Cohort profile: the Asia Pacific Cohort Studies Collaboration.
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Adult↗
Biomedical subjects
A Rodgers
Publications and source records attributed to A Rodgers.
Long term effects of antenatal betamethasone on lung function: 30 year follow up of a randomised controlled trial.
BACKGROUND: Antenatal betamethasone is routinely used for the prevention of neonatal respiratory distress syndrome in preterm infants. However, little is known of the long term effects of exposure to antenatal betamethasone on lung function in adulthood. METHODS: Five hundred and thirty four 30 year olds whose mothers had participated in the first and largest randomised controlled trial of antenatal betamethasone were followed. Lung function was assessed by portable spirometric testing. The prevalence of asthma symptoms was assessed using the European Community Respiratory Health Survey questionnaire. RESULTS: Fifty (20%) betamethasone exposed and 53 (19%) placebo exposed participants met the criteria for current asthma (relative risk 0.98 (95% CI 0.74 to 1.30), p = 0.89). 181 betamethasone exposed and 202 placebo exposed participants had acceptable spirometric data. There were no differences in lung function between betamethasone and placebo exposed groups (mean (SD) forced vital capacity in the betamethasone and placebo groups 105.9 (12.0) v 106.6 (12.6)% predicted, difference = -0.7 (95% CI -3.2 to 1.8), p = 0.59; mean (SD) forced expiratory volume in 1 second in the betamethasone and placebo groups 98.9 (13.4) v 98.5 (13.6)% predicted, difference = 0.3 (95% CI -2.4 to 3.1, p = 0.80)). CONCLUSIONS: Antenatal exposure to a single course of betamethasone does not alter lung function or the prevalence of wheeze and asthma at age 30.
Asthma↗
Phase II study of pegylated liposomal doxorubicin HCl (Caelyx) in combination with cyclophosphamide and vincristine as second-line treatment of patients with small cell lung cancer.
BACKGROUND: Despite chemotherapy and radiotherapy for small cell lung cancer (SCLC), most patients die within 2 years. Response rates for second-line chemotherapy are 15-25%, with a median survival of 5 months. Caelyx, a pegylated liposomal formulation of doxorubicin, may be better tolerated and has activity in SCLC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Thirty-two patients were enrolled in a phase II study of intravenous Caelyx (35 mg/m2), cyclophosphamide (750 mg/m2) and vincristine (1.2 mg/m2) every 21 days as second-line therapy in SCLC for up to six cycles. RESULTS: Thirty patients were evaluable for response, with a response rate of 10%. Another two had an unconfirmed response. Stable disease (SD) for >or=2 cycles was seen in an additional 53%. Grade 3 or 4 non-hematologic toxicity was seen in 17 (55%) patients (26 [22%] cycles) and included fatigue, mucositis, plantar-palmar erythrodysesthesia, rash and neuropathy. Twelve patients required transfusions. All patients on study have now expired, with a median survival of 28 weeks (7 months). For patients with SD or partial response, median time to progression was 15 weeks. CONCLUSION: The combination of Caelyx, cyclophosphamide and vincristine, despite cyclophosphamide and Caelyx dose reductions, has modest activity in relapsed SCLC with acceptable toxicity.
Adult↗
Efficacy and safety of rofecoxib 12.5 mg and celecoxib 200 mg in two similarly designed osteoarthritis studies.
OBJECTIVE: To compare the lower osteoarthritis (OA) dose of rofecoxib to the recommended dose of celecoxib in two identically designed studies. METHODS: Patients with knee OA were randomized (2:2:1 ratio: rofecoxib 12.5 mg once daily (qd), celecoxib 200 mg qd, or placebo, respectively). The primary endpoint was patient global assessment of response to therapy (PGART) averaged over 6 weeks on a five-point scale. Rofecoxib would be declared at least as effective as celecoxib if the lower bound of the 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for difference in means was no lower than -0.5. Additional endpoints included Pain and Physical Function subscales of the Western Ontario and McMaster (WOMAC) OA Index. Adverse experiences (AEs) were recorded and combined from the two studies for analysis. RESULTS: Study 1 enrolled 395 patients (rofecoxib, n = 160; celecoxib, n = 157; placebo, n = 78). Study 2 enrolled 413 patients (rofecoxib, n = 159; celecoxib, n = 169; placebo, n = 85). Rofecoxib 12.5 mg was at least as effective as celecoxib 200 mg by PGART (Study 1 difference -0.09 [95% CI: -0.32, 0.14] and Study 2 difference 0.02 [95% CI: -0.20, 0.24]), and both were significantly (p < 0.001) more effective than placebo. Comparable efficacy was also seen for WOMAC Pain and Physical Function subscales with the active treatments. There was a significantly higher (p < 0.05) incidence of serious AEs with celecoxib than rofecoxib or placebo, none of which was drug-related. There were no significant differences in the pre-specified measurements of safety including drug-related AEs or discontinuations due to AEs, and the medications demonstrated similar safety as assessed by spontaneous reporting. CONCLUSIONS: Rofecoxib 12.5 mg and celecoxib 200 mg provided comparable efficacy over 6 weeks, and both were significantly more efficacious than placebo. The medications demonstrated similar safety compared to one another and placebo. The primary limitations of these studies were that they were only 6 weeks long and were powered for efficacy. Therefore, conclusions about long-term safety cannot be inferred.
Aged↗
Chitosan for overweight or obesity.
BACKGROUND: Chitosan, a deacetylated chitin, is a dietary supplement reported to decrease body weight. It is widely available over the counter worldwide and although evaluated in a number of trials its efficacy remains in dispute. OBJECTIVES: To assess the effects of chitosan as a treatment for overweight and obesity. SEARCH STRATEGY: We searched electronic databases (MEDLINE, EMBASE, BIOSIS, CINAHL, The Cochrane Library), specialised web sites (Controlled Trials, IBIDS, SIGLE, Reuter's Health Service, Natural Alternatives International, Pharmanutrients), bibliographies of relevant journal articles, and contacted relevant authors and manufacturers. Last searches were completed in March 2004. SELECTION CRITERIA: Trials were included in the review if they were randomised controlled trials of chitosan a minimum of four weeks duration in adults who were overweight or obese. Authors of included studies were contacted for additional information where appropriate. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Details from eligible trials were extracted independently by two reviewers using a standardised data extraction form. Differences in data extraction were resolved by consensus. Continuous data were expressed as weighted mean differences and standard deviations. The pooled effect size was computed by using the inverse variance weighted method. MAIN RESULTS: Fourteen trials including a total of 1131 participants met the inclusion criteria. No trial to date has measured the effect of chitosan on mortality or morbidity. Analyses including all trials indicated that chitosan preparations result in a significantly greater weight loss (weighted mean difference -1.7 kg; 95% confidence interval (CI) -2.1 to -1.3 kg; P < 0.00001), decrease in total cholesterol (-0.2 mmol/L; 95% CI -0.3 to -0.1; P < 0.00001), decrease in systolic (-5.9 mmHg; 95% CI -7.3 to -4.6; P < 0.0001) and diastolic (-3.4 mmHg; 95% CI -4.4 to -2.4; P < 0.00001) blood pressure compared with placebo. There were no clear differences between intervention and control groups in terms of frequency of adverse events or in faecal fat excretion. However, the quality of many studies was sub-optimal and analyses restricted to studies that met allocation concealment criteria, were larger, or of longer duration showed that such trials produced substantially smaller decreases in weight and total cholesterol. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: There is some evidence that chitosan is more effective than placebo in the short-term treatment of overweight and obesity. However, many trials to date have been of poor quality and results have been variable. Results obtained from high quality trials indicate that the effect of chitosan on body weight is minimal and unlikely to be of clinical significance.
Adult↗
Smoking, quitting, and the risk of cardiovascular disease among women and men in the Asia-Pacific region.
BACKGROUND: Although smoking is a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease, it has been suggested that Asians may be less susceptible to the adverse effects of smoking than Caucasians. This may have contributed to the high prevalence of smoking, and the low quitting rates, in Asian men. Worldwide, smoking rates are increasing for women, amongst whom cardiovascular awareness is relatively poor. METHODS: An individual participant data analysis of 40 cohort studies was carried out, involving 463 674 Asians (33% female) and 98 664 Australasians (45% female). Cox proportional hazard models, stratified by study and sex where appropriate, were employed. RESULTS: The HR [95% confidence interval (CI)], comparing current smokers with non-smokers, for coronary heart disease (CHD) was 1.60 (1.49-1.72); haemorrhagic stroke 1.19 (1.06-1.33); ischaemic stroke 1.38 (1.24-1.54). There was a clear dose-response relationship between the number of cigarettes smoked per day and both CHD and stroke, with no significant difference (P >/= 0.20) between populations from Asia and Australia/New Zealand. Although there was no sex difference for stroke in the effect of amount smoked (P = 0.16), for CHD, women tended to have higher hazard ratios than men (P = 0.011). Quitting gave a clear benefit, which was not significantly different between the sexes or regions (P > 0.63). The HR (CI) for ex-smokers compared with current smokers was 0.71 (0.64-0.78) for CHD and 0.84 (0.76-0.92) for stroke. CONCLUSIONS: Unless urgent public health measures are put into place, the impact of the smoking epidemic in Asia, and among women, will be enormous. Tobacco control policies that specifically target these populations are essential.
Adult↗
Treatment of mice with IL-12 DNA constructs leads to augmented NK activity in lungs but low IFN-gamma release -- implications for Bordetella pertussis infections following aerosol challenge.
Interleukin-12 protein has been widely used experimentally in therapeutic and adjuvant settings in the treatment of different diseases including intra-cellular bacterial infections. The in vivo clearance of Bordetella pertussis infections in naive mice and in animals vaccinated with whole cell vaccine is considered to be a Th-1 dependent mechanism. Furthermore, the addition of IL-12 protein to an acellular pertussis vaccine increases the efficacy of this vaccine. Whilst the use of IL-12 protein is often beneficial, a number of problems there are associated with this cytokine including toxicities and down regulation of normal immune functions. The use of DNA constructs encoding this cytokine may be a way of achieving maximum therapeutic benefit with minimum toxicity. The aims of this study were to optimise the effects of two IL-12 DNA constructs, especially with respect to augmenting pulmonary immune responsiveness and to compare the effect of IL-12 DNA and IL-12 protein on bacterial colonisation of lungs following aerosol challenge with B. pertussis. We found that IL-12 DNA constructs augmented the activity of pulmonary NK cells but had little effect on the course of B. pertussis infections in mice. In contrast to IL-12 protein, the DNA constructs had no immunosuppressive effects on splenic lymphocyte mitogen responses.
Aerosols↗
Effect of chitosan on weight loss in overweight and obese individuals: a systematic review of randomized controlled trials.
This article aims to determine whether chitosan, a popular, over-the-counter, weight loss supplement, is an effective treatment for overweight and obesity. It is designed as a systematic review of randomized controlled trials. The data sources include the electronic databases Medline, EMBASE, Biosis, CINAHL and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CCTR); the specialized websites Controlled Trials, International Bibliographic Information on Dietary Supplements (IBIDS), System for Information on Grey Literature in Europe (SIGLE), Reuter's Health Service, Natural Alternatives International and Pharmanutrients; and bibliographies of relevant journal articles. Included were randomized controlled trials of chitosan with a minimum duration of 4 weeks in adults who were overweight or obese and/or had hypercholesterolaemia at baseline. Fourteen trials involving a total of 1071 participants were included in the review. Analyses involving all trials indicated that chitosan preparations result in a small but statistically significant greater reduction in body weight (weighted mean difference -1.7 kg; 95% confidence interval -2.1, -1.3 kg, P < 0.00001) compared with placebo. Analyses restricted to high-quality studies showed that reductions in weight [-0.6 (-1.2, 0.1) kg, P = 0.11] were less than in lower quality studies [-2.3 (-2.7, -1.8) kg, P < 0.00001]. Results obtained from high-quality trials indicate that the effect of chitosan on body weight is minimal and unlikely to be of clinical significance.
Anti-Obesity Agents↗
Do u smoke after txt? Results of a randomised trial of smoking cessation using mobile phone text messaging.
OBJECTIVES: To determine the effectiveness of a mobile phone text messaging smoking cessation programme. DESIGN: Randomised controlled trial SETTING: New Zealand PARTICIPANTS: 1705 smokers from throughout New Zealand who wanted to quit, were aged over 15 years, and owned a mobile phone were randomised to an intervention group that received regular, personalised text messages providing smoking cessation advice, support, and distraction, or to a control group. All participants received a free month of text messaging; starting for the intervention group on their quit day to assist with quitting, and starting for the control group at six months to encourage follow up. Follow up data were available for 1624 (95%) at six weeks and 1265 (74%) at six months. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The main trial outcome was current non-smoking (that is, not smoking in the past week) six weeks after randomisation. Secondary outcomes included current non-smoking at 12 and 26 weeks. RESULTS: More participants had quit at six weeks in the intervention compared to the control group: 239 (28%) v 109 (13%), relative risk 2.20 (95% confidence interval 1.79 to 2.70), p < 0.0001. This treatment effect was consistent across subgroups defined by age, sex, income level, or geographic location (p homogeneity > 0.2). The relative risk estimates were similar in sensitivity analyses adjusting for missing data and salivary cotinine verification tests. Reported quit rates remained high at six months, but there was some uncertainty about between group differences because of incomplete follow up. CONCLUSIONS: This programme offers potential for a new way to help young smokers to quit, being affordable, personalised, age appropriate, and not location dependent. Future research should test these findings in different settings, and provide further assessment of long term quit rates.
Adolescent↗
Body mass index and cardiovascular disease in the Asia-Pacific Region: an overview of 33 cohorts involving 310 000 participants.
BACKGROUND: Few prospective data from the Asia-Pacific region are available relating body mass index (BMI) to the risks of stroke and ischaemic heart disease (IHD). Our objective was to assess the age-, sex-, and region-specific associations of BMI with cardiovascular disease using individual participant data from prospective studies in the Asia-Pacific region. METHODS: Studies were identified from literature searches, proceedings of meetings, and personal communication. All studies had at least 5000 person-years of follow-up. Hazard ratios were calculated from Cox models, stratified by sex and cohort, and adjusted for age at risk and smoking. The first 3 years of follow-up were excluded in order to reduce confounding due to disease at baseline. RESULTS: A total of 33 cohort studies, including 310 283 participants, contributed 2 148 354 person-years of follow-up, during which 3332 stroke and 2073 IHD events were observed. There were continuous positive associations between baseline BMI and the risks of ischaemic stroke, haemorrhagic stroke, and IHD, with each 2 kg/m(2) lower BMI associated a 12% (95% CI: 9, 15%) lower risk of ischaemic stroke, 8% (95% CI: 4, 12%) lower risk in haemorrhagic stroke, and 11% (95% CI: 9, 13%) lower risk of IHD. The strengths of all associations were strongly age dependent, and there was no significant difference between Asian and Australasian cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: This overview provides the most reliable estimates to date of the associations between BMI and cardiovascular disease in the Asia-Pacific region, and the first direct comparisons within the region. Continuous relationships of approximately equal strength are evident in both Asian and Australasian populations. These results indicate considerable potential for cardiovascular disease reduction with population-wide lowering of BMI.
Asia↗
The effect of the dietary supplement, Chitosan, on body weight: a randomised controlled trial in 250 overweight and obese adults.
CONTEXT: Chitosan, a deacetylated chitin, is a widely available dietary supplement purported to decrease body weight and serum lipids through gastrointestinal fat binding. Although evaluated in a number of trials, its efficacy remains in dispute. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the efficacy of chitosan for weight loss in overweight and obese adults. DESIGN AND SETTING: A 24-week randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, conducted at the University of Auckland between November 2001 and December 2002. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 250 participants (82% women; mean (s.d.) body mass index, 35.5 (5.1) kg/m(2); mean age, 48 (12) y) INTERVENTIONS: Participants were randomly assigned to receive 3 g chitosan/day (n=125) or placebo (n=125). All participants received standardised dietary and lifestyle advice for weight loss. Adherence was monitored by capsule counts. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome measure was change in body weight. Secondary outcomes included changes in body mass index, waist circumference, body fat percentage, blood pressure, serum lipids, plasma glucose, fat-soluble vitamins, faecal fat, and health-related quality of life. RESULTS: In an intention-to-treat analysis with the last observation carried forward, the chitosan group lost more body weight than the placebo group (mean (s.e.), -0.4 (0.2) kg (0.4% loss) vs +0.2 (0.2) kg (0.2% gain), P=0.03) during the 24-week intervention, but effects were small. Similar small changes occurred in circulating total and LDL cholesterol, and glucose (P<0.01). There were no significant differences between groups for any of the other measured outcomes. CONCLUSION: In this 24-week trial, chitosan treatment did not result in a clinically significant loss of body weight compared with placebo.
Adult↗
Acute and long-term management of patients with vertebral fractures.
Symptomatic vertebral fractures are associated with significant morbidity, excess mortality and health and social service expenditure. Up to 20% of patients with an incident vertebral fracture experience a further vertebral fracture within one year. It is therefore important that vertebral fractures are detected early, and treatment considered as soon as possible. Only a third of vertebral fractures come to medical attention, where they typically present with acute back pain, but other presentations include loss of height and increasing kyphosis. Spine X-rays should then be performed to confirm the diagnosis and exclude other pathology. Bone density measurements are not essential before starting treatment for osteoporosis in patients with low-trauma vertebral fractures, but may be useful to confirm osteoporosis when there is uncertainty about previous trauma. They may also aid in selecting the most appropriate therapy and monitoring response to treatment. Up to 30% of women and 55% of men with symptomatic vertebral crush fractures have underlying secondary osteoporosis, where treatment may lead to large increases in bone density. These conditions should therefore be sought by medical history, physical examination and appropriate investigations. The management of patients with acute vertebral fractures should include measures to reduce pain and improve mobility, as well as starting treatment for osteoporosis. Treatments have now been shown in randomized controlled trials to improve bone density and reduce the incidence of vertebral and non-vertebral fractures in patients with osteoporosis. Choice of treatment will depend on the underlying causes of bone loss, efficacy in any particular situation, cost, patient preference and the potential non-skeletal advantages and disadvantages.
Acute Disease↗
Phase II trial of pegylated-liposomal doxorubicin in the treatment of locally advanced unresectable or metastatic transitional cell carcinoma of the urothelial tract.
34 patients with advanced unresectable or metastatic urothelial carcinoma who had not received prior chemotherapy for metastatic disease were treated with pegylated-liposomal doxorubicin (PLD) 50 mg/m(2) by a 1-h intravenous infusion (i.v.) every 4 weeks in a multi-institutional phase II trial. 6 of 30 evaluable patients had a partial response to treatment (20%; 95% Confidence Interval (CI), 8-39%) and seven patients had stable disease. Toxicities were primarily non-haematological, but severe palmar-plantar erythrodysesthesia (PPE), lethargy and anorexia were infrequent. Despite a high proportion of patients with poor prognostic features, PLD had clinically significant activity in urothelial cancer in this study. The activity and unique toxicity profile of this drug make it of interest for further study in advanced urothelial cancers in combination with other active agents.
Aged↗
Influence of cranberry juice on the urinary risk factors for calcium oxalate kidney stone formation.
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the potential influence of cranberry juice on urinary biochemical and physicochemical risk factors associated with the formation of calcium oxalate kidney stones, as this product might affect the chemical composition of urine. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Urinary variables were assessed in a randomized cross-over trial in 20 South African men (students) with no previous history of kidney stones. The first group of 10 subjects drank 500 mL of cranberry juice diluted with 1500 mL tap water for 2 weeks, while the second group drank 2000 mL of tap water for the same period. This was followed by a 2-week 'washout' period before the two groups crossed over. During the experimental phase subjects kept a 3-day food diary to assess their dietary and fluid intakes; 24-h urine samples were collected at baseline and on day 14 of the trial periods, and analysed using modern laboratory techniques. Urine analysis data were used to calculate the relative urinary supersaturations of calcium oxalate, uric acid and calcium phosphate. Data were assessed statistically by analysis of variance. RESULTS: The ingestion of cranberry juice significantly and uniquely altered three key urinary risk factors. Oxalate and phosphate excretion decreased while citrate excretion increased. In addition, there was a decrease in the relative supersaturation of calcium oxalate, which tended to be significantly lower than that induced by water alone. CONCLUSION: Cranberry juice has antilithogenic properties and, as such, deserves consideration as a conservative therapeutic protocol in managing calcium oxalate urolithiasis.
Beverages↗
Cholesterol, coronary heart disease, and stroke in the Asia Pacific region.
BACKGROUND: Cholesterol levels in many Asian countries are rising. Predictions of the likely effects of this on the incidence of cardiovascular diseases have mostly relied on data from Western populations. Whether the associations between total cholesterol and cardiovascular diseases are similar in Asia is not established. METHODS: The Asia Pacific Cohort Studies Collaboration (APCSC) is an individual-participant data meta-analysis of prospective studies from the Asia-Pacific region. Cox models were applied to the combined data from 29 cohorts to estimate the region-, sex-, and age-specific hazard ratios of major cardiovascular diseases by the fifths of total cholesterol. RESULTS: At baseline, the age/sex-adjusted mean value of total cholesterol was higher in Australia and New Zealand (ANZ) (5.52 +/- 1.05 mmol/l) than in Asia (4.87 +/- 1.05 mmol/l). During 2 million person-years of follow-up among 352 033 individuals, 4841 cardiovascular deaths were recorded. The association of total cholesterol with coronary heart disease and stroke was similar in Asian and ANZ cohorts. Overall, each 1-mmol/l higher level of total cholesterol was associated with 35% (95% CI: 26-44%) increased risk of coronary death, 25% (95% CI: 13-40%) increased risk of fatal or non-fatal ischaemic stroke, and 20% (95% CI: 8-30%) decreased risk of fatal haemorrhagic stroke. CONCLUSIONS: In both Asian and non-Asian populations in the Asia-Pacific region, total cholesterol is similarly strongly associated with the risk of CHD and ischaemic, but not haemorrhagic, stroke. Rising population-wide levels of cholesterol would be expected to contribute to a substantial increase in the overall burden of cardiovascular diseases in this region.
Adult↗
Blood pressure and cardiovascular disease in the Asia Pacific region.
OBJECTIVES: To estimate age-, sex- and region-specific associations of blood pressure with cardiovascular diseases. DESIGN: Relative risk estimates and 95% confidence intervals were calculated from Cox models, stratified by sex and cohort, and adjusted for age at risk on individual participant data from 37 cohort studies. Repeat measurements of blood pressure were used to adjust for regression dilution bias. SETTING: Studies included in the Asia Pacific Cohort Studies Collaboration from Australia, mainland China, Hong Kong, Japan, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 425 325 study participants. MAIN OUTCOMES MEASURES: Stroke, ischaemic heart disease, total cardiovascular death. RESULTS: During over 3 million person-years of follow-up, 5178 strokes, 3047 ischaemic heart disease events and 6899 cardiovascular deaths were observed. Continuous log-linear associations were seen between systolic blood pressure and the risks of all three endpoints down to at least 115 mmHg. In the age groups < 60, 60-69, and > or = 70 years, a 10 mmHg lower usual systolic blood pressure was associated with 54% (95% CI 53-56%), 36% (34-38%) and 25% (22-28%) lower stroke risk, and 46% (43-49%), 24% (21-28%) and 16% (13-20%) lower ischaemic heart disease risk, respectively. All associations were similar in men and women. Blood pressure was at least as strongly associated with cardiovascular events in Asian populations compared to Australasian populations. CONCLUSIONS: About half of the world's cardiovascular burden is predicted to occur in the Asia Pacific region. Blood pressure is an important determinant of this burden, with considerable potential benefit of blood pressure lowering down to levels of at least 115 mmHg systolic blood pressure.
Aged↗
The effects of diabetes on the risks of major cardiovascular diseases and death in the Asia-Pacific region.
OBJECTIVE: To provide reliable age- and region-specific estimates of the associations between diabetes and major cardiovascular diseases and death in populations from the Asia-Pacific region. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Twenty-four cohort studies from Asia, Australia, and New Zealand (median follow-up, 5.4 years) provided individual participant data from 161,214 people (58% from Asia) of whom 4,873 had a history of diabetes at baseline. The associations of diabetes with the risks of coronary heart disease, stroke, and cause-specific mortality during follow-up were estimated using time-dependent Cox models, stratified by study cohort and sex and adjusted for age at risk. RESULTS: In all, 9,277 deaths occurred (3,635 from cardiovascular disease). The hazard ratio (95% CI) associated with diabetes was 1.97 (1.72-2.25) for fatal cardiovascular disease; there were similar hazard ratios for fatal coronary heart disease, fatal stroke, and composites of fatal and nonfatal outcomes. For all cardiovascular outcomes, hazard ratios were similar in Asian and non-Asian populations and in men and women, but were greater in younger than older individuals. For noncardiovascular death, the hazard ratio was 1.56 (1.38-1.77), with separately significant increases in the risks of death from renal disease, cancer, respiratory infections, and other infective causes. The hazard ratio for all-causes mortality was 1.68 (1.55-1.84), with similar ratios in Asian and non-Asian populations, but with significantly higher ratios in younger than older individuals. CONCLUSIONS: The relative effect of diabetes on the risks of cardiovascular disease and death in Asian populations is much the same as that in the largely Caucasian populations of Australia and New Zealand. Hazard ratios were severalfold greater in younger people than older people. The rapidly growing prevalence of diabetes in Asia heralds a large increase in the incidence of diabetes-related death in the coming decades.
Age Distribution↗