Biomedical subjects

A N Phillips

Publications and source records attributed to A N Phillips.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

PubMed2006

The use of the Framingham equation to predict myocardial infarctions in HIV-infected patients: comparison with observed events in the D:A:D Study.

BACKGROUND: The D:A:D (Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti-HIV Drugs) Study, a prospective observational study on a cohort of 23 468 patients with HIV infection, indicated that the incidence of myocardial infarction (MI) increased by 26% per year of exposure to combination antiretroviral treatment (CART). However, it remains unclear whether the observed increase in the rate of MI in this population can be attributed to changes in conventional cardiovascular risk factors. OBJECTIVE: To compare the number of MIs observed among participants in the D:A:D Study with the number predicted by assuming that conventional cardiovascular risk equations apply to patients with HIV infection. METHODS: The Framingham equation, a conventional cardiovascular risk algorithm, was applied to individual patient data in the D:A:D Study to predict rates of MI by duration of CART. A series of sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the effect of model and data assumptions. Predictions were extrapolated to provide 10-year risk estimates, and various scenarios were modelled to assess the expected effect of different interventions. RESULTS: In patients receiving CART, the observed numbers of MIs during D:A:D follow up were similar to or somewhat higher than predicted numbers: 9 observed vs 5.5 events predicted, 14 vs 9.8, 22 vs 14.9, 31 vs 23.2 and 47 vs 37.0 for<1 year, 1-2 years, 2-3 years, 3-4 years and >4 years CART exposure, respectively. In patients who had not received CART, the observed number of MIs was fewer than predicted (3 observed vs 7.6 predicted). Nine per cent of the study population have a predicted 10-year risk of MI above 10%, a level usually associated with initiation of intervention on risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: A consistent feature of all analyses was that observed and predicted rates of MI increased in a parallel fashion with increased CART duration, suggesting that the observed increase in risk of MI may at least in part be explained by CART-induced changes in conventional risk factors. These findings provide guidance in terms of choosing lifestyle or therapeutic interventions to decrease those risk factors in much the same way as in persons without HIV infection.

Adult↗

PubMed2006

The feasibility of clinical endpoint trials in HIV infection in the highly active antiretroviral treatment (HAART) era.

BACKGROUND: Planning clinical-endpoint trials in patients with HIV remain difficult as long-term follow-up of many patients is required. Cohort studies of patients with HIV can provide key estimates of the likely disease progression, required sample size and follow-up. OBJECTIVES: To verify the assumptions used in designing ESPRIT, a large randomized clinical trial assessing the clinical benefit of interleukin-2 treatment in patients with HIV infection, to use EuroSIDA to mimic the inclusion criterion of ESPRIT in order to compare the observed event rate in ESPRIT with the projected rate in EuroSIDA, and to project the required length of ESPRIT. METHODS: Patients in EuroSIDA who satisfied the ESPRIT recruitment criteria were selected. Patients were followed from baseline to new AIDS or death. RESULTS: The incidence of clinical progression in the selected EuroSIDA patients (N = 4482) was 1.5 per 100 PYFU (95% CI 1.3-1.7), and did not increase with increasing time from baseline, contrary to what was assumed in the design of the ESPRIT trial. In ESPRIT (N = 4150), for which the comparative data remain blinded, the incidence was 1.1 per 100 PYFU (95% CI 0.9-1.3), with no increase over time. The average follow-up required to complete ESPRIT and accrue the 320 events required by protocol would be seven years, 10 months using the projected rates from the EuroSIDA study, and seven years, 11 months if the observed event rate in ESPRIT continued unchanged. LIMITATIONS: Differences between patients recruited to observational studies or clinical trials cannot always be adjusted for. CONCLUSIONS: Event rates in EuroSIDA were similar in the first two years to those used in the design of ESPRIT, but did not increase over time, leading to an increase in the expected duration of ESPRIT. Clinical endpoint trials in HIV infection remain feasible, and large cohort studies are critical to the planning and ongoing assessment of design assumptions in such trials. The underlying assumptions of the clinical trial should be re-examined to ensure the original trial assumptions remain valid.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

PubMed2005

Reasons for stopping antiretrovirals used in an initial highly active antiretroviral regimen: increased incidence of stopping due to toxicity or patient/physician choice in patients with hepatitis C coinfection.

Low adherence and toxicities among HIV-positive patients starting highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) can lead to discontinuation of therapy and treatment failure. Little is known about hepatitis C (HCV) status and discontinuation of HAART. Poisson regression was used to determine factors related to discontinuation of any part of an initial HAART regimen due to treatment failure (TF) or toxicities and patient/ physician choice (TOX), and to investigate the relationship between HCV and discontinuation of a HAART regimen in 1198 patients staring HAART after 1999 from the EuroSIDA study. At 1 year after starting HAART, 70% of patients remained on their original regimen, 24% had changed, and 6% were off all treatment. The most frequent reason for discontinuation was toxicities (30.4%). The incidence of any discontinuation was significantly lower after 1999 compared to before [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0.43; 95% CI 0.35-0.53, p < 0.0001], this pattern was most marked for toxicities (IRR 0.28; 95% CI 0.20-0.39, p < 0.0001) and patient/physician choice (IRR 0.49; 95% CI 0.33-0.73, p < 0.0001). Patients with HCV had a higher incidence of discontinuation due to TOX (IRR 1.46, 95% CI 1.13-1.88, p = 0.0042) compared to patients without HCV. Patients with HCV were more likely to discontinue all or part of their HAART regimens due to toxicity or patient/physician choice. Managing adverse events must remain a key intervention in maintaining HAART. There is a need for further studies to describe the relationship between HCV, specific antiretrovirals, and different treatment strategies.

Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active↗

PubMed2005

Reasons for stopping antiretrovirals used in an initial highly active antiretroviral regimen: increased incidence of stopping due to toxicity or patient/physician choice in patients with hepatitis C coinfection.

Low adherence and toxicities among HIV-positive patients starting highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) can lead to discontinuation of therapy and treatment failure. Little is known about hepatitis C (HCV) status and discontinuation of HAART. Poisson regression was used to determine factors related to discontinuation of any part of an initial HAART regimen due to treatment failure (TF) or toxicities and patient/physician choice (TOX), and to investigate the relationship between HCV and discontinuation of a HAART regimen in 1198 patients staring HAART after 1999 from the EuroSIDA study. At 1 year after starting HAART, 70% of patients remained on their original regimen, 24% had changed, and 6% were off all treatment. The most frequent reason for discontinuation was toxicities (30.4%). There was no change over time in the proportion of patients discontinuing after stratification by reason for discontinuation (p = 0.18). Of patients 190 stopped at least one antiretroviral drug used in their initial HAART regimen due to toxicities; the toxicity reported did not vary according to HCV status (p = 0.90). Anti-HCV seropositive patients had a higher incidence of discontinuation due to TOX (IRR 1.46, 95% CI 1.13-1.88, p = 0.0042) compared to patients without HCV. Patients with HCV were more likely to discontinue all or part of their HAART regimens due to toxicity or patient/physician choice. Managing adverse events must remain a key intervention in maintaining HAART. There is a need for further studies to describe the relationship between HCV, specific antiretrovirals, and different treatment strategies.

Anti-HIV Agents↗

PubMed2004

Time to virological failure of 3 classes of antiretrovirals after initiation of highly active antiretroviral therapy: results from the EuroSIDA study group.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of the present study was to determine the prevalence and incidence of virological triple drug-class failure (TCF) and to summarize the clinical outcome for patients who started receiving highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). METHODS: The present study is an observational longitudinal study of 3496 treatment-experienced (TE) and treatment-naive (TN) patients monitored from the time they started receiving HAART (baseline) until TCF occurred (as determined on the basis of viral loads), until AIDS was newly diagnosed, or until death. RESULTS: Four hundred forty-five patients (12.7%) had TCF; 370 (16.6%) of 2230 patients were TE, and 75 (5.9%) of 1266 patients were TN. At 6 years after starting HAART, 21.4% of TE and 11.2% of TN patients had TCF (P<.0001). The prevalence of TCF at or after 2002 was 15.5% in TE patients and 4.8% in TN patients. TN patients had a 32% annual increase in the incidence of TCF (95% confidence interval [CI], 14%-54%; P<.0001); at 5 years after starting HAART, the rate was comparable for TE and TN patients (3.3 and 3.4 cases/100 person-years of follow-up [PYFU], respectively). The incidence of new cases of AIDS or death was 2.7 cases/100 PYFU in patients who did not experience TCF and 5.0 cases/100 PYFU in patients who did experience TCF, an estimated 36% increase with each category of TCF (95% CI, 19%-56%; P<.0001). CONCLUSION: The prevalence of TCF was low after patients started receiving HAART, particularly among TN patients. Despite the influx of patients who had started receiving HAART more recently, the prevalence of TCF increased over calendar time. Patients with TCF had a higher incidence of newly diagnosed AIDS or death. Treatment of patients with TCF deserves further investigation.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

PubMed2004

Cardio- and cerebrovascular events in HIV-infected persons.

OBJECTIVE: Recent results from the D:A:D Study indicated that the incidence of myocardial infarction (MI) increased by 26% per year of exposure to combination antiretroviral treatment (CART). The present study was performed to investigate whether this risk was similar when including other cardio- and cerebro-vascular disease events (CCVE). DESIGN: D:A:D is an international collaboration of 11 cohorts, following 23 468 HIV-infected patients prospectively at 188 clinics in 21 countries situated in Europe, USA and Australia. METHODS: The end-point was the occurrence of a first CCVE during prospective follow-up, defined as the first of: acute MI, invasive cardiovascular procedures, stroke, or death from other cardiovascular disease. Relative rates (RR) for CCVE from Poisson regression models and 95% confidence intervals (CI) are reported. All models are adjusted for other risk factors for CCVE, including age, gender, ethnicity, family history, body mass index, and smoking status as well as cohort and HIV transmission group. RESULTS: Over 36 145 person-years of follow-up, 207 patients experienced at least one CCVE (23.7% fatal). The first event was MI in 126 patients, invasive cardiovascular procedure in 39 patients, stroke in 38 patients, and death from other cardiovascular disease in four patients. The incidence of first CCVE was 5.7 per 1000 person-years [95% confidence interval (CI) 5.0-6.5] and increased with longer exposure to CART (RR per year of exposure, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.14-1.38; P < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: CART increases the risk of CCVD, and this increase is comparable with how CART affects the risk of MI. This finding is consistent with the hypothesis that atherosclerosis is a side-effect of CART.

Anti-Retroviral Agents↗

PubMed2003

Prognostic importance of initial response in HIV-1 infected patients starting potent antiretroviral therapy: analysis of prospective studies.

BACKGROUND: We examined whether the initial virological and immunological response to highly active antiretroviral treatment (HAART) is prognostic in patients with HIV-1 who start HAART. METHODS: We analysed 13 cohort studies from Europe and North America including 9323 adult treatment-naive patients who were starting HAART with a combination of at least three drugs. We modelled clinical progression from month 6 after starting HAART, taking into account CD4 count and HIV-1 RNA measured at baseline and 6 months. FINDINGS: During 13408 years of follow-up 152 patients died and 874 developed AIDS or died. Compared with patients who had a 6-month CD4 count of fewer than 25 cells/microL, adjusted hazard ratios for AIDS or death were 0.55 (95%CI 0.32-0.96) for 25-49 cells/microL, 0.62 (0.40-0.96) for 50-99 cells/microL, 0.42 (0.28-0.64) for 100-199 cells/microL, 0.25 (0.16-0.38) for 200-349 cells/microL, and 0.18 (0.11-0.29) for 350 or more cells/microL at 6 months. Compared with patients who had a 6-month HIV-1 RNA of 100000 copies/mL or greater, adjusted hazard ratios for AIDS or death were 0.59 (0.41-0.86) for 10000-99999 copies/mL, 0.42 (0.29-0.61) for 500-9999 copies/mL, and 0.29 (0.21-0.39) for 6-month HIV-1 RNA of 500 copies/mL or fewer. Baseline CD4 and HIV-1 RNA were not associated with progression after controlling for 6-month concentrations. The probability of progression at 3 years ranged from 2.4% in the patients in the lowest-risk stratum to 83% in patients in the highest-risk stratum. INTERPRETATION: At 6 months after starting HAART, the current CD4 cell count and viral load, but not values at baseline, are strongly associated with subsequent disease progression. Our findings should inform guidelines on when to modify HAART.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

PubMed2003

Decline in the AIDS and death rates in the EuroSIDA study: an observational study.

BACKGROUND: Since the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART), little is known about whether changes in HIV-1 mortality and morbidity rates have been sustained. We aimed to assess possible changes in these rates across Europe. METHODS: We analysed data for 9803 patients in 70 European HIV centres including ones in Israel and Argentina. Incidence rates of AIDS or death were calculated for overall and most recent CD4 count in 6-monthly periods and in three treatment eras (pre-HAART, 1994-1995; early-HAART, 1996-1997; and late-HAART, 1998-2002). FINDINGS: The incidence of AIDS or death fell after September, 1998, by 8% per 6-month period (rate ratio 0.92, 95% CI 0.88-0.95, p<0.0001). When AIDS and death were analysed separately, the incidence of all deaths during the late-HAART era was significantly lower than that during the early-HAART era in patients whose latest CD4 count was 20 cells/microL or less (0.43, 0.35-0.53, p<0.0001), but at higher CD4 counts, did not differ between early-HAART and late-HAART. Incidence of AIDS was about 50% lower in late-HAART than in early-HAART, irrespective of latest CD4 count (p<0.0001). In multivariate Cox's models, with early-HAART as the reference, there was an increased risk of AIDS (relative hazard 1.39; 95% CI 1.16-1.67, p=0.0004) and all deaths (1.29; 1.08-1.56, p=0.0065) in the pre-HAART era, and a reduced risk of AIDS (0.62; 0.50-0.77, p<0.0001) and all deaths (0.66; 0.53-0.82, p=0.0002) in the late-HAART era. INTERPRETATION: The initial drop in mortality and morbidity after the introduction of HAART has been sustained. Potential long-term adverse effects associated with HAART have not altered its effectiveness in treating AIDS.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

PubMed2003

An audit of antiretroviral treatment use in HIV-infected patients in a London clinic: the limitations of observational databases when auditing antiretroviral treatment use.

OBJECTIVE: To audit the use of antiretroviral (ARV) treatment in a large treatment clinic in the UK against the British HIV Association (BHIVA) ARV treatment guidelines. METHODS: All patients under follow-up between 1st January 2000 and 1st January 2001 were included. The most recent CD4 count and HIV RNA level prior to 1st January 2001, and the nadir CD4 count and peak HIV RNA level over follow-up, were used to identify which patients should be receiving HAART according to the guidelines. RESULTS: One thousand two hundred and sixty-four patients were included in the analysis (63.8% homosexual, 29.0% heterosexual risk; 72.9% white; 79.2% male). Almost half of patients had ever had a CD4 count below 200 cells/ micro L and over 80% had previously had a viral load above 4 log10 HIV-1 RNA copies/mL. Under 2000 BHIVA guidelines, treatment would be recommended in 77.4% patients. Overall, 819 patients were receiving ARV therapy. Two hundred and eighty-five patients were not receiving treatment when guidelines suggest they should (including 33 patients who were receiving regimens not recommended in the guidelines). These patients were younger, less likely to be homosexual and had higher CD4 nadirs than those who were receiving ARV treatment. Almost half of these patients had previously received ARV therapy but were not currently receiving it. CONCLUSION: Only a small proportion of patients at our centre were not receiving ARV treatment in line with national guidelines. While genuine reasons may exist for these departures from optimal care, this may simply reflect the limitations of using observational databases when auditing treatment use in a clinic setting.

Adult↗

PubMed2002

Regional and temporal changes in AIDS in Europe before HAART.

In a prospective observational study 4,485 patients from 46 clinical centres in 17 European countries were followed between April 1994 and November 1996. Information on AIDS-defining events (ADEs) were collected together with basic demographic data, treatment history and laboratory results. The centres were divided into four geographical regions (north, central, south-west and south-east) so that it was possible to identify any existing regional differences in ADEs. The regional differences that we observed included a higher risk of all forms of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infections (Tb) and wasting disease in the south-west and an increased risk of infections with the Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC) in the north. In Cox multivariable analyses, where north was used as the reference group, we observed hazard ratios of 6.87, 7.77, 2.29 and 0.16 (P < 0.05 in all cases) for pulmonary Tb, extrapulmonary Tb, wasting disease and MAC respectively in the south-west. Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (PCP) was less commonly diagnosed in the central region (RH = 0.51, 95% CI 0 32-0.79, P = 0.003) and most common in the south-east (RH = 1.04, 95% CI 0.71-1.51, P = 0.85). Comparisons with a similar 'AIDS in Europe' study that concentrated on the early phase of the epidemic reveal that most of the regional differences that were observed in the 1980s still persist in the mid-1990s.

AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗

PubMed2002

The changing demographics of new HIV diagnoses at a London centre from 1994 to 2000.

OBJECTIVE: To document the demographic changes in new HIV diagnoses at the Royal Free Hospital, London, UK, between 1994 and 2000. DESIGN: Retrospective case note review. METHODS: Data were extracted from the Royal Free HIV database identifying new diagnoses for 1994, 1997 and 2000. All case notes were reviewed and patients were included if they had their first positive HIV test at the Royal Free Hospital, or if they first tested positive elsewhere and attended the Royal Free HIV unit for their initial HIV care. Data extracted included sex, ethnicity, age, risk factor(s) for HIV, reason for test, clinical stage of disease, CD4 count and HIV RNA viral load at diagnosis. RESULTS: One hundred and forty-four patients were identified for 1994, 136 for 1997 and 110 for 2000. Over this time period the proportion of white patients dropped from 72% (n = 104) to 48% (n = 53), P = 0.0001, whilst the proportion of black Africans rose from 24% (n = 34) to 45% (n = 49), P = 0.0004. The median CD4 count at diagnosis of the white cohort was 475 cells/microL in 1994 and 286/microL in 2000, P = 0.005, whilst in the black African patients it was 240/microL and 230/microL for the same years. CONCLUSIONS: There has been a reduction in new HIV diagnoses among the white population and a rise in the black Africans at this centre between 1994 and 2000. The clinical and immunological parameters of HIV disease have worsened over this time period for the white group, but have remained stable in the black Africans.

Black or African American↗

PubMed2002

Response to antiretroviral therapy among patients exposed to three classes of antiretrovirals: results from the EuroSIDA study.

There is an increasing proportion of HIV-positive patients exposed to all licensed classes of antiretrovirals, and the response to salvage regimens may be poor. Among over 8500 patients in EuroSIDA, the proportion of treated patients exposed to nucleosides, protease inhibitors (PIs) and non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI) increased from 0% in 1996 to 47% in 2001. Four-hundred-and-thirteen patients, who had failed virologically two highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) regimens and experienced all three main drug classes, started a salvage regimen of at least three drugs, in which at least one new PI or NNRTI was included. Median viral load was 4.7 log copies/ml [Interquartile range (IQR) 4.2-5.2], CD4 lymphocyte count 150/mm3 (IQR 60-274/mm3) and follow-up 14 months. Of these patients, 283 (69%) subsequently experienced at least a 1 log decline in viral load and 202 (49%) achieved a viral load < 500 copies/ml. Conversely, the CD4 count halved from the baseline value in 88 (21%), and 45 (11%) experienced a new AIDS-defining disease. In multivariable analyses, a 1 log viral load reduction was related to baseline viral load [relative hazard (RH) 1.27 per 1 log higher; P = 0.008], a previous viral load of less than 500 copies/ml (RH 1.69; P = 0.002), more recent initiation of the regimen (RH 1.36 per year more recent; P = 0.02), number of new drugs in the regimen (RH 1.20 per drug; P = 0.02), time since start of antiretroviral therapy (RH 0.94 per extra year; P = 0.035) and time spent on HAART with viral load > 1000 copies/ml (RH 0.96 per extra month; P = 0.0001). Analysis of factors associated with CD4 count decline and new AIDS disease also indicated improved outcomes in more recent times and a tendency for a better response in those starting more new drugs, but no relationship with the total number of drugs. Outcomes in people starting salvage regimens appear to depend on the number of new drugs started but not on the total number of drugs being used.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

PubMed2001

Durability of HIV-1 viral suppression over 3.3 years with multi-drug antiretroviral therapy in previously drug-naive individuals.

BACKGROUND: Relatively little is known about the long-term durability of viral suppression in individuals initially achieving a viral load of less than 50 copies/ml within 24 weeks of starting antiretroviral therapy, nor the extent to which therapy interruption accounts for the loss of suppression. METHODS: We intensely followed all 336 antiretroviral-naive patients attending the Goethe Universitat Clinic who began multi-drug combination regimens and in whom a viral load of less than 50 copies/ml was achieved within 24 weeks, in order to assess the risk of viral load rebound. Inspection of case notes allowed the distinction of viral rebound according to whether there was an associated complete interruption of therapy. RESULTS: A total of 61 patients experienced viral rebound during 543.1 person-years of follow-up, giving a 25.3% risk of rebound by 3.3 years from first achieving viral suppression. However, for 47 of the patients with viral rebound there was an associated documented complete interruption of antiretroviral therapy, mostly as a result of co-morbidities, leaving 14 who appear to represent a failure of the virological efficacy of therapy (viral breakthrough; 5.2% risk by 3.3 years). The risk of viral breakthrough declined with the increased duration of suppression (P = 0.01). CONCLUSION: The intrinsic virological effectiveness of multi-drug antiretroviral therapy in previously drug-naive individuals appears to be such that viral suppression, once achieved, can be maintained for several years in patients not interrupting therapy. The major challenge is to develop regimens that can be taken consistently and safely for such long periods of time.

Adult↗

PubMed2001

Viral load outcome of non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor regimens for 2203 mainly antiretroviral-experienced patients.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the factors associated with virologic response to non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI)-containing regimens in a large clinic cohort. DESIGN: Inception cohort. SETTING: HIV clinics in Europe PATIENTS: We identified all patients in EuroSIDA who began a regimen including either nevirapine or efavirenz (not both) after July 1997 and for whom pre-therapy viral load and CD4 cell count were known. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Virological failure. RESULTS: A total of 1325 patients initiated nevirapine and 878 efavirenz. Respectively, median start dates were October 1998 and May 1999. Other factors at baseline, including CD4 cell count, viral load, previous AIDS, previous antiretroviral drug use and make-up of the NNRTI-containing regimen were all approximately similar between the nevirapine and efavirenz groups. A total of 669 patients experienced virological failure during follow-up. In a Cox model, less protease inhibitors and nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs) previously used, higher CD4 nadir, lower viral load at baseline, a previous AIDS diagnosis and less NRTIs in the regimen were associated with lower risk of virological failure. The relative hazard of virological failure comparing those on efavirenz with those on nevirapine was 0.57 (95% confidence interval, 0.47-0.69; P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: The difference in virologic outcome between those using nevirapine and efavirenz in this almost entirely drug-experienced population could reflect differences in effectiveness of the drugs in this setting but, despite the similarity between groups at baseline, bias cannot be excluded as an explanation. Replication of these findings in randomized trials and other cohort studies is required.

Adult↗

PubMed2001

HIV viral load response to antiretroviral therapy according to the baseline CD4 cell count and viral load.

CONTEXT: It is unclear whether delay in initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) may lead to a poorer viral load response for patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). OBJECTIVE: To characterize the relationship of viral load response to ART with baseline CD4 cell count and baseline viral load. DESIGN: Inception cohort of 3430 therapy-naive patients with HIV, of whom 3226 patients had at least 1 viral load count after the start of ART. SETTING: Three cohort studies of patients cared for in HIV clinics in Europe between 1996 and 2000. PATIENTS: All patients initiating ART consisting of at least 3 drugs initiated in or after 1996 and for whom CD4 cell count and viral load were available in the prior 6 months (at most). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Viral load decrease to below 500 copies/mL; viral load rebound to above 500 copies/mL (2 consecutive values). RESULTS: Of 3226 patients during the median follow-up of 119 weeks, 2741 (85%) experienced viral suppression to less than 500 copies/mL by 32 weeks. Relative hazards (RHs) of achieving this were 1.08 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.98-1.21) and 0.94 (95% CI, 0.84-1.04) for baseline CD4 cell counts between 200 and 349 x 10(6)/L and baseline CD4 cell counts lower than 200 x 10(6)/L, respectively, compared with baseline CD4 cell counts of 350 x 10(6)/L or higher, after adjustment for several factors including baseline viral load. For baseline viral load, the RHs were 0.95 (95% CI, 0.84-1.07) and 0.65 (95% CI, 0.58-0.74), for 10 000 to 99 999 and 100 000 copies/mL or greater, respectively, compared with less than 10 000 copies/mL, but the probability of viral load lower than 500 copies/mL at week 32 was similar in all 3 groups. Subsequent rebound above 500 copies/mL was no more likely with a lower baseline CD4 cell count or higher viral load. CONCLUSION: In this study, lower CD4 cell counts and higher viral loads at baseline were not associated with poorer virological outcome of ART. Those with baseline viral loads of greater than 100 000 copies/mL had a slower rate of achieving viral suppression.

Adult↗

PubMed2001

Use of a stochastic model to develop understanding of the impact of different patterns of antiretroviral drug use on resistance development.

OBJECTIVE: To use a stochastic model to gain insights into the consequence for resistance development of different drug use patterns. METHODS: We consider use of three drugs (A, B and C) where for each drug one and only one viral mutation is associated with ability to replicate (effective reproductive ratio, R > 1) in the presence of that drug as monotherapy. For drug A mutation is a, etc. We define eight populations of short-lived infected cells that live 1 day: Vo with no mutations a, b, c; Va with mutation a only, Vab with mutations a and b, etc. A random number generator was used to determine whether mutations occur in any one round of replication and to sample from a Poisson distribution to determine for each cell the number of cells of the same population created in the next generation, using the R operative at that time. Values of R depended on drug exposure, cost of resistance and availability of target cells. RESULTS: Treatment strategies and the resulting percentage (over 100 runs) developing full "resistance" in 1500 days (Vabc not equal 0) were: (i) ABC 1500 days 0%; (ii) A 300 days, AB 300 days, ABC 900 days 100%; (iii) AB 300 days, ABC 1200 days 33%; (iv) ABC 2/3 1500 days 15%; (v) ABC 1/2 1500 days 100%; (vi) ABC 50 days, no drugs 50 days, for 1500 days 1%, where ABC 2/3 means on-drug for 2 days in every 3, ABC 1/2 represents on-drug for 1 day in every 2, and represents suboptimal adherence. CONCLUSIONS: This model helps to develop understanding of key principles concerning development of resistance under different patterns of treatment use.

Anti-HIV Agents↗

PubMed2001

Reduced bone mineral density in HIV-positive individuals.

A total of 105 HIV-positive patients underwent dual-energy X-ray absorbtiometry (DEXA) scan to assess bone mineral density (BMD). The prevalence of reduced BMD was found to be 71% and was higher in patients who had ever been treated with protease inhibitors (PI). Our results suggest a possible association between PI and reduced BMD, and further complicate the debate regarding when to commence treatment of HIV and with what agents to start.

Absorptiometry, Photon↗

PubMed2001

Secondary mutations in the protease region of human immunodeficiency virus and virologic failure in drug-naive patients treated with protease inhibitor-based therapy.

The role of mutations in protease (PR) and reverse-transcriptase (RT) of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in predicting virologic failure was assessed in 248 antiretroviral-naive HIV-positive patients who began a PR inhibitor-containing antiretroviral regimen. Genotypic testing was performed on plasma samples stored before the start of therapy. Twenty-seven patients (10.9%) had mutations in the RT, 5 (2%) carried primary mutations in the PR, and 131 (52.8%) showed only secondary PR mutations. Virologic failure at week 24 occurred in 62 (25.0%) of 248 patients. There was a statistically significant correlation between virologic failure and the number of PR mutations (P= .04, chi(2) test). Mutations at codons 10 and 36 of PR (present in 39.3% and 40.0% of patients in whom treatment failed, respectively) were identified by stepwise logistic regression as the strongest predictors of virologic failure (odds ratio, 2.20; 95% confidence interval, 1.30-3.75; P= .004). If confirmed in independent studies, this result may justify the increased use of HIV genotyping in drug-naive patients requiring antiretroviral therapy.

Acute Disease↗