Measurement theory and stochastic differential equations in quantum mechanics.
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Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to A Barchielli.
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We describe trends in cancer mortality in Italy between 1951 and 1978 for 6 different sites (esophagus, lung, breast, cervix uteri, testis, and bladder) as well as all cancers. This is done using a statistical model which separates the contributions associated with age, period of birth and period of death. The results are related to equivalent analyses in England and Wales and also to trends in lifestyle in Italy (alcohol consumption, cigarette consumption, birth rates).
A case-control study was undertaken to evaluate environmental risk factors potentially involved in male infertility. One hundred twelve azoospermic or oligospermic subjects and 127 controls were interviewed, before sperm count results were available, about coffee and alcohol consumption, smoking habits, x-ray exposure, usual sitting posture, drug consumption, other nonoccupational risk factors, socioeconomic status, education level, and occupational history. An unmatched analysis was then conducted. None of the occupational risk factors appeared to be related to azoospermia or oligospermia. A high relative risk was associated with (1) occupation in the radioelectric industry, (2) nonsedentary clerical workers, (3) clerical work in the typographic industry, and (4) occupation in the textile industry, but none of these figures were statistically significant. Because of the population from which cases and controls were drawn, certain occupational risks could not be investigated in this study, e.g., exposure of agricultural workers to chemicals.
BACKGROUND: The effect of age at diagnosis on the prognosis of breast cancer is still controversial. The study described the variation by age at diagnosis of some clinical-pathologic features and evaluated the relationship between age and survival, taking into account the effect of extent of disease. MATERIALS: The study comprised a large population-based series of 1,182 invasive breast cancers, incident in the period 1985-1986 in the province of Florence. RESULTS: The proportion of cases without nodal involvement progressively lowered from 59% in the age group < or =39 years to 22% in the age group > or =80 years. The extent of disease was unknown in 14% of cases aged 70-79 years and in 43% of those aged > or =80 years (other age groups: 3%-5%). A lower rate of surgical treatment and axillary surgery were the main reasons for inadequate staging in the elderly. Ten-year observed survival progressively decreased from 71% for age < or =39 years to 12% for age > or =80 years. Ten-year relative survival showed less evident differences, dropping from 72% for age < or =39 years to 57% for age > or =80 years. In the relative survival analysis, the differences in relative risks of death among age groups were not significant, either in the univariate or multivariate analysis. Nevertheless, the model with adjustment for extension of disease showed a flattening of the estimated relative risks in age groups over 59 years. CONCLUSIONS: Age at diagnosis was not significantly related to 10-year breast cancer relative survival, suggesting that the worse prognosis in the elderly was largely related to the risk of death from other causes, rather than to a different malignant potential of the tumor. The worse distribution by extent of disease in older women indirectly suggested that diagnostic delays also influenced the different prognosis observed among age groups.
AIM: The specific goal of the study was to evaluate the availability of the histologic grading of cancer and its effect on survival in an Italian population-based cancer series. METHODS: Data were drawn from the Tuscany Cancer Registry, active in central Italy since 1985. Among the cases incident during the period 1985 to 1989, bladder, prostate, colon, corpus uteri, rectum and stomach cancers, for which the proportion of graded cases exceeded 50%, were analyzed. Overall, 5,923 cancer cases were included. Ten-year relative survival rates by grade were computed. RESULTS: Overall, data on histologic grading was available only for 38% of cases. The sites most frequently graded were urinary bladder (80%), prostate (73%), colon (71%), corpus uteri (69%), rectum (65%) and stomach (56%). For all the cancer sites analyzed, the 10-year relative survival rates increased as the histologic grading improved. The grade distribution resulted related also to the disease extension, more limited the extension higher the proportion of well differentiated cases. CONCLUSIONS: Due to the evidenced importance of histologic grading as a valuable prognostic factor, it should be requested by clinicians and reported by pathologists more frequently than has been done in the area.
The role of the Tuscany population-based Cancer Registry (TCR) in the assessment of cancer incidence in AIDS patients, and the completeness of cancer reporting to the Italian AIDS surveillance system (RAIDS) was evaluated through a linkage between the TCR and the RAIDS in the period 1985-90. In the Province of Florence, the incidence of Kaposi's sarcoma in AIDS cases was underestimated by 24% (95% CI; 9.8%-47%; 6/25 cases) by RAIDS in comparison with the TCR. Of kaposi's sarcomas unknown to RAIDS, 2 were incident at the time of AIDS diagnosis ("truly" unreported cases) and 4 were late manifestations of AIDS. Moreover, 1 non-Hodgkin lymphoma unknown to RAIDS and 10 other malignancies (4 lung cancers) were identified through the TCR. In AIDS patients, the incidence of lung cancer was 95-fold (99% CI, 16-310) the expected one on the basis of age-sex-specific incidence rates in the general population of the same area. Altogether, about 25% of AIDS cases developed a cancer during HIV infection. In spite of the small size of the present study, the results confirm the role of population-based cancer registries in the assessment of the occurrence of malignancies in AIDS patients.
BACKGROUND: Quality of care is today a major issue in oncology, and much attention is given to research on the outcome of breast cancer care. Too little attention has been devoted in the scientific literature to the consequences of treatment in long-term survivors, and in particular to the possible side effects. The specific aim of this contribution is to present population-based data about the long-term impact of breast cancer care in women who had an incident cancer in 1985/1986. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The cases are 476 breast cancers incident in the City of Florence in 1985-86. Women still living 5 years later were invited to have an interview and a physical examination. Lymphedema, peripheral nerve lesions and damage to the shoulder were assessed. RESULTS: Of the 346 5-year survivors, 238 accepted our invitation: 35.2% of the women reported some early postoperative sequelae, 30.2% had a chronic lymphedema and 18.9% a shoulder deficit. Comparing breast-conserving surgery with radical mastectomy, the risk of chronic lymphedema (OR = 1.62; 95% C1: 0.91-2.88) and other lesions was higher for women who had a radical surgery. Women who had a breast-conserving surgery more often reported an early lymphedema (OR = 1.60; 95% Cl: 0.88-2.88). CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of women who complained of (or manifested at the physical examination) a minor or major disability of the arm in our study was high. The impact of these functional problems in terms of quality of life should also be assessed, but it is our impression that there is need for much greater attention to the issue of long-term survivor sequelae.
ITACARE is a collaborative study on the survival of Italian cancer patients diagnosed in the period 1978-1989. The study involves 11 Italian population-based cancer registries (CRs) (Firenze, Forli-Ravenna, Genova, Latina, Modena, Parma, Ragusa, Torino, Varese, the childhood CR of Piedmont and the colorectal CR of Modena), and its principal aim is to identify and analyze possible differences between the areas covered by the CRs. This article describes the ITACARE database. Ten percent of the Italian population is covered by the participating CRs, most of which are located in the northern part of the country. All malignant cancer sites (classified by ICD-9) except skin cancers were included. For bladder cancers, papillomas and transitional cell tumours grade 1 and 2 were also included. Survival data on over 100,000 cases were collected. The principal information variables were sex, date of birth, diagnosis and end of follow-up, life status, ICD-9 code for tumour site, diagnosis modality (clinical, cytologic confirmation, histologic confirmation), ICD-0 morphology code, and tumour stage (grouped into broad categories). Follow-up is active in all registries. All cases were checked systematically for errors and inconsistencies, following which about 0.2% of cases were excluded from the analyses. The percentage of cases microscopically verified, which is an indicator of diagnostic accuracy and data reliability, was higher among patients under 65 years of age (90%), breast cancer patients (92%) and cases covered by the Varese, Torino and Forli-Ravenna CRs (more than 82%). The percentage of cases known by death certificate only (an indicator of the completeness and quality of registration) was about 3% of total cases and was higher among older patients (4%). Province-specific mortality, used to compute relative survival from cancer (i.e., survival adjusted for competing causes of death), varied according to period of diagnosis, sex and area: the highest mortality was among women of the Ragusa CR (Sicily) and men in northern CRs. Overall mortality decreased during the period, more markedly in the north and among women.
Data from 10 Italian population-based cancer registries were used to estimate the prevalence of female tumors of the breast and genital tract. The total prevalence, expressed in number per 100,000, was highest for breast cancer (1,117), followed by cancer of the corpus (264) and cervix uteri (146), ovary (110), and vagina and vulva (23). For all tumors the prevalence increased with age at diagnosis. The cancer prevalence was divided into intervals from diagnosis, expressing different health needs in terms of therapy and intensity of clinical follow-up. For all tumors considered, 1-year prevalence was higher than 1-2-year prevalence, reflecting a high death risk due to perioperative mortality and to the proportion of patients diagnosed at advanced stages. The prevalence decreased in the following intervals considered. Noticeable geographic variability was observed in the prevalence across Italy, with higher proportions being registered in the northern-central regions than in the South. The two extreme 0-5-year prevalence figures (per 100,000) were: for breast cancer 568 (Genova) and 259 (Ragusa); for corpus uteri cancer 94 (Romagna) and 21 (Latina); for cervix uteri cancer 63 (Romagna) and 26 (Latina); for ovarian cancer 49 (Parma) and 21 (Latina); for cancer of the vagina and vulva 17 (Genova) and 5 (Ragusa). This variability depends mainly on incidence and on the proportion of elderly in the general population. From 1987 to 1992 there was an increase in the prevalence of tumors of the breast, ovary and vagina and vulva, especially in the elderly. The prevalence of corpus uteri cancer decreased slightly in the elderly only, whereas that of cervix uteri cancer decreased at all ages.
The Italian National Health Plan 1998-2000 indicates quantitative and qualitative goals in the fight against cancer. This approach stresses the need of reliable and updated descriptive data to evaluate, at a population level, the burden of neoplastic disease, the results of primary and secondary preventive actions, and the efforts towards a more equal distribution of diagnostic and therapeutic services. The aims of this paper is to evaluate the use of descriptive data to quantify the burden of neoplastic disease, using the data provided by the network of Italian cancer registries (the most reliable source of information on neoplastic disease in Italy). Crude rates are the most adequate for describing the "burden" of cancer patients who are expected in a certain period and will need specific diagnostic or therapeutic activities. Incidence, prevalence and mortality rates provide information on different phenomena (i.e., patients requiring diagnostic and therapeutic activities related with the first definition and treatment of the disease; patients requiring periodic follow-up or treatment of disease relapse; need palliative care). The use of these measures combined is highly informative in relation with the different objectives of health planners (i.e., patients requiring diagnostic and therapeutic activities related with the first definition and treatment of the disease; patients requiring periodic follow-up or treatment of disease relapse; need palliative care).
An analysis of death certificates from 1987 to 1996 among residents of the Tuscany Region identified 1518 deaths from pneumoconiosis, the large majority from silicosis, a disease explained by occupational exposure to silica dust. A dozen of deaths are from asbestosis, occurred at younger ages and are concentrated in a restricted area where a cement-asbestos factory was active. Deaths from pneumoconiosis occurred mainly among males, and the rates of the disease are decreasing only in the latest years. About 10% of deaths from silicosis are among subjects dying before 65 years of age. Mortality rates are very high in several areas of the Region, approximating those from lung cancer and ischaemic heart disease. For the above reasons the disease is still of concern from the point of view of public health and actions are suggested to obtain a description of prevalence and incidence of the disease.
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AIMS: We evaluated a number of basic parameters of care during hospitalization that contribute to the total cost of therapy during the 3 years after the first diagnosis of cancer. METHODS: The study examined a sample of cases of cancer of the colon-rectum (164 cases), lung (160 cases) and breast (144 cases) diagnosed in 1987, taken from the data base of the Tuscany Cancer Registry. All the information collected by the Registry was examined and the sample was further validated by reviewing original clinical records. The agreement between the two sources was very high, confirming the adequacy of the Registry as a source of information. The parameters evaluated for each patient were the number of cytohistologic examinations, surgery, hospital admissions and days spent in hospital during the 3 follow-up years. RESULTS: The average number of admittances in 3 years was 1.93 for colorectal, 3.39 for lung and 2.15 for breast cancer. The mean number of days spent in hospital in the 3 follow-up years was 39.9 for colorectal, 50.1 for lung and 21.1 for breast cancer. The parameters differed among subjects still alive, those deceased and those in various stages of the illness. CONCLUSIONS: The costs of the time spent in hospital, based on the number of days during the first 3 years of the illness, were higher in cases of lung cancer than of the other sites, and more so for patients diagnosed in an advanced phase of the disease.
In Italy, between 1890-85 and 1986-90, rates for most "avoidable deaths" decreased: the decline ranged between 20% and 50%. For ages 5-64 years, total "avoidable mortality" declined in both sexes at a greater percentage (-26/27%) than mortality for all causes (-12%). In both periods, often the higher mortality rates (for causes of death selected as "avoidable" and for total avoidable mortality") were observed in the regions of Southern Italy. The "avoidable mortality" summary score showed higher values in 5 regions of Southern Italy (Compania, Sicily, Puglia, Calabria and Basilicata, the last in the period 1986-90, and in 2 regions of Northern Italy (Piedmont and Valle d'Aosta). The regions with higher values of the "avoidable mortality" summary score had also SMRs for total "avoidable mortality" significantly higher than the standard population (whole Italy of the same period). Hypertensive and cerebrovascular diseases, all respiratory diseases (age 1.4 years), perinatal mortality, and, only in the first period, the chronic rheumatic heart disease and all respiratory diseases (age 5-14 years) showed the highest degree of regional variations. The SMRs significantly higher than the standard population were more frequent in females (also after exclusion of sex-specific causes of death). The number of SMRs significantly higher than the standard population and the range of the "avoidable mortality" summary scores were smaller in the second period.
This research evaluated basic parameters of care, also in the terms of costs. The study examined a sample of colorectal cancer cases incident in 1987 in the population of Florence's municipality, taken from the data base of Tuscany Cancer Registry (RTT). We collected, for 71 patients, all clinical records, for the five follow-up years and evaluated the diagnostic and therapeutic procedures (blood tests, histologic examination, instrumental investigation and surgical intervention) and the duration of all hospitalisations. Besides, on the basis of the diagnostic and therapeutic procedures and of the discharge diagnosis, each hospitalisation was coded following the DRG system and the economic cost of hospital care was analysed. The average number of hospitalisations and the average length of stay for patient in five follow-up years are respectively 1.9 (SD = 1.3) and 41.3 (SD = 25.8); the length of stay resulted highly correlated with the stage of disease. The mean hospital cost per patient (about ItL 18.000.000 overall) was higher in patients with more advanced disease at diagnosis. In the period of study an average 125.9 blood tests (SD = 110.7), 1.2 histologic examinations (SD = 0.9) and 10.3 instrumental investigations (SD = 9.0) were performed for each patient; 61 subjects (86%) were submitted to surgical intervention, of which 4 had a second intervention, and 1 subject was submitted to surgical intervention for liver's metastases.
In the period 1989-94, mortality rates for the most important causes of death in people migrated to the Tuscany from other Italian regions were analysed. The area of birth was assessed according to the information on province of birth recorded on death certificates. For this analysis we classified Italy into Tuscany and five broad areas, each including a number of political regions: North-West, North-East, Centre, South and Islands. The number of person-years for calculation of the mortality risks was based on 1991 census data, which also included information on place of birth and on current residence. The risks of death of subjects born in other Italian areas and resident in Tuscany ("migrated populations") in comparison to Tuscany born population were assessed by means of Poisson multivariate regression models. For most sites (particularly for lung and breast), cancer mortality rates were higher among North-West and North-East born people and lower among Centre, South and Islands born people. Gastric cancer mortality was higher in Tuscany born subjects. Cardiovascular diseases mortality was generally lower among people born outside of the Tuscany, with the exception of ischaemic heart disease (higher in North-West and Islands born people). Liver cirrhosis mortality was generally higher in North-West, North-East, South and Islands born subjects (with some differences between males and females). Diabetes mellitus mortality was higher in South and Islands born people. AIDS and opioids overdose mortality was higher in North-West born subjects. Mortality for external causes was higher in people born outside of the Tuscany. Both in males and females, overall mortality was higher in North-West and lower in South born people and lower in Centre and Islands born males.