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A Menotti

Publications and source records attributed to A Menotti.

At least 91 records · Page 5Linked to original sources

Comparison of multivariate predictive power of major risk factors for coronary heart diseases in different countries: results from eight nations of the Seven Countries Study, 25-year follow-up.

BACKGROUND: It was hypothesized that among eight national groups of men aged 40-59 years enrolled in the Seven Countries Study, the multivariate coefficients of major risk factors predicting coronary heart disease mortality over 25 years would be relatively similar. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Sixteen cohorts were located in eight nations and pooled, comprising one cohort in the USA, two in Finland, one in the Netherlands, three in Italy, two in Croatia (former Yugoslavia), three in Serbia (Yugoslavia), two in Greece and two in Japan, for a total of over 12000 subjects at entry. Coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality was defined as fatal myocardial infarction or sudden coronary death, and proportional hazard models were solved, for each country, with age, serum cholesterol level, systolic blood pressure and cigarette consumption as covariates. RESULTS: The relationships between risk factors and CHD mortality were statistically significant for all risk factors and for all countries, except for age in Croatia and Japan, cholesterol in Croatia and Japan, systolic blood pressure in Serbia and Greece, and cigarette-smoking in the Netherlands, Croatia, Serbia and Greece. When comparing all pairs of coefficients (28 comparisons for each factor) significant differences were found on four occasions for age, on six occasions for cholesterol, on no occasion for blood pressure and on four occasions for cigarette-smoking. Other tests suggested a substantial homogeneity among multivariate coefficients. Estimates for pooled coefficients were: age, in years, 0.0570 (95% confidence limits 0.0465 and 0.0673); relative risk for 5 years 1.33 (95% confidence limits 1.26 and 1.40); serum cholesterol level in mg/dl, 0.0057 (95% confidence limits 0.0045 and 0.0069); relative risk for 40 mg/dl 1.31 (95% confidence limits 1.20 and 1.31); systolic blood pressure in mmHg, 0.0160, (95% confidence limits 0.0134 and 0.0185), relative risk for 20 mmHg 1.38 (95% confidence limits 1.31 and 1.45); cigarettes per day, 0.0220 (95% confidence limits 0.0170 and 0.0272); relative risk for 10 cigarettes per day 1.25 (95% confidence limits 1.18 and 1.31). CONCLUSIONS: Great similarities were found in the multivariate coefficients of major coronary risk factors to CHD risk derived from population samples varying in CHD frequency.

Adult↗

Haemostatic parameters and lifestyle factors in elderly men in Italy and The Netherlands.

The association between plasma fibrinogen, factor VII, factor X, activated partial thromboplastin time, antithrombin III and the lifestyle factors cigarette smoking, alcohol use, fat intake and physical activity was assessed in 802 men aged 70-90 years in Zutphen (The Netherlands), Montegiorgio and Crevalcore (Italy). Smoking was positively associated with fibrinogen, also after adjustment for other lifestyle factors, age, use of anticoagulants and aspirin like drugs, body mass index, and history of myocardial infarction. Alcohol use was associated with increased levels of factor X and decreased levels of antithrombin III. Fat intake was positively associated with antithrombin III. Between cohorts, considerable differences were observed in levels of haemostatic parameters and the lifestyle factors. Compared to the mediterranean cohorts the Zutphen cohort showed the highest levels of fibrinogen and factor VII. Differences in lifestyle factors could, however, not explain differences between cohorts in levels of any of the haemostatic parameters, despite the observed associations between lifestyle factors and haemostatic parameters.

Aged↗

Serum total cholesterol and long-term coronary heart disease mortality in different cultures. Twenty-five-year follow-up of the seven countries study.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the relationship between serum total cholesterol and long-term mortality from coronary heart disease (CHD) in different cultures. DESIGN: Total cholesterol was measured at baseline (1958 through 1964) and at 5- and 10-year follow-up in 12,467 men aged 40 through 59 years in 16 cohorts located in seven countries: five European countries, the United States, and Japan. To increase statistical power six cohorts were formed, based on similarities in culture and cholesterol changes during the first 10 years of follow-up. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Relative risks (RRs), estimated with Cox proportional hazards (survival) analysis, for 25-year CHD mortality for cholesterol quartiles and per 0.50-mmol/L (20-mg/dL) cholesterol increase. Adjustment was made for age, smoking, and systolic blood pressure. RESULTS: The age-standardized CHD mortality rates in the six cohorts ranged from 3% to 20%. The RRs for the highest compared with the lowest cholesterol quartile ranged from 1.5 to 2.3, except for Japan's RR of 1.1. For a cholesterol level of around 5.45 mmol/L (210 mg/dL), CHD mortality rates varied from 4% to 5% in Japan and Mediterranean Southern Europe to about 15% in Northern Europe. However, the relative increase in CHD mortality due to a given cholesterol increase was similar in all cultures except Japan. Using a linear approximation, a 0.50-mmol/L (20-mg/dL) increase in total cholesterol corresponded to an increase in CHD mortality risk of 12%, which became an increase in mortality risk of 17% when adjusted for regression dilution bias. CONCLUSION: Across cultures, cholesterol is linearly related to CHD mortality, and the relative increase in CHD mortality rates with a given cholesterol increase is the same. The large difference in absolute CHD mortality rates at a given cholesterol level, however, indicates that other factors, such as diet, that are typical for cultures with a low CHD risk are also important with respect to primary prevention.

Adult↗

Average intake of anti-oxidant (pro)vitamins and subsequent cancer mortality in the 16 cohorts of the Seven Countries Study.

This ecologic study aimed to investigate whether differences in population mortality from lung, stomach and colorectal cancer among the 16 cohorts of the Seven Countries Study could be explained by differences in the average intake of anti-oxidant (pro)vitamins. In the 1960s, detailed dietary information was collected in small sub-samples of the cohorts by the dietary record method. In 1987, food-equivalent composites representing the average food intake of each cohort at baseline were collected locally and analyzed in a central laboratory. The vital status of all participants was verified after 25 years of follow-up. The average intake of vitamin C was strongly inversely related to the 25-year stomach-cancer mortality (r = -0.66, p = 0.01), also after adjustment for smoking and intake of salt or nitrate. The average intake of alpha-carotene, beta-carotene, and alpha-tocopherol were not independently related to mortality from lung, stomach or colorectal cancer, nor was vitamin C related to lung and colorectal cancer.

Adult↗

Flavonoid intake and long-term risk of coronary heart disease and cancer in the seven countries study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether flavonoid intake explains differences in mortality rates from chronic diseases between populations. DESIGN: Cross-cultural correlation study. SETTING/PARTICIPANTS: Sixteen cohorts of the Seven Countries Study in whom flavonoid intake at baseline around 1960 was estimated by flavonoid analysis of equivalent food composites that represented the average diet in the cohorts. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Mortality from coronary heart disease, cancer (various sites), and all causes in the 16 cohorts after 25 years of follow-up. RESULTS: Average intake of antioxidant flavonoids was inversely associated with mortality from coronary heart disease and explained about 25% of the variance in coronary heart disease rates in the 16 cohorts. In multivariate analysis, intake of saturated fat (73%; P = 0.0001), flavonoid intake (8%, P = .01), and percentage of smokers per cohort (9%; P = .03) explained together, independent of intake of alcohol and antioxidant vitamins, 90% of the variance in coronary heart disease rates. Flavonoid intake was not independently associated with mortality from other causes. CONCLUSIONS: Average flavonoid intake may partly contribute to differences in coronary heart disease mortality across populations, but it does not seem to be an important determinant of cancer mortality.

Adult↗

Epidemiology of gallstone disease in Italy: prevalence data of the Multicenter Italian Study on Cholelithiasis (M.I.COL.)

This study was designed to obtain a general overview of gallstone disease in Italy. A total of 18 cohorts in 10 Italian regions were enrolled in this survey. Four cohorts were excluded from analysis because of a participation rate of less than 50 percent. Field activities started in December 1984 and terminated in April 1987. A precoded questionnaire was administered to each subject by a trained member of the medical staff. Participants underwent an ultrasonographic examination of the upper abdomen and blood sampling. Each research group was provided with an identical ultrasonographic machine. Standardized criteria were established for both the examination and diagnosis. The inter- and intraobserver variation in the ultrasonographic procedure was assessed using a reliability study. The overall kappa score for interobserver agreement was good (0.649), while intraobserver agreement was good or excellent (kappa scores > 0.60) in 75 percent of the observers. A total of 29,739 of the 46,139 (64.4 percent) enrolled subjects were examined. Among those with a clear-cut definition of the gallbladder status, 6.5 percent of the males and 10.5 percent of the females had gallstones. Additional 3.0 and 8.4 percents, respectively, had already undergone cholecystectomy. Prevalence of gallstone disease (gallstones plus cholecystectomy) increased linearly with age in both sexes. Among subjects with gallstones, 76.7 percent of men and 72 percent of women were not aware of having gallstones; 87.0 percent of men and 84.9 percent of women were asymptomatic. This study confirms that gallstone disease is a highly prevalent condition. Gallstones rarely cause symptoms, and subjects are mostly unaware of their presence.

Adult↗

Dietary saturated and trans fatty acids and cholesterol and 25-year mortality from coronary heart disease: the Seven Countries Study.

BACKGROUND: In the Seven Countries Study associations between intake of individual fatty acids and dietary cholesterol were studied in relation to serum cholesterol and 25-year mortality from coronary heart disease. All analyses concern only intercohort comparisons. METHODS: In the baseline surveys carried out between 1958 and 1964, risk factors for coronary heart disease were measured among 12,763 middle-aged men constituting 16 cohorts in seven countries. In 1987 and 1988 equivalent food composites representing the average food intake of each cohort at baseline were collected locally and analyzed in a central laboratory. The vital status of all participants was verified at regular intervals during 25 years of follow-up. RESULTS: Of the individual saturated fatty acids, the average population intake of lauric and myristic acid was most strongly related to the average serum cholesterol level (r > 0.8, P < 0.001). Strong positive associations were observed between 25-year death rates from coronary heart disease and average intake of the four major saturated fatty acids, lauric, myristic, palmitic, and stearic acid (r > 0.8, P < 0.001); the trans fatty acid elaidic acid (r = 0.78, P < 0.001); and dietary cholesterol (r = 0.55, P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Interpreted in the light of experimental and clinical studies, the results of these cross-cultural analyses suggest that dietary saturated and trans fatty acids and dietary cholesterol are important determinants of differences in population rates of coronary heart disease death.

Adult↗

Twenty-five year mortality from coronary heart disease and its prediction in two Croatian cohorts of middle-aged men.

Two cohorts of men aged 40-59 in geographically defined areas of Croatia, former Yugoslavia, were enrolled in 1958 and cardiovascular risk factors were measured. The cohort of Dalmatia, on the Adriatic coast, was made up of 671 men (participation rate 98%), that of Slavonia, in the inland plain, of 696 men (participation rate 91%). Similar examinations were repeated 5 and 10 years after the entry one. A complete follow-up for vital status and causes of death was run for 25 years. Death rates in 25 years from coronary heart disease (CHD) were 90 per 1000 in Dalmatia and 148 per 1000 in Slavonia where also all other major causes of death and all-cause mortality rates were higher (642 vs 465 per 1000 in 25 years). Univariate and multivariate analysis relating ten risk factors to CHD mortality, showed that age and systolic blood pressure were significant predictors in Dalmatia; age, subscapular skinfold and body mass index (inverse) in Slavonia; and age, systolic blood pressure and subscapular skinfold in a multivariate model with lumped cohorts, where dummy variables identifying cohorts indicated a large unexplained extra-risk in Slavonia. In the pooled analysis cigarette smoking and serum cholesterol carried non significant coefficients. Blood pressure change in the first 10 years of follow-up added predictivity to a model exploring the delayed CHD morality occurring between year 10 and 25 of follow-up. Among the base-line measurements only serum cholesterol was significantly different between the two groups (188 mg/dl in Dalmatia and 199 mg/dl in Slavonia).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Cohort Studies↗

Coronary mortality and its prediction in samples of US and Italian railroad employees in 25 years within the Seven Countries Study of cardiovascular diseases.

BACKGROUND: Samples of railroad male employees aged 40-59 were examined from companies operating in the northwest quadrant of the US in the late 1950s (n = 2571), and in Rome and surroundings. Italy in the early 1960s (n = 768) in an international co-operative study on cardiovascular diseases. METHODS: A number of cardiovascular risk factors (age, blood pressure, serum cholesterol, body mass index, subscapular skinfold, physical activity, smoking habits) were measured at year 0 and year 5, while data on mortality and causes of death were collected for 25 years. RESULTS: Coronary heart disease (CHD) death rates were always higher in the US than in Italy; after 25 years the excess was 51%. Cox proportional hazards models with CHD deaths as endpoint and seven CHD risk factors as covariates showed only the coefficients for age and smoking habits statistically different between the two cohorts. Changes in systolic blood pressure during the first 5-year follow-up were additional predictors of 5- to 25-year CHD mortality in both groups. Cholesterol plus age (greater in the US), subscapular skinfold (greater in the US) and body mass index (greater in Italy) 'explained' 67% of the observed differences in 25-year CHD mortality in the two cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: A large proportion of differential CHD mortality can be attributed to some traditional risk factors.

Adult↗

The seven countries study in Japan. Twenty-five-year experience in cardiovascular and all-causes deaths.

Within the Seven Countries Study two Japanese cohorts of men aged 40-59 were enrolled, one from the farming village of Tanushimaru (n = 508) and the other from the fishing village of Ushibuka (n = 502), both located in Kyushu. Cardiovascular risk factors were measured at entry and 10 years later in the survivors. The 25-year death rate for all causes was 30% higher in Ushibuka than in Tanushimaru (p < 0.001) and higher also from specific causes except for violence. Baseline differences in the levels of age, blood pressure, serum cholesterol, smoking habits, body mass index and heart rate explained only 19% of the difference in all-cause mortality between the two towns. Multivariate models from data of the pooled cohorts showed that age was a significant predictor of coronary heart disease, stroke, cancer, all other causes and all-cause mortality. Cigarette smoking predicted coronary heart disease, cancer and all-cause mortality. Systolic blood pressure predicted coronary heart disease, stroke and all-cause mortality. Serum cholesterol, body mass index and heart rate predicted none of these five causes of death. Changes in systolic blood pressure during the first 10 years of follow-up were directly related to deaths between 10 and 25 years of follow-up, significantly improving the predictive power of the multivariate model. Changes in the other risk factors did not contribute, however, to improved prediction.

Adult↗

Normal behaviour of circulatory parameters during exercise. Reference values for heart rate and systemic blood pressure. The ECCIS Project data. Epidemiologia e Clinica della Cardiopatia Ischemica Silente.

The study of simultaneous variations in heart rate (HR) and systemic blood pressure is of great interest in ergometric practice complementing the analysis of the ST segment by ECG. This paper examines data proceeding from 500 consecutive, normal, exercise stress tests with the aim of offering reference values on the step-by-step behaviour of HR, systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP, DBP) during exercise in a normal population. The sample comes from a large epidemiological study (ECCIS Project) conducted on 4842 healthy, working men, aged 40-59, which proposes to identify, by a 3 stage procedure, subjects with totally asymptomatic coronary artery disease (type I silent ischemia). A further aim of our paper is to examine the influence of some physiological variables (age, height, weight, body mass index, resting HR, SBP and DBP) on the response to effort of HR, SBP and DBP; reciprocal HR/SBP adjustment during exercise; maximal attained workload and recovery time. Due to a preliminary observation that the rate of step-by-step increase in HR and SBP is inversely related to total duration, the population was split into 4 groups according to exercise tolerance (defined by maximal attained workload) to elaborate reference values. Furthermore our data demonstrate that: 1) SBP increases more rapidly with respect to HR for older and heavier subjects; 2) Exercise tolerance is inversely related to age, baseline HR and SBP, and directly related to weight and height; 3) return to baseline conditions, during recovery, is quicker for subjects with better exercise tolerance and lower baseline HR, SBP and weight.

Adult↗

Relationship between eating patterns meeting recommendations and subsequent mortality in 20 years.

OBJECTIVE: Study of the relationships of conformity to dietary recommendations and subsequent rates of total mortality and mortality from specific causes. DESIGN: Prospective investigation of risk factors related to cardiovascular disease. SETTING: Two Italian rural cohorts of the Seven Countries Study. SUBJECTS: The study populations are defined samples from two villages, Crevalcore in Northern Italy and Montegiorgio in Central Italy. The examination in 1965, which included an individual dietary survey, involved 1538 men aged 45-64 years. The 20-year follow-up system was able to track every participant. RESULTS: Conformity to recommended levels of intake of carbohydrates (55-75% of calories) is associated to the relative risks: 0.84 (0.68-1.03) for total mortality, 0.73 (0.50-1.07) for cancer mortality, 1.34 (0.90-1.99) for coronary heart disease mortality. Relative risks for other nutrients are reported. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, recommended levels of intake of macronutrients are associated with lower total mortality, but are not equally appropriate for specific causes of death, cancer and coronary heart disease. Diet-associated differences in mortality persisted after adjustment for confounding by age, smoking habit and physical activity. In this population, intakes meeting the principal recommendations (total carbohydrate and total fat) seem to involve automatically meeting the other recommendations. SPONSORSHIP: Research partly supported by the project 'ACRO-clinical uses of Oncological Research' (contract 93.02289.PF39) and by the project 'FATMA-Risk Factors and Disease Control' (contract 93.00773.PF41) of the Italian National Research Council, CNR.

Adult↗

Changes in body weight in relation to mortality in 6441 European middle-aged men: the Seven Countries Study.

OBJECTIVES: To study the relation between changes in body weight and subsequent mortality. DESIGN: Prospective follow-up study. SETTING: Population study. SUBJECTS: 6441 men aged 40-59 y at baseline participating in the European cohorts of the Seven Countries Study. The men were divided into groups depending on their weight pattern ascertained from three weight measurements with intervals of 5 years. They were also divided in quartiles according to the degree of weight variability. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: All-cause and cause-specific mortality during 15 years following the last weight measurement. Deaths occurring during the first 5 years of follow-up were excluded. RESULTS: Significantly elevated hazard ratios (RR) for death from all causes (RR = 1.3; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.2-1.5), all cardiovascular diseases (RR = 1.2; 95% CI: 1.0-1.5) and other causes (RR = 1.6; 95% CI: 1.2-2.2) were found for men with a decreasing weight compared with men with a constant weight. A fluctuating weight was associated with an increased risk of all cause mortality (RR = 1.2; 95% CI: 1.0-1.4), coronary heart disease (RR = 1.5; 95% CI: 1.0-1.9) and myocardial infarction (RR = 1.5; 95% CI: 1.0-2.2). The group of men with an increasing body weight also had elevated hazard ratios for dying from coronary heart disease and myocardial infarction, but these were only significant when the total 15-year follow-up was analyzed. The risks of dying from all-causes, cardiovascular disease, cancer and other causes were increased in the upper quartile versus the lower quartile of weight variability. CONCLUSIONS: The results of the present study show that a decreasing and a fluctuating body weight are associated with increased mortality. An average increase of 7 kg body weight was associated with an elevated risk of dying from coronary heart disease and myocardial infarction. Lowest mortality in these middle-aged men was found in those who maintained a constant body weight.

Aging↗

Coronary risk factors and silent ischemic heart disease. The ECCIS Project.

An epidemiological study was conducted on 5163 men aged 40-59 years, made by occupational samples, from Florence and Rome to identify, by a three-stage procedure, subjects with asymptomatic silent ischemic heart disease (SIHD). This report describes some coronary risk factors. Men who are free from heart disease were compared with: (1) those having a low probability of SIHD (ECG signs only; n = 439); (2) those having a high probability of SIHD (ECG signs plus echographic signs, or positive markers of deficient perfusion, or altered radionuclide ventriculography; n = 104); (3) those having a definite SIHD (signs of the first two groups plus evidence from coronary angiography; n = 25). A clearcut increasing trend in the levels of major coronary risk factors, and in the multivariate estimated coronary risk for major events was found. The difference was not significant between highly probabile and definite cases of SIHD, due to the small numbers involved. Three multiple logistic models, with the three probability levels of silent ischemia as end-points, showed that four of 10 tested factors were associated with the presence of SIHD: age, systolic blood pressure, cigarette smoking and non-HDL serum cholesterol.

Adult↗

Serum triglycerides in the prediction of coronary artery disease (an Italian experience).

An occupational group living in Rome and composed of 3,007 men aged 46 to 65 years who were free from previous major coronary events was screened for a number of coronary risk factors and then followed up for 10 years. In all, 107 coronary deaths occurred in 10 years. There was a positive relation between coronary death rate and increasing levels of triglycerides, but the difference between the extreme quintile classes was not any more significant after adjustment for cholesterol levels. A cross-classification involving low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol and triglyceride levels showed a higher coronary artery disease (CAD) mortality in subjects with a higher LDL cholesterol/HDL cholesterol ratio and higher triglycerides. However, the excess risk in this subgroup was largely explained by the mean levels of total cholesterol. The multivariate proportional-hazards Cox model with coronary deaths as the end point, and age and triglycerides as predictors, produced a significant coefficient for triglycerides that became nonsignificant when other lipids alone or in combination (total, HDL and LDL cholesterol and some of their ratio) were fed into the model as further covariates. It is concluded that there is no evidence of an independent role of triglycerides in the prediction of coronary deaths.

Age Factors↗

Changes in major risk factors for cardiovascular diseases over 25 years in the Serbian cohorts of the Seven Countries Study.

The Serbian cohorts of the Seven Countries Study were examined four times during a 25-year period. Large changes were observed in average serum cholesterol, blood pressure and the prevalence of smoking in these ageing cohorts. Comparison of men of the same age strata e.g. men aged 50-59 examined at baseline and after 10 years of follow-up and of men aged 65-69 examined after 10 and 25 years of follow-up showed that serum cholesterol increased by about 45% in Zrenjanin, 35% in Velika Krsna and 15% in Belgrade over the last 25 years. Systolic blood pressure increased by 9% in Zrenjanin and 7% in Velika Krsna. No significant increase in systolic blood pressure was observed in Belgrade. There was no major secular trend in smoking and the changes observed during 25 years were mainly due to ageing. No major change was observed in body mass index. The increases in serum cholesterol and blood pressure observed in the Serbian cohorts during the last 25 years are compatible with the increase in cardiovascular disease mortality observed in Yugoslavian men aged 30-69 during the period 1970-1984.

Adult↗