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Biomedical subjects

A Penttinen

Publications and source records attributed to A Penttinen.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

A hierarchical Bayesian birth cohort analysis from incomplete registry data: evaluating the trends in the age of onset of insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (T1DM).

Childhood diabetes is one of the major non-communicable diseases in children under 15 years of age. It requires a life-long insulin treatment and may lead to serious complications. Along with the worldwide increase in the incidence several countries have recently reported a decreasing trend in the age of onset of the disease. The aim of this study is to analyse long-term data on the incidence of the childhood diabetes in Finland from the birth cohorts perspective. The annual incidence data were available for the period 1965--1996 which translates into 1951--1996 birth cohorts. Hence the data consist of completely and partially observed cohorts. Bayesian modelling was employed in the analysis. Several different priors and cohort combinations were tried in order to determine the sensitivity of the results. The cumulative birth cohort incidence of diabetes was determined to have an increasing average annual trend of 2.5 per cent. Although the average birth cohort-specific age of onset was estimated to have decreased slightly over the years of observation, the trend could be a result of random variation.

Adolescent↗

Asthma exacerbations in children immediately following stressful life events: a Cox's hierarchical regression.

BACKGROUND: A recent prospective study of children with asthma employing a within subject, over time analysis using dynamic logistic regression showed that severely negative life events significantly increased the risk of an acute exacerbation during the subsequent 6 week period. The timing of the maximum risk depended on the degree of chronic psychosocial stress also present. A hierarchical Cox regression analysis was undertaken to examine whether there were any immediate effects of negative life events in children without a background of high chronic stress. METHODS: Sixty children with verified chronic asthma were followed prospectively for 18 months with continuous monitoring of asthma by daily symptom diaries and peak flow measurements, accompanied by repeated interview assessments of life events. The key outcome measures were asthma exacerbations and severely negative life events. RESULTS: An immediate effect evident within the first 2 days following a severely negative life event increased the risk of a new asthma attack by a factor of 4.69, 95% confidence interval 2.33 to 9.44 (p<0.001) [corrected] In the period 3-10 days after a severe event there was no increased risk of an asthma attack (p = 0.5). In addition to the immediate effect, an increased risk of 1.81 (95% confidence interval 1.24 to 2.65) [corrected] was found 5-7 weeks after a severe event (p = 0.002). This is consistent with earlier findings. There was a statistically significant variation due to unobserved factors in the incidence of asthma attacks between the children. CONCLUSION: The use of statistical methods capable of investigating short time lags showed that stressful life events significantly increase the risk of a new asthma attack immediately after the event; a more delayed increase in risk was also evident 5-7 weeks later.

Acute Disease↗

Small area estimation of incidence of cancer around a known source of exposure with fine resolution data.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the small area system developed in Finland. To illustrate the use of the system with analyses of incidence of lung cancer around an asbestos mine. To compare the performance of different spatial statistical models when applied to sparse data. METHODS: In the small area system, cancer and population data are available by sex, age, and socioeconomic status in adjacent "pixels", squares of size 0.5 km x 0.5 km. The study area was partitioned into sub-areas based on estimated exposure. The original data at the pixel level were used in a spatial random field model. For comparison, standardised incidence ratios were estimated, and full bayesian and empirical bayesian models were fitted to aggregated data. Incidence of lung cancer around a former asbestos mine was used as an illustration. RESULTS: The spatial random field model, which has been used in former small area studies, did not converge with present fine resolution data. The number of neighbouring pixels used in smoothing had to be enlarged, and informative distributions for hyperparameters were used to stabilise the unobserved random field. The ordered spatial random field model gave lower estimates than the Poisson model. When one of the three effects of area were fixed, the model gave similar estimates with a narrower interval than the Poisson model. CONCLUSIONS: The use of fine resolution data and socioeconomic status as a means of controlling for confounding related to lifestyle is useful when estimating risk of cancer around point sources. However, better statistical methods are needed for spatial modelling of fine resolution data.

Adolescent↗

Somatosensory evoked cerebral magnetic fields from SI and SII in man.

We have recorded cerebral magnetic fields elicited by electrical stimulation of median and peroneal nerves. Field mapping indicates that the deflections at 30-80 and 150-180 msec are due to activity at SI. Additional activity at 90-125 msec is generated at SII, on the superior bank of the sylvian fissure. At SI, the source locations are in agreement with the known somatotopy. Only contralateral stimuli evoke responses at SI, whereas both ipsi- and contralateral stimuli elicit responses at SII.

Adult↗

A high resolution ultrasonic microscope.

The construction and imaging capabilities of a scanning high resolution ultrasonic microscope are considered in this paper. Theoretical expressions for the resolution limits of the microscope and some of the most important properties of the ultrasonic lenses are given. Ultrasonic through-transmission and back-scattering images of different objects are presented and a quasi-three-dimensional display mode is introdued. A resolution of about 4 micron is demonstrated at 300 MHZ by the present ultrasonic microscope.

Erythrocytes↗

Probabilistic small area risk assessment using GIS-based data: a case study on Finnish childhood diabetes. Geographic information systems.

A Bayesian hierarchical spatial model is constructed to describe the regional incidence of insulin dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM) among the under 15-year-olds in Finland. The model exploits aggregated pixel-wise locations for both the cases and the population at risk. Typically such data arise from combining geographic information systems (GIS) with large databases. The dates of diagnosis and locations of the cases are observed from 1987 to 1996. The population at risk counts are available for every second year during the same period. A hierarchical model is suggested for the pixel wise case counts, including a population model to account for the uncertainty of the population at risk over the years. The model is applied in the construction of disease maps (aggregated 100 km(2) pixels), and spatial posterior predictive distributions are computed to study whether there can be found a statistically exceptional number of cases in a small area of interest.

Bayes Theorem↗