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A N Tosteson

Publications and source records attributed to A N Tosteson.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2001

Impact of hip and vertebral fractures on quality-adjusted life years.

The objective of the study was to estimate the impact of hip and vertebral fractures on quality of life in postmenopausal women using a preference-based health measure that is appropriate for economic evaluations and to investigate correlates of health outcome. Interviews to assess health-related quality of life, which also documented other health conditions and characteristics, were undertaken in women age 50 years and older without osteoporotic fractures compared with women with hip and/or vertebral fracture(s). Health status was characterized by self-reported physical limitations and the mental and physical component summary scores of the SF-36. Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), which reflect each individual's assessment of her overall health utility, were estimated with time tradeoff values. Regression methods were used to examine QALY correlates (e.g. time since fracture) for each fracture group and to estimate differences in QALYs between fracture and non-fracture subjects after accounting for other patient characteristics. Among 382 women ages 50-96 years, fracture subjects were significantly older, less likely to use hormone replacement therapy and more likely to report physical limitations than non-fracture subjects. On the QALY scale, where 1 represents perfect health and 0 represents death, mean QALY values were 0.82 (95% CI: 0.76, 0.87) among 114 women with one or more vertebral fractures and 0.63 (95% CI: 0.52, 0.74) among 67 with hip fracture compared with 0.91 (95% CI: 0.88, 0.94) among 201 women without fracture. No significant correlates of QALYs were identified among women with vertebral fracture alone. Among hip fracture subjects, time since hip fracture and presence of a vertebral fracture were significant correlates of QALYs. In multiple regression analyses, estimated QALY differences (fracture minus non-fracture subjects) ranged from -0.05 to -0.55 and were equivalent to losses of 20-58 days, 23-65 days and 115-202 days per year for vertebral fracture (p = 0.001), hip fracture (p = 0.009) and hip plus vertebral fracture (p<0.001) subjects, respectively, depending on age. Thus to adequately assess the cost-effectiveness of osteoporosis treatment, the negative impact of vertebral fractures on QALYs, even among women who have survived a hip fracture, must be considered.

Age Factors↗
PubMed2001

Challenges for model-based economic evaluations of postmenopausal osteoporosis interventions.

Assessing the cost-effectiveness of long-term treatment for osteoporosis requires use of mathematical models to estimate health effects and costs for competing interventions. The primary motivations for model-based analyses include the lack of long-term clinical trial outcome data and the lack of data comparing all relevant treatments within randomized clinical trials. We report on specific modeling challenges that arose in the development of a model of the natural history of postmenopausal osteoporosis that is suitable for assessing the cost-effectiveness of osteoporosis interventions among various population subgroups in diverse countries. These include choice of modeling changes in bone mineral density (BMD) or in fracture rate, definition of health states, modeling mortality and costs of long-term care following fracture, incorporation of health utility, and model validation. This report should facilitate future postmenopausal osteoporosis model development and provide insight for decision-makers who must evaluate model-based economic analyses of postmenopausal osteoporosis interventions.

Aged↗
PubMed2001

Initiation of osteoporosis treatment after bone mineral density testing.

The aim of the study was to describe initiation of osteoporosis drug therapy after bone mineral density (BMD) testing and to determine any association with BMD test results obtained, physician factors, or both. The setting was the Kaiser Foundation Health Plan (KFHP), a large health maintenance organization (HMO) in Northern California. Data were collected from bone densitometry centers at four KFHP medical centers sites in Sacramento, San Rafael, Fresno, and Oakland. We identified 17,290 women aged > or = 45 years who had BMD testing between January 1, 1997 and June 30, 1999. After excluding those for whom any osteoporosis drugs were prescribed in the year before testing, 8020 women were available for analysis. Using logistic regression, we examined the association between BMD diagnosis (i.e., osteoporosis or osteopenia versus normal) and initiation of drug therapy, for osteoporosis (including hormone replacement therapy (HRT), alendronate, etidronate, raloxifene and calcitonin) within 6 months after the test. Among the 8020 women, 1934 (24%) filled a prescription for an osteoporosis drug within 6 months after BMD testing. Compared with women who had a normal BMD test result, women diagnosed with osteopenia were nearly 4 times more likely (OR = 3.7; CI = 3.0-4.4), and women diagnosed with osteoporosis were 15 times more likely (OR = 15.0; CI = 12.5-18.1), to fill a prescription for an osteoporosis drug within 6 months after BMD testing. Women with high exposure to corticosteroid agents were twice as likely (OR = 2.1; CI = 1.7-2.7) to start osteoporosis drug therapy compared with women who were not similarly exposed; women diagnosed with recent osteoporotic fractures were 50% more likely (OR = 1.5; CI = 1.2-1.9) to begin therapy than women without such fractures. Despite the strong association between BMD and initiating treatment, nearly half the osteoporotic women did not initiate treatment. In addition, we found that age strongly influenced choice of osteoporotic drug. Compared with osteoporotic women aged 45-54 years, women aged 55-64 years who started drug therapy were 40% more likely (OR = 1.4; CI = 1.0-2.2) and women aged > or = 65 years were twice as likely (OR = 2.0; CI = 1.4-2.8) to start non-HRT drugs. BMD test results indicating osteoporosis were thus strongly associated with increased likelihood of beginning drug therapy, and half of such women initiated therapy. Drug initiation was also associated with other factors, including age, use of corticosteroid agents, recent fracture, and physician characteristics. However, these factors showed much weaker associations than those found for BMD. Health care providers must consider whether test results will influence treatment decisions, and our data indicate that results of BMD testing do influence management decisions regarding osteoporosis drug use for women.

Absorptiometry, Photon↗
PubMed2001

A comparison of treatment strategies for hypoplastic left heart syndrome using decision analysis.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to identify the optimal treatment strategy for hypoplastic left heart syndrome (HLHS). BACKGROUND: Surgical treatment of HLHS involves either transplantation (Tx) or staged palliation of the native heart. Identifying the best treatment for HLHS requires integrating individual patient risk factors and center-specific data. METHODS: Decision analysis is a modeling technique used to compare six strategies: staged surgery; Tx; stage 1 surgery as an interim to Tx; and listing for transplant for one, two, or three months before performing staged surgery if a donor is unavailable. Probabilities were derived from current literature and a dataset of 231 patients with HLHS born between 1989 and 1994. The goal was to maximize first-year survival. RESULTS: If a donor is available within one month, Tx is the optimal choice, given baseline probabilities; if no donor is found by the end of one month, stage 1 surgery should be performed. When survival and organ donation probabilities were varied, staged surgery was the optimal choice for centers with organ donation rates < 10% in three months and with stage 1 mortality <20%. Waiting one month on the transplant list optimized survival when the three-month organ donation rate was > or =30%. Performing stage 1 surgery before listing, or performing stage 1 surgery after an unsuccessful two- or three-month wait for transplant, were almost never optimal choices. CONCLUSIONS: The best strategy for centers that treat patients with HLHS should be guided by local organ availability, stage 1 surgical mortality and patient risk factors.

Decision Support Techniques↗
PubMed2001

Skin test reactions to Mycobacterium tuberculosis purified protein derivative and Mycobacterium avium sensitin among health care workers and medical students in the United States.

SETTING: Health care workers and medical students in the United States subject to annual tuberculin skin testing. OBJECTIVE: To use skin testing with Mycobacterium avium sensitin (MAS) to determine contemporary rates of infection with non-tuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) and their effect on reactions to M. tuberculosis purified protein derivative (PPD). DESIGN: Dual skin testing was performed with PPD and MAS on 784 health care workers and medical students in the northern and southern US. MAS reactions that were > or = 5 mm and also > or = 3 mm larger than the PPD reaction were defined as MAS dominant and due to NTM. RESULTS: MAS reactions were > or = 5 mm in 40% and > or = 15 mm in 18% of subjects; 95% were MAS dominant. MAS dominant reactions were more common in the south than the north (P < 0.001). PPD reactions were > or = 15 mm in 3% of subjects. PPD reactions > or = 15 mm were more common among males, foreign born subjects and subjects with BCG immunization (all P < 0.001). MAS dominant reactions were found in 82% of subjects with 5-9 mm PPD reactions and 50% with 10-14 mm PPD reactions; these reactions were more common among whites (P = 0.046), US-born (P = 0.038) and subjects without BCG immunization (P = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: Infections with NTM are responsible for the majority of 5-14 mm PPD reactions among US-born health care workers and medical students subject to annual tuberculin testing.

Adult↗
PubMed2000

Preference-based health outcome measures in low back pain.

Preference-based health outcome measures were considered in two settings. In the clinical context, utility assessment using the VAS, TTO or SG was described. It is recognized that formal utility assessment is generally not needed in day-to-day clinical practice. When the need to explicitly value alternative health outcomes arises, the VAS is recommended because of its ease of implementation. In the health policy context, preference classification systems are recommended for valuing health when a cost-effectiveness analysis of alternative health care interventions is planned. At present, there is little evidence to base choice of one system over another for assessing the cost-effectiveness of low back pain interventions.

Health Status↗
PubMed2000

Prosthetic valve type for patients undergoing aortic valve replacement: a decision analysis.

BACKGROUND: In two large, randomized, clinical trials long-term survival after aortic valve replacement (AVR) was similar for patients receiving tissue and mechanical aortic heart valve prostheses. Higher bleeding rates among patients with mechanical valves, who must receive permanent oral anticoagulation to prevent thromboembolism, were offset by higher reoperation rates for valve degeneration among patients with tissue valves. Because the average age of patients undergoing AVR and clinical practices have changed considerably since the randomized clinical trials were conducted, we performed a decision analysis to reassess the optimal valve type for patients undergoing AVR. METHODS: We used a Markov state-transition model to simulate the occurrence of valve-related events and life expectancy for patients undergoing AVR. Probabilities of clinical events and mortality were derived from the randomized clinical trials and large follow-up studies. RESULTS: Although the two valve types were associated with similar life expectancy in 60-year-old patients (mean age of patients in the randomized clinical trials), tissue valves were associated with greater life expectancy than mechanical valves (10.7 versus 11.1 years) in 70-year-old patients (currently mean age of AVR patients). For 70-year-old patients, the effects of major bleeding complications (24%) with mechanical valves substantially outweighed those of reoperation for valve failure (12%) with tissue valves at 12 years. Of the clinical practice changes assessed, the recommended valve type was most sensitive to changes in bleeding rates with anticoagulation. However, bleeding rates would have to be 68% lower than those reported in the European randomized clinical trial to affect the recommended valve type for 70-year-old patients. Reoperation rates would have to be five times higher, and mortality rates at reoperation would have to be four times higher to affect the recommended valve type for 70-year-old patients. CONCLUSIONS: Although mechanical valves are preferred for AVR patients less than 60 years old, most patients currently undergoing AVR are elderly and would benefit more from tissue valves.

Aged↗
PubMed2000

Survival analysis and risk factors for mortality in transplantation and staged surgery for hypoplastic left heart syndrome.

OBJECTIVES: We compared survival in treatment strategies and determined risk factors for one-year mortality for hypoplastic left heart syndrome (HLHS) using intention-to-treat analysis. BACKGROUND: Staged revision of the native heart and transplantation as treatments for HLHS have been compared in treatment-received analyses, which can bias results. METHODS: Data on 231 infants with HLHS, born between 1989 and 1994 and intended for surgery, were collected from four pediatric cardiac surgical centers. Status at last contact for survival analysis and mortality at one year for risk factor analysis were the outcome measures. RESULTS: Survival curves showed improved survival for patients intended for transplantation over patients intended for staged surgery. One-year survival was 61% for transplantation and 42% for staged surgery (p < 0.01); five-year survival was 55% and 38%, respectively (p < 0.01). Survival curves adjusted for preoperative differences were also significantly different (p < 0.001). Waiting-list mortality accounted for 63% of first-year deaths in the transplantation group. Mortality with stage 1 surgery accounted for 86% of that strategy's first-year mortality. Birth weight <3 kg (odds ratio [OR] 2.4), highest creatinine > or =2 mg/dL (OR 4.7), restrictive atrial septal defect (OR 2.7) and, in staged surgery, atresia of one (OR 4.2) or both (OR 11.0) left-sided valves produced a higher risk for one-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Transplantation produced significantly higher survival at all ages up to seven years. Patients with atresia of one or both valves do poorly in staged surgery and have significantly higher survival with transplantation. This information may be useful in directing patients to the better strategy for them.

Female↗
PubMed2000

Mammography in New Hampshire: characteristics of the women and the exams they receive.

New Hampshire (NH) is one of two states that has developed a population-based mammography registry. The purpose of this paper is to describe what we have learned about mammography use in New Hampshire. After collecting data for 20 months, the database contains almost 110,000 mammographic encounters representing 101,679 NH women, who range in age from 18 to 97 with a mean of 56.7 years (SD=10.91). Education levels are high with 92% having a high school education and 59% with some college. Forty-six percent report their primary insurance is private, 29% report HMO/PPO coverage, and 25% receive federal health care assistance. Risk factors represented in the database include (categories not mutually exclusive) advancing age (60% over age 50), hormone replacement therapy use by menopausal women (40.6%), and a family history of breast cancer (29%). Penetration of mammography relative to the NH population is higher for younger age groups (40-48% for those aged 44-64) than older age groups (34-39% for those aged 65-84). The majority of mammographic encounters are routine screening exams (86%), often interpreted as negative or normal with benign findings (88%). Use of comparison films to interpret either diagnostic or screening mammography occurred in 86% of encounters. We have matched 3,877 breast pathology records to these mammographic encounters. The distribution of pathology outcomes for diagnostic exams was very similar to that for screening exams (approximately 65% benign, 17% invasive breast cancer, and 6% noninvasive breast cancer). Overall, we have designed a system that is well accepted by the NH community. Challenges include careful monitoring of data for coding errors, and a limitation of linking variables in mammography and pathology data. Data represented in this registry are a critical resource for research in mammographic screening and breast cancer early detection.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2000

Safety and immunogenicity of a five-dose series of inactivated Mycobacterium vaccae vaccination for the prevention of HIV-associated tuberculosis.

Five doses of inactivated Mycobacterium vaccae vaccine were administered intradermally to 22 human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients (11 bacille Calmette-Guérin [BCG]-positive and 11 BCG-negative) in Zambia whose CD4 lymphocyte counts were >/=200 cells/mm(3). HIV viral load and lymphocyte proliferation responses were compared for vaccine recipients and 22 HIV-infected control patients (11 BCG-positive and 11 BCG-negative). Immunization was safe and well tolerated in all patients, and induration at the vaccine site decreased from dose 1 to dose 5. A transient decrease in HIV viral load was observed in BCG-positive vaccine recipients after dose 3 but not after subsequent doses. Median lymphocyte stimulation indices to M. vaccae were 6.0 in vaccine recipients and 2.3 in control patients (P<.001). Stimulation indices were >/=3.0 in 19 vaccine recipients (86%) and 7 control patients (32%; P=.001). A 5-dose series of vaccination with inactivated M. vaccae is safe in HIV-infected patients and induces lymphocyte proliferation responses to the vaccine antigen. M. vaccae vaccine is a candidate for the prevention of tuberculosis in HIV infection.

AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗
PubMed2000

Has the impact of hormone replacement therapy on health-related quality of life been undervalued?

Previous economic evaluations of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) have restricted positive effects to alleviation of postmenopausal symptoms and negative effects to drug side effects. We studied the association between HRT use and postmenopausal women's valuation of both health-related quality of life and potential treatment side effects. Postmenopausal women with either a documented first vertebral fracture within the past 5 years or no history of osteoporotic fractures were recruited from Olmsted County, Minnesota, and from Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center in New Hampshire to participate in a study to assess quality of life and women's attitudes toward osteoporosis prevention. Women's valuations of their current health and potential HRT-related side effects were quantified as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) assessed by an automated utility assessment instrument (U-Titer) and the time tradeoff technique, by a vertical rating scale, and by estimated quality of well-being (QWB) scores. Health status was measured using the Medical Outcomes Study SF-36. Regression methods were used to assess the impact of current HRT use on health-related quality of life and valuation of side effects. There were 106 women with vertebral fracture and 180 with no history of hip, wrist, or vertebral fractures. Altogether, 116 (40.6%) women were currently taking HRT, 64 (22.2%) had taken HRT in the past, and 106 (37.1%) women had never taken HRT. Current HRT users had higher time tradeoff QALYs than never and past HRT users, with gains ranging from 15.0 to 83.7 days per year for current users relative to the others. Benefits were largest for women with a vertebral fracture and limitations in activities. The secondary QALY measures also showed significantly higher values for current HRT users compared with other women, as did SF-36 subscales for general health, physical function, role-emotional function, and vitality. There was substantial variability in women's perceptions of HRT side effects. Overall, the proportion of women willing to trade time to avoid bleeding was largest, at 95.5%, followed by breast tenderness, weight gain, and endometrial biopsy at 90.4%, 87.4%, and 82.7%, respectively. Current HRT users had higher health-related quality of life than past or never users according to all measures studied. Women's perceptions of potential side effects were highly variable and should be considered by physicians when prescribing an HRT regimen. If, as our results suggest, postmenopausal therapy has positive effects beyond the immediate postmenopausal years, previous economic studies may have underestimated the value of HRT.

Adult↗
PubMed2000

Pathologists' agreement with experts and reproducibility of breast ductal carcinoma-in-situ classification schemes.

Several histologic classifications for breast ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) have been proposed. This study assessed the diagnostic agreement and reproducibility of three DCIS classifications (Holland [HL], modified Lagios [LA], and Van Nuys [VN]) by comparing the interpretations of pathologists without expertise in breast pathology with those of three breast pathology experts, each a proponent of one classification. Seven nonexpert pathologists in New Hampshire and three experts evaluated 40 slides of DCIS according to the three classifications. Twenty slides were reinterpreted by each nonexpert pathologist. Diagnostic accuracy (nonexperts compared with experts) and reproducibility were evaluated using inter- and intrarater techniques (kappa statistic). Final DCIS grade and nuclear grade were reported most accurately among nonexpert pathologists using HL (kappa = 0.53 and 0.49, respectively) compared with LA and VN (kappa = 0.29 and 0.35, respectively, for both classifications). An intermediate DCIS grade was assessed most accurately using HL and LA, and a high grade (group 3) was assessed most accurately using VN. Diagnostic reproducibility was highest using HL (kappa = 0.49). The VN interpretation of necrosis (present or absent) was reported more accurately than the LA criteria (extensive, focal, or absent; kappa = 0.59 and 0.45, respectively), but reproducibility of each was comparable (kappa = 0.48 and 0.46, respectively). Intrarater agreement was high overall. Comparing all three classifications, final DCIS grade was reported best using HL. Nuclear grade (cytodifferentiation) using HL and the presence or absence of necrosis were the criteria diagnosed most accurately and reproducibly. Establishing one internationally approved set of interpretive definitions, with acceptable accuracy and reproducibility among both pathologists with and without expertise in breast pathology interpretation, will assist researchers in evaluating treatment effectiveness and characterizing the natural history of DCIS breast lesions.

Breast Neoplasms↗
PubMed2000

Measuring health state preferences in women with breast hypertrophy.

The purpose of this article is to introduce the measurement of utilities, or patient preferences, to the plastic surgery community. Specifically, the study demonstrated the development and validation of a utility measure for estimating the health-related quality of life in women with breast hypertrophy. Two self-administered instruments were developed, a Wheel and a Table. All subjects completed the utility assessments for their "current health" and again for "breast-related symptoms." The reliability of the instruments was assessed in repeat (test-retest) interviews of 47 women within 10 to 18 days. Utilities obtained with the new instruments were also compared with the performance of other validated utility assessment instruments, including a visual analogue scale, a computer-based instrument (U-Titer), and a preference classification system (EuroQol). Of the 47 women in the test-retest reliability study, 21 had experienced breast hypertrophy (13 had not had reduction surgery and 8 had undergone reduction mammaplasty). Mean utility values for breast-related symptoms among women with breast hypertrophy (n = 13) were: Table, 0.85; Wheel, 0.90; and U-Titer, 0.66. Current health utility scores were significantly lower for women with breast hypertrophy (n = 13), as measured by all instruments except the Wheel. The Table had good reliability and distinguished women with breast hypertrophy from those without. Although the Table provided higher utility values for the same health state compared with the computer-based interview (U-Titer), it is much less costly to implement. The Table is recommended as a reasonable alternative for use in multicenter studies of women with breast hypertrophy. The reported utility value for breast hypertrophy of 0.86 is much lower than predicted. It is comparable with the reported burden of living with other health conditions, such as moderate angina (0.90) and a kidney transplant (0.84).

Adult↗
PubMed2000

Mammography in 53,803 women from the New Hampshire mammography network.

PURPOSE: To describe measures of mammography performance in a geographically defined population and evaluate the interpreter's use of the Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Mammographic data from 47,651 screening and 6,152 diagnostic examinations from November 1, 1996, to October 31, 1997, were linked to 1,572 pathologic results. Mammographic outcomes were based on BI-RADS assessments and recommendations reported by the interpreting radiologist. The consistency of BI-RADS recommendations was evaluated. RESULTS: Screening mammography had a sensitivity of 72.4% (95% CI: 66.4%, 78.4%), specificity of 97.3% (95% CI: 97.25%, 97.4%), and positive predictive value of 10.6% (95% CI: 9.1%, 12.2%). Diagnostic mammography had higher sensitivity, 78.1% (95% CI: 71.9%, 84.3%); lower specificity, 89.3% (95% CI: 88.5%, 90.1%); and better positive predictive value, 17.1% (95% CI: 14.5%, 19.8%). The cancer detection rate with screening mammography was 3.3 per 1,000 women, with a biopsy yield of 22.4%, whereas the interval cancer rate was 1. 2 per 1,000. Nearly 80% of screening-detected invasive malignancies were node negative. The recall rate for screening mammography was 8. 3%. Ultrasonography was used in 3.5% of screening and 17.5% of diagnostic examinations. BI-RADS recommendations were generally consistent, except for probably benign assessments. CONCLUSION: The sensitivity of screening mammography in this population-based sample is lower than expected, although other performance indicators are commendable. BI-RADS "probably benign" assessments are commonly misused.

Adult↗
PubMed1999

High rates of disseminated infection due to non-tuberculous mycobacteria among AIDS patients in Finland.

OBJECTIVE: to determine the rate of disseminated infection due to non-tuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) among Finnish AIDS patients, and to analyse the epidemiology of these infections. METHODS: in a prospective cohort study HIV-infected patients with CD4 counts < 200 x 10(6)/l were interviewed, and had mycobacterial blood cultures performed at baseline and at 6 months, then subsequently for clinical indications; autopsies were performed on patients who died. The cohort was followed at least for 24 months or to death. Water samples were collected from the homes of patients and from the environment and cultured for organisms of the Myobacterium avium complex (MAC). Environmental and clinical isolates were compared using pulsed field gel electrophoresis (PFGE). RESULTS: NTM infection occurred in 22 (43%) of 51, 19 isolates were Mycobacterium avium, two M. genavense and one M. intracellulare. Multivariate analysis identified urban residence (P=0.04) and eating raw fish (P=0.04) as independent risk factors. Molecular analysis revealed two clusters of related isolates (three M. avium, two M. genavense) among urban residents. CONCLUSION: AIDS patients in Finland have high rates of disseminated infection due to NTM. Clusters of identical organisms and association with urban residence suggests that these are newly acquired infections in advanced AIDS.

AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗
PubMed1999

The relative influence of secondary versus primary prevention using the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel II guidelines.

OBJECTIVES: This study was undertaken to project the population-wide effect of full implementation of the Adult Treatment Panel (ATP) II guidelines of the National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP). BACKGROUND: The ATP II has proposed guidelines for cholesterol reduction, but the long-term epidemiologic influence of its components has not been fully examined. METHODS: We used a calibrated, validated simulation of the U.S. population, aged 35 to 84 years to estimate the potential for the NCEP guidelines, under varying assumptions, to reduce coronary heart disease morbidity and mortality and overall mortality from the years 2000 to 2020. RESULTS: Primary prevention would yield only about half of the benefits of secondary prevention despite requiring nearly twice as many person-years of treatment. The projected increase in quality-adjusted years of life per year of treatment for secondary prevention was 3- to 12-fold higher than for primary prevention. To yield population-wide epidemiologic benefits equivalent to NCEP recommendations for secondary prevention, primary prevention would require a nearly sixfold increase in the number of persons treated compared with NCEP recommendations. All benefits of universal success of the NCEP primary prevention "screen and treat" guidelines could be achieved by a 11 mg/dl (8%) population-wide reduction in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels among persons without preexisting coronary heart disease. CONCLUSIONS: The NCEP guidelines for targeted primary prevention can be a useful component of a rational public health strategy, but only as a complement to the more appealing strategies of secondary prevention and "across-the-board" programs to lower all cholesterol levels.

Adult↗
PubMed1999

Patient preferences for location of care: implications for regionalization.

BACKGROUND: Regionalization of high-risk surgical procedures to selected high-volume centers has been proposed as a way to reduce operative mortality. For patients, however, travel to regional centers may be undesirable despite the expected mortality benefit. OBJECTIVE: To determine the strength of patient preferences for local care. DESIGN: Using a scenario of potentially resectable pancreatic cancer and a modification of the standard gamble utility assessment technique, we determined the level of additional operative mortality risk patients would accept to undergo surgery at a local rather than at a distant regional hospital in which operative mortality was assumed to be 3%. We used multiple logistic regression to identify predictors of willingness to accept additional risk. SUBJECTS: One hundred consecutive patients (95% male, median age 65) awaiting elective surgery at the Veterans Affairs Medical Center in White River Jct., VT. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Additional operative mortality risk patients would accept to keep care local. RESULTS: All patients preferred local surgery if the operative mortality risk at the local hospital were the same as the regional hospital (3%). If local operative mortality risk were 6%, which is twice the regional risk, 45 of 100 patients would still prefer local surgery. If local risk were 12%, 23 of 100 patients would prefer local surgery. If local risk were 18%, 18 of 100 patients would prefer local surgery. Further increases in local risk did not result in large changes in the proportion of patients preferring local care. CONCLUSIONS: Many patients prefer to undergo surgery locally even when travel to a regional center would result in lower operative mortality risk. Therefore, policy makers should consider patient preferences when assessing the expected value of regionalizing major surgery.

Aged↗