulder symptoms, total score on 22-item disability questionnaire, and measures of shoulder movement. RESULTS: A higher proportion (80%) of patients attending their general practitioner with shoulder symptoms had five or more disabilities compared with subjects reporting shoulder pain in a community survey (34%). The ranked frequency with which each disability was reported was similar in the two groups, although sleep disturbance was the most common problem in consulters. Self-reported disability is correlated with measures of restricted shoulder movement. CONCLUSION: This disability questionnaire was simple to complete and should prove useful for both general practice and population-based studies of shoulder pain.
BACKGROUND: Monozygotic (MZ) twinning is a poorly understood phenomenon that may result in subtle biologic differences between twins, despite their identical inheritance. These differences may in part account for discordant expression of disease in MZ twin pairs. Due to their stochastic nature, differences in X chromosome inactivation patterns are one source of such variation in female MZ twins. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We investigated X chromosome inactivation patterns in the blood of 41 MZ twin pairs based on methylation of the androgen receptor gene using a Hpa II-PCR assay. Twenty-six female MZ twin pairs with autoimmune disease (rheumatoid arthritis or multiple sclerosis) were studied. In addition, we studied 15 newborn female MZ twin pairs who were characterized at birth with respect to the anatomy of chorionic membranes (dichorionic versus monochorionic). RESULTS: We found a strong correlation between dichorionic fetal anatomy and differences in X chromosome inactivation patterns between members of an MZ twin pair. In contrast, all monochorionic twin pairs had closely correlated patterns of X chromosome inactivation. X chromosome inactivation patterns did not distinguish between MZ twin pairs who were concordant or discordant for autoimmune disease. CONCLUSIONS: The highly similar patterns of X chromosome inactivation among monochorionic twin pairs may result from their shared placental blood supply during intrauterine life. Alternatively, these patterns may indicate that X chromosome inactivation occurs before the twinning event in this anatomic subgroup of MZ twins. The data further suggest that these factors do not make a major contribution to the high discordance rates for autoimmune disease in MZ twin pairs.
Vertebral fractures are recognised as a hallmark of osteoporosis, yet little is known of their epidemiology. This deficiency limits accurate characterisation of the public health importance of osteoporosis. Assessment of the impact of vertebral fractures has been hampered by the absence of formal criteria for identifying fractures on a thoracolumbar radiograph. Initial methods relying upon subjective radiological assessments have given way to morphometric measurements of vertebral heights, with deformities defined according to various algorithms. These methods have been used in a series of studies performed in Rochester, MN, to determine the incidence, outcome, and time trends of vertebral deformities. The results suggest a prevalence rate of vertebral deformity of 25.3 per 100 Rochester women aged 50 years and over (95% CI, 22.3-28.2), with an estimated incidence of 17.8 per 1,000 person-years. The incidence of clinically diagnosed vertebral fractures among women in the same population was 5.3 per 1,000 person-years, suggesting that around 30% of such deformities in women receive clinical attention. Morphometric measurement on the radiographs of women with clinically diagnosed fractures revealed that 80% had grade 2 ( > 4 SD) deformities. Comparable data on the occurrence and health impact of vertebral deformities throughout Europe are urgently required. The European Vertebral Osteoporosis Study (EVOS) is a multicentre epidemiological study that aims to address this issue. It is designed as a radiographic prevalence study in 34 European centres.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
Explore the source record for details and available documents.
Three different assessment methods for the classification of Raynaud's phenomenon (RP) were compared. These were (i) a previously validated method using colour charts supplemented with a short questionnaire, (ii) answers to a questionnaire based on criteria derived from the consensus opinion of a group of clinicians, and (iii) individual clinician's assessment using standard descriptions based upon the same consensus view. We report the results of a study involving six clinicians and 30 subjects investigating the level of repeatability between the three methods and also the reliability between the six clinicians. There did not exist any overall systematic bias between the six clinicians. Further, agreement between them, as assessed by the kappa statistic, ranged from moderate to good. However, there did exist systematic bias between the results from all three of the classification approaches with agreement between them ranging from only poor to moderate. We conclude that the previously validated colour chart assessment is too insensitive to detect RP. Further, a structured questionnaire based on perceived clinician's opinion could not reproduce clinicians' classification in practice. By contrast, supplying clinicians with standard descriptions did yield a reliable classification system for RP.
Sixty-four survivors from a prospective study of early rheumatoid disease were assessed again at a mean of 15.2 years from presentation and their status compared with 29 patients who had died. Eleven of the dead and only two of the survivors had been treated with steroids. There was a small increase in mortality due to the disease itself but only one death was directly caused by it. As might be expected, those who died were older. In the first year of disease, they had lower haemoglobin levels, a lower body mass, higher sedimentation rates and higher levels of blood urea. One-fifth at entry to the study and two-fifths by the time of death, had poor functional capacity. Of 64 survivors, six had poor functional capacity at entry and nine after 15 years. Discriminant analysis was performed to identify the most powerful combination of early features predicting a poor functional outcome. A combination including early erosive change, seropositivity, poor grip strength and cervical subluxation predicted the outcome correctly in 73% of survivors. Almost 60% of survivors remained with or improved to normal function at 15 years suggesting that morbidity is not as bad as has been suggested in the past.
OBJECTIVES: To determine HLA-DR4 and DR1 allele frequencies in a series of patients with newly diagnosed early inflammatory arthritis. METHODS: HLA-DR1 and DR4 frequencies were determined by oligonucleotide typing of 208 patients classified as having either rheumatoid arthritis (RA) or undifferentiated inflammatory polyarthritis. RESULTS: The frequency of occurrence of DR4 in these patients with RA did not differ significantly from that in controls in the United Kingdom (42 v 37%). HLA-DR1 was increased in the group with inflammatory polyarthritis (25 v 18%). CONCLUSIONS: The frequency of DR4 is not increased in newly diagnosed community based patients with RA. This supports the hypothesis that DR4 is less important as a marker for susceptibility to RA than it is for disease persistence or severity.
OBJECTIVE: To establish the prevalence of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in the urbanized Chinese of Hong Kong. METHODS: 2000 adults in 2 housing blocks were screened using a structured interview. Those who screened positive had an examination, rheumatoid factor analysis and radiographs taken. Subjects were classified using the Rome, New York and 1987 ACR criteria (modified and unmodified) for RA. RESULTS: The prevalence of RA, using the modified 1987 ACR criteria, was 0.35%. This is significantly lower than published data for European Caucasians (standardized morbidity ratio = 0.27; 95% CI 0.09-0.63). CONCLUSION: RA is rare in urbanized Chinese.