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A F Connors

Publications and source records attributed to A F Connors.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

HLA matching for simultaneous pancreas-kidney transplantation in the United States: a multivariable analysis of the UNOS data.

BACKGROUND: As the incidence of diabetic nephropathy increases, especially in minority populations, more simultaneous pancreas-kidney (SPK) transplants are being performed both in the United States and worldwide. The role of matching on SPK outcomes and organ allocation remains controversial. The purpose of this analysis was to determine the influence of HLA matching using currently employed criteria on 5-year SPK graft survival. METHODS: We performed an analysis of all 3,316 SPK transplants performed in the United States reported to the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) between December 31, 1988 and December 31, 1994. Kaplan-Meier unadjusted 1- and 5-year graft survival with log rank comparisons and Cox multivariable regression models that adjusted for 12 confounding variables were used to analyze the influence of HLA matching on outcomes. RESULTS: Despite low-grade HLA or DR matching or high levels of common reactive groups (CREG) mismatching, 1- and 5-year allograft survival rates were 90% and 78% for kidney, and 85% and 75% for pancreas transplantation. CONCLUSIONS: SPK transplantation is associated with excellent outcomes independent of the level of HLA matching. These data support the hypothesis that SPK transplants need not be allocated based on matching criteria, thus minimizing organ ischemia time and promoting a more racially equitable allocation for SPKs in the US today.

Adult↗

Cost-utility of initial medical management for Crohn's disease perianal fistulae.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The cost-utility of infliximab is unknown. The aim of this study was to determine the incremental cost-utility (CU(inc)) of medical therapy for Crohn's disease (CD) perianal fistula. METHODS: A Markov model was used to simulate a 1-year treatment period with the following: 6-mercaptopurine and metronidazole [6MP/met] (comparator), 3 infliximab infusions + 6MP/met as second-line therapy (intervention I), infliximab with episodic reinfusion (intervention II), and 6MP/met + infliximab as second-line therapy (intervention III). Utilities were elicited from patients with CD and healthy individuals by standard gamble, and costs were obtained from hospital billing data. Uncertainty was assessed by sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: All strategies had similar effectiveness. Interventions I, II, and III were slightly more effective, but also more costly than 6MP/met (Intervention I: CU(inc) = $355,450/quality-adjusted life-years [QALY]; Intervention II: CU(inc) = $360,900/QALY; Intervention III: CU(inc) = $377,000/QALY). If the cost of infliximab were reduced to $304 per infusion, the CU(inc) for intervention II would be $54,050/QALY. CONCLUSIONS: Based on available data, all strategies had similar effectiveness in our model, but infliximab was much more expensive than 6MP/met. The incremental benefit of infliximab for treating CD perianal fistulae over a 1-year period may not justify the higher cost. Prospective studies directly comparing 6MP/met and infliximab are warranted.

Adult↗

Comparison of the performance of two comorbidity measures, with and without information from prior hospitalizations.

OBJECTIVES: This study compares the performance of two comorbidity risk adjustment methods (the Deyo et al adaptation of the Charlson index and the Elixhauser et al method) in five groups of California hospital patients with common reasons for hospitalization, and assesses the contribution to model performance made by information drawn from prior hospital admissions. METHODS: California hospital discharge abstract data for the calendar years 1994 through 1997 were used to create a longitudinal data set for patients in the five disease groups. Eleven logistic regression models were estimated to predict the risk of in-hospital death for patients in each group, with both comorbidity risk adjustment methods applied to patient information available from only the index hospitalization, and to information available from both the index and prior hospitalizations. RESULTS: For every comparison made, the level of statistical performance (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve) demonstrated by models using the Elixhauser et al method was superior to that of models using the Deyo et al adaptation method. Although most patients have information available from prior hospital admissions, this additional information yields only small improvements in the performance of models using either comorbidity risk adjustment method. CONCLUSIONS: Better discrimination is achieved with the Elixhauser et al method using only information from the index hospitalization than is achieved with the Deyo et al adaptation using information from all identified hospital admissions. Both comorbidity risk adjustment methods achieve their best performance when information from the index hospitalization and prior admissions is separated into independent indicators of comorbid illness.

Adult↗

The incidence of lymphoid and myeloid malignancies among hospitalized Crohn's disease patients.

An association may exist between Crohn's disease (CD) and lymphoid/myeloid malignancies. We aimed to evaluate the 2-year cumulative incidence rate of lymphoid/myeloid malignancy among hospitalized CD patients. This is a retrospective cohort study using hospital discharge data from California and Virginia. Cohorts were defined by the presence or absence of a CD diagnosis in all patients discharged during a single calendar year (Year-2). The presence or absence of lymphoid/myeloid malignancy was determined for all hospitalizations during a 4-year period (Year-1 to Year-4) for each member of both cohorts. To obtain a 2-year cumulative incidence rate, patients with lymphoid/myeloid malignancy prior to or at the time of their first admission in Year-2 were excluded. Patients were followed for 8 quarters after this admission for the incidence of lymphoid/myeloid malignancy. Cumulative incidence rates and odds ratios were calculated. The crude 2-year incidence rate of lymphoid/myeloid malignancy among hospitalized CD patients was 3.87/1.000 CD patients (21/5,426; 95% CI = 2.40-5.92). The odds ratio adjusted for age, gender, and race was 2.04 (95% CI = 1.33-3.14, p < 0.001). The 2-year cumulative incidence of lymphoid/myeloid malignancies among hospitalized CD patients is greater than that seen in hospitalized patients without CD. This finding supports the need for further prospective population-based studies.

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Algorithm-based decision rules to safely reduce laboratory test ordering.

PURPOSE: Our study develops decision rules to define appropriate intervals at which repeat tests might be indicated for commonly ordered laboratory tests for hospitalized patients. METHODS: The final data set includes 5,632 adult patients admitted to the University of Virginia Hospital between July 1995 and December 1999. These patients had a hospital length of stay of five days or more and had results recorded for three routinely ordered laboratory tests for each of the first five days of their hospitalization. We use the serum potassium test to illustrate our algorithm-based decision rule methodology. RESULTS: Our decision rule begins with testing on the first two days of hospitalization and allows for repeat testing after observation of any non-normal values. The results show that the algorithm-based decision rule would lead to a 34% reduction for serum potassium tests for the first five days of hospitalization. Only one out of the 5,632 patients in our sample had a critical value that occurred only on a non-test day and, thus, was missed by the algorithm. CONCLUSIONS: The algorithm results are encouraging. We demonstrate that the number of tests can be reduced while missing critical values in only a small fraction of patients. Testing algorithms such as these can be used to reduce laboratory test ordering without compromising the quality of patient care.

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Outcomes and cost-effectiveness of ventilator support and aggressive care for patients with acute respiratory failure due to pneumonia or acute respiratory distress syndrome.

PURPOSE: Many patients with acute respiratory failure die despite prolonged and costly treatment. Our objective was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of providing rather than withholding mechanical ventilation and intensive care for patients with acute respiratory failure due to pneumonia or acute respiratory distress syndrome. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: We studied 1,005 patients enrolled in a five-center study of seriously ill patients (the Study to Understand Prognoses and Preferences for Outcomes and Risks of Treatments [SUPPORT]) with acute respiratory failure (pneumonia or acute respiratory distress syndrome and an Acute Physiology Score > or =10) who required ventilator support. We estimated life expectancy based on long-term follow-up of SUPPORT patients. Utilities were estimated using time-tradeoff questions. Costs (in 1998 dollars) were based on hospital fiscal data and Medicare data. RESULTS: Of the 963 patients who received ventilator support, 48% survived for at least 6 months. At 6 months, survivors reported a median of 1 dependence in activities of daily living, and 72% rated their quality of life as good, very good, or excellent. Among the 42 patients in whom ventilator support was withheld, the median survival was 3 days. Among patients whose estimated probability of surviving at least 2 months from the time of ventilator support ("prognostic estimate") was 70% or more, the incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) saved by providing rather than withholding ventilator support and aggressive care was $29,000. For medium-risk patients (prognostic estimate 51% to 70%), the incremental cost-effectiveness was $44,000 per QALY, and for high-risk patients (prognostic estimate < or =50%), it was $110,000 per QALY. When assumptions were varied from 50% to 200% of baseline estimates, the results ranged from $19,000 to $48,000 for low-risk patients, from $29,000 to $76, 000 for medium-risk patients, and from $67,000 to $200,000 for high-risk patients. CONCLUSIONS: Ventilator support and intensive care for acute respiratory failure due to pneumonia or acute respiratory distress syndrome are relatively cost-effective for patients with >50% probability of surviving 2 months. However, for patients with an expected 2-month survival < or =50%, the cost per QALY is more than threefold greater at >$100,000.

APACHE↗

Resource use and survival of patients hospitalized with congestive heart failure: differences in care by specialty of the attending physician. SUPPORT Investigators. Study to Understand Prognoses and Preferences for Outcomes and Risks of Treatments.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies suggest that specialty care is more costly but may produce improved outcomes for patients with acute cardiac illnesses. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether patients with congestive heart failure who are cared for by cardiologists experienced differences in costs, care patterns, and survival compared with patients of generalists. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: 5 U.S. teaching hospitals between 1989 and 1994. PATIENTS: 1298 patients hospitalized with an exacerbation of congestive heart failure. MEASUREMENTS: Hospital costs; average daily Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System (TISS) score; and survival censored at 30, 180, and 365 days and 31 December 1994. RESULTS: Compared with patients of generalists, patients of cardiologists were younger (mean age, 63.3 and 71.4 years; P < 0.001) and had lower Acute Physiology Scores at the time of admission (35.1 and 36.7; P < 0.001) but were more likely to have a history of ventricular arrhythmias (21.0% and 10.2%; P < 0.001). At 6 months, 201 (27%) patients of cardiologists and 149 (27%) patients of generalists had died. After adjustment for sociodemographic characteristics and severity of illness, patients of cardiologists incurred costs that were 42.9% (95% CI, 27.8% to 59.8%) higher and average daily TISS scores that were 2.83 points (CI, 1.96 to 3.68 points) higher than those of patients of generalists. Patients of cardiologists were more likely to undergo right-heart catheterization (adjusted odds ratio, 2.9 [CI, 1.7 to 4.9]) or cardiac catheterization (adjusted odds ratio, 3.9 [CI, 2.4 to 6.2]) and had higher odds for transfer to an intensive care unit and electrocardiographic monitoring. Adjusted survival did not differ significantly between groups at 30 days; however, there was a trend toward improved survival among patients of cardiologists at 1 year (adjusted relative hazard, 0.82 [CI, 0.65 to 1.04]) and at maximum follow-up (adjusted relative hazard, 0.80 [CI, 0.66 to 0.96]). CONCLUSIONS: In this observational study of patients hospitalized with congestive heart failure, cardiologist care was associated with greater costs and resource use and no difference in survival at 30 days of follow-up. Whether the trend toward better survival at longer follow-up represents differences in care or unadjusted illness severity is uncertain.

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Patient characteristics associated with care by a cardiologist among adults hospitalized with severe congestive heart failure. SUPPORT Investigators. Study to Understand Prognoses and Preferences for Outcomes and Risks of Treatments.

OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to determine factors associated with receiving cardiologist care among patients with an acute exacerbation of congestive heart failure. BACKGROUND: Because cardiologist care for acute cardiovascular illness may improve care, barriers to specialty care could impact patient outcomes. METHODS: We studied 1,298 patients hospitalized with acute exacerbation of congestive heart failure who were cared for by cardiologists or generalist physicians. Using multivariable logistic models we determined factors independently associated with attending cardiologist care. RESULTS: Patients were less likely to receive care from a cardiologist if they were black (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 0.53, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.35, 0.80), had an income of less than $11,000 (AOR 0.65, 95% CI 0.45, 0.93) or were older than 80 years of age (AOR 0.23, 95% CI 0.12, 0.46). Patients were more likely to receive cardiologist care if they had college level education (AOR 1.89, 95% CI 1.02, 3.51), a history of myocardial infarction (AOR 1.59, 95% CI 1.17, 2.16), a serum sodium less than 133 on admission (AOR 1.96, 95% CI 1.30, 2.95) or a systolic blood pressure less than 90 on admission (AOR 1.97, 95% CI 1.20, 3.24). Patients who stated a desire for life extending care were also more likely to receive care from a cardiologist (AOR 1.40, 95% CI 1.04, 1.90). CONCLUSIONS: After adjusting for severity of illness and patient preferences for care, patient sociodemographic factors were strongly associated with receiving care from a cardiologist. Future investigations are required to determine whether these associations represent unmeasured preferences for care or inequities in our health care system.

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Generalists and oncologists show similar care practices and outcomes for hospitalized late-stage cancer patients. SUPPORT Investigators. Study to Understand Prognoses and Preferences for Outcomes and Risks for Treatment.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this work was to identify similarities and differences in primary attending physicians' (generalists' versus oncologists') care practices and outcomes for seriously ill hospitalized patients with malignancy. DESIGN: This was a prospective cohort study (SUPPORT project). SETTING: Subjects were recruited from 5 US teaching hospitals; data were gathered from 1989 to 1994. SUBJECTS: Included in the study was a matched sample of 642 hospitalized patients receiving care for non-small-cell lung cancer, colon cancer metastasized to the liver, or multiorgan system failure associated with malignancy with either a generalist or an oncologist as the primary attending physician. MEASUREMENTS: Care practices and patient outcomes were determined from hospital records. Length of survival was identified with the National Death Index. Physicians' perceptions of patient's prognosis, preference for cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), and length of relationship were assessed by interview. A propensity score for receiving care from an oncologist was constructed. After propensity-based matching of patients, practices and outcomes of oncologists' and generalists' patients were assessed through group comparison techniques. RESULTS: Generalist and oncologist attendings showed comparable care practices, including the number of therapeutic interventions, eg, "rescue care" and chemotherapy, and the number of care topics discussed with patients/ families. Length of stay, discharge to supportive care, readmission, total hospital costs, and survival rates were similar. For both physician groups, perception of patients' wish for CPR was associated with rescue care (P < 0.03), and such care was related to higher hospital costs (P < 0.000). Poorer prognostic estimates predicted aggressiveness-of-care discussions by both types of physicians. Length of the patient-doctor relationship was associated with oncologists' care practices. More documented discussion about aggressiveness of care was related to higher hospital costs and shorter survival for patients in both physician groups (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Generalists and oncologists showed similar care practices and outcomes for comparable hospitalized late-stage cancer patients. Physicians' perceptions about patients' preferences for CPR and prognosis influenced decision making and outcomes for patients in both physician groups. Length of relationship with patients was associated only with oncologists' care practices. Rescue care increased hospital costs but had no effect on patient survival. Future studies should compare physicians' palliative care as well as acute-care practices in both inpatient and ambulatory care settings. Patients' end-of-life quality and interchange between physician groups should also be documented and compared.

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Dying with lung cancer or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: insights from SUPPORT. Study to Understand Prognoses and Preferences for Outcomes and Risks of Treatments.

CONTEXT: Many are calling for patients with advanced chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) to receive hospice care, but the traditional hospice model may be insufficient. OBJECTIVE: To compare the course of illness and patterns of care for patients with non-small cell lung cancer and severe COPD. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study of seriously ill, hospitalized adults. SETTING: Five teaching hospitals in the United States. PATIENTS: Patients with Stage III or IV non-small cell lung cancer (n = 939) or acute exacerbation of severe COPD (n = 1008). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Patients' preferences for pattern of care and for ventilator use; symptoms; life-sustaining interventions; and survival prognoses. RESULTS: Sixty percent in each group wanted comfort-focused care; 81% with lung cancer and 78% with COPD were extremely unwilling to have mechanical ventilation indefinitely. Severe dyspnea occurred in 32% of patients with lung cancer and 56% of patients with COPD and severe pain in 28 % of patients with lung cancer and 21% of patients with COPD. Patients with COPD who died during index hospitalization were more likely than patients with lung cancer to receive mechanical ventilation (70.4% vs 19.8%), tube feeding (38.7% vs 18.5%), and cardiopulmonary resuscitation (25.2% vs 7.8%). Mechanical ventilation had greater short term effectiveness in patients with COPD, based on survival to hospital discharge (76% vs 38%). Patients with COPD maintained higher median 2-month and 6-month survival prognoses, even days before death. CONCLUSIONS: Hospitalized patients with lung cancer or COPD preferred comfort-focused care, yet dyspnea and pain were problematic in both groups. Patients with COPD were more often treated with life-sustaining interventions, and short-term effectiveness was comparatively better than in patients with lung cancer. In caring for patients with severe COPD, consideration should be given to implementing palliative treatments more aggressively, even while remaining open to provision of life-sustaining interventions.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Age differences in care practices and outcomes for hospitalized patients with cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To identify age group differences in care practices and outcomes for seriously ill hospitalized patients with malignancy. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study (SUPPORT project). SETTING: Five United States teaching hospitals; data was gathered between 1989 and 1994. SUBJECTS: Nine hundred twenty five older (age > or = 65 years), 983 middle aged (age = 45-64 years), and 274 younger (age = 18-44 years) hospitalized patients receiving care for non-small cell lung cancer, colon cancer metastasized to the liver, or multi-organ system failure associated with malignancy. MEASUREMENTS: Care practices and patient outcomes were determined from hospital records. Length of survival was identified using the National Death Index. After adjusting for important variables, including severity of illness (i.e., SUPPORT model estimate for 2-month survival, cancer condition), hospital site, selection to intervention and sociodemographic variables, age group differences in care practices and outcomes were identified using general linear models. RESULTS: Older patients with cancer had lower resource utilization during hospitalization (P < .04) and were less likely to receive cancer-related treatments (i.e., chemotherapy, platelet infusions, scheduled intravenous medications) than middle-aged and young-adult patients in the first week of hospitalization (P < or = .01). More care topics were discussed with older patients and their families then with younger patients and their families (P < .001). Length of stay and total hospital costs were lower for older and middle-aged patients than for younger patients. Although more older patients had discussions about transfer to hospice (P < .001), older patients were no more likely to be discharged with supportive care (inpatient hospice or home with home/ hospice care). Older patients died sooner than middle-aged patients (P < .01). CONCLUSIONS: Patient age influenced care decisions and outcomes. Older patients (age > or = 65 years) received less aggressive care, had more discussions about care decisions, and died sooner than younger patients with cancer. Younger patients had longer stays, higher hospital costs, and greater probability of rehospitalization. Although well over half of patients died within 6 months of hospitalization, few patients in any age group were discharged with supportive care. Future studies should examine age differences in palliation, as well as acute care of cancer patients across inpatient and ambulatory care settings and should assess quality of care at the end of life.

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The effect of nutritional supplementation on survival in seriously ill hospitalized adults: an evaluation of the SUPPORT data. Study to Understand Prognoses and Preferences for Outcomes and Risks of Treatments.

BACKGROUND: Enteral tube and parenteral hyperalimentation are widely used nutritional support systems. Few studies examine the relation between nutritional support and patient outcomes in seriously ill hospitalized adults. OBJECTIVE: To explore the association between nutritional support and survival in seriously ill patients enrolled in the Study to Understand Prognoses and Preferences for Outcomes and Risks of Treatments (SUPPORT). DESIGN: A prospective study of preferences, decision-making, and outcomes. SETTING: Five teaching hospitals PARTICIPANTS: 6298 patients aged 18 or older meeting diagnostic and illness severity criteria. MEASUREMENT: Demographic characteristics, diagnoses, comorbid conditions, acute physiology score, nutritional support, and functional status before hospitalization. RESULTS: A total of 2149 patients received nutritional support. In patients who received artificial nutrition on hospital days 1 or 3 (Cohort 1), enteral feeding was associated with improved survival in coma (hazard: 0.53; 95%CI, 0.42-0.66), and reduced survival in COPD (hazard: 1.57; 95%CI, 1.18-2.08). In patients who were hospitalized on Day 7 and received artificial nutrition on days 1, 3, or 7 (Cohort 2), enteral tube feeding (hazard: 0.35; 95%CI, 0.27-0.46) or hyperalimentation (hazard: 0.58; 95%CI, 0.38-0.90) was associated with improved survival in coma. Tube feeding was associated with decreased survival in acute respiratory failure (ARF) or multiorgan system failure (MOSF) with sepsis (hazard: 1.21; 95%CI, 10.4-1.41), cirrhosis (hazard: 2.15; 95%CI, 1.35-3.42), and COPD (hazard: 1.37; 95%CI, 1.04-1.80). Hyperalimentation was associated with decreased survival in ARF or MOSF with sepsis (hazard: 1.34; 95%CI, 1.12-1.59). CONCLUSIONS: Nutritional support was associated with improved survival in coma. Enteral feeding and hyperalimentation was associated with decreased survival in ARF or MOSF with sepsis. Tube feeding was associated with decreased survival in cirrhosis and COPD. Except for patients in coma, artificial nutrition was not associated with a survival advantage.

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Predicting functional status outcomes in hospitalized patients aged 80 years and older.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a model estimating the probability of a patient aged 80 years or older having functional limitations 2 months and 12 months after being hospitalized. DESIGN: A prospective cohort study. SETTING: Four teaching hospitals in the US. PARTICIPANTS: Enrolled patients were nonelective hospital admissions aged 80 years or older who stayed in hospital at least 48 hours. The 804 patients who survived and completed an interview at 2 months and the 450 who completed an interview at 12 months were from the 1266 patients in the Hospitalized Elderly Longitudinal Project (HELP) (76% and 47% of survivors, respectively). Median age of the 2-month survivors was 84.7 years. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN OUTCOMES: Patient function 2 and 12 months after enrollment was defined by the number of dependencies in Activities of Daily Living (ADLs). Ordinal logistic regression models were constructed to predict functional status. Predictors included demographic characteristics, disease category, geriatric conditions, severity of physiologic imbalance, current quality of life, and exercise capacity and ADLs 2 weeks before study admission. RESULTS: Before admission, 39% of patients were functionally independent in ADLs. Of patients who survived and were interviewed at 2 months, 32% were functionally independent, and at 12 months, 36% were independent. Among patients with no baseline dependencies, 42% had developed one or more limitations 2 months later, and 41 % had limitations 12 months later. The patient's ability to perform activities of daily living at baseline was the most important predictor of functional status at both 2 and 12 months. In a multivariable predictive model, independent predictors of poorer functional status at 2 months included: worse baseline functional status and quality of life; depth of coma, if any; lower serum albumin level; presence of dementia, depression, or incontinence; being bedridden; medical record documentation of need for nursing home; and older age. Model performance, assessed using Somers' D, was 0.61 for 2 months and 0.57 for 12 months (Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) area = 0.81 and .79, respectively.) Bootstrap validation of the month 2 model also yielded a Somers' D = 0.60. The models were well calibrated over the entire risk range. The ROC area for prediction of the loss of independence was 0.76 for 2 months and 0.68 for 12 months. CONCLUSIONS: Many older patients are functionally impaired at the time of hospitalization, and many develop new functional limitations. A limited amount of readily available clinical information can yield satisfactory predictions of functional status 2 months after hospitalization. Models like this may prove to be useful in clinical care. This work illuminates a potential method for risk adjustment in research studies and for monitoring quality of care.

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Family satisfaction with end-of-life care in seriously ill hospitalized adults.

OBJECTIVE: To examine factors associated with family satisfaction with end-of-life care in the Study to Understand Prognoses and Preferences for Outcomes and Risks of Treatments (SUPPORT). DESIGN: A prospective cohort study with patients randomized to either usual care or an intervention that included clinical nurse specialists to assist in symptom control and facilitation of communication and decision-making. SETTING: Five teaching hospitals in the United States. PARTICIPANTS: Family members and other surrogate respondents for 767 seriously ill hospitalized adults who died. MEASUREMENTS: Eight questionnaire items regarding satisfaction with the patient's medical care expressed as two scores, one measuring satisfaction with patient comfort and the other measuring satisfaction with communication and decision-making. RESULTS: Sixteen percent of respondents reported dissatisfaction with patient comfort and 30% reported dissatisfaction with communication and decision-making. Factors found to be significantly associated with satisfaction with communication and decision-making were hospital site, whether death occurred during the index hospitalization (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) 2.2, 95% CI, 1.3-3.9), and for patients who died following discharge, whether the patient received the SUPPORT intervention (AOR 2.0, 1.2-3.2). For satisfaction with comfort, male surrogates reported less satisfaction (0.6, 0.4-1.0), surrogates who reported patients' preferences were followed moderately to not at all had less satisfaction (0.2, 0.1-0.4), and surrogates who reported the patient's illness had greater effect on family finances had less satisfaction (0.4, 0.2-0.8). CONCLUSIONS: Satisfaction scores suggest the need for improvement in end-of-life care, especially in communication and decision making. Further research is needed to understand how factors affect satisfaction with end-of-life care. An intervention like that used in SUPPORT may help family members.

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A predictive risk model for outcomes of ischemic stroke.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The great variability of outcome seen in stroke patients has led to an interest in identifying predictors of outcome. The combination of clinical and imaging variables as predictors of stroke outcome in a multivariable risk adjustment model may be more powerful than either alone. The purpose of this study was to determine the multivariable relationship between infarct volume, 6 clinical variables, and 3-month outcomes in ischemic stroke patients. METHODS: Included in the study were 256 eligible patients from the Randomized Trial of Tirilazad Mesylate in Acute Stroke (RANTTAS). Six clinical variables and 1-week infarct volume were the prespecified predictor variables. The National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, Barthel Index, and Glasgow Outcome Scale were the outcomes. Multivariable logistic regression techniques were used to develop the model equations, and bootstrap techniques were used for internal validation. Predictive performance of the models was assessed for discrimination with receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves and for calibration with calibration curves. RESULTS: The predictive models had areas under the ROC curve of 0.79 to 0.88 and demonstrated nearly ideal calibration curves. The areas under the ROC curves were statistically greater (P<0.001) with both clinical and imaging information combined than with either alone for predicting excellent recovery and death or severe disability. CONCLUSIONS: Combined clinical and imaging variables are predictive of 3-month outcome in ischemic stroke patients. Demonstration of this relationship with acute clinical variables and 1-week infarct information supports future attempts to predict 3-month outcome with all acute variables.

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Patient age and decisions to withhold life-sustaining treatments from seriously ill, hospitalized adults. SUPPORT Investigators. Study to Understand Prognoses and Preferences for Outcomes and Risks of Treatment.

BACKGROUND: Patient age may influence decisions to withhold life-sustaining treatments, independent of patients' preferences for or ability to benefit from such treatments. Controversy exists about the appropriateness of using age as a criterion for making treatment decisions. OBJECTIVE: To determine the effect of age on decisions to withhold life-sustaining therapies. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Five medical centers participating in the Study to Understand Prognoses and Preferences for Outcomes and Risks of Treatments (SUPPORT). PATIENTS: 9105 hospitalized adults who had one of nine illnesses associated with an average 6-month mortality rate of 50%. MEASUREMENTS: Outcomes were the presence and timing of decisions to withhold ventilator support, surgery, and dialysis. Adjustment was made for sociodemographic characteristics, prognoses, baseline function, patients' preferences for life-extending care, and physicians' understanding of patients' preferences for life-extending care. RESULTS: The median patient age was 63 years; 44% of patients were women, and 53% survived to 180 days. In adjusted analyses, older age was associated with higher rates of withholding each of the three life-sustaining treatments studied. For ventilator support, the rate of decisions to withhold therapy increased 15% with each decade of age (hazard ratio, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.12 to 1.19]); for surgery, the increase per decade was 19% (hazard ratio, 1.19 [CI, 1.12 to 1.27]); and for dialysis, the increase per decade was 12% (hazard ratio, 1.12 [CI, 1.06 to 1.19]). Physicians underestimated older patients' preferences for life-extending care; adjustment for this underestimation resulted in an attenuation of the association between age and decisions to withhold treatments. CONCLUSION: Even after adjustment for differences in patients' prognoses and preferences, older age was associated with higher rates of decisions to withhold ventilator support, surgery, and dialysis.

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